Heroes Wanted! (Game Over)


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Post Post #7025 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:07 pm

Post by Sakura Hana »

Regardless im off for now, ill give it some more thought later or tomorrow, plus will give time for ppl to give thoughts (like toogeloo who was also defending Titus)
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Post Post #7026 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:08 pm

Post by stungun0404 »

I had several points to creature/human sequencer's discredit in my case, but you have to actually search for them to find them
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Post Post #7027 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:08 pm

Post by MathBlade »

In post 7021, stungun0404 wrote:
In post 7019, MathBlade wrote:
In post 7016, stungun0404 wrote:
In post 7009, Sakura Hana wrote:
In post 6996, stungun0404 wrote:The TLDR TLDR: Shiro is almost positively scum, and we are best off lynching her today.
You mean the person scum shot?
I thought so. I think sando is right that he was trying to be mislynch bait

Fuck. His play might screw me over. That's the probkem
Why are you concerned about his play screwing you individually? *eyebrow raised*
He had a CONFSCUM READ on me thru cerb. how does that not hurt me coming from a proven town player now?
Because
A) Cerb is a dead guy. He could be wrong on the read. No one is nor is expected to be perfect day one.

B)You’re missing the important part of the question individually. Right now we are ahead by a decent margin. Why are you concerned if you live or die? You’re not a PR you’re just a person.
ScumBlade's eloquent performance left me utterly disoriented, debased, depraved and sent me spiraling into a horrific murky abyss with emotional turmoil and immense despair as my only companions until slowly I suffocate in my own gloom, surrounded by failure. I will never recover. -- Zachstralkita about Mini 1841
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Post Post #7028 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:09 pm

Post by Sakura Hana »

And yeah as math says, conf town does not equal confirmed right. It just means he's not trying to mislead us.
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Post Post #7029 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:09 pm

Post by stungun0404 »

Toogeloo looks really bad now as well. He had his hardest townread on titus last day phase from the get go and never strayed from it, instead helping with the counterwagons against him
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Post Post #7030 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:10 pm

Post by Sando »

In post 7024, Sakura Hana wrote:Creature's probably scum tho.
His meta points to Creature scum, and me saying that Titus was busing Creature and she invoking her meta leads me to think that was her intention.
I don't know Titus' meta well enough to comment on this specifically, but obviously the plan was to mislynch me yesterday, and it was a bit of a free-for-all once that fizzled. Would scum really look to bus to save Titus at that point?
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Post Post #7031 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:11 pm

Post by stungun0404 »

In post 7027, MathBlade wrote:
In post 7021, stungun0404 wrote:
In post 7019, MathBlade wrote:
In post 7016, stungun0404 wrote:
In post 7009, Sakura Hana wrote:
In post 6996, stungun0404 wrote:The TLDR TLDR: Shiro is almost positively scum, and we are best off lynching her today.
You mean the person scum shot?
I thought so. I think sando is right that he was trying to be mislynch bait

Fuck. His play might screw me over. That's the probkem

Why are you concerned about his play screwing you individually? *eyebrow raised*
He had a CONFSCUM READ on me thru cerb. how does that not hurt me coming from a proven town player now?
Because
A) Cerb is a dead guy. He could be wrong on the read. No one is nor is expected to be perfect day one.

B)You’re missing the important part of the question individually. Right now we are ahead by a decent margin. Why are you concerned if you live or die? You’re not a PR you’re just a person.
Because i deduced in my case that sando was framed last night phase. I have been similarly framed this night phase

I don't like being potential mislynchbait
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Post Post #7032 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:12 pm

Post by stungun0404 »

I was not expecting a shiro nk period. I was that dialed in on him being scum
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Post Post #7033 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:13 pm

Post by MathBlade »

In post 7024, Sakura Hana wrote:Creature's probably scum tho.
His meta points to Creature scum, and me saying that Titus was busing Creature and she invoking her meta leads me to think that was her intention.
If this is true he never lives to lylo. I am 99.99999% sure of it.

I would much rather wagon people who were defending Titus and see who is the scum is there.

