Project ARCH - Epilogue

Bambi Jay · Post Post #1300 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 9:33 am

In post 1297, KidAmn wrote:
In post 1295, MariaR wrote:Reaction test over. Results...positive. Moving on to real lynch target
VOTE: Primate

My spirit animal.

PenguinPower · Post Post #1301 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 9:43 am

Primate, KidAmn, or the Emperor of Britannia?

Almost50 · Post Post #1302 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 10:15 am

In post 603, Bambi Jay wrote:Daycops are the stupidest town role.

I'm a Day Cop and I've got a clear on thecoldheartedking. IN YOUR FACE!

Spoiler:

Almost50 · Post Post #1303 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 10:19 am

In post 606, CloudKicker wrote:My only assomption was that you wouldnt bus

Regardless of anyone's alignment.. this statement could not be further from truth. Like, the whole wide world (not just MS) knows for a fact

RC is a hard bus'er

.

VOTE: Whemestar

It's about time I placed a vote somewhere.

Spoiler:

Almost50 · Post Post #1304 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 10:26 am

In post 615, CloudKicker wrote:
In post 609, Celestial Coordinates wrote:Okay let's say that WhemeStar has slightly above average odds of reading me.
I think that's bullshit, objectively, but I'm going to assume it for the sake of this exercise.

Let's say there's 4 scum and his odds of having correctly pinned me are 5/18.

On the other hand, his odds of being wrong on me are 13/18
and based on my town record over the past year we have lynched scum D1 in 10/16 of those games
130/288 is significantly higher than 5/18 so even if he is above average at reading me and scumreads me (which he's not) it's still objectively correct to sheep me.
Would be hilarious if thats a genuine scumslip

That's an interesting observation! It slipped my mind the first time I read that post too!

@RC: So, 19 players in the game.. Wheme is the one doing the read so 18 slots for him to read. Assuming 4 scums should have been 4/18 and assuming a wrong read should have been 14/18. How come you said 4 scums but did the math based on 5?

Spoiler:

unwnd · Post Post #1305 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 10:27 am

In post 1298, PenguinPower wrote:
In post 1296, unwnd wrote:
In post 1294, PenguinPower wrote:So, what do you want to talk about?
I mean, I highlighted some points I thought would be interesting in my two paragraphs. If there's something you disagreed with or had inquiry say it now
I see a lot of bitching about how people are playing, and it would probably be easier to direct your questions to the people you want to talk to as you think no one is doing anything worth developing.

That's my problem though, I can't specifically address people because I'd pretty much calling them out for similar behavior

Almost50 · Post Post #1306 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 10:33 am

In post 616, Celestial Coordinates wrote:
In post 615, CloudKicker wrote:Would be hilarious if thats a genuine scumslip
How is it a scumslip ever?

If he has 5/18 odds of correctly scumreading me as scum he has 13/18 odds of being wrong on his scumread on me and me being town.

In post 619, Gamma Emerald wrote:CK I agree with CC that it doesn't look like a slip

In post 620, CloudKicker wrote:
In post 616, Celestial Coordinates wrote:
In post 615, CloudKicker wrote:Would be hilarious if thats a genuine scumslip
How is it a scumslip ever?

If he has 5/18 odds of correctly scumreading me as scum he has 13/18 odds of being wrong on his scumread on me and me being town.
True, I don’t know why but I read it in reverse, disregard the slip post

Maybe I should go back to preliminary school then. I hope somebody did explain how a 4-players scum team results in a 5/18 odds of a random scum read to be correct.

Spoiler:

Sakura Hana · Post Post #1307 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 10:41 am

Hello and welcome PP and A50.
PP: All you need to know is that me, dunn and CC are all town.

PenguinPower · Post Post #1308 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 10:52 am

In post 1307, Sakura Hana wrote:Hello and welcome PP and A50.
PP: All you need to know is that me, dunn and CC are all town.

CloudKicker · Post Post #1309 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 10:52 am

In post 1306, Almost50 wrote:
In post 616, Celestial Coordinates wrote:
In post 615, CloudKicker wrote:Would be hilarious if thats a genuine scumslip
How is it a scumslip ever?

If he has 5/18 odds of correctly scumreading me as scum he has 13/18 odds of being wrong on his scumread on me and me being town.

In post 619, Gamma Emerald wrote:CK I agree with CC that it doesn't look like a slip

In post 620, CloudKicker wrote:
In post 616, Celestial Coordinates wrote:
In post 615, CloudKicker wrote:Would be hilarious if thats a genuine scumslip
How is it a scumslip ever?

If he has 5/18 odds of correctly scumreading me as scum he has 13/18 odds of being wrong on his scumread on me and me being town.
True, I don’t know why but I read it in reverse, disregard the slip post
Maybe I should go back to preliminary school then. I hope somebody did explain how a 4-players scum team results in a 5/18 odds of a random scum read to be correct.

Spoiler:

I think its because he said he would assume wheme could read him with higher accuracy than role distribution. His argument was that it probabilities were better even in an above average scenario something something

Almost50 · Post Post #1310 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:13 am

In post 663, Celestial Coordinates wrote:I think I have 9 townreads.

Lucky you. I have 3 and a half at this point.

Spoiler:

Firebringer · Post Post #1311 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:18 am

is this a good place for a vc? vote now.

Almost50 · Post Post #1312 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:21 am

In post 685, Dunnstral wrote:Like maybe somebody could confuse rebels with outcasts

Just because you asked

Spoiler:

Fred the Cat · Post Post #1313 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:30 am

HOLY MARMALADE!!

I have a game

Fred the Cat · Post Post #1314 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:30 am

So did Zaphkael dump me? Am I still allowed around this neighborhood?

Almost50 · Post Post #1315 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:31 am

In post 729, Chemist1422 wrote:
In post 728, Dunnstral wrote:VOTE: Chemist1422
Hi

Fred the Cat · Post Post #1316 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:31 am

Heya, AlmostShifty

Getting along with my friends?

Fred the Cat · Post Post #1317 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:32 am

Let me present myself for you:

I'm Fred the Cat, quite the gimmick alt, but still adorable.

I've been absent because that's my job. Also, I trust my gang can do pretty well without me.

How can I help you?

Bambi Jay · Post Post #1318 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:38 am

Help us murder Unwnd so we can blame you for it, Fred.

Fred the Cat · Post Post #1319 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:45 am

Of course, milady.

VOTE: unwnd

Fred the Cat · Post Post #1320 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:45 am

By the way, would you accept a meeting at Salmo's? You know, for business.

Bambi Jay · Post Post #1321 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 11:53 am

Only if you buy me nice shit.

Almost50 · Post Post #1322 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:01 pm

I've got a confession to make: Today I have been skimming hard. This game's interactions are so boring I lose concentration while in the middle of a single-sentence post. I'll "pretend" to be all caught up in an hour or so, but I may have missed a couple of key elements along the way.

Spoiler:

PenguinPower · Post Post #1323 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:02 pm

Should have just asked for a summary like I did.

WhemeStar · Post Post #1324 (ISO) » Wed Jul 24, 2019 12:05 pm

In post 1303, Almost50 wrote:
In post 606, CloudKicker wrote:My only assomption was that you wouldnt bus
Regardless of anyone's alignment.. this statement could not be further from truth. Like, the whole wide world (not just MS) knows for a fact
RC is a hard bus'er
.

VOTE: Whemestar

It's about time I placed a vote somewhere.

Spoiler:

Whoo some action

Hi a50 and PP