Open 715 - White Flag Mafia (Game Over)
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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You're the hydra with Mathdino, correct? My apologies to your other half, but I have to pay him back for flaking in our last game together.In post 6, Russian Roulette wrote:/confirm
VOTE: RussianRoulette-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I could tell Korina was joking but was also pretty sure that someone would take it seriously. I don't like Korina's self-vote but not in a "that's scummy" way and more in a "that's childish and unneccesary" way.
On the other hand I think Athena taking the joke too seriously is more likelyto come from Town who is eagerly looking for any signs of scum. Opens seem to have a pattern of newer Townies always jumping on a joke or someone not paying attention to the setup.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Some people's votes seemed important to them. I only had the RVS vote and so far don't have any scumreads and didn't care to reiterate a RVS vote. I was asking because I had a feeling the mod wouldn't count votes until they announced the game but was hoping they would just let it go all things considered.In post 102, Russian Roulette wrote:@Alchemist: You asked the mod if our earlier votes count. Is this important to you? If so, why? And why not just revote to make sure in the case that earlier votes don't count?-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Not to knock a new method or anything, but this seems like it could get confusing. For one, are you copying the list and pasting the original list everytime? If not, I could see you editing out a name and forgetting to put it back. Secondly, if you see potential scummates between a name earlier in the list and a later name, that connection would only be reflected in the first section and not the second since you're cutting out names you already looked at, correct? It seems like it weakens the whole idea of your approach since if you wanted to look at a later name and see who they could be with you could miss a higher up name that they were associated with but you didn't list later on.In post 121, Almost50 wrote:OK, I'm here for a little bit, so here's what I'm doing: I'll try a new approach that I have been experimenting with. This only works in open setups with a definite/known number of scums, and the game is preferably single ball with no SK (it could be applied to 2 scum teams like WW+Mafia, but the SK kind of messes this up).
Anyway, here we have 3 Mafiam so I start by listing all players and bolding the top name. Assuming the top name is scum I try to see if they can be scum with the rest and edit out the ones I feel impossible.
The "rest" (aside from the top bolded name) are now in a second list with the top name bolded. Assuming the previous name is Town and the second is scum I do the exact same as I did to the 1st list.
Then a 3rd, 4th .. etc.
Here's how it looks at the start of the game:
Korina
Flubbernugget
Shadpearl
Quick Maker
Not_Mafia
CultOfAthena
Klick
Bellaphant
Russian Roulette
AnonymousGhost
havingfitz
Alchemist121
Flubbernugget
Shadpearl
Quick Maker
Not_Mafia
CultOfAthena
Klick
Bellaphant
Russian Roulette
AnonymousGhost
havingfitz
Alchemist121
Shadpearl
Quick Maker
Not_Mafia
CultOfAthena
Klick
Bellaphant
Russian Roulette
AnonymousGhost
havingfitz
Alchemist121
Quick Maker
Not_Mafia
CultOfAthena
Klick
Bellaphant
Russian Roulette
AnonymousGhost
havingfitz
Alchemist121
Not_Mafia
CultOfAthena
Klick
Bellaphant
Russian Roulette
AnonymousGhost
havingfitz
Alchemist121
CultOfAthena
Klick
Bellaphant
Russian Roulette
AnonymousGhost
havingfitz
Alchemist121
Klick
Bellaphant
Russian Roulette
AnonymousGhost
havingfitz
Alchemist121
Bellaphant
Russian Roulette
AnonymousGhost
havingfitz
Alchemist121
Russian Roulette
AnonymousGhost
havingfitz
Alchemist121
AnonymousGhost
havingfitz
Alchemist121
Notes:
- I of course removed my own name as I already know I'm Town.
- If anyone is interested in being as crazy as I am though feel free to replace my name with yours.
- If you don't want to use that approach (and I would expect everyone not to ) then this is just a way for you all to track my reads progression, so as not to ask me to go back and dig up a case from 10s of pages ago. I will probably include every single thought I have inside these spoilers as the game goes on.