Titus meta is hella complex and she does wine on top of wine. The fact scum made me leader after Titus died is making me question everything.
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Post Post #7034 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:13 pm

Post by the worst »

In post 7006, Sando wrote:
In post 7002, the worst wrote:like you've abandoned all concept of nuance when attempting to read my slot
You seriously want to accuse me of no nuance when you put me to L-2 or L-3 with absolutely zero reasoning and then flat out refused to provide reasoning until my mislynch was off the cards. You're hilarious.
In the context of you desthtunnelling me and allocating zero time to understanding my play here? This is the definition of no nuance lmao
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Post Post #7035 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:14 pm

Post by Sando »

In post 5075, The Dream Weaver wrote:Sando (7): Nosferatu, Creature, Kokichi Oma, Toogeloo,
Titus
, Sakura Hana, the worst, Gamma
I've added Gamma who L-2's me between counts, but this is the meatiest my wagon gets.
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Post Post #7036 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:16 pm

Post by the worst »

In post 7022, MathBlade wrote:
In post 7020, stungun0404 wrote:I'm going to reevaluate. The problem is i haven't had the damn time yet. Don't push this on me fifteen minutes after i realize i am wrong
I am pushing you not because you haven’t reevaluated yet, but because you instantly dropped a vote before you did.

I officially hate the Creature wagon. I want nothing to do with it.
Why
Why not
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Post Post #7037 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:18 pm

Post by stungun0404 »

Toogeloo was the hardest defender of titus that still remains

I am fine with leading a wagon there

VOTE: Toogeloo

Because i also came to the conclusion last day phase that at least one of toog or shiro was scum.

I'm going to completely reevaluate everything tomorrow though to be certain
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Post Post #7038 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:18 pm

Post by Katsuki »

LAST NIGHT RECEIVED A GUILTY RESULT PM ON SHIRO

APPARENTLY MODS MISSED MY REPLACE OUT BUT ILL DROP A VOTE ON SHIRO IN THE MEANTIME

VOTE: SHIRO

REPLACE OUT
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Post Post #7039 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:19 pm

Post by stungun0404 »

If titus scum flip happened, let me correct myself there
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Post Post #7040 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:20 pm

Post by MathBlade »

In post 7036, the worst wrote:
In post 7022, MathBlade wrote:
In post 7020, stungun0404 wrote:I'm going to reevaluate. The problem is i haven't had the damn time yet. Don't push this on me fifteen minutes after i realize i am wrong
I am pushing you not because you haven’t reevaluated yet, but because you instantly dropped a vote before you did.

I officially hate the Creature wagon. I want nothing to do with it.
Why
Why not
Two votes to open the day saying it’s “Creature meta” despite a lot of people saying “Creature meta” for why Creature is town.
Combined with how Stun put a vote on Creature.

It just feels wrong.

Creature (4): zMuffinMan, the worst, Toogeloo, Toranaga

Katsuki (3): Shiro, hebichan, Kokichi Oma

I would rather see how these wagons formed.

If Creature is scum as you suggest I think scum would be on Creature for credit.
If Creature is town then likely there is a scum there as well to save Titus.

I kinda don’t know what to make of the Katsuki wagon though

But mainly I think a lynch in Muffin’s replacement, the worst, Toog, or UFO breaks this game open.
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Post Post #7041 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:21 pm

Post by Sando »

In post 7034, the worst wrote:
In post 7006, Sando wrote:
In post 7002, the worst wrote:like you've abandoned all concept of nuance when attempting to read my slot
You seriously want to accuse me of no nuance when you put me to L-2 or L-3 with absolutely zero reasoning and then flat out refused to provide reasoning until my mislynch was off the cards. You're hilarious.
In the context of you desthtunnelling me and allocating zero time to understanding my play here? This is the definition of no nuance lmao
Bullshit.
In post 5772, Sando wrote:
In post 5768, stungun0404 wrote:wait, sando. what made you townread the worst at this point? and what’s made him look scummier since your townread of him?
I know the worst fairly well, and was confident in reading him. I was also very aware of his game commitment issues at that point (I think I called someone out for it really early game even) and was giving him a pass on inaction. He plays very similarly to me, we both get very engaged with the game and riff off other people, I was personally seriously struggling with that D1, and most of D2 tbh, outside of a few names I'd have struggled to read most of the playerbase. I think this was due to the large player count throwing me off (apparently my read of number of kills is off because of that as well), and not knowing anyone really in the player base.

You can see the engagement happening in my play, you can't see the engagement happening in ducklings. My read-lists are getting longer and more in-depth and I'm more active with p.much everyone. Duckling isn't, he's being surly and a bit whiny with me, which is very out of character for him, and generally not being engaged.

