Newbie 1934: Tundra (Game Over)

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Post Post #250 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 10:51 am

Post by Cinnamon »

I could certainly see a Voted and Teacher team, as if it was either of the other two they would have been bussing pretty early on in the game, but I don't have a strong read on any of the SEs yet so I'm not confident on that. Who do you think is in the mafia team right now?
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Post Post #251 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 10:52 am

Post by Ausuka »

Prodding Voted!
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Post Post #252 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 11:10 am

Post by Voted »

In post 239, Menalque wrote:
In post 214, Voted wrote: Adding my signature will make town aware that I knew it is
fake
, joke hammer so they won't lynch me for trying to hammer sameone and pretending I though I am putting him in L-1. I have experience from Town of Salem that making jokes whisout samewhat indicating there are jokes is enough to get me lynched - hence the need of "defence".


Not wanting to lynch SEs and active/ eperienced players is my meta. NAI.
(1) I don't see how you can reasonably think anyone would (a) think that you were legitimately hammering someone, especially when you'd already voted and people were making jokes about L-X (or not, as I still think is probably in the case of Eggs). Also, (b) that was literally like page 2 of this thread. You were not in any meaningful danger of being lynched, so why were you concerned? Nav seemed much more natural to me, as he knew that his wagon wasn't going anywhere at that point. The fact that you're claiming you were worried about an actual case being built up around you at that point is way more indicative of scum than town to me.

(2) Saying it's your meta doesn't just give you a free pass. You used the same logic in the game you linked where you were town which you *checks notes* lost. So unless you feel like providing an actual refutation of why your logic here is good (despite leading you to a lost game where you didn't want to lynch SEs and then *checks notes again* you lost as both SEs were mafia) then you absolutely don't get a free pass.

(3) I also notice that you didn't even try to refute my point about how terrible the logic is behind active scum being better than lurky town.

Oh, and I think your meta overall also seems to be closer to your scum game than to your town game.
(1) (a) he could think that I was thinking that I am hammering him - that I forgot about my previous vote. (b) I was not in danger of being lynched/ becoming suspectious for whatever I would post in page 3?

(2) I give free pass to active/ experienced people only day 1. The day 1 lynch is not perfect; it has huge chance of lynching town. You can either:
D1 lynch scummier, good scum hunter
D2 lynch slighty less scummy inactive townie

or

D1 lynch slighty less scummy inactive townie
D2 lynch scummier, good scum hunter which can at least before getting lynched give you same reads if town

I expect SEs to be (statistically) better scummy hunters than newbies.

(3) Active scum can slip. Have fun town reading unresponsive, lurking player.

Edit: thanks for the prod.
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Post Post #253 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 1:07 pm

Post by Irrelephant11 »

The stagnant gamestate solidified my townreads on cinnamon and Menalque, who could both choose to do less work than they’re doing and would probably get away with it
Gonna read ISOs to figure out f Voted is actually the lynch I want or just the wagon we needed
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Post Post #254 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 1:16 pm

Post by Irrelephant11 »

Spoiler: Wow navneet’s ISO is bad
In post 23, thenavneet wrote:VOTE: Eggs

never liked em
I stand by my read that this was the least towny post on page 1
In post 46, thenavneet wrote:
In post 37, Eggs wrote:VOTE: Teacher

L-1 folks
This made me laugh harder than it should have

UNVOTE: Eggs
A wise person once said “first unvote is scum”. I think it was maybe a duck?
In post 68, thenavneet wrote:
In post 66, Menalque wrote:How you feeling about being at L-1, nav?
I'm not worried. From what I understand, Elephant's reason for scum reading me is that I ignored the 3 vote wagon on him on page 1. I think that's a fair reason for him to want to vote me. I hadn't even read the thing when I voted but he can't know that.. The "joke" pile on from Eggs is the thing that pinged me the most but I still consider this RVS so not gonna read a lot into it.
I could townread the “I understand why I’m scumread” if the rest of the ISO was good but uh this is the most contentful post in the ISO
In post 143, thenavneet wrote:
In post 141, thenavneet wrote:Alright I have some time now so I'm gonna try hard for a bit
This ended up not being true. Bah hate work some days. I'll tryhard later at night but I'll allow people to SR me based on these 2 posts
I sure will SR you based on these two posts :]
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Post Post #255 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 1:17 pm

Post by Irrelephant11 »

Restarted reads now that there’s meat to most ISOs:
Me
Menalque, cinnamon
- null line -
Navneet
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Post Post #256 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 1:26 pm

Post by Irrelephant11 »

In post 67, Eggs wrote:I don't expect anyone to believe me, but I actually did miscount that wagon and didn't announce L-1.

I will do my best to vomit town over the thread in the next few days.
There’s a surprising amount of “I get why I’m being scumread” this game
Eggs is very town
I forgot I’d seen his finished towngame - he’s even townier here, by postcount and word count (good enough for me in this slow D1)
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Post Post #257 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 1:28 pm

Post by Irrelephant11 »

Flavor Leaf is Flavor Leaf I townlean him which makes me think I should scumread him which makes me think I should townread him.
His meta is complicated and I’ll leave him at null for now
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Post Post #258 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 1:30 pm

Post by Irrelephant11 »

Actually I’ll leabe him at townlean
At least a couple of my reasons to townread him are somewhat firm (timing of similar thoughts about each other and reads that make sense, not causing chaos, etc)
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Post Post #259 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 1:35 pm

Post by Irrelephant11 »

In post 120, teacher wrote:I love when I meld with you, even if I can never townblock you. Nice to play with you again.

