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[OkaPoka]

Hahaha

Time manipulated fk

[singletonking]

Actually I think we should let singleton pick whoever he wants and then lynch him if his target is town.

I forgot that another reason why I scumleaned SS was this post that did not make mechanical sense, even though SS is more mechanically inclined.

As I'm writing this, I do start to see why SS suggested it, but I still do not agree with it. I'm still more likely to reveal town than scum anyway, and he knows how to apply the probability theorem relating P(A|B) and P(B|A) so he has no excuse for not applying it here.

[Something_Smart]

No, I'm well aware of Bayes' law. Bayes' law states that your odds of being scum go up if you reveal town.

The reason I said that was that in the case where you're scum, we're guaranteed a scum lynch-- either we lynch your partner today, or you sell out your partner overnight, or we lynch you tomorrow. And in the case where you're town, it still gives you a chance to avoid getting mislynched.

[Something_Smart]

It's not a purely mechanical plan, it's a mechanical plan based on my scumread of you. Given that scumread, can you see how it makes sense?

After thinking about it the plan really only makes sense if we mislynch today, so I'm fine calling it off if we hit scum today. How confident are you in your ability to reveal scum, assuming a mislynch today?

[singletonking]

Not confident :/

[OkaPoka]

I'm town!
Ama

[OkaPoka]

I was fine with an OkaPoka lynch as I felt he has not done much this game for the amount he's posted... but I didn't like Enigma's vote on him

Oka’s back and forth on Lion really made no sense. Do you think the Oka/Lion names being in red, means anything?

I still prefer Lion but since it’s getting close to deadline, I’ll trust RC on this.

What doesn't make sense?

[Something_Smart]

I'm town!
Ama

How do you feel about singleton now that he's claimed? What do you think of my plan?

[OkaPoka]

I think discussing this now taints the well

[Something_Smart]

Oka: "ama"
Me: *asks question*
Oka: "I don't want to answer that"

Seriously though, why not? Who singleton reveals depends on whether we're doing this plan, and we can only do the plan if a majority of people actually think he's scum.

[Nimueh]

I was fine with an OkaPoka lynch as I felt he has not done much this game for the amount he's posted... but I didn't like Enigma's vote on him

Oka’s back and forth on Lion really made no sense. Do you think the Oka/Lion names being in red, means anything?

I still prefer Lion but since it’s getting close to deadline, I’ll trust RC on this.

What doesn't make sense?

You were waffling in your Lion read and suddenly you “trust” him, why?

[Nimueh]

I'm town!
Ama

What’s “Ama”?

[Something_Smart]

Ask me anything

[Nimueh]

It's not a purely mechanical plan, it's a mechanical plan based on my scumread of you. Given that scumread, can you see how it makes sense?

After thinking about it the plan really only makes sense if we mislynch today, so I'm fine calling it off if we hit scum today. How confident are you in your ability to reveal scum, assuming a mislynch today?

If you think Single is scum, then you wouldn’t lynch that person but then it’s just WIFOM in that case.

[Nimueh]

It's not a purely mechanical plan, it's a mechanical plan based on my scumread of you. Given that scumread, can you see how it makes sense?

After thinking about it the plan really only makes sense if we mislynch today, so I'm fine calling it off if we hit scum today. How confident are you in your ability to reveal scum, assuming a mislynch today?

If you think Single is scum, then you wouldn’t lynch that person but then it’s just WIFOM in that case.

I think discussing this now taints the well

UNVOTE:

I believe SS’ conviction but I agree with Oka here.

VOTE: Lion

@RC, why is Oka the best lynch, when Lion is objectively scummier?

[Nimueh]

Oka: "ama"
Me: *asks question*
Oka: "I don't want to answer that"

Seriously though, why not? Who singleton reveals depends on whether we're doing this plan, and we can only do the plan if a majority of people actually think he's scum.

ISO him, look at his readslist. Is your plan, that he will push his buddy and if that person flips green, we lynch Single D2?

Am I understanding this correctly?

[Nimueh]

Oka: "ama"
Me: *asks question*
Oka: "I don't want to answer that"

Seriously though, why not? Who singleton reveals depends on whether we're doing this plan, and we can only do the plan if a majority of people actually think he's scum.

ISO him, look at his readslist. Is your plan, that he will push his buddy and if that person flips green, we lynch Single D2?

Am I understanding this correctly?

IOW, are you advocating for leashing Single’s vote?

[OkaPoka]

Oka: "ama"
Me: *asks question*
Oka: "I don't want to answer that"

Seriously though, why not? Who singleton reveals depends on whether we're doing this plan, and we can only do the plan if a majority of people actually think he's scum.

Well we don't know what tools scum have to mess with us. If we policy lynch him for finding scum we also remove info and content. This is better discussion to have TMR when it actually happens.

[OkaPoka]

I trust guilty to obv town if he is town is what I mean.

I don't townread him but I think he him town provides more value and is better

[northsidegal]

Prodding apthet.

[Nimueh]

I trust guilty to obv town if he is town is what I mean.

I don't townread him but I think he him town provides more value and is better

So, who do you think we should lynch? At this point, a mislynch > no lynch.

[apthet]

VOTE: GuiltyLion

[Nimueh]

I'll also put my money where my mouth is and
VOTE: Skygazer
But I'm not anywhere close enough to confident enough in my read or as a person in general to "lead a push" so I guess I'm doing the frustrating thing and going off on my own. But I will contribute to whatever needs to happen before deadline.

Sky isn’t getting lynched today, so who is your second strongest scumread?

[apthet]

Nice timing.

[Nimueh]

VOTE: GuiltyLion

NM