Micro 622: Queen Mafia GAME OVER

Micro Games (9 players or fewer). Archived during the 2023 queue overhaul.
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Post Post #3 (isolation #0) » Tue Jun 28, 2016 10:18 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Hey guys, I'm ascetic.

If you target me with (non-killing) night actions they get roleblocked, so I suggest you target someone else instead.

DON'T FORGET

VOTE: Aristophanes
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Post Post #7 (isolation #1) » Tue Jun 28, 2016 10:50 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

omg Postie you snipped my post to change the context, you must be scum

BNL should know all about that :D
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Post Post #29 (isolation #2) » Tue Jun 28, 2016 2:08 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Iprobablysuck, I thought you said you read a lot of games? You've never seen three votes in RVS on somebody before?

What are you worried about here, exactly?
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Post Post #58 (isolation #3) » Wed Jun 29, 2016 4:08 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 31, Elyse wrote:Vote him
For the record, I didn't vote him because I didn't think his post was all that scummy, instead I wanted to push things along and see if people followed up with what I was doing in a way I didn't like.

I like the things Fire Assassin is saying, but he's trying a little bit hard and TTH said the most important things first. Why did you feel compelled to say you "need more"? It's 3 pages into the game, obviously everyone needs more.
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Post Post #61 (isolation #4) » Wed Jun 29, 2016 4:20 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

I actually get crap for asking stupid questions in the early game a fair amount! I think it just helps me get a beat on tone and find people making pushes that I don't like.

TTH pointing out why that her vote was serious and the subsequent explanation reads town to me. Why didn't you think it was memorable that she made the same points as you re:Ari?
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Post Post #93 (isolation #5) » Wed Jun 29, 2016 3:25 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

I am also not seeing it
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Post Post #103 (isolation #6) » Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:55 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

BNL tell me about why IPS is null for you?

I predict a slow D1 if Aristo isn't gonna post often
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Post Post #104 (isolation #7) » Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:56 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Oh wait he's actually on V/LA, I missed that
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Post Post #126 (isolation #8) » Thu Jun 30, 2016 3:35 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Fire, why do you think that Elyse only thinks about these types of game dynamics as scum and not as town?
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Post Post #136 (isolation #9) » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:11 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 127, Fire Assassin wrote:Are you just asking questions to seem engaged in this game?
Serious question.

I gave through reasoning for my read on Elyse.
You are just trying to seem busy.
lol do you think I seem busy right now

you didn't really answer my question but Elyse basically picked it up from there so
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Post Post #137 (isolation #10) » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:14 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Aristo/BNL feels a little too easy but I'm kinda spinning my wheels until they get here cause everyone else looks town enough
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Post Post #138 (isolation #11) » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:15 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

also I chronically scumread BNL in every game and it's kind of a problem
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Post Post #140 (isolation #12) » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:21 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 139, Fire Assassin wrote:Unlesss you can do good preflip associations, they are usually not good in my experience.
:roll:
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Post Post #142 (isolation #13) » Thu Jun 30, 2016 6:24 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

basically I agree with what's been covered already that his to transition felt strange, especially as "interesting" is one of the most meaningless words in the English language

but he hasn't posted at all since then so I'm stuck putting him in the "null scum" category until he towns up his slot, assuming I'm wrong.
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Post Post #155 (isolation #14) » Fri Jul 01, 2016 3:19 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 103, GuiltyLion wrote:BNL tell me about why IPS is null for you?
@BNL
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Post Post #162 (isolation #15) » Fri Jul 01, 2016 6:47 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 157, BNL wrote:It's mainly because he's new, and this makes me have a tendency to mark what he does as NAI. I'm planning to hold off reading him until after a while (~7 days into D1).
I don't think this is necessarily a scummy thing, but I also don't see how it's useful. Can you just give me some thoughts about his original Elyse push or his switch to Fire Assassin?
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Post Post #165 (isolation #16) » Fri Jul 01, 2016 8:44 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 164, Postie wrote:
In post 160, BNL wrote:Postie, can you explain your townread on TTH?
It's a meta read that I'm probably 307% unqualified to make.
"Meta read" by itself doesn't mean anything. What things is TTH doing in this game that she only does as town?
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Post Post #166 (isolation #17) » Fri Jul 01, 2016 8:46 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

or what does she do as scum that she's not doing in this game?