D1 I was giving him a pass for things others were accusing him of, and I was confident of being able to read him later game, hence the TR.

I also just flat out refuse to lynch duckling D1 pretty much every game anyway, including the first game I played with him.
In post 5006, Sando wrote:Duckling doesn't coast through games like he has and not engage with people
The idea that because other people have voted me he shouldn't have to post reasoning is pretty lol
Duckling has played with me quite a bit on open-queues, he doesn't naked vote me out of no-where and play dumb like this
Scum came into yesterday with the plan to lynch me, came into today wanting to discredit me. You said yourself I'm NOT tunnelled:
In post 6182, the worst wrote:you're less tunnelled than I thought, still think you're awesome <3
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Post Post #7042 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:22 pm

Post by stungun0404 »

I am also fine with a lynch on the worst right now

Ugh yes i need to review this game
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Post Post #7043 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:22 pm

Post by MathBlade »

In post 7028, Sakura Hana wrote:And yeah as math says, conf town does not equal confirmed right. It just means he's not trying to mislead us.
Sakura talk with me about the EoD wagons.

What do you think happened?
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Post Post #7044 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:27 pm

Post by stungun0404 »

The timing of toogeloo's vote switch was super strange when i do not think he had shown up for a while
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Post Post #7045 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:31 pm

Post by MathBlade »

In post 7044, stungun0404 wrote:The timing of toogeloo's vote switch was super strange when i do not think he had shown up for a while
I wanna see what Toog comes back with after reading the game.
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Post Post #7046 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:32 pm

Post by MathBlade »

That is assuming he actually never read it as he claimed
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Post Post #7047 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:34 pm

Post by Toranaga »

hi

maybe I should be voted for leader this time based off always pushing titus and clearing lots of town the whole game
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Post Post #7048 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:35 pm

Post by Toranaga »

In post 6996, stungun0404 wrote:Thank god. Scum just literally saved me from leading a mislynch wagon. I had a 2000+ word writeup ready where I thought shiro was near lockscum, and i'm posting it anyway so you guys have proof that this was what i thought. And had the evidence to back it up too. I'll copy and paste it in here, so as to have proof of how much i worked on it

But I still am townblocking this crew of players: Sakura Hana, MathBlade, Toranaga, Stungun, Frozen angel (who is locktown pretty much now to me; Titus clearly attempted to brainwash her d1), and Sando. Will have to check my confidence on these players again now with a shiro townflip confirmed, but fa is without a doubt town for me.

------








Took an abundance of notes over the night phase, so i will simply copy and paste to spill any thoughts and conclusions here. I believe this together with a scumflip of titus--who i tunneled hard most of last day phase-- might make up for how i had nothing coming into yesterday except for that i had isolated ankamius and found her slot to be town so i voted her for leader as she was first alphabetically among living players, and since she was town enough i decided to end my search for a leader to vote there.


Spoiler: this is long and largely unfiltered
  • Toranaga is
    town
    . Toranaga vs. Titus is absolutely not
    scum
    vs.
    scum
    imo.

  • upholds this; tog at this moment must be toranaga, and titus never confirmed that when i asked who tog was. lack of follow-up conclusion (re: on alignment of toranaga after numbers flip) likely means titus didn't have any incentive to provide reasoning to clear toranaga as
    town
    . Further, ankamius had
    townblocked
    toranaga, and at eod i definitely saw
    town motive
    in some things he did.

  • So, I feel confident enough to
    townblock
    sakura hana, toranaga, mathblade, frozen angel, and sando. In addition to myself (stungun) knowing i am
    town
    , which you are free to discount if you would like. I can explain each of these cogently if need be. Feel free if after considering these other notes i took you still need further explanation on the towniness of a player.

  • FA IS CONCLUSIVELY--AGAINST ATTACK--
    TOWN
    TO ME. I
    LOCKTOWN
    READ HER NOW. This is because a). blatant brainwashing attempts by Titus regarding who she should target with power roles--suggesting she randomize them. FA very clearly did not agree to this plan, and in fact was heavily against it in a way that screams towniness for her now with a Titus
    scumflip
    . If that was
    scum
    theatre, I heavily believe both of them drop their argument there at some point, BUT they didn't. b). Titus tried to subtly pick at possibilities of fa being
    scum
    so as to try and discredit her at the start on D1, and she found out this didn't quite work and instead decided to pocket fa to try and obtain powers in a way
    scum
    titus does not do to
    scum
    fa imo. Titus even said D1 leader is always
    scum-motivated
    at one point, meaning she wouldn't have batted at suggestions of fa being
    scum
    . And c). Shiro even tried brainwashing fa by having her choose only 2 leader targets, which would clearly benefit
    scum
    , AND FA was having NONE of that. FA is
    town
    here all the way.