Now off to read the thread from the start (although from my previous skim it had very little if anything to comment on)
It just seems tedious in a way that leaves room for error.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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That's part of what I was talking about. He posted an example list to show his method, and the way it's structured makes it look like the top names have more potential scumbuddies than the bottom names even though they don't.In post 126, CultOfAthena wrote:A50, I find it hard to believe that you still have Korina as having the most scumpartners where AG and Russian Roulette have the least.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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In post 177, Almost50 wrote:
TR = Town ReadIn post 173, Shadpearl wrote:@Almost50 ....I don't know what SR means and Mafia Wiki won't tell me... ( . .)
SR = Scum Read
Also the bottom have of 172 makes me lean Town on Cult. I have not actually verified the details, but I don't see scum going through the trouble (or even thinking of coming up with that) to appear like they're scum hunting.
Spoiler:I agree with you here. I don't think I've ever seen scum bother to check timestamps for something like this.
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Pretty much. There was no reason for them to try defending me unless they were trying to pocket me.In post 206, CultOfAthena wrote:Is the scummiest thing you've seen so far?
Are you saying he's incorrect when he says this (ie you're agreeing that the points against you are valid)?
How many votes are on Korina now? I want to lynch them now but don't want to end the Day just yet.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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What's your reasoning here? Are you thinking they replaced out because of a scumbuddy?In post 199, Russian Roulette wrote:In other news, I think Klick's replace-out is potentially alignment indicative (although dependent on some other ali-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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My posts I've made pretty much answered it already. I think they were trying to pocket me and yes I think my vote was justified.In post 233, Quick Maker wrote:@MOD, Can we get a VC?
@Alchemist, could you please answer the question(S) we directed at you in our last post?
Still waiting on a Fitz answer.
@Not_Mafia, are you actually playing in a way trying to win?
Sounds like bullshit to me. Why should I trust that "reaction test" from the person who's claimed they'd self hammer out of frustration?In post 244, Korina wrote:That's exactly what I was trying to see.
I suspect those in the middle of the wagon of being scum, namely AG and Alc.
Athena is good.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Well that's just dumb. Why would you do something that's practically gamethrowing? At the very least it's definitely playing against your wincon.In post 246, Korina wrote:I don’t self-hammer out of frustration. I just self-hammer to self-hammer.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I don't get it. If you think there's scum afraid to hop on the wagon then why are your alternate choices two people on that wagon? Who would you say is the scum that's afraid to join it?In post 262, Russian Roulette wrote:If you're gonna remove Korina, get it over with. There's scum afraid to hop on this wagon.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I think you're putting too much trust in Dino and if he's scum you're playing right into his hands.In post 301, Almost50 wrote:And I will repeat.. I do no SR/TR Alch on his own. I have him as likely connected to you, and I want YOU lynched. If Dino won't help me lynch you then I might as well help him lynch his prime suspect, and if that flips Red then I'll have your head served on a silver platter.
Now what if Alch flips Town,, you might ask? Nothing. I'd still SR you for the same reason I explained, and would want you lynched.
Now a question for you: What exactly is wrong with your "play style"?? Cuz I seem to recall it was more than impressive when you took over that scum slot (Redfalvor's). Care to give me a clue?-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I like A50's analysis and think it's heavily indicative that he's Town, and I want to agree with it, but I have to say we can't really rule anyone out one way or the other based in the Night Kill. Regardless of his reads, he was the most logical kill choice simply because he was the most proactive here.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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You've never explained your case on QM.
And you've never explained anything at all. Start talking.
VOTE: Not Mafia-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I'm feeling Town on A50, and I haven't seen any reason to overturn my Athena Townread. Shadpearl started seeming Townier after I unvoted but it's not as solid.In post 376, havingfitz wrote:Spoiler: Alchemist ISO
I do not think I would vote Alchemist after all. At least not atm. His posts either seem a bit meh or something I agree with. Nothing terribly bad though.
What are your reads atm Alchemist? Any town reads you are confident in?
Are you voting N_M for the same reasons QM essentially did yesterday? I.e. policy? Have you played with N_M before?
Slight town read atm.