If you can't answer either of these questions then your meta read is worthless and possibly fake.
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Post Post #169 (isolation #18) » Fri Jul 01, 2016 9:02 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Is that what she does as scum? Based on what games?
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Post Post #171 (isolation #19) » Fri Jul 01, 2016 9:10 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 168, Postie wrote:
In post 166, GuiltyLion wrote:If you can't answer either of these questions then your meta read is worthless
and possibly fake
.
Also woah there
Bit harsh
also, it's odd to me that you focused on "fake" being harsh here instead of "worthless". I feel like "worthless" should be more offensive to a town!Postie, since town knows by default that their reads aren't faked, but can get invested in their reads and defensive about their quality. "fake" just implies that your justification of the read is scummy.
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Post Post #202 (isolation #20) » Sat Jul 02, 2016 7:23 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Postie what's your read on Aristo?
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Post Post #203 (isolation #21) » Sat Jul 02, 2016 7:26 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 188, BNL wrote:
In post 162, GuiltyLion wrote:
In post 157, BNL wrote:It's mainly because he's new, and this makes me have a tendency to mark what he does as NAI. I'm planning to hold off reading him until after a while (~7 days into D1).
I don't think this is necessarily a scummy thing, but I also don't see how it's useful. Can you just give me some thoughts about his original Elyse push or his switch to Fire Assassin?
What are you referring to that isn't useful?
Well if you say flatly that you don't plan on reading someone for half of D1, I don't see how that helps you solve the game or help me read you.

But I think IPS slot is definitely town, and you probably are too.
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Post Post #213 (isolation #22) » Sun Jul 03, 2016 3:26 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

The thing is that Bullet always does this, I have been down this road before. I probably don't want to join a Bullet wagon today, especially since Aristo is pushing it.
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Post Post #214 (isolation #23) » Sun Jul 03, 2016 3:28 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 206, Aristophanes wrote: BNL: Same read, very different reasin. He's trying too hard. The case on Elyse after 2 pages is a bit much, and isn't critically thinking about her motives. His Ranger-Reads out of nowhere make no sense. His townread on Fire for his Elyse case, then backtracking on the reasoning when questioned, are bad. Plus his flip flopping seems like he's trying to find a good spot on a wagon.
Can you explain:

1) what is your read on FA given that he was the one who actually made the case
2) what makes you think Bullet isn't thinking critically about motives and why
3) what flip flopping and why is flip flopping intrinsically scum? Your last sentence feels v disingenuous to me
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Post Post #215 (isolation #24) » Sun Jul 03, 2016 3:35 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Ah actually ignore question 1, I forgot about post and I see now that that's what you were referring to
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Post Post #217 (isolation #25) » Sun Jul 03, 2016 4:49 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

says weird things that make him commonly scumread

tbf I have never seen his scumgame, but I have erroneously scumread him in 2/2 games I was with him as town, and used him as a lynch in another game where I was scum and he was a 3p lyncher
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Post Post #231 (isolation #26) » Sun Jul 03, 2016 6:32 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

You met scumGL in college mafia, remember? I still can't believe I bullshitted out a win in LYLO in that game :D
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Post Post #276 (isolation #27) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 1:40 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 268, Postie wrote:Although I am gut townreading Aristo, ftr.
why?

Don't have much else to comment on right now, my reads have gotten relatively static.
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Post Post #278 (isolation #28) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 1:44 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

I guess I will just say that Postie's approach towards her gut townread on Aristo feels different this game than her approach in Word Sneak 2, and I thought Aristo was far townier in WS2 than he is here. In WS2 she said she thought he was probably town but still pushed him on things and asked for explanations, here she's kinda just ignoring him.
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Post Post #283 (isolation #29) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 2:07 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

I think it's pretty clear what they mean with regards to my opinion of your alignment
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Post Post #285 (isolation #30) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 2:09 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 205, Postie wrote:
In post 202, GuiltyLion wrote:Postie what's your read on Aristo?
Don't have one. I agree his opening was a bit off, but not off enough for me to consider him a scumread.
I think his wagon is largely, if not completely, town-driven. Maybe there's a scum sitting on it somewhere, but I think the people actually pushing it are likely town.
When did this opinion change?
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Post Post #288 (isolation #31) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 2:14 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

It'd also be easier to start a CW if Aristophanes would vote, ftr

P-EDIT: what's the alignment-indicative difference between me explicitly saying "Postie's townread on Aristo doesn't look like the last time I played with town!her and she has a townread on Aristo,
therefore I think she's scummy
" vs omitting that last part? That feels like a semantic point from you
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Post Post #289 (isolation #32) » Wed Jul 06, 2016 2:15 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Also I was asking about the town-driven wagon thing, sorry should have clarified
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Post Post #347 (isolation #33) » Thu Jul 07, 2016 2:30 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

I find Aristo more over-explainy as scum than town. I'll explain why when I get on a computer in a sec.