  • makes me think Drixx is
    town
    .

  • 713/715 with titus = strange interaction

  • zmuffinman maybe not
    scum
    . not very confident on this one though

  • 1959/1962 kinda feels like
    town
    vs.
    scum
    , so a clear point to nancydrew's credit given a titus
    scumflip
    .

  • i think
    town
    almost entirely was on the titus wagon yesterday, because
    scum
    held her as precious to their survival. this is apparent given the total unstated and stated reluctance to a titus lynch by several players. If
    scum
    had helped by bussing titus, i have absolute faith that the last day phase would not have lasted as long as it did.

  • 1965 by titus asks why tw, hebi and shiro need to be reinvestigated. maybe a
    scum
    buddy is in there?

  • 2177 may be trying to get a
    scum buddy
    townread


  • 2183: "Shiro and random are just lurkers and just tentative based on votes."
    scum buddy
    there imo, and it's definitely not random/mathblade.

  • i'm pretty sure shiro is
    scum
    . toranaga is
    town
    from what would be harmful interactions with titus on d1 if toranaga was
    scum
    with titus. additionally, i don't feel torg changes vote to creature if
    scum
    with titus and just accepts the distancing attempt at eod last day phase

  • 2195 human sequencer noted

  • 2212 = perfect post for Titus to include partner in somewhere








  • shiro is most likely
    scum
    imo.

  • titus attacks players d1 for fa as leader vote. only numbers, toranaga, shiro and cerb who is
    conftown
    voted for fa as leader.
    scum
    faction may have killed cerb to deflect attention away from fa vote wagon given scum flip of numbers and how titus had pushed it and it had been correct, and how titus knew that fa leader pick was
    scum-motivated
    = probably 2 scum exactly voted for fa as leader.

  • by proven flips and PoE, 123 is
    scum
    , torg is
    town
    , and cerb is
    town
    . So this means only shiro makes sense as
    scum
    here. this is clear given titus did not really check on the other 2 players for their votes on fa d2, meaning she really didn't have incentive to continue there because of cerb
    townflip
    . She thereby is excused to drop it after that, so she could continue to "coast" d2 by pushing a different angle with an excuse to move away from that pool of players. I think she nightkills someone else n1 and continues to promote that perspective being possible regarding the other 3 players if none of the others were
    scum
    , or at least allows
    town
    themselves to pursue that. Given she dropped it and her faction killed cerb makes me think shiro is also a
    scumpartner
    of titus.



  • Scum
    titus probably does not question
    scum
    zmuffinman on a conclusion of brassherald and nicorobin being scum together, and given both the questions are about
    townplayers
    being
    scumread
    (i know this as brassherald = ank and nicorobin =stungun = me now), this was probably an attempt to gain towncred and not have a
    scum
    partner flesh out a response, but i might be wrong here. Further, i think this means she would question
    townreads
    on
    scum
    partners, like shiro, which she did in fact question d1.

  • Supposedly, Titus states in 2032 she pushed Shiro and UFO (which she keeps referring to vaguely and i have figured out that is toranaga), but this is far from the truth. Only early mentions of shiro in her entire iso before that are in 870, where titus asked about an early
    townread
    on zmuffinman (who might be
    town
    , idk?) and specifically shiro just because "no cookies". What kind of reasoning to attach to questioning someone over their towniness is that? Titus
    scumreads
    shiro -- who similarly to her number on reads which literally says just "eat rope" in her reads list, Titus says "
    scum
    . no cookies."

  • But yet titus never stated a real reason for early
    scumread
    on shiro. Numbers also goes on to
    townread
    shiro after a few other players
    townread
    him, echoing in a sense. Titus never really engaged in anything meaningful with shiro, and apparently her stance on shiro changed after he posted a post including just a cookie. What?

  • Yet the real oddity D2 is that Titus starts out in post 2032 saying she pushed UFO and Shiro "
    A LOT
    " on day 1 when this in fact is far from the truth. Toranaga/UFO, yes. Shiro, absolutely not. What this reads like to me is Shiro was one of her more widely
    townread
    scum
    partners, and Titus wanted to give a
    scum
    partner a superpower, and so chose to
    townread
    Shiro. Shiro furthered this by going for the clear towncred option of mediumship.