N_M is policy. I'd rather not carry it to a lynch like we did Korina, I just want N_M to actually explain things. I have played with him once or twice before but I don't remember him just making naked votes and not saying in between.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Spoiler: My notes on rereading the game today
I think Fitz is the one I want to vote most right now. I think NM is Town but Fitz's dynamic with him and QM is giving me scumvibes.
VOTE: Havingfitz
Could maybe do the Klick/Vij slot but I'd rather see what a new player there has to say. It's not as strong a feeling there.
I still don't know about Bella and Flubber.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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?In post 470, Almost50 wrote:@Alch: Why would you need someone else's meta-read on me when you have played me as scum in Kutoi's Death Note and as Town in Skull's Undertale? (We may have played more games together, but I'm just giving examples off the top of my head)
I don't recall being in either of those games and I'm pretty sure I wasn't. I'd definitely remember being in a Death Note game.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I've had several games in the past where scum tried to buddy me and it's one of those things that I'm extra paranoid about. I definitely don't think I was in a strong Town position at the time, in fact I think I should have been null to most if not all players at the time. In my opinion the case against me was weak enough that it could have been defended against, but nobody should have had a reason to defend me if they didn't know my alignment and scum could have taken the opportunity to defend a Townie to try earning Towncred and making me more willing to side with them later on. Shad's looked Townier since so I don't think that's what he was doing, I think he's just one of those players who will defend another player if he doesn't think the argument is valid.In post 479, MagnaofIllusion wrote:@Alchemist – My question to you is … why did you think Shad was buddying up to you? Generally buddying goes towards a player who is influential and generally Town read in general that scum don’t want coming at them. Did you see yourself in that sort of position Day 1?-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Korina was kynched D1 and flipped Town.In post 486, Pine wrote:What upppp bitchessss
I'm at Easter with the inlaws, I'll read later. What should I know?
Russian Roulette was killed N1.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
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- Location: North Carolina
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Your QM vote felt opportunistic when you said you had a detailed case then later said it was just gut. If felt like you wanted to keel scumreading the slot even though you couldn't really justify it like you said you could. And your interaction with NM feels like you're trying to side with him for some ulterior motive. You hard Townread him and voted with him without justification for the former and little for the latter. And you can point out that I'm Townreading NM too, but the fact of the matter is that I was able to justify it. You were asked to justify a scumread you said you could and then fumbled on the response when actually called out.In post 539, havingfitz wrote:
Alchemist…if there was anything in your spoiler that you want addressed by me let me know. I only saw my name mentioned a few times and if any other post #s allude to me I won’t know without going to every (unlinked) post mentioned which I’m not going to.In post 469, Alchemist21 wrote:Spoiler: My notes on rereading the game today
I think Fitz is the one I want to vote most right now. I think NM is Town but Fitz's dynamic with him and QM is giving me scumvibes.
VOTE: Havingfitz
Could maybe do the Klick/Vij slot but I'd rather see what a new player there has to say. It's not as strong a feeling there.
I still don't know about Bella and Flubber.
So why am I scum? I really don’t see anything other than the vague mention of a “concerning dynamic” between me and N_M and me and QM. I have been town reading N_M (which you have come to think as well) and I have suspected/voted QM.
So what is concerning?-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Yeah,In post 543, havingfitz wrote:
Quote me where I said the things in bold.In post 541, Alchemist21 wrote:
Your QM vote felt opportunistic whenIn post 539, havingfitz wrote:
Alchemist…if there was anything in your spoiler that you want addressed by me let me know. I only saw my name mentioned a few times and if any other post #s allude to me I won’t know without going to every (unlinked) post mentioned which I’m not going to.In post 469, Alchemist21 wrote:Spoiler: My notes on rereading the game today
I think Fitz is the one I want to vote most right now. I think NM is Town but Fitz's dynamic with him and QM is giving me scumvibes.
VOTE: Havingfitz
Could maybe do the Klick/Vij slot but I'd rather see what a new player there has to say. It's not as strong a feeling there.
I still don't know about Bella and Flubber.
So why am I scum? I really don’t see anything other than the vague mention of a “concerning dynamic” between me and N_M and me and QM. I have been town reading N_M (which you have come to think as well) and I have suspected/voted QM.