Pretty much on the exact same page as Elyse here

Also it's frustrating that Wingback isn't posting but I found IPS very town for the newbie bravado so I'm willing to let him slide for a bit
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Post Post #360 (isolation #34) » Thu Jul 07, 2016 3:07 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Actually you know when I went back and re-ISO'd Aristophanes from College Mafia (where he was scum) vs games I've seen him as town (Word Sneak 2, ⅋, Town of Helen), I wasn't sold on his ISO in this game being as scummy as I had thought previously.

I might prefer a Postie lynch, it feels like all this argument defending her opinion about his wagon being a mislynch is coming from a place of her holding onto a need for projected consistency rather than genuine reasoning. Post is particularly bad, because it requires an implicit assumption (that TTH already pointed out) of TTH thinking Aristo can only be scum with Wingback. I don't think town!Postie would automatically make that assumption, it reads to me as if she's forcing it.

VOTE: Postie
I also didn't like her accusing BNL of opportunism.
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Post Post #362 (isolation #35) » Thu Jul 07, 2016 3:09 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Part of me wanted Aristo to come to thread and post before switching wagons, but I do kinda doubt the scumread on him now that I reread some of his town ISOs. One of those things where writing up your case makes you realize it's not as good as you think it is.
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Post Post #365 (isolation #36) » Thu Jul 07, 2016 3:14 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Postie, what's the benefit to scum!BNL or scum!GL of hopping to your wagon here? Especially in my case, as I was already on a wagon that has a high chance of going through today.

Not only do I not immediately see the alleged scum!motivation for BNL's vote there, your reaction also seemed panicky as it was literally the second vote on you. When I think of opportunistic votes, I'm thinking middle-end of the wagon, not beginning of the wagon.
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Post Post #368 (isolation #37) » Thu Jul 07, 2016 3:24 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Postie wrote:
In post 365, GuiltyLion wrote:Postie, what's the benefit to scum!BNL or scum!GL of hopping to your wagon here? Especially in my case, as I was already on a wagon that has a high chance of going through today.

Not only do I not immediately see the alleged scum!motivation for BNL's vote there, your reaction also seemed panicky as it was literally the second vote on you. When I think of opportunistic votes, I'm thinking middle-end of the wagon, not beginning of the wagon.
Because his jump came instantly after duppin's. He had a townread on me and then as soon as duppin made his case he
suddenly
had all these reasons to scumread me.
Although I do feel like I'm more likely to be wrong on BNL than I am you, and TTH is being pretty bad.

GL/TTH?
You didn't answer my question. What's the
scum motivation
for BNL to backtrack on his townread and vote you, putting you at L-3? What does he gain from that?

You called it "opportunistic", I'm not seeing the opportunism.
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Post Post #370 (isolation #38) » Thu Jul 07, 2016 3:26 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

^that's L-1 btw

duppin, BNL, me, TTH
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Post Post #373 (isolation #39) » Thu Jul 07, 2016 3:40 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

lol are you just trying to emulate RC's scumgame :roll:
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Post Post #392 (isolation #40) » Thu Jul 07, 2016 4:56 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Ari I want your opinion on likely scum!Postie partners
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Post Post #403 (isolation #41) » Fri Jul 08, 2016 4:31 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 401, BNL wrote:I think almost everyone has basically agreed to her lynch, and there has been zero resistance to the wagon
I don't really agree with this, if Postie is scum then she's sunk and already at the point where anyone defending her is gonna get looked at hard when she scum flips. I'd look at people who aren't literally voting the wagon as within "plausible partner" territory.
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Post Post #404 (isolation #42) » Fri Jul 08, 2016 4:34 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Whoops I meant to quote the part about Wingback as well, I do agree there's been little resistance to a Postie lynch
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Post Post #408 (isolation #43) » Fri Jul 08, 2016 4:46 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

BNL - I'm not following your question?

