This post is funny because it assumes my post was addressing your post. I wanted to make Thok run the numbers. Worked!Thestatusquo wrote:This post is funny because it assumes my post was serious.shaft.ed wrote:second Rishi A meer townie, or mere if you don't like the avatar reference. 17-0 is statistically significant. Don't make me run the numbers.
self-stoofing was hilarity btw
Orca? This! is! Dance of the Title Fairy!
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shaft.ed dem.agogue
- dem.agogue
- dem.agogue
- Posts: 4998
- Joined: August 15, 2007
- Location: St. Louis
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KaleiÐoscøpe =====[]
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- Posts: 2821
- Joined: June 11, 2006
- Location: Straight from the Asylum
Thok wrote:
17 is more then 11.Thestatusquo wrote:I'm not sure 17 games is statistically significant. O.o
Assuming a 75% chance to be protown (which is probably high), the relevant probability is .7517, which is about 7/1000. Make it 66% chance to be protown, and you get about 1/1000.
That's a surprisingly high probability (I'd have intuitively guess a number off by several magnitudes.)*SIGH*-
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Mr Stoofer Less than scum
- Less than scum
- Less than scum
- Posts: 3827
- Joined: February 25, 2005
- Location: London Alignment: Lawful Evil
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Zindaras Mr(s) Popularity
- Mr(s) Popularity
- Mr(s) Popularity
- Posts: 4343
- Joined: April 13, 2006
- Location: The Netherlands
Actually, I think a meer townie is pretty funny. I'm not sure if it really warrants a title, but I still like it.
(the bad thing about titles like this is that they will invariably end. I used to have "The Unlynchable" in my sig off-site because I had never been lynched. Then I was lynched. That kinda ended it)ShowFinished: 159 (120 Town, 33 Mafia, 5 Other, 1 Cult, 4 Cultivated)
68 Wins, 71 Losses
Town: 52 Wins, 54 Losses (2 Wins as Cult)
Mafia: 13 Wins, 15 Losses (1 Win as Cult)
Other: 3 Wins, 1 Loss (1 Win as Cult)
Cult: 0 Wins, 1 Loss
Cultivated: 4 Wins, 0 Losses
59 Survived, 31 Lynched, 60 Killed-
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Thok Disgrace to SKs everywhere
- Disgrace to SKs everywhere
- Disgrace to SKs everywhere
- Posts: 7013
- Joined: March 28, 2005
Not that significant (it occurs for about 1 out of 50 people),Mr Stoofer wrote:I've played 11 Newbie games and been pro-Town in every one. Probability = (5/7)11. Is that statistically significant? More importantly, is it of the slightest interest to anyone?
I'm amused that people actually feel that complaining about mathematical calculations being boring has any useful value. (Possibly it's a need to mock me about a part of my personality that I've already accepted even though it may not make me popular, which is even funnier IMHO.)I replaced into Chess Mafia for 6 months, and all I got was a win and this lousy sig.-
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Zindaras Mr(s) Popularity
- Mr(s) Popularity
- Mr(s) Popularity
- Posts: 4343
- Joined: April 13, 2006
- Location: The Netherlands
Math is fun. We should do it more often.ShowFinished: 159 (120 Town, 33 Mafia, 5 Other, 1 Cult, 4 Cultivated)
68 Wins, 71 Losses
Town: 52 Wins, 54 Losses (2 Wins as Cult)
Mafia: 13 Wins, 15 Losses (1 Win as Cult)
Other: 3 Wins, 1 Loss (1 Win as Cult)
Cult: 0 Wins, 1 Loss
Cultivated: 4 Wins, 0 Losses
59 Survived, 31 Lynched, 60 Killed-
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Sarcastro Sarcastric
- Sarcastric
- Sarcastric
- Posts: 1623
- Joined: June 2, 2006
- Location: Monkey Island
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Adel Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Posts: 6743
- Joined: May 23, 2007
- Location: Central Oregon / High Desert
what is the threashold for significance? 1/500? 1/250?
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fun or not, math is the only way we can establish criteria for less-subjective evaluations. math has utility.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Posts: 6743
- Joined: May 23, 2007
- Location: Central Oregon / High Desert
nominate: the person with the higest (win % as scum + win % as town) in newbie games, with more than 15 newbie games completed, for"eats newbies"-
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Xdaamno I love you
- I love you
- I love you
- Posts: 3354
- Joined: April 10, 2007
- Location: 0, 0, 0
Is that even a real name? Seems a bit long.Adel wrote:nominate: the person with the higest (win % as scum + win % as town) in newbie games, with more than 15 newbie games completed, for"eats newbies""This should be an absolute car crash, but let's try it." - CDB
"did you get ces to look disgusted by their offer? i thought that might work" - Patrick
Cracking Idea Mafia-
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Thok Disgrace to SKs everywhere
- Disgrace to SKs everywhere
- Disgrace to SKs everywhere
- Posts: 7013
- Joined: March 28, 2005
Unclear. Plus, in my opinion a good title isn't just about numbers. There's also humor/appropriateness. (The first part is about making people laugh when they see it, the second is if a title is honoring something that people actually care about with respect to that person.)Adel wrote:what is the threashold for significance? 1/500? 1/250I replaced into Chess Mafia for 6 months, and all I got was a win and this lousy sig.-
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Adel Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Crystalline Logick
- Posts: 6743
- Joined: May 23, 2007
- Location: Central Oregon / High Desert
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Alabaska J Title Arbitrairy
- Title Arbitrairy
- Title Arbitrairy
- Posts: 2568
- Joined: November 18, 2007
- Location: Texas (and I don't know anyone who owns a horse)
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Tamuz Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 2807