So what is concerning?you said you had a detailed casethen later said it was just gut. If felt like you wanted to keel scumreading the slot even though you couldn't really justify it like you said you could. And your interaction with NM feels like you're trying to side with him for some ulterior motive. You hard Townread him and voted with him without justification for the former and little for the latter. And you can point out that I'm Townreading NM too, but the fact of the matter is that I was able to justify it. You were asked tojustify a scumread you said you couldand then fumbled on the response when actually called out.
I gave reasons for my early suspicions towards QM (his interactions with Korina) and when asked about a more detailed case (which iirc someone else asked me for) I said it was gut & poe.Iasked for it.
That's where you said you would explain suspicions on them in detail. When asked, you responded with "gut." You fumbled when asked to provide a detailed answer you said you could give.In post 265, havingfitz wrote:OK…slow start post v/la re-read catch up:
Spoiler: Comments/questions
Summary:Reads
A lot of inactivity definitely causing consternation in this game. A bit sad but it is a geriatric game so somewhat to be expected. Hate to see two TR’s replace out.
AG (their slot at least) I think is most likely town. The worst thing I could say towards them was that they we getting in the mod’s business to much. Play the game…don’t manage it. Otherwise agree with a lot.
COA…my early sus of COA has gone away as I read more of their content. Slight town lean.
Not_Mafia is making posts at points in the game where I find myself thinking the person being voted deserved it. N_M is a tr for me as much as I dislike their playstyle.
A50 was a bit iioa early on which had me sus of him a bit but I find myself agreeing with much of what he is saying so he is a tr for me for now.
Klick felt town to me (more gut than anything iirc) so Vijarada is at least a slim tr. Vij hasn’t done anything since replacing in to steer me off that read.
Korina is driving me fcuking crazy. I think the slot is probably town but I do not want it in the game. And if by some chance the slot did get to the end and wound up being scum…and won…I think I would give up mafia.
Shadperl I keep going back and forth on. I think I need to look them over in ISO (as with all my suspects eventually) to help define my read on them.
Flubber Bella and Alchemist are all kind of lumped together into the same ball of nothingness that I suspect for being in a ball of nothingness. Need to ISO them.
Russian Roulette and Quick Maker are both suspect to me. I know I would need to make some sort of case to get support for either of their wagons so I’ll try to explain my suspicions in more detail in later posts.
But as of right now my lynchpool is Quick Maker, Russian Roulette and Korina (more on policy than anything).
VOTE: Quick maker
Also…it would be nice if AG would reconsider if they are replacing out because they are bored.
You can actually read my post where I stated my NM Townread and see my justification. You only quoted him and said "Town" with no justification. And to quote someone and simply say "town" expresses a hard Townread.In post 544, havingfitz wrote:
How did you justify your town read on N_M any more than I did? And I'm not "hard town reading" anyone in this game. I think he is most likely town. I wouldn't call that a hard town read.In post 541, Alchemist21 wrote:And you can point out that I'm Townreading NM too, but the fact of the matter is that I was able to justify it.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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You are the one making shit up. "I'll try to explain my suspicions in more detail" means you had details for those suspicions. "Poe/gut" does not constitute more detail.In post 548, havingfitz wrote:@Alchemist...so...I never said I had a detailed case and I never said I could justify my QM scumread. I said I knew I would need to justify it to get support and I said I would try. But I never said the two things you are faulting me for supposedly saying and not following through on.
I don't just simply say N_M is a townread. I give my reason for thinking so in 265.In post 546, Alchemist21 wrote:You can actually read my post where I stated my NM Townread and see my justification. You only quoted him and said "Town" with no justification. And to quote someone and simply say "town" expresses a hard Townread.
And you are not comprehending my reads apparently. And me explicitly stating so isn't helping. But ftr...I'm not hard town reading anyone. If I was a cop and had an innocent then I would hard town read someone. In this game...not so much. Stop making shit up.In post 265, havingfitz wrote:Not_Mafia is making posts at points in the game where I find myself thinking the person being voted deserved it. N_M is a tr for me as much as I dislike their playstyle.