I'd say if Postie flips scum, then anyone who wasn't on her L-1 wagon would be possible partners. Wingback, FA, Aristo, Elyse. Which is more than "only Wingback", the thing that you said that I was replying to.

I'm not saying that I would scumread them just for that reason, but saying you're okay with a lynch and then actually voting it to make sure that it happens are two entirely different things.
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Post Post #412 (isolation #44) » Fri Jul 08, 2016 4:50 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

BNL do you want me to write up the whole case I was gonna put on Aristo tending to overexaggerate as scum that I then deleted because I decided I didn't buy it as a solid scumtell? Just because I don't put a bunch of text in the thread doesn't mean my reasoning is lazy.

For the record I think Aristo is still pretty scummy, just not definite scum. Postie is definite scum.
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Post Post #415 (isolation #45) » Fri Jul 08, 2016 4:58 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Well, sorry for trying to be transparent I guess. Next time I'll naked vote so it looks more townie
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Post Post #416 (isolation #46) » Fri Jul 08, 2016 4:59 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

And I resent you calling me lazy, I skimmed through like 4 Aristo ISOs
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Post Post #420 (isolation #47) » Fri Jul 08, 2016 5:11 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 418, BNL wrote:
In post 416, GuiltyLion wrote:And I resent you calling me lazy, I skimmed through like 4 Aristo ISOs
Sorry :( I meant that it was easy to type that out, which didn't require much thought.

Hah it's fine, I see where you're coming from I just think you're being needlessly paranoid. My responses are tongue in cheek
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Post Post #434 (isolation #48) » Fri Jul 08, 2016 11:17 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 430, Wingback wrote:I also do feel that Postie pushing an early counterwagon to Aristophanes makes sense for a partner to do which makes both of those scumreads stronger
This is referring to her vote on Fire Assassin, correct? Why do you call the FA vote an early counter wagon when Elyse was already an early counterwagon? Like I feel like you could make this point about Postie pushing any non-Aristophanes wagon, or any non-Postie player pushing a non-Aristophanes wagon, it doesn't actually link the two of them together (outside of hindsight if they are actually both scum).

idk I like most of the things that you've said but they feel a little
too
consistent with the current thread temperature. I'd rather flip within Postie/Aristo first though.
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Post Post #439 (isolation #49) » Fri Jul 08, 2016 1:33 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

426 is super bad. As duppin pointed out, the idea that duppin and Postie are scumbuddies is ridiculous. Also Ari ruled out Fire far too easily, saying that you wouldn't "bus" him when he wasn't really ever close to being lynched.

I was hoping to see if he came close or mentioned my latent suspicion of a Postie/FA team (assuming Town!Ari) and he didn't even seem to consider it, ruling it out for an arbitrary and illogical reason. So it wasn't what I was looking for, and he's scummier for it.
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Post Post #442 (isolation #50) » Fri Jul 08, 2016 1:57 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 440, Postie wrote:So his post was scummy for not being logical enough and not agreeing with you enough? Do I have that right?
Yeah, pretty much
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Post Post #463 (isolation #51) » Sat Jul 09, 2016 6:21 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 444, Postie wrote:Oh my god I was just clicking randomly through GL's post history to find a town game to refresh my memory of what town!GL felt like... and for some reason I clicked quite a while back to a game from 2015 and just like... this is just perfect...
In post 21, GuiltyLion wrote:Biggest thing for me (that I still always try to focus on) is to think about motivation/intent, rather than transparency/clarity/effort/sometimes-even-literal-content. It's very easy to nitpick at something that someone does that you didn't understand, or that you didn't like, and assume they must be scum for it. However this is a dangerous fallacy because something is only truly scummy if doing it benefits scum more than it benefits town, if scum are more likely to do it than town would.
I really don't like this push from Postie.

First, some context - the post she quoted is from a Newbie game, where someone asked "If you could go back in time and tell yourself one thing about this game before you started playing, what would it be?". So like, from the context of the question I'm answering, it means that the "dangerous fallacy" is a pattern of thinking that I have fallen into before, or tend to fall into, because I'm literally talking about something I would tell past!me. I even say in the quote that I still always try to focus on it, because it's a mistake that's bitten me many times before.