  • What the interaction regarding the word a lot being used there might indicate is shiro and titus may have planned to push each other on d1 in the
    scum
    pt, but really didn't follow through with it. I think this may be the case here.

  • The power of it lies in the fact that the mediumship power gives shiro the ability to continue to look
    towny
    on the basis of his action alone. Additionally, Shiro was heavily pushing at that awkward angle of frozen angel
    scum
    last day phase, which at this point just seems like it was an effort trying to distract away from titus
    scum
    by pinning suspicion on the other leader instead when titus clearly was the
    scummier
    of the two leaders i would say without any doubt. Moreover, Shiro really pushes at the Sando mislynch wagon, hard-defending Titus in the process. And her
    confscum
    read, "coming from cerb", on me was probably because i was reading the game decently and trending in a direction that scared shiro!
    scum
    , so he wanted to see if "cerb" would be enough to get a wagon forming on me with a
    confscum
    read on me. Further, "SHIRO STILL PUSHES THE ANGLE ON ME BEING
    SCUM
    BY SAYING, MAYBE WITH FROZEN ANGEL." If this isn't far fetched and a desperate attempt of throwing possibility > probability into play to save a
    scum
    partner, then i don't know what is. This scum tell is one for one for me with a caught titus now, as i stated randomization of power roles was favoring possibility way too heavily.

  • Now, that reads as a blatant attempt to desperately promote confusion about the gamestate to me, because i don't know how town could possibly be this far off. And yet encourage another mislynch in sando. That's 3 ml's supported, including fa and i. You'd think Shiro would have
    conftown-read
    Titus the way he was pushing against it yesterday with "Cerb agreeing." i don't believe this bs at all.

  • 2459 from ank noted.

  • Nosferatu may yet be
    town
    . I've still not made a definite conclusion there. I don't think he's clear successor to titus being
    scum
    now that i have seen titus flip
    scum
    and reconsidered things. But he may still be
    scum
    .

  • Mathblade is clear
    town
    after titus flip. There's zero need for him ever to make post 2317 against
    scum
    titus if partners.
    Town
    vs.
    Scum
    , clearly.

  • 2309 scum is not
    obvtowning
    a read of a
    scum
    partner here--fa--who isn't even really under danger. reads like buddying all the way, here.

  • sando was framed last day phase, this should be clear now with titus
    scum flip
    given a); the immediate and early-on somewhat unrelenting push against sando to start the day phase following a fake cop guilty by nos called out by sakura hana, and the continuation of it as counter to titus likely served as a
    scum-encouraged
    shield to titus, whose flip would be gamebreaking. And B). The last vote ankamius made while alive in this game was on Sando, and I think if Sando AND Titus were
    scum
    together, then it would be screwing their faction as a whole to make this kill (risks i feel outweigh rewards) and given the overall reluctance to a Titus lynch, I don't think they would want to put another partner under fire as well. Too much turbulence from an ank kill afflicts both Sando and Titus too much for that
    scum
    team to advocate that kill, given they are both quite experienced. This holds unless you think I am
    scum
    with Titus and Sando. That's up to you to decide. I have more defending that team not being plausible, but will only defend it if necessary.

  • That serious push against Sando looks to have a sketchier motive after a Titus
    scum
    flip. I will go back and look at who pushed against Sando there, or encouraged that push to continue without laying a vote down.

  • Next, both the amount of stated and unstated resistance to the titus lynch and high number of decently supported counterwagons directly proves that
    scum
    held the titus chip as a centerpiece that was particularly important to their faction's survival. Which suggests by consequence it has that game-breaking potential.

  • Now, Toog stated highest confidence
    townread
    on now
    confscum
    Titus. And defended it pretty hard. He promised to reread, and I will give him his chance there. Idk how the numbers flip made titus
    towniest
    though in his impression. But clearly now I proved my impression of the bad
    townreads
    on Titus and the fact that
    scum
    very likely picked optimal distancing spots and positioning on the numbers wagon to be true. So, if
    town
    , toog should be a lot more careful there. The whole body of work of Titus was definitely
    scummier
    than it was
    towny
    , to the extent where looking at it and examining the evidence that lead to us lynching her makes it difficult to defend titus as
    town
    .