NM became a TR to you because he voted people you thought deserved it, but you didn't say why those people deserved it in the first place. You've chosen to take sides with NM for some ulterior reason. It isn't for any scumhunting reason because none of what you are doing is scumhunting. You haven't done any critical analysis of other players and you haven't shown any transparency. Someone who lacks those traits is not Town.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I take it you CoA read is stronger than the others. What's your reasoning on CoA (and I'd also like to hear if there's more to the other 2 as well, though they seem like you're reading them based on tone).In post 551, Shadpearl wrote:UNVOTE: Valjarada/Moi
I agree with the fancy poster enough to follow the leader. We can always lynch him later for being a pain -or, if the scum follow their current track- he'll get killed off for being a leader.
VOTE: Havingfitz
I do want to ask though- Havingfitz, did you post all that from a cellphone? Because, if so, that is true dedication, my good man, and I salute you.
CultofAthena is town to my mind. Passively reading Anonymous and Flubber as town if anyone particularly cares. If Moi is scum then QuickMaker seems more suspicious to me.
That leaves:
Not_Mafia - I got nothing. Sorry.
Pine - Hello
Alchemist - Busybody. Wants to seem active, but not actually. Still more active than me so, psh. I ain't got much. It isn't good or bad to try to cram useful information into sparse posts. Meh.
I'm alsk curious about why you think MoI and QM are linked.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
Was the lack of follow through you're talking about on his QM read D1? Because that's one of my major points against him.In post 591, Shadpearl wrote:This might be a dumb question and I probably already missed it but, uhm, why is Fitz town?
And, Fitz, the only reason I brought up the strangeness in a lack of vote/read a while ago is because you had specifically said you would give one... Then didn't. Which felt odd. It wasn't as if you didn't have time. It felt like you were saying stuff meant to be town-like then not following through. But this was a while ago so IDK if it still matters to anyone, haha. <:)
Also I asked you some questions in my last post:
Spoiler:-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
It's an all-vanilla game.In post 623, Pine wrote:Need a claim out of Flubber.
Sorry for missing you MoI, stuff came up.
I'm around most of the day, I'll have to go do some yardwork around 1-4 EST today though.
I still stand by my Fitz vote.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
Out of the other 8 players in this game, I'm cerain of 1 being scum (Fitz) and 4 of them being Town:
MoI
A50
CoA
QM
Which just leaves 2/3 of Pine, Shad, and AG as the remaining scum. And Pine is only on the list because I haven't seen something that for-sure can't come from scum unless you assume scum would never bus in White Flag. Even so, I'd consider him the least sus of the 3 for now given that he is helping with the Fitz wagon, so I believe the scumteam is Fitz, Shad, and AG here based on my PoE.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
Well I just gave what I believe is a gamesolving PoE based on Townhunting so you're only half right. And this proposed exchange was also meant to be so I could evaluate you since you are still in my PoE list. I thought that since you're the one hurling accusations my way you'd be the one interested in talking, but I guess not.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
I've pretty much given a roadmap and it seems to be in agreement with MoI's.In post 791, Almost50 wrote:So, basically you are all done conversing and want the day to end? If so, I will hammer. I was hoping we would be getting some kind of plan.. a road map if you will. I have kept an eye on the White Flag game in the competition and even after the first scum lynch the game went on to reach LyLo, and I do not wish for this game to get to LyLo because I do not trust anyone to make the right decision, myself included.
Anyway, I'll hammer in the next 24 hours if nobody has anything else to contribute.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
No, and I'm not trying to lead you anywhere. I'm just saying that LyLo isn't the time to be in our explanations (and yes I do realize you gave the explanation anyway).In post 846, Almost50 wrote:
Is that as far as you managed to read from my post, or are you deliberately trying to lead us astray?In post 845, Alchemist21 wrote:
You do when it's LyLo.In post 844, Almost50 wrote:I don't need to explain anything
Check back on D2 to see where I was actually first on Fitz (and even MoI pointed this out) and had my own reasons to think he was scum, and still held those opinions on D3.In post 847, AnonymousGhost wrote:@Alchemist
Bulletpoint why you jumped onto the Fitz bandwagon, including which of MoI's points you thought had merit.