So even if we grant Postie the point/argument that I'm doing to Aristophanes what I said not to do in this post, her argument is weakened because in context, town!me is saying this is a mistake that I should always try to avoid. That doesn't mean I'm perfect, that doesn't mean town!me will never do it.

But onto my bigger problems with her push - I don't get vibes that Postie is
genuinely
trying to discern my alignment. The way she seems so pleased to have found this apparent contradiction in my play reads as if she cares more about scoring points to show that I'm scum, rather than figure out the Capital-T Truth of who is scum in this game.

Finally, she's ignoring evidence that I'm in town!scumhunting mode in this very game! I specifically asked her this question, MULTIPLE TIMES:
In post 365, GuiltyLion wrote:Postie, what's the benefit to scum!BNL or scum!GL of hopping to your wagon here? Especially in my case, as I was already on a wagon that has a high chance of going through today.

Not only do I not immediately see the alleged scum!motivation for BNL's vote there, your reaction also seemed panicky as it was literally the second vote on you. When I think of opportunistic votes, I'm thinking middle-end of the wagon, not beginning of the wagon.
In post 368, GuiltyLion wrote:You didn't answer my question. What's the
scum motivation
for BNL to backtrack on his townread and vote you, putting you at L-3? What does he gain from that?

You called it "opportunistic", I'm not seeing the opportunism.
Look at me trying to ask her about BNL's motivations for his play. Now we have two data points, one where I'm doing what I said I shouldn't do, and one where I'm doing what I said I should try to focus on.
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Post Post #464 (isolation #52) » Sat Jul 09, 2016 6:22 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 458, Elyse wrote:I'd much rather lynch Aristophanes than Postie today. I think they make sense as a team but imo, I can't see Postie's buddy being anyone but Aristophanes, whereas Aristophanes makes more sense with other people.
I can get behind this. I will vote either Postie or Aristophanes, let's just consolidate on one before we get up to a deadline crunch.
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Post Post #468 (isolation #53) » Sat Jul 09, 2016 7:52 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 435, Postie wrote:I strongly oppose any assertion that anyone not playing to their typical towngame is likely scum because of it. Playstyles can vary from game to game.
In post 446, Postie wrote:I want GuiltyLion lynched today for what I highlighted in ;
GL is playing directly contrary to how he
knows
he should be playing the game as town.
Also, Postie - why is your bolded here different than what you said in ? Because I'm sitting here seeing you saying Aristophanes is not scum for not playing to his towngame, and then saying I am scum for not playing to something I said I should do as town.
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Post Post #497 (isolation #54) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 11:44 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

pretty sure that was actually a hammer

I plan on rereading over night, but
if Postie flips scum
I would guess her partner is in {Aristophanes, Fire Assassin, Elyse}.

If Postie flips town
then I'm mostly working from the same pool, only I think Elyse is probably townier and it would make Aristophanes
more likely
to be scum for:
1) possible intentional hammer on a mislynch while faking ignorance of the hammer
2) means Postie wasn't WKing the slot

also, a reminder in twilight that
I am ascetic
, so don't target me with anything if you don't want it roleblocked
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Post Post #499 (isolation #55) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 11:49 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

actually if Postie flips town then Wingback definitely needs to be considered, but Aristophanes would in any case still be scumread #1
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Post Post #510 (isolation #56) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:22 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 509, Postie wrote:The fact that GL didn't call out Aristo for his awful hammer feels pretty bad too.
???

I explicitly said if you flip town, Ari was scumread #1

Let's not misrep me, thanks.
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Post Post #512 (isolation #57) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:24 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

we'll discuss this tomorrow :]
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Post Post #515 (isolation #58) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:28 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

I didn't miss anything. We're gonna be chatting postgame
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Post Post #516 (isolation #59) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:29 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

like seriously the whole reason I lynched you instead of Ari was because you defended him from his wagon in a very anti-town way
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Post Post #518 (isolation #60) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:30 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

anyway I think BNL/FA/Wingback would be most likely Ari partners, but we'll discuss tomorrow! FA's twilight posting has been terrible
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Post Post #520 (isolation #61) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:32 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

:roll:
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Post Post #522 (isolation #62) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:34 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

well I'm not, so now that tell is 1 for 2.
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Post Post #524 (isolation #63) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:37 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

and enjoy your spoilers in the Dead Thread!
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Post Post #526 (isolation #64) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:41 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Wingback, what was your reason for townreading Fire again? He was never on Postie, ever.
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Post Post #528 (isolation #65) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 2:45 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

don't you tell me who to nightkill :wink:
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Post Post #529 (isolation #66) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 4:54 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

actually given the twilight posting alone I'm leaning very strongly towards Ari-Wingback team. Fire would be my wildcard insurance pick if I'm wrong about Wingback, but may be a bonafide scumslip.
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Post Post #531 (isolation #67) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 5:00 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

His reasoning about Fire being town applies to BNL, not Fire. Fire never pushed for your lynch. It's within the realm of possibility that he just completely flipped the two players in his head, but he did it throughout the post (instead of just in one sentence).

