Newbie 1910: Aerial Photography [Game Over!]
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JunkoChan She/herMafia ScumShe/her
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 1829
- Joined: November 30, 2017
- Pronoun: She/her
- Location: Hope's Peak Academy
I'm sick, I can't stand too much time watching the screen so typos are posible
@GW what's the point of 699? Junk is pretty muchos confirmed unless idk yyota/sever7/whatshisface comes to counterclaimFor how to play with JunkoChan, click on my wiki!
I will inflict you with the pain of a thousand slapping anime girls ~thenewearth
you do know if you kill me that's a one way ticket to execution-ville ~Iprobablysuck-
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JunkoChan She/herMafia ScumShe/her
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 1829
- Joined: November 30, 2017
- Pronoun: She/her
- Location: Hope's Peak Academy
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YellowSnow Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 708
- Joined: December 4, 2018
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northsidegal Survivor
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 11587
- Joined: August 23, 2017
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JunkoChan She/herMafia ScumShe/her
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 1829
- Joined: November 30, 2017
- Pronoun: She/her
- Location: Hope's Peak Academy
New récord.
For how to play with JunkoChan, click on my wiki!
I will inflict you with the pain of a thousand slapping anime girls ~thenewearth
you do know if you kill me that's a one way ticket to execution-ville ~Iprobablysuck-
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GrandWazoo Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 364
- Joined: December 8, 2018
@Junko (and everyone else): I meant to hit "save draft" but apparently hit "submit" instead. I was planning to expand on why Junk isnotconfirmed as we are assuming.
For example, say Junk is one of two mafia goons, as in column C. To claim Doc he does not have the44.4%chance (4 out of 9) of being CC'd, but just a16.7%chance (1 in 6). Only the actual Doc could CC. The same holds true if one of the scum is mafia rolecop (column B). Note that there is a Cop (i.e. the worst, the only 100% definite role) in all 3 columns, but only in column A are there 2 possible Docs. That means if Junk were to FC Doc, the one column he wouldnotpick from is A - the one with the mafia roleblocker. Yet column A is the one Junk wants us to think we're in, since he claims he was roleblocked. In short, it's the highest-percentage FC available to Junk, which is why I suspect he calculated it well ahead of having to claim.
But think about the likelihood of a) one scum targeting TW for the NK; b) town!Junk targeting TW for protection; and c) the other scum roleblocking town!Junk. This highly improbable scenario is exactly what he wants us to believe! Compare that to the likelihood of scum!Junk successfully FC (83.3%). And even if Junk is CC'd by the actual Doc, he probably thinks he can bury that claim in verbiage and hostility, as he has done to town all game.
TL;DR
VOTE: Junk-
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YellowSnow Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 708
- Joined: December 4, 2018
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YellowSnow Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 708
- Joined: December 4, 2018
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JunkoChan She/herMafia ScumShe/her
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 1829
- Joined: November 30, 2017
- Pronoun: She/her
- Location: Hope's Peak Academy
Ooooh I get it now, if he is a goon there won't be a cc ever cuz the other "PR" is townie I haven't tought of that possibilityIn post 705, GrandWazoo wrote:@Junko (and everyone else): I meant to hit "save draft" but apparently hit "submit" instead. I was planning to expand on why Junk isnotconfirmed as we are assuming.
For example, say Junk is one of two mafia goons, as in column C. To claim Doc he does not have the44.4%chance (4 out of 9) of being CC'd, but just a16.7%chance (1 in 6). Only the actual Doc could CC. The same holds true if one of the scum is mafia rolecop (column B). Note that there is a Cop (i.e. the worst, the only 100% definite role) in all 3 columns, but only in column A are there 2 possible Docs. That means if Junk were to FC Doc, the one column he wouldnotpick from is A - the one with the mafia roleblocker. Yet column A is the one Junk wants us to think we're in, since he claims he was roleblocked. In short, it's the highest-percentage FC available to Junk, which is why I suspect he calculated it well ahead of having to claim.
But think about the likelihood of a) one scum targeting TW for the NK; b) town!Junk targeting TW for protection; and c) the other scum roleblocking town!Junk. This highly improbable scenario is exactly what he wants us to believe! Compare that to the likelihood of scum!Junk successfully FC (83.3%). And even if Junk is CC'd by the actual Doc, he probably thinks he can bury that claim in verbiage and hostility, as he has done to town all game.
TL;DR
VOTE: JunkFor how to play with JunkoChan, click on my wiki!
I will inflict you with the pain of a thousand slapping anime girls ~thenewearth
you do know if you kill me that's a one way ticket to execution-ville ~Iprobablysuck-
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JunkoChan She/herMafia ScumShe/her
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 1829
- Joined: November 30, 2017
- Pronoun: She/her
- Location: Hope's Peak Academy
but even then, Junk claimed doc before the cop flip, from scum!Junk point of view in the situation you are presenting he would have a 33% chance to hit composition 3C, you could argue that in his position L-1 a gamble would be better than nothing tho, but still hard to pull of and easier to do by claiming vanilla townie, but vanilla townie is a misslynchable role.