To re-iterate, it seemed to me that Fitz couldn't back up his reads with the detailed reasons he had said were there and I took it as him backtracking on what he said he'd do. His attempts to defend himself against my accusations made me certain he was scum because they basically amounted to "you're wrong" and I didn't really see him as trying to actually find scum, simply avoid his own lynch.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
Sorry but I can't give you a reads list right now. The Fitz flip is making me re-evaluate everything. It'll probably be sometime this weekend when I can have one.In post 852, Almost50 wrote:You guys need to post your reads in a more comprehensive way. I second AG request for an explanation on why Pine's reads are the same when he was on the fitz wagon. (It also makes me think I might be wrong on one of AG/Alch if I apply the 1 in 3 theory).
But anyway, I'm calling it a night soon, so I would appreciate it if everyone who checks in automatically post a read list with a prief explanation, so I won't have to ask for one when I check in tomorrow. Thank you.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
As of now, unsure. Before the Fitz flip I thought QM was Town because his wagon sprang up and I never saw anyone on that wagon give an actual reason for the wagon, leading me to believe scum were involved with it.In post 871, AnonymousGhost wrote:
@Alchemist - Checked your ISO and found this.In post 469, Alchemist21 wrote:I think Fitz is the one I want to vote most right now. I think NM is Town but Fitz's dynamic with him and QM is giving me scumvibes.
At the time, what about Fitz's interactions with QM gave you scum vibes? I looked over your notes, but you didn't mention QM anywhere in relation to Fitz and instead focused on Fitz's interactions with NM.
Skim Edit: NVM. Found your reasoning for the interaction between QM & Fitz in 541.
What is your impression of QM now? You stopped mentioning him as the Fitz wagon gained traction on D3 and you've never mentioned him in relation to Fitz since then.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
Perhaps you missed where I actually did a critical analysis on Not-Mafia to figure he was Town. Perhaps you missed my whole interaction with Fitz when I started scumreading him. Perhaps you missed where I realized I was lacking scumreads so I decided to look at my Townreads and form a PoE pool. Or perhaps you're just scum trying to get me lynched. That last one feels likely to me.In post 878, CultOfAthena wrote:
I mean, I could show you my D1 case and it would still be completely valid, if not more valid given the time passed between now and then. He's the definition of coasting scum. I have yet to see real scumhunting or sorting from his slot.In post 873, AnonymousGhost wrote:You've tunneled on Alchemist for almost the entire game thus far, show me your case against him. And no, you can't just have your D1 case alone. Show me your progression on him from D2 and D3 and maybe how D4 his posts thus far - if any - could be contributing to your suspicion on him.That literally hasn't changed since Day one.
Also: can I just bring back up the point that Russian Roulette, the night one kill, called directly for Alchemist's lynch at the start of the next day? And everyone just seemed to ignore it and write it off as "obvious WIFOM"... for some reason.
Do you have some sort of issue with my scumread on Alchemist? I get that feeling from your tone, but I'm not sure why, given that (from what I understand), you're also scumreading him.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
Well Pine just made this easier for everyone.In post 885, Pine wrote:Hunh. I was going to do this anyway, but your wish is my command, A50.
VOTE: Alchemist
I'm prepared to bet the game here. It was a shit joint anyway (no offense to mod).
VOTE: Pine-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
Why would you not want him to say more?In post 889, Almost50 wrote:
Don't say anymore please. Thank you.In post 888, GreyICE wrote:Oh there won't be a quickhammer on this vote, one way or another.
In fact I'm tempted to vote Pine right now. I think he understands which way the wind is blowing. As I said, I'm curious whether bus or just an attempt to win today.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
I know self-meta isn't worth much, but I will tell you that I don't bus at Lylo as scum and definitely wouldn't bus in a White Flag lylo.In post 899, Almost50 wrote:@AG: I'm talking. You're talking. Grey's talking. Where the freak is everyone else? Ok, CoA showed up and Pine is voting Alch, so where are Alch & QM? I want then here and talking to us too before I give my updated thoughts.
P-edit: YES! That is a good post from QM, and it I can now share my thoughts.
At least oneof Pine/Alch is confirmed to be scum. Possibly both, but I'm talking 100%.
As Grey had predicted -although I didn't like him saying it out loud so fast- Alch isn't hammered, which means both Pine and Alch cannot be Town (otherwise the 3 scums would have piled up on the wagon to end game).
Town!Pine would not have voted Alch still in this case, regardless of Alch's alignment. Assuming Pine is town and is 95% sure Alch is scum still leaves a 5% chance of a quick hammer.
Scum!Pine is more likely to vote Town!Alch here, hoping one townie will join him (and 3 have already expressed will to vote Alch) so the other 2 scums can finish it off.
But it's also fairly likely that Scum!Pine would vote Scum!Alch for a final distancing maneuver, and especially so when I had pointed out the strange behaviour of FoSing but never voting.
If either of the two flips the other is likely to be cleared in the minds of he masses (at least that's how Pine was hoping for it to go).
The fact that nobody else had joined he wagon tells me the 3rd scum is waiting to see how it goes to decide on whether to join the bus or start a counter wagon.
In sum, Pine is 100% Scum now, and Alch is 80-85% his partner.
P.S. Tell you the truth? I had thought of verifying my thoughts by voting Alch myself to see if 2 others will hop on it, but I chickened. I mean, it felt like exploring a gas container with a lit match stick to see if there's a leak. If I', wrong about Alch it could've very well blown in my face.
If anyone doesn't understand what I', saying let me know and I will try to rephrase the case better.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
Grey was voting Pine, not me. The fact that Pine wasn't hammered should be a good indication to everyone else that he's scum here.In post 924, Almost50 wrote:
Frankly, I'm still having a hard time accepting the possibility of Scum!QM. If they were scum, what was that they did around the fitz wagon? I mean, the wagon was there, but was far from being the one and only option for the day. QM kept defending fitz and dismantling every case made on him.In post 918, GreyICE wrote:Almost50, AQ, where your heads at?
Furthermore, even on D1 Dino had them as his 4th or 5th suspects. If they're scum then they killed Dino to implicate Alch, which means Alch is Town. But if that's the case, then how come he wasn't hammered when he had both Pine and your vote on him?
So, Scum!QM isn't exactly easy for me to swallow still. I maybe naive, but it's much easier to picture Alch+Pine as scum together than any other given pairing in the game based on that Pine vote on Alch alone.
P.S. It also makes sense to shoot N_Mif scum had considered things could come to this. Knowing N_M he would have probably voted Alch putting him @L-1 sometime, which would have confirmed Alch as scum because the other option would have been got you + Pine + N_M to be scum together for Alch not getting hammered.
But even I feel that this is farfetched enough to imagine. I mean, it's borderline Titus' moonlogic.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
Hey, can you unvote at least for long enough for me to post what I have been working on this lylo? It's not complete still, but I think showing it will show everyone that I have been trying to figure things out here.In post 926, GreyICE wrote:Mathdino's an organizer, that's why he got shot. He's a good player who gets things done (I think it's fair to say his play is what got the hydra shot). NotMafia... if QM didn't shoot him, then who did?
Regardless, this is the right play for today.
Vote: Alchemist
Sorry friends, if I'm wrong, I'm wrong. This is 110% here.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina
These were the start of the notes (I know, you hate my notes) I was making at the start of Lylo. There's less analysis here because I wanted to finish the reread and examine everything I noted before drawing hard conclusions.
Spoiler: Original Notes
Page 5 was as far as I got before Pine voted me.
And these were notes after the Pine vote.
Spoiler: Pine associations
These are still incomplete, but as I said earlier Pine made it eaiser for me by outing himself to me, and knowing he was scum made it easier for me to try to critically analyze how they've interacted with other slots and see who they might be scum with. So far the impressions I'm getting from it are that A50 and you are Town and QM is a likely partner.-
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Alchemist21 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 8801
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Pronoun: He/Him
- Location: North Carolina