It's hard for me to imagine a town player genuinely reasoning about everyone's alignment making such a mistake. But I also feel like scum shouldn't be so careless either, so I'm not 100% certain. I would have appreciated a response from him while he was here but it doesn't look like we'll get that before threadlock.
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Post Post #533 (isolation #68) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 5:04 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

I'm not pretending, but nice, take some more shots at me :roll:
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Post Post #536 (isolation #69) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 7:29 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

hmmmm

okay so I guess one other question for you is you had me as "town, no question about it" in , why did that read change? Like I feel like your read on me soured arbitrarily very quickly as soon as Postie was hammered, and you've replaced it with a hard townread on Fire, when I don't fully buy the reason.
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Post Post #537 (isolation #70) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 7:31 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

some of that may just be a disagreement in whether scum!Firebringer votes scum!Aristophanes there, though. For me I could very easily see him doing it, it wasn't exactly a hard bus, and Fire does play unconventionally sometimes

I'll think about BNL some more but I'm struggling to think that scum!BNL would so openly and brazenly attempt to wash his hands of a Postie mislynch.
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Post Post #539 (isolation #71) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 7:34 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 487, BNL wrote:Okay, so the problem is that, while I do agree that Postie is scummy and has still been acting scummy,
there is too much support for her lynch
, to the extent that lynching Postie seems too easy, trappish, etc.

I do think that it is plausible that Postie is scum with someone that I would like to hide for now (no, not Wingback, I know I said that earlier but that's changed), but otherwise think Postie is a mislynch.

Or is being bussed. I actually haven't considered that thoroughly, I should probably find some potential bussers now.

tl;dr Postie is scummy but I have really bad feelings about the lynch.
I just don't know whether scum!BNL is ballsy enough to make this post, I'm leaning no
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Post Post #540 (isolation #72) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 7:34 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

but your explanation was half bullshit, so...?
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Post Post #541 (isolation #73) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 7:37 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 508, Wingback wrote:If I were scum with Postie, I would be bussing the hell out of her so if he had suspicions of me, I don't see why it should be contingent on Postie flipping town
like also here you're saying if you were scum, you would bus your partner, but then your townreads are based on this foundational assumption that scum wouldn't bus their partner Aristophanes
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Post Post #543 (isolation #74) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 8:02 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 542, Wingback wrote:That's completely different from Fire Assasin deciding that he doesn't want the guaranteed Postie mislynch and instead deciding the kickstart a wagon on his partner Aristo.
But what if FA knows that Ari will almost certainly be lynched on D2 or D3, and therefore he has to have a plausible trail of scumread throughout the game? Much like you couldn't get away with not-bussing scum!Postie hypothetically, he can't exactly defend Ari and push elsewhere either, especially if he's already been projecting a Postie townread.

I can see us both being town here but I really want to dig at this because if scum!Ari and town!Wingback then I think FA is scum.
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Post Post #545 (isolation #75) » Sun Jul 10, 2016 8:08 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

I don't see how 499 "reeks of knowing that she was a mislynch", I wanted to just made sure I left a pool of my scumreads before threadlock in case of either flip.

And I guess I don't agree with you that scum!Wingback absolutely had to bus scum!Postie there, FMPOV you could have just as easily jumped on the Aristophanes wagon and I probably wouldn't have raised an eyebrow at it. I thought Aris seemed much more like cornered partner than you did, because he can't vote himself so he exclusively just focused her whenever he was here. I thought Elyse and FA were both being avoidant of the wagon and I would have been inclined to examine them before you on a scum!Postie flip
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Post Post #554 (isolation #76) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 2:41 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

I am online.

