mini 2048: mafia mafia (BOMPLETE)

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Post Post #175 (ISO) » Wed Jan 02, 2019 1:03 pm

Post by Lapsa »

then again - no...

triv's flip won't change much
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Post Post #176 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 6:39 am

Post by Lapsa »

trying to buddy up xwing and nikk

think will eventually state that I'm:
- townreading xwing (we can do some ol' fashioned good cop, bad cop action here :cop: )
- scumreading egx
- confused on nikk/mastina, giving slight town preference on nikk. or straight bussing if need be

whole idea depends on how hard egx's gonna fail today

I do see some potential pulling this through

think nikk is actually kinda close to be pushed over the edge.
just need to delicately feed him my "advanced scumhunting methodology".
he doesn't even need to agree to it. seeing myself convinced would be enough
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Post Post #177 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 6:45 am

Post by Lapsa »

#966 hits nicely

also provides reason to lynch egx first in my narrative
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Post Post #178 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 7:23 am

Post by mastina »

For the record: assuming that the vt claims are truthful, I actually find the setup notably scumsided. 2/4 of Informed/Ascetic/Multitasking/Roleblocker would be balanced. 3/4, a little scumsided still, but I'd still pass it albeit noting its scumsidedness.

All four?

Just overwhelmingly strong.
We knew what the central town power was, and had TWO methods of countering it. Methods with zero drawback.

That is WAY more powerful than the reviewer for this gave credit for. I'd place scum odds of winning at 62.5%--not MUCH over the margin of error (which is 60%), but enough to BE there.

Of course, this changes if we have a lying vt that's actually a PR, in which case I'd automatically call the setup balanced. But as-is, at face value? Scumsided unambiguously. Shame, since that'll detract from the win.
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Post Post #179 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 7:33 am

Post by Lapsa »

well... I'm too dumb to dissect that
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Post Post #180 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 7:51 am

Post by Lapsa »

scratch #176. that would just trigger lynch
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Post Post #181 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 7:57 am

Post by Lapsa »

think the only way to appear sort of town requires zero interaction with you and xwing

+ unlikely event of them fighting each other
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Post Post #182 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 11:06 am

Post by Lapsa »

hey! the cheese is moving!

xwing going aggro!
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Post Post #183 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 11:08 am

Post by Lapsa »

I wonder if we can pull strings on egx...
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Post Post #184 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 12:25 pm

Post by Lapsa »

oh man... am I dreaming? is it really happening?

#971

Image
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Post Post #185 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 12:40 pm

Post by Lapsa »

oh yeah... while I'm still here

nikk seems to be optimal NK
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Post Post #186 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 4:29 pm

Post by Lapsa »

#978 wasn't good :P
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Post Post #187 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 4:29 pm

Post by Lapsa »

I think...
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Post Post #188 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 4:33 pm

Post by Lapsa »

nah... those fuckers ain't half bad. underrated them

nikk + xwing combo is quite annoying

perhaps you should back down a bit

anyhow - it's fun!
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Post Post #189 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 4:36 pm

Post by Lapsa »

let's vote lapsa first..
if not, then anyone convince me why not..
no hard feelings if you do

although that might be trap
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Post Post #190 (ISO) » Mon Jan 07, 2019 4:38 pm

Post by Lapsa »

we need to know what egx is thinkin
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Post Post #191 (ISO) » Tue Jan 08, 2019 12:08 am

Post by Lapsa »

at the very least - xwing's panic has been worth the hassle
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Post Post #192 (ISO) » Tue Jan 08, 2019 12:15 am

Post by Lapsa »

In post 186, Lapsa wrote:#978 wasn't good :P
oh crap... meant yours #976

and I'm wrong. it's actually quite nice
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Post Post #193 (ISO) » Tue Jan 08, 2019 1:13 am

Post by Lapsa »

could be important later on:
In post 980, Egix96 wrote: 89 - Good look for xwing IF Lapsa is scum.
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Post Post #194 (ISO) » Wed Jan 09, 2019 1:28 am

Post by Lapsa »

#994 egx probably bluffing

which is fine

xwing seems to be susceptible having an issue with that
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Post Post #195 (ISO) » Wed Jan 09, 2019 3:08 pm

Post by mastina »

Btw sorry for calling you a she; it was a subtle distancing move to imply that I don't have the familiarity with you to know better. (The theory being, scumbuddies would obviously be more conscious of each others' genders due to their private chat.)
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Post Post #196 (ISO) » Thu Jan 10, 2019 2:11 am

Post by Lapsa »

don't really care. although I doubt effectiveness

current situation isn't half-bad

it's enough with single xwing's unwillingness to vote you
(I find it kinda genuine)

for me - think nikk's my best friend

they all have shown some reluctance yet are prone to vote me

our job (obviously) is to keep em guessing so they don't converge on me

need to model vote sequence scenarios - who's gonna think what and how they are most likely to react

that's after I'm done impressing them with my "superb" scum hunting skills
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Post Post #197 (ISO) » Thu Jan 10, 2019 2:16 pm

Post by mastina »

Hoh boy I feel bad for drawing this out.

If I could, organically, figure out a way to vote Egix immediately, here, I would, as to end the pain/suffering immediately.

But unfortunately, that doesn't fit the narrative I've been selling of taking time and being cautious so I need to slow-roll it.

Sorreh, xwing. <3
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Post Post #198 (ISO) » Thu Jan 10, 2019 2:44 pm

Post by Lapsa »

well... my rage was legit in case anyone wonders

in fact - it would be tenfold if I were town
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Post Post #199 (ISO) » Fri Jan 11, 2019 1:52 am

Post by Lapsa »


.8
xwing
+ nikk


^ by the looks - this one has changed
In post 172, Lapsa wrote: one scenario could be pushing xwing+nikk whenever egx shows reluctance to vote me.
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