Open 770: Monty Hall Mafia (Game Over)

[NU Ubers]

WHAT THE FUCK DID YALL DO?

~Not Gamma

[PenguinPower]

What a strange target.

[the worst]

are pops pp or chem incentivised to kill NUbers?

[the worst]

What a strange target.

yeah this exactly

[popsofctown]

I know I said I am 90% sure that being able to change the list breaks the Monty Hall
But now I'm like 60% sure
like, does putting protect at L-1 and forcing scum to change the list create something that is equivalent to selecting a door? or does it create something equivalent to that door no longer being among the doors of interest and thereby becoming moot?

It's kind of important, if the monty hall effect isn't removed, the worst is less likely than normal to be scum now, if the monty hall effect is removed, there is only an infinitesimal extent to which he's different from rand, since Elsa, Bingle and conftown nuubers were the ones who were inactive so he's only less likely to be scum if it's exactly Elsa Bingle

Does the statement "less likely to be scum" even have meaning if it's contingent on naming an entire scumteam which sets everyone else to 0?

my brain a;lskdjf;ajlpqeoprq

I wanted goat memes and Ausuka is just posting these diagrams that make me feel like a dumbass



however she has changed her avatar to Misdreavus
So I kind of feel like I have my win condition no matter what
Misdreavus is majestic

[NU Ubers]

Us getting poison makes me think PP is scum.

Picking us is meme-worthy. Wtf is Pops doing? Let me look at something.

(PS - Is F2 any good?)

~Sala

4 P-Edits: LET ME POST FUCKING

[PenguinPower]

Us getting poison makes me think PP is scum.

? why...

[popsofctown]

What was the unstrange target for an NK in this list?

[the worst]

my vanity is flaring up so i'm just gonna get this off my chest

was i actually protected there?

[PenguinPower]

What was the unstrange target for an NK in this list?

Pretty much anyone other than the hydra.

[PenguinPower]

my vanity is flaring up so i'm just gonna get this off my chest

was i actually protected there?

Do you think Nu Ubers would have been anyone's first choice for a kill?

[the worst]

What was the unstrange target for an NK in this list?

Like anyone other than NUbers tbh

[NU Ubers]

Us getting poison makes me think PP is scum.

? why...

my vanity is flaring up so i'm just gonna get this off my chest

was i actually protected there?

Do you think Nu Ubers would have been anyone's first choice for a kill?

Thanks for answering

[popsofctown]

When Bingle gets here I want him to help me figure out whether tw actually has a murky sanity cop clear effect even if an active player was scum

I am confused enough to need help but not confused enough that scum!Bingle would feel safe giving me inadequate assistance, both Bingles have to crack it for me

[the worst]

Do you think Nu Ubers would have been anyone's first choice for a kill?

that's kinda what i'm wondering

i'm interested to see why you're pinging NUbers - my mind went to pops for a second after her post about the sala/spamposting thing

don't really think that's very damning tho and she's also probably just town

[PenguinPower]

That's not really an answer - and you definitely wouldn't have been my first choice.

[the worst]

Sala what's got you sussing PP?

[popsofctown]

I think your mileage may vary on whether Gamma can clear his own slot as town but I haven't been scared of him as a solver, no offense. But I know Salamence played lots and lots here, but it was while I was on hiatus. I assume he's good so it's at least as good as 2 gammas and a good shot?
Is there a standard accepted MD reasons shooting hydras is bad?

[NU Ubers]

Idk feels like a grudge kill to me.

PP was here during hammer so he could have adjusted the list but then why us over pops/bingle?

[PenguinPower]

Why do you think I have a grudge? I don't even know you.

[popsofctown]

My stance to any opinions on my guestimations on PP's characteristics is "stand corrected" btw. Mostly inferences about "average players" and how threadcheck frequency relates to post frequency.
Or worse underestimating his post frequency due to the length of his posts

Hopefully if I call PP