We'll discuss tomorrow :]
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Post Post #555 (isolation #77) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 2:44 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Like BNL your question is really busybee now that I think about it - I'm literally saying "hey let's talk about this tomorrow" and your post is like "I want you to explain that tomorrow!". Uh, duh, that's what I said.
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Post Post #557 (isolation #78) » Mon Jul 11, 2016 2:51 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Well, too bad
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Post Post #563 (isolation #79) » Wed Jul 13, 2016 8:47 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

I'm a vig, I shot Aristo

FA kill is odd to me, makes me think there's scum in the neighborhood or scum is very commonly townread. I'm probably game for a BNL lynch today, if that doesn't end it I'm happy to hear opinions on who I should shoot. Wingback felt very town to me in twilight and everyone else pushed on Aristophanes in a mostly convincing manner. If TTH or Elyse is scum then we're in for a rough go
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Post Post #564 (isolation #80) » Wed Jul 13, 2016 8:49 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 497, GuiltyLion wrote:pretty sure that was actually a hammer

I plan on rereading over night, but
if Postie flips scum
I would guess her partner is in {Aristophanes, Fire Assassin, Elyse}.

If Postie flips town
then I'm mostly working from the same pool, only I think Elyse is probably townier and it would make Aristophanes
more likely
to be scum for:
1) possible intentional hammer on a mislynch while faking ignorance of the hammer
2) means Postie wasn't WKing the slot

also, a reminder in twilight that
I am ascetic
, so don't target me with anything if you don't want it roleblocked
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also I realize that these posts felt clunky but the point was to leave a trail of people I was thinking about shooting. Once Postie confirmed she was town there was no way I wasn't gonna shoot Aristo.
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Post Post #566 (isolation #81) » Wed Jul 13, 2016 9:19 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

I'm ascetic vig lol

Since there's no way to convince you that I'm not SK (since if I were SK, I would play this exact way), why don't you tell me who you think Aristo's partner is first. Trivially it can't be me. I know there's no serial killer, so if we lynch the other scum today we win.
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Post Post #569 (isolation #82) » Wed Jul 13, 2016 9:22 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Oh sick I didn't even realize it was confirmed 7:2

#conftown
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Post Post #572 (isolation #83) » Wed Jul 13, 2016 9:31 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

why would you ask conftown that question?
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Post Post #584 (isolation #84) » Wed Jul 13, 2016 11:18 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

eh yeah I can get behind that, I keep wanting to scumread BNL for his occasional bad posting but like I said before it's a chronic issue with me and him
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Post Post #585 (isolation #85) » Wed Jul 13, 2016 11:21 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

one of these days scum!BNL is gonna wipe the floor with me I just know it
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Post Post #595 (isolation #86) » Thu Jul 14, 2016 5:43 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

okay so it seems like no one is opposed to a Wingback lynch, how much more do we need to discuss today? I'll probably shoot BNL if Wingback is town but that's by virtue of everyone else looking
even more
town
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Post Post #607 (isolation #87) » Fri Jul 15, 2016 4:35 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

IMO TTH is more likely to be scum than Elyse is
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Post Post #608 (isolation #88) » Fri Jul 15, 2016 4:36 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

Not that I really think either are scum, but, y'know
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Post Post #612 (isolation #89) » Fri Jul 15, 2016 8:55 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 610, Wingback wrote:Why? The one issue I have with TTH is lack of engagement. She was online yesterday but didn't weigh in or analyze the game and I thought her one post was pretty weak but if she is scum, she's played very well early on in the game.
Post . I think it's more likely that scum!TTH makes this post about town!Elyse than town!TTH makes this post about scum!Elyse.

Also Elyse was consistent in pushing Aristo during the mid-D1 lull period, TTH jumped ship for Postie.
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Post Post #627 (isolation #90) » Sat Jul 16, 2016 7:53 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

hah TTH I totally saw the result soft

Hence why I said you were more scum than Elyse

Town feels a little OP but yeah let's lynch Wingback and then I'll shoot BNL tonight if Wingback flips town. If somehow that doesn't end it then it'll be a LYLO decision between duppin/TTH, hopefully I would get killed so it would be Elyse that has to deal with it
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Post Post #628 (isolation #91) » Sat Jul 16, 2016 8:10 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

also I'm not really sure what BNL is getting at in his last post so I would like him to say something before I vote, but if he somehow survives on a Wingback town flip then he's autolynch tomorrow
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Post Post #643 (isolation #92) » Sun Jul 17, 2016 5:36 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

