@Hectic, I think one scum outside coalition is more likely than 2 scum in. By process of strength of reads, I think it’s least likely to be Spangled and while I was sl GREAT, Gg is either town here or replicating his towngame. I think the flip will make it a lot clearer. I really don’t see you and LUV as partners, so my reads might be off somehow.
since we know 1 in 5 in the coalition is scum, the other scum is either in the other 4 in the coalition, or the 4 not in the coaltion, so 50/50 in terms of odds alone, though it's 3/3 now
why do you think 1 scum outside is more likely? because scum are actively trying to keep 1 of them out? i don't think that's as much as a focus as you guys think, especially because of what seems to be meta here
though it's skewed from our perspectives i guess. i like both Spangled and gobbly so i currently think it's 2 in
something like Gamma/Espresso + LUV is possible
even if we follow your logic of scumtrying to keep one of them out, scum!LUV lurks and doesn't contribute much since he expects Gamma/Espresso to be in the coaltion, and he gets unexpectedly added in last minute
Hectic, I mainly scumread you because I thought it was odd you didn’t try to include yourself or fight for yourself to be included. The only time you wanted to include yourself was when LUV was out. An individual townie knows that a coalition with themselves included is more likely to succeed than a coalition without themselves in it.
since we know 1 in 5 in the coalition is scum, the other scum is either in the other 4 in the coalition, or the 4 not in the coaltion, so 50/50 in terms of odds alone, though it's 3/3 now
why do you think 1 scum outside is more likely? because scum are actively trying to keep 1 of them out? i don't think that's as much as a focus as you guys think, especially because of what seems to be meta here
though it's skewed from our perspectives i guess. i like both Spangled and gobbly so i currently think it's 2 in
something like Gamma/Espresso + LUV is possible
even if we follow your logic of scumtrying to keep one of them out, scum!LUV lurks and doesn't contribute much since he expects Gamma/Espresso to be in the coaltion, and he gets unexpectedly added in last minute
I suppose that’s possible. Maybe I’m assuming too much because of RCMA kill but I also recall nsg posting in another coalition game she linked, that that would be suboptimal for scum to do that.
I was wondering why this didn’t make any sense to me. You’re confusing me with the now I think, retired poster Nancy. I’m Nancy Drew 39 and my join date was January 14, 2018 and this game started in November 2017.
So when you said in RS that you were looking forward to playing with me, it wasn’t me you were actually referring to. I guess that makes sense since I’d never played with you before.
since we know 1 in 5 in the coalition is scum, the other scum is either in the other 4 in the coalition, or the 4 not in the coaltion, so 50/50 in terms of odds alone, though it's 3/3 now
why do you think 1 scum outside is more likely? because scum are actively trying to keep 1 of them out? i don't think that's as much as a focus as you guys think, especially because of what seems to be meta here
though it's skewed from our perspectives i guess. i like both Spangled and gobbly so i currently think it's 2 in
something like Gamma/Espresso + LUV is possible
even if we follow your logic of scumtrying to keep one of them out, scum!LUV lurks and doesn't contribute much since he expects Gamma/Espresso to be in the coaltion, and he gets unexpectedly added in last minute
I could take this solve. I’m not super sure on Gobble being town, but I’m willing to trust my initial thoughts on Clem’s entrance to back the read up, at the very least toDay.
In post 1178, gobbledygook wrote:But like I said, I townread everyone. You’re just a low townread.
I can understand this; everyone’s been too bloody townie so far.
By the way, why is Hectic so far down on your readslist? And why am I?
If someone shoves another vote on LUV, I could hammer in ~24 hours. I really want to see a proper
response
, though, not just trying to BoP someone and making half-hearted defences.
I wouldn’t say you’re far down the reads list. You’re the third most townie person on it. I am currently subscribing to the belief that there is 1 scum in and 1 scum out. Since I know I’m town, that makes you and Hectic have higher scum equity because I know I am town.
This is so frustrating. Once again, LUV isn’t voting. He was voting Espresso but preferred Alchemist and now, he wants Espresso but isn’t voting anyone.
This is so frustrating. Once again, LUV isn’t voting. He was voting Espresso but preferred Alchemist and now, he wants Espresso but isn’t voting anyone.
Either LUV is scum and all of this makes sense, or LUV is town and he's pretty much throwing the game.
I'll give him the benefit of the doubt and assume it's the former. If it's the latter, I definitely don't want him in lylo.
It’s a shot in the dark at this point for me. Which is worse, no lynching or using up our second mislynch? Problem is, that I don’t know if LUV is ever going to become more readable. That’s also why I feel better about everyone else in coalition. But what if I’m wrong?
We have a little over a day now and unless someone can make a convincing case for someone other than LUV, I’m either voting them or no lynching.
This is so frustrating. Once again, LUV isn’t voting. He was voting Espresso but preferred Alchemist and now, he wants Espresso but isn’t voting anyone.
Either LUV is scum and all of this makes sense, or LUV is town and he's pretty much throwing the game.
I'll give him the benefit of the doubt and assume it's the former. If it's the latter, I definitely don't want him in lylo.
If he’s town, that would be our second mislynch but yeah, he’s not really doing anything to get tr.
Correct me if I'm wrong, but a no lynch is pretty much the same as a mislynch, as it allows the mafia one extra kill at the price of the game going one extra day. We'd be in mylo at an even number.
Considering lynches are our only way to catch scum, I'd even say a no-lynch is worse than a mislynch.
In post 1198, EspressoPatronum wrote:Correct me if I'm wrong, but a no lynch is pretty much the same as a mislynch, as it allows the mafia one extra kill at the price of the game going one extra day. We'd be in mylo at an even number.
Considering lynches are our only way to catch scum, I'd even say a no-lynch is worse than a mislynch.
I didn’t really even think of that, I just hate being so unsure.
You’re confusing me with the now I think, retired poster Nancy. I’m Nancy Drew 39 and my join date was January 14, 2018 and this game started in November 2017.Hydra of Nero Cain and Nancy Drew 39