As much as I would like to believe that Junk is scum I don't think he is.For how to play with JunkoChan, click on my wiki!
I will inflict you with the pain of a thousand slapping anime girls ~thenewearth
you do know if you kill me that's a one way ticket to execution-ville ~Iprobablysuck-
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Junk
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Junk Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 223
- Joined: January 5, 2019
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Junk Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 223
- Joined: January 5, 2019
waaait wait wait
i get it now
if we're playing in setup C-1
there is only town cop, and no other town or scum power roles
so i can be scum if we're playing in setup C-1
apologies, i didnt rly read all of that
okay then thats valid i guess
still, ur just trying to be a hero by giong against the consensus
i havent been scummy, you WANT me to be scum, so u can be a hero, GW-
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Junk Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 223
- Joined: January 5, 2019
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Junk Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 223
- Joined: January 5, 2019
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Junk Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 223
- Joined: January 5, 2019
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JunkoChan She/herMafia ScumShe/her
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 1829
- Joined: November 30, 2017
- Pronoun: She/her
- Location: Hope's Peak Academy
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Junk Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 223
- Joined: January 5, 2019
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JunkoChan She/herMafia ScumShe/her
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 1829
- Joined: November 30, 2017
- Pronoun: She/her
- Location: Hope's Peak Academy
But Junk-baka-kun YellowSnow is voting GW not you, so this is either a coordinated act or YellowSnow and Gw aren't a teamFor how to play with JunkoChan, click on my wiki!
I will inflict you with the pain of a thousand slapping anime girls ~thenewearth
you do know if you kill me that's a one way ticket to execution-ville ~Iprobablysuck-
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Junk Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 223
- Joined: January 5, 2019
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JunkoChan She/herMafia ScumShe/her
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 1829
- Joined: November 30, 2017
- Pronoun: She/her
- Location: Hope's Peak Academy
so in this situation Yellowsnow and GW are never a mafia team, if GW is going all in for a wifom like that, Junk and GW are never a mafia team
this leaves us with GuiltyLion, sever7/Yyota/whathisface,brassherald
I'm towreading Junk and brass atm
so possible mafia teams are:
YellowSnow/GuiltyLion
YellowSnow/whathisface
Grandwazoo/GuiltyLion
GrandWazoo/whathisface
Which of these teams is more likely to be the right one is what we are looking at right now
p-edit so scum!yellowsnow is sacrificing Grandwazoo while being on the spotlight himself? to get town credit? MAYBE but if we keep going like this I'm get drunk with all this wineFor how to play with JunkoChan, click on my wiki!
I will inflict you with the pain of a thousand slapping anime girls ~thenewearth
you do know if you kill me that's a one way ticket to execution-ville ~Iprobablysuck-
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JunkoChan She/herMafia ScumShe/her
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 1829
- Joined: November 30, 2017
- Pronoun: She/her
- Location: Hope's Peak Academy
I refuse to believe that Yellowsnow and Grandwazoo are a mafia team, they are in too good of a spot to come up with this lines of play, unless they are that badFor how to play with JunkoChan, click on my wiki!
I will inflict you with the pain of a thousand slapping anime girls ~thenewearth
you do know if you kill me that's a one way ticket to execution-ville ~Iprobablysuck-
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JunkoChan She/herMafia ScumShe/her
- Mafia Scum
- Mafia Scum
- Posts: 1829
- Joined: November 30, 2017
- Pronoun: She/her
- Location: Hope's Peak Academy
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Junk Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 223
- Joined: January 5, 2019
GirlIn post 720, JunkoChan wrote:p-edit so scum!yellowsnow is sacrificing Grandwazoo while being on the spotlight himself? to get town credit? MAYBE but if we keep going like this I'm get drunk with all this wine
YellowSnow is 100% the lynch today
His vote really doesn't matter
Nobody will follow him
He's not "sacrificing" GrandWazoo...
Maybe GW could be town after all. But not because of scum!YellowSnow voting him-
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GrandWazoo Goon
- Goon
- Goon
- Posts: 364
- Joined: December 8, 2018
Just ask yourself which is more likely: the sequence of events that Junk wants us to believe, or the scenario I described? The first is highly unlikely. The second is not only far more likely, but the optimal play for cornered scum.In post 709, JunkoChan wrote:but even then, Junk claimed doc before the cop flip, from scum!Junk point of view in the situation you are presenting he would have a 33% chance to hit composition 3C, you could argue that in his position L-1 a gamble would be better than nothing tho, but still hard to pull of and easier to do by claiming vanilla townie, but vanilla townie is a misslynchable role.
As much as I would like to believe that Junk is scum I don't think he is.
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