VOTE: Wingback
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Post Post #645 (isolation #93) » Sun Jul 17, 2016 7:39 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

did you read what I posted?
In post 628, GuiltyLion wrote:also I'm not really sure what BNL is getting at in his last post so I would like him to say something before I vote, but if he somehow survives on a Wingback town flip then he's autolynch tomorrow
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Post Post #662 (isolation #94) » Mon Jul 18, 2016 8:07 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

I'm conftown, you're conftown, TTH is claiming neapolitan which feels believable

Aristo flipped scum, BNL and Wingback were the most dodgy regarding his slot. I will shoot whichever one of them we don't flip tonight.

Only other player left is duppin who is playing a great game if he's scum, he feels super town. If it's not BNL/Wingback then LYLO will be TTH/duppin/either-you-or-me

Therefore there's some apathy as it's highly likely game ends either this day/night phase.
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Post Post #664 (isolation #95) » Mon Jul 18, 2016 8:53 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

Wingback I guess I just dc cause I'll shoot BNL tonight if you flip town and if he somehow evades that, then town has to lynch him tomorrow

It doesn't matter to me which of you gets lynched first, I'm not sure why you're pushing it so hard. Like I can vote him if you want but it ultimately shouldn't make a difference
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Post Post #694 (isolation #96) » Tue Jul 19, 2016 1:22 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

I'm fine with that though I still think Wingback is the scum
"I think I no longer believe in monsters as faces in the floor or feral infants or vampires or whatever. I think at seventeen now I believe the only real monsters might be the type of liar where there's simply no way to tell. The ones who give nothing away"
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Post Post #696 (isolation #97) » Tue Jul 19, 2016 2:11 pm

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For now, yeah. If one of them is scum then my heart goes out to whichever of us has to figure that out in LYLO

I agree Wingback's effort is unusual, but I'm thinking it's probably like a point of pride for him. "At least I got one more mislynch" or something like that. He said himself that he hates when people roll over and accept their lynch, and I could see that being genuine and applying to either alignment.
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Post Post #699 (isolation #98) » Tue Jul 19, 2016 2:29 pm

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hmm Wingback you look a lot more town when you're not being bellig
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Post Post #700 (isolation #99) » Tue Jul 19, 2016 2:30 pm

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And I did think your back and forth with me in Twilight about FA and Elyse was townie

UNVOTE:
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Post Post #718 (isolation #100) » Wed Jul 20, 2016 4:37 pm

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fuck I finally actually read/thought about Wingback's case in and I kinda like it tbh

VOTE: BNL

serra I'll switch over if you change your mind
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Post Post #719 (isolation #101) » Wed Jul 20, 2016 4:42 pm

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also I did originally townread IPS so I'm gonna fallback to that read
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Post Post #841 (isolation #102) » Wed Jul 27, 2016 3:20 pm

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Thanks UTL and RC for modding :D

Well played TTH, you had me fooled! Serra no hard feelings at all about getting LYLO wrong, I was so glad I wasn't in your shoes. I guess the fact that I could see myself alternatively townreading BNL and Wingback during D2 should have made me do a full reassess, instead of just assuming I must be wrong about one of them.

@Elyse - hahaha wow that's annoying. I enjoyed the absurdity of him (being a newbie) sarcastically insulting your play but it sucks that he was actually serious about it and ruined your game as a result. Thanks for respecting the game enough to let the mods know

also I definitely thought this game was balanced but I was super relieved to see that it was actually confirmed 7:2. I think it would have been much tougher for me (and town as a result) if we didn't have that piece of information, as I thought my role was basically designed around being a pretender SK.
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Post Post #843 (isolation #103) » Wed Jul 27, 2016 3:32 pm

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for me mainly it was cause you were townreading my scumread in such a way that I figured either you were partners or you were WKing a scummy-looking town slot. Also I was TRing BNL/TTH and I knew I was town so I couldn't really vibe with any of your scumreads.

I might have been more open-minded if I wasn't sitting on a vig shot, I was fairly confident I would shoot Ari regardless of your flip so the choice of either wagon didn't matter too much to me by the end of the day.
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Post Post #845 (isolation #104) » Wed Jul 27, 2016 3:32 pm

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that said I definitely should have looked over your interactions with TTH after you flipped town
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