  • And unfortunately i switched off titus lynchwagon to creature for a short time period. I blame lack of sleep (got two hours the night before), and the distracting temptation of a creature pressure wagon. i, however, still wanted titus lynched primarily and would have stayed focused there if i was not either distracted by the creature wagon or if i had gotten more sleep and been able to recognize why exactly i was pushing titus. it seems i dropped everything with that one distraction in an instant, but at least i switched right back realizing my mistake after hebichan (thank you!) questioned me. And also i may have cracked a little to the pressure of having the titus
    scumflip
    ride entirely on me being correct (some votes sheeped me and i've never felt that kind of pressure before); i felt there was a lot of weight being given to my push and i had some very slight inklings of doubt at various stages. Overall, though i will stand by my creature vote and own it like a man.

  • Toog's defense of titus was sketchy, though, because it seemed entirely based off quick analysis of numbers lynch wagon. That is the easiest place for a
    scum
    player to begin analyzing the game, so Toog might be
    scum
    . And he criticizes my analyzing methods consistently because why? Given I correctly got a
    scumflip
    d1, maybe drop that today.

  • Toog completely neglected myloninja
    town
    wagon. Por que?
    Town
    wagon reasoning can be more telling IMO than
    scum
    wagon reasoning, on the surface, unless a player is clearly not
    scum
    based on sustained interactions that would be clearly
    scum
    suicide if two players were
    scum
    together. There was nothing
    scum
    suicide about titus vs. numbers. In fact, it did not even read natural to me, and my suspicion there has now proven correct. So idk out of all players on the numbers vote wagon, you had the highest confidence on titus being
    town
    and argued my
    scumread
    of Titus was "painting picassos", and how you continually stuck up for titus. IDK how you concluded Titus to be
    towniest
    , but clearly that was faulty.

  • But right now i think toog is likelier to flip
    town
    than shiro, but both could be
    scum
    together imo. Maybe even with creature, or even tw.


  • Shiro stated
    townread
    from cerb on toogeloo for something that did not look
    town-indicative
    to me at all, i remember, which was strange. I don't think anyone else iirc tr toogeloo off that evidence or anything else, which is even stranger. I think if it genuinely came from cerb, people would clearly sense that. But this does not seem real.

  • I'm feeling a numbers-titus-shiro-creature-toogeloo
    scum
    team as a real possibility right now. Only after the titus flip did this entire connection make sense to me.

  • Scum
    really didn't want a titus lynch, so i'm thinking (along with some slightly suss interactions with human sequencer and flipped
    scum
    and creature's growing lurkiness) that
    scum
    might have helped pile on a
    scum
    buddy who is MIA last minute in an effort to distract away from and avoid a titus lynch. Titus may have collapsed in the waning hours and self-voted due to another
    scum
    buddy being the clear counterwagon with only hours left in the day phase. Titus ran as main counterwagon to flipped
    scum
    in numbers anyway on D1, so why not do that again with 1 less
    scumplayer
    remaining in the game?






  • Now another thing that concerns me about shiro is why wouldn't
    town
    shiro detect and call into question the fact that titus switched from "
    scum
    " on D1 read of her to "
    town
    " read to her over literally nothing on D2 (when Titus was leader), and instead assess it as a possible pocketing attempt given how drastic and quickly formed the change was and that there wasn't like any posts or any sort of reasoning provided in the ISO of titus in between to account for the "
    town
    " read of shiro. And then titus gives a power to shiro? After being
    scum read
    by titus on D1. Why not at least question the change in her stance, even if her
    scum
    reasoning was jocular? That is hella sketchy to me. Oh, and ANKAMIUS had shiro in her sketchy section with Titus. Hmm, I wonder why. Shiro could have "confirmed" Ankamius as telling the truth about Titus, especially IF TITUS SURVIVED ANOTHER DAY and Shiro "CLEARED" titus. Clear
    scum
    gambit to me to
    townread
    the ever-living hell out of titus as a last-ditch effort to protect against her lynch, using cerb to advance it, and insist on Titus not getting lynched so heavily when instead you should have questioned the blatant discrepancy in reads of Titus between D1 and D2 on you with like no reason or further explanation attributed to it. Way to work a
    scum
    partner into your PR zone, Titus!

  • Scum
    partner likely took place of ank--who was nk'd--in pr zone. This is an absolute given if shiro is
    scum
    with titus, as you would not nk someone and give them a power.

