So this is what my reads are having reread to 199:
Spoiler: Reads
Confirmed Town
(From my perspective) (98%-100% Confidence)
Ircher (100%) - Role PM
Likely Town
(85%-97% Confidence)
Leaning Town
(60%-84% Confidence)
Null
(0% - 30% Confidence; No/Very Weak Read) Pine (0%): He has like one post to this point, so it is really not possible to get read on him at the moment.
northsidegal (-3%): She has not posted enough for me to get a read.
Neutral
(31%-59% Confidence; Mixed Read) CheekyTeeky (+45%): First of all, the flip in her claim regarding miller struck me (and continues to strike me) as town-indicative as I don't think scum have quite the guts to do that. Aside from that, CheekyTeeky's posts have a somewhat townie!vibe, and I think I'm okay with her contributions to the game so far.
AzoriusSenate (+40%): His read on Saudade feels like it's a genuine read coming from town.
the worst (+34%): It may be just because I'm inexperienced with the worst that I'm not scumreading him that much at this point. While like many of us, he was fooling around in the beginning in the game, later on, he seemed to switch to a more serious mode, and I think he is striking a good balance between having fun and working at solving the game.
Skygazer (-32%): Her posts seemed pretty nullish until I read 199. Considering I'm already scumreading OkaPoka, 199 just feels like scum attempting to give their buddy a free townread. It's very weak, yes, but it is something.
Saudade (-40%): Most of his early posts involve him fooling around with the worst and other people. While this is fine to the extent, when this seems to be the only thing one is doing, it becomes an issue. It's worth noting that despite a strong presence very early in the game, later on (in the 150-199 post range), he seems to kinda drift out of sight.
OkaPoka (-55%): A lot of his early postings (and many of his later ones as well) just feel like scum that is spending too much time on fitting on and not enough time on solving the game.
Leaning Scum
(60%-75% Confidence)
Likely Scum
(76%-100% Confidence)
Spoiler: How to read this reads list
Players are placed in different sections based on my confidence in the read expressed as a percentage. A positive percentage indicates that I leans towards town on a player whereas a negative percentage indicates I lean towards scum on a player. Please note that the Null an Neutral sections contain both townreads and scumreads and you must look a the sign of the percentage in parenthesis to determine which way I lean.
Confidence ratings are rough estimates (and somewhat arbitrary) and are relative to one another. In addition, they tend to be scored on a logarithmic scale versus a linear scale; in other words, the difference between 0% and 30% tends to be greater than ther difference between 30% and 60%.
I will maybe post my notes later if I feel like it/if asked. Some of those notes go into greater detail into the specific things I'm seeing.
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It's a meta read. TW is playing very different to any meta I have of him. He could be genuine about trying a new playstyle and maybe he's just starstruck but like how does he townread NSG straight off the bat?