I’m actually more on bob. Both of their first two posts seemed off.
In post 133, teacher wrote:Sure.

VOTE: bob
In post 162, teacher wrote:It’s been a few months, but my history with the elephant is that I normally have the same reads. I am always concerned about him cause the man can powerscum with the best of them, but with his activity levels and general slot odds, that’s never a good day one lynch.

I grok what he is saying in Eggs. Lot of self-conscious posting and one slight scummy vote. Here again though, I’m willing to let the active driving of the game take it out of my D1 lynch pool.

I get why Menalque is pushing Eggs. It’s a legitimate case and the most questionable objective fact on this low info day. That said, I strongly differ on reading tone. Indeed, the tone comment is odd from someone who writes

That is my not lynching pool for now, and a response to bob’s 136
In post 163, teacher wrote:
In post 48, thenavneet wrote:I forgot to ask how many games until I qualify as SE when I joined the newb queue
In post 143, thenavneet wrote:
In post 141, thenavneet wrote:Alright I have some time now so I'm gonna try hard for a bit
This ended up not being true. Bah hate work some days. I'll tryhard later at night but I'll allow people to SR me based on these 2 posts
I need you to do an analysis on 3 players. I’ll even let you pick. But reads and reasons please.
In post 170, teacher wrote:
In post 167, Cinnamon wrote:there are quite a few town reads on thenavneet right now.
This statement requires three plus to be valid. Kindly point them out.
I townread all of these ^
In post 202, teacher wrote:
In post 181, Irrelephant11 wrote:I don’t think navneet is scum based on how many votes he’s gotten tbh
Did the wagon feel real to you?
Idk what this question means. What makes a wagon real?
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Post Post #260 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 1:37 pm

Post by Irrelephant11 »

Being pulled away by my wife

I think I was at
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- null -
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Post Post #261 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 2:11 pm

Post by Menalque »

Two questions irrelephant:

1) if teacher is one of your strongest townleans, and Eggs has voted for him not once but twice (albeit only once seriously) what bearing does that have on your reading of Eggs as town?

2) what made you revise me lower in your second list?
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Post Post #262 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 2:24 pm

Post by Menalque »

Also, teacher, you still didn’t answer my question about your comment from 162. What’s weird about not finding tone very useful for finding scum in relation to my post 20?
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Post Post #263 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 2:34 pm

Post by Irrelephant11 »

What about voting town on D1 is scummy?
My gut and the fact I couldn’t remember any strong townreads from you, just lotsa scum cases
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Post Post #264 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 3:38 pm

Post by Flavor Leaf »

VOTE: Teacher

One of the SE's are scum based on how this game state is going.

I'm wanting Teacher first because I don't feel like 1v1ing the elephant right now, especially if he's just gonna end up being town.
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Post Post #265 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 3:48 pm

Post by Irrelephant11 »

What about the gamestate makes you say the SEs have to have a scum? I get the feeling we might just happen to be three busy adults on a holiday weekend spending most of our time IRL
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Post Post #266 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 4:01 pm

Post by Flavor Leaf »

Because all the newbies are being solid town players, which in my experience, the wall posts quality of content being brought in is definitely town indicative

Bob/Nave are the 2 that I think have a chance of being scum, Nave by POE, and if I think Voted is just a mislynch bait type.
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Post Post #267 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 4:02 pm

Post by Flavor Leaf »

Also, when I'm null on Teacher, it means he's probably scum. If I'm ever lean town or scum on him, he's generally town.
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Post Post #268 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 4:02 pm

Post by teacher »

I appreciate the accuracy elephant, and the 4X repeated question menalque. I want to sit back and sift, it promise some answers and takes tonight.
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Post Post #269 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 4:03 pm

Post by teacher »

Dude, we’ve played together exactly once that I can recall. Have you read others of me? I’ve only rolled scum here once in a way that had a chance to make a difference to a game (twice as obv!scum replacements)
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Post Post #270 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 4:05 pm

Post by teacher »

kindly prod bob
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Post Post #271 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 4:06 pm

Post by Menalque »

In post 268, teacher wrote:and the 4X repeated question menalque
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Post Post #272 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 4:10 pm

Post by Cinnamon »

While I agree with flavor in that there aren't that many newbs giving off scum vibes, I would like to hear both bob and thenavneet (or their replacement) really step up and give more to the discussion right now, I think that could also be a big reason why the discussion has become so difficult.
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Post Post #273 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 4:11 pm

Post by Menalque »

In post 263, Irrelephant11 wrote:What about voting town on D1 is scummy?
My gut and the fact I couldn’t remember any strong townreads from you, just lotsa scum cases
I guess the fact that I'm reading it like he wanted to vote teacher from the beginning and was capitalising on FL's "I think it's teacher and bob" to get back on that track. But basically I take your point.

Yeah, that's intentional, as far as I'm concerned if I'm fingering two people as my scum then it's implicit that I'm reading everyone else as town to at least a greater extent than them. I also think that by not mentioning who's floating just above those two scum reads means they're not as likely to be parsing what they're saying so closely, which might give something to work with if I decide they're the more likely scum and want to start applying pressure.

If people (i.e. multiple players) think that it would be more beneficial to the gamestate for me to post who I think is town and who I think might be scum instead of Eggs & Voted then I'll think about it.
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Post Post #274 (ISO) » Tue May 28, 2019 4:16 pm

Post by Menalque »

In post 250, Cinnamon wrote:Who do you think is in the mafia team right now?
Sorry, missed this: still Eggs and Voted.

Aware that there's some evidence for others and arguments being made but at this point it's not enough to make me switch off these two.

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