  • Also, only 2 players getting powers--pushing that through cerb is ridiculously short-sighted and not something
    town
    would advocate like ever. So don't act like he did. FA's reaction to this was
    town
    as hell, and YOU KNOW IT. And yet you call me out for it because you don't want to admit it. For you to soon after throw out a
    confscum
    read on me through "Cerb" is so nutso to believe this stance is coming from
    town
    "Cerb". I would reckon he'd be more cautious with
    confscum
    reads than that.

  • I literally did not even have a
    confscum
    read on Titus myself last day phase nor did anyone ever state a
    confscum
    read on anyone, so WTF IS "CERB'S" SUPPOSED CONFIDENCE ABOUT? What utter bullshit to try and force a
    town
    mislynch on me and thus save Titus. You basically had a
    conftown
    read on Titus, though you didn't explicitly state it, and wouldn't back up what game it was in when i asked you about when Titus had a poor vca as
    town
    (and some of your meta is hard to understand when i looked into it to try to confirn this myself in that you have played in weird anime games where you posted in but never assumed your actual account here and who was who was never stated anywhere; what a mindfuck). And supposedly cerb remembers this too? My ass; no other player in this game attested to that off memory. You wanted to try and prove Titus was
    town
    to solidify the chances of your faction making it further into the game by spirit mediuming ank to confirm power. How is this
    towny
    at all? I can't see the degree of this confidence push coming from
    town
    here.

  • 937 from numbers looks like a faked reaction to me, and thus would support HS-
    scum
    , and thus the creature slot being
    scum
    . That and creature's iso is not that focused on playing
    towny
    . He didn't even have a vote down at EoD last day phase, so I suggest he is next push after Shiro.

  • Both flipped
    scum
    had heavy and consistent regard for zmuffinman
    town
    . This might mean he is in fact
    town
    . Titus had stated a
    townread
    on sakura, who is pretty much
    locktown
    at this point.

  • Shiro was also
    town
    from the reads list of numbers--the other flipped
    scum
    --without any reasoning ever stated for why. Just simply followed the flow there, after toranaga and others stated shiro was
    likely town
    d1.

  • Also shiro blatantly was not getting all that information from cerb at the same time he posted it, as i brought attention to the fact that cerb was not even online, and yet shiro dished out a spamfest of information from him to distract away from a titus lynch. You should read this as utter distraction and not being anything else but that.


VOTE: Shiro, who is a very heavy scumread for me, but i do encourage this day phase to last at least 3-4 days.

TLDR; Shiro is the closest thing to lockscum for me. Nasty associatives with both flipped scum and a blatant spree of lies to save Titus last day phase (Cerb confscum reading me and scumreading Frozen Angel). I don't believe either of those pushes. I am more confident about Shiro being scum than I was about Titus last day phase. I can't see Shiro ever flipping town this game.

We should definitely lynch Shiro today. The scum team of numbers-titus-shiro might include possible additions of Creature, Toogeloo, TW, Kokichi, or Nos (although nos looks a little better to me now), and a few others to varying degrees. But mainly i am thinking creature and toogeloo are the other two that solve this game.

I'm also townblocking all of Frozen Angel, Toranaga, Mathblade, Sakura Hana, Sando, and Stungun. As long as we stick together here, and we continue to townblock cleverly outwards, we're a force to be reckoned with. :up:

The townblock i created includes all 3 of the other players ank townblocked and i agree fully on now, and then sando and sakura added to the pool.

High degree of resistance, both unstated and expressed, to Titus lynchwagon suggests there is quite a bit of town on that wagon, for if scum bussed or lots of them followed on then securing that lynch should have been way easier.

Drixx is looking townish to me now, so maybe future addition to townblock? Idk.












The TLDR TLDR: Shiro is almost positively scum, and we are best off lynching her today.

lol








Another pretty damning point. Shiro has been heavily active, but where the hell was she when we were organizing our votes last day phase. She never committed with us.
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Toranaga
Toranaga
Jack of All Trades
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Toranaga
Jack of All Trades
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Joined: July 26, 2017

Post Post #7049 (ISO) » Sat Aug 04, 2018 5:36 pm

Post by Toranaga »

scum kinda helped with the shiro lynch

tbh after the titus flip I was thinking shiro was probably town but a necessary lynch

scum saved the day by killing her

also lolshiro

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