- Joined: March 20, 2005
- Location: Seattle, Washington State
How many people does our site have. As in, statistically, what percent of our users should have had that 17/17 townie streak.Thok wrote:
Unclear. Plus, in my opinion a good title isn't just about numbers. There's also humor/appropriateness. (The first part is about making people laugh when they see it, the second is if a title is honoring something that people actually care about with respect to that person.)Adel wrote:what is the threashold for significance? 1/500? 1/250Tamuz is the expression of the alienated, of the ambitious, of the dispossessed.-
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Oman NK Immune Miller Vig
- NK Immune Miller Vig
- NK Immune Miller Vig
- Posts: 7014
- Joined: June 19, 2007
Zindie's point was the best: these will eventually stop, however other titles will not: shea will be ironically opimistic, korlash will hardly mark sense, Yos will keep doing that (shrug) thing that makes him seem relaxed and defuses much of the fierocity of the segment and I will continue to be a horrible fake-claimer. That's the beauty of some of these.It's unfortunate that good oral sex excuses bad chemistry. - Korts-
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shaft.ed dem.agogue
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- dem.agogue
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- Joined: August 15, 2007
- Location: St. Louis
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Andycyca Gets To Kill All Spammers
- Gets To Kill All Spammers
- Gets To Kill All Spammers
- Posts: 778
- Joined: July 31, 2007
- Location: The Tesseract
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pickemgenius Jack the Tripper
- Jack the Tripper
- Jack the Tripper
- Posts: 2471
- Joined: April 27, 2007
- Location: Pepsi Center
OBV PEOPLE HAVENT SEEN BAMPEG!Andycyca wrote:
I approve of this productshaft.ed wrote:Mods need to start including more NK Immune Miller Vig's
I had to modkill the NK IMMUNE MILLER VIG THOUGH
ShowRumpelstiltskin Grinder
(1:55:11 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's ok drench
(1:55:21 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's perfectly normal for young children to walk in on their parents making love
(1:55:31 AM) Drench394: i can't wait
STREAMING:
www.twitch.tv/xxxpickemgenius-
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shaft.ed dem.agogue
- dem.agogue
- dem.agogue
- Posts: 4998
- Joined: August 15, 2007
- Location: St. Louis
It broke my heart when I saw that. A mods dream is wathcing that poor guy claim.pickemgenius wrote:
OBV PEOPLE HAVENT SEEN BAMPEG!Andycyca wrote:
I approve of this productshaft.ed wrote:Mods need to start including more NK Immune Miller Vig's
I had to modkill the NK IMMUNE MILLER VIG THOUGH
Last edited by shaft.ed on Sun Apr 13, 2008 6:20 am, edited 1 time in total.-
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pickemgenius Jack the Tripper
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- Location: Pepsi Center
I KNOW RIGHTshaft.ed wrote:
It broke my heart when I saw that. A mods dreaming is wathcing that poor guy claim.pickemgenius wrote:
OBV PEOPLE HAVENT SEEN BAMPEG!Andycyca wrote:
I approve of this productshaft.ed wrote:Mods need to start including more NK Immune Miller Vig's
I had to modkill the NK IMMUNE MILLER VIG THOUGH
ShowRumpelstiltskin Grinder
(1:55:11 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's ok drench
(1:55:21 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's perfectly normal for young children to walk in on their parents making love
(1:55:31 AM) Drench394: i can't wait
STREAMING:
www.twitch.tv/xxxpickemgenius-
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Oman NK Immune Miller Vig
- NK Immune Miller Vig
- NK Immune Miller Vig
- Posts: 7014
- Joined: June 19, 2007
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pickemgenius Jack the Tripper
- Jack the Tripper
- Jack the Tripper
- Posts: 2471
- Joined: April 27, 2007
- Location: Pepsi Center
http://www.mafiascum.net/forum/viewtopi ... 80#1010880Oman wrote:Link please.ShowRumpelstiltskin Grinder
(1:55:11 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's ok drench
(1:55:21 AM) ahallucinogenic: it's perfectly normal for young children to walk in on their parents making love
(1:55:31 AM) Drench394: i can't wait
STREAMING:
www.twitch.tv/xxxpickemgenius-
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PokerFace Too Useful
- Too Useful
- Too Useful
- Posts: 6231
- Joined: July 20, 2007
- Location: Ohio, USA
I agree with shafted's sentimentshaft.ed wrote:
It broke my heart when I saw that. A mods dream is watching that poor guy claim.pickemgenius wrote:
OBV PEOPLE HAVENT SEEN BAMPEG!Andycyca wrote:
I approve of this productshaft.ed wrote:Mods need to start including more NK Immune Miller Vig's
I had to modkill the NK IMMUNE MILLER VIG THOUGH
When I joined this site, I was a software tester for mobile business applications and the song PokerFace was not yet written by Lady Gaga
Now I test lottery and gambling software as my job. It's funny how my life has turned out. Somewhere a Time Traveler is laughing madly-
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ShadowLurker 9 years old
- 9 years old
- 9 years old
- Posts: 3491
- Joined: August 8, 2006
- Location: hot cause he's fly
Guys I found someone who was town 22 times and scum 10 times in newbie games. The probability of that is 0.14294513101713777887107171639054% (22C10*(5/7)^22*(2/7)^10) meaning it happens to about 1 in 700 (699.569) people. I think that is pretty statistically significant as 1 in 700 is pretty rare.:sadtorch Ken Hoang, A.D/Fuzzie, Cameron Ferris, Taj Johnson-George, Annie Duke, Patti Blagojevich, Maria/Tiffany :sadtorch
:torch Tammy/Victor, Dan/Jordan-
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The Fonz Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 9014
- Joined: April 2, 2007
- Location: UK
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