In post 533, Mephistophanes 39 wrote:If tw tr you only 50% of the time, then he sr you the other 50%, correct?
So, if that is the case, why is him not tr you here, scummy?
at least half the time, not exactly half, but yes
It's a probability thing. Obviously I don't know exact probabilities, so there is a feel component but here's the basic idea
Let's say I think this hydra signing stuff comes from town!TW only 25% of the time, and I think town!TW get's a scum read on me 40% of the time. The chance of town!TW doing both of these things is (1/4)(4/10)=1/10=10%
This isn't a perfect model, of course, and I don't assign actual values to these when I make the assessment.
All of this is a long winded way of saying that the more things someone does that are less likely to come from town than scum, the more scummy they are