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In post 44, Dannflor wrote:I think the analysis on me is Good from the perspective that it's slightly more reachy than I feel scum usually goes for one page into the game
I don't like this. Maybe it's because it hurts my ego. But this feels like handwaving my reasoning away. I understand it's not really strong, but I'm getting bad vibes regardless.
I mean, the actual reason for the timing of my posts is that I am constantly rereading the thread and my thoughts take a bit to fully form
and yes of course I am going to handwave it away I know that it is wrong
the only way I can evaluate it is whether I think it's coming from town or not, I don't think I can evaluate the strength of the reasoning itself very well
I do think it makes some assumptions that town is more likely to make though, at least at this point in the game
I liked this post for Dann town a lot. It feels like a real thought process and post.
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Post #170 (isolation #8) » Wed Oct 05, 2022 10:09 am
Postby SirCakez »
In post 148, Somnus wrote:I had something come up yesterday that required my immediate attention, and by the time I got caught up, I desperately needed to sleep. I'm town, but I don't think it's the end of the world if I get eliminated here:
Both the people in my neighborhood want me out for uhh...questionable reasons at best (a too long post that was 5 sentences long and apparently I'm performative. I don't know. I always post like this, including when I'm spectating a game, which is something Lucian should know from a couple months ago). Apparently my 4-post ISO from when the game had barely started is awful. Ok. I can live with that. I know one of them is just wrong town though.
Here's where I'm at: If I end up being the elimination today, after I flip, you've got a 50/50 shot at hitting mafia between Lucian and Scared Bear. Even if it's wrong tomorrow, you'll have a confirmed mafia Day 3, the entire small neighborhood wiped out, and in that absolute worst case scenario, guaranteed to at least get to eLo. So even though I'm not celebrating my potential mis-lim here and would have preferred a slightly longer cameo in this game, like...go for it, I guess? It's amazing how silly this setup appeared to me once I actually started going through the scenarios in my head.
(Yes, this post was too long. Scum confirmed.)
this shit is so dramatic, we are not that far into this game there is still an IRL week left
Based on fossil evidence from Russia and Bulgaria, the first known members of the family Procyonidae lived in Europe in the late Oligocene about 25 million years ago. Similar tooth and skull structures suggest procyonids and weasels share a common ancestor, but molecular analysis indicates a closer relationship between raccoons and bears.
also imma gonna be a filthy pre-flip associator and say this makes me think Somnus is town cuz Ceph put this scummy ass vote on them
In post 171, SirCakez wrote:also imma gonna be a filthy pre-flip associator and say this makes me think Somnus is town cuz Ceph put this scummy ass vote on them
Isn't bussing something that's fairly encouraged by this setup?
if scum busses the scum in the small hood its gg so no
Based on fossil evidence from Russia and Bulgaria, the first known members of the family Procyonidae lived in Europe in the late Oligocene about 25 million years ago. Similar tooth and skull structures suggest procyonids and weasels share a common ancestor, but molecular analysis indicates a closer relationship between raccoons and bears.
also imma gonna be a filthy pre-flip associator and say this makes me think Somnus is town cuz Ceph put this scummy ass vote on them
What's so wrong with this vote?
it just feels out of nowhere and has like no conviction behind it
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Post #290 (isolation #25) » Fri Oct 07, 2022 2:52 am
Postby SirCakez »
why would I start bussing here now? if Somnus and I were buddies I'd fire up a wagon on someone else not roll over onto them
and I very rarely bus after Among Us Mafia where I bussed my whole team then lost lol
In post 290, SirCakez wrote:why would I start bussing here now? if Somnus and I were buddies I'd fire up a wagon on someone else not roll over onto them
and I very rarely bus after Among Us Mafia where I bussed my whole team then lost lol
I think some things are kind of... universally understood currently. Somnus is scum; eliminating in the small hood is disadvantageous as we don't yet have a clear idea who scum in the big hood is.
You obviously agree with the first bit. But I don't get the feeling your vote is a pressure vote, exactly, as I don't think you believe one extra vote will suddenly make Somnus play. So what are you hoping to achieve, exactly? The answer is towncred upon a Somnus flip. Somnus flipping red doesn't help the town currently, because we don't actually have to kill him to solve the game, but if you're scum with him, it does help you. The town should absolutely be focusing on the big hood, because - Somnus flips red,
then what
?
This is an even worse look if Somnus is town, but I refuse to believe that we're in that universe.
uh what? I want to lim Somnus so that we can solve based on the flip lol. I think Som is scummy but I don't trust shit til I see the flip. I don't like this strategy you're doing basically solving the game as if Somnus has already flipped scum.
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Post #338 (isolation #31) » Fri Oct 07, 2022 8:59 am
Postby SirCakez »
In post 315, Lucian wrote:But my argument doesn't have to be specific for this setup - SirCakez is lazily voting a universal scumread, without trying to sort around them and without giving thought to who is scum with them.
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Post #418 (isolation #40) » Sun Oct 09, 2022 5:17 am
Postby SirCakez »
In post 389, Dannflor wrote:I don’t like that he seemed to be self aware that his posts were bad but ehhhh,
I do want to address this. The fact is that these days I don't have the time or energy to fully commit to scumhunting at the level of the majority of the players on this site, so my posts never look great in comparison. But I still like playing mafia and getting into it with people so I still try to play when I can. It's just a reality that I cannot produce the high-quality posts people want anymore. So that's why I'm so self-aware of that.
Would prefer if you went with ScrrrdBear over me, but I won't hold it against anyone if I'm the consensus. I haven't brought anything of value to this game, unfortunately, and that probably wouldn't change for another week. Sorry about that. Timing just ended up unexpectedly terrible for a mafia game. That's my problem and not yours though, so I'll leave it at that.
I thought some of the early analysis by Lucian was the kind of stuff that's easy to fake to look like busy town, but I don't have that thought anymore. There's clearly no consensus scum-read in the big hood, so throwing a dart and hoping to hit 1 out of 6 in there on Day 1 doesn't seem like a good play.
VOTE: ScrrrdBear
god i don't fucking know what to do with this post
Okay I didn’t mean you haven’t been confrontational, I meant you haven’t really posted anything I get you wanted me to respond to or that was meant to gauge my alignment, even in a confrontational style. You’ve been very confrontational but I think it’s meant to persuade and push, not interact with me
I don’t have much time today but I’ll respond in full when I get back tonight
okay this reads really fake to me
Dann is basically ceding all of Bear's points then throwing up his hands and voting him anyways. it feels like scum who is trying to get pressure off their back.
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Post #421 (isolation #43) » Sun Oct 09, 2022 5:21 am
Postby SirCakez »
In post 412, Dannflor wrote:I will respond to the rest of your wall when I get more time. But like, come on BEAR, im not getting the feeling you want to sort me. Im getting the feeling you wanna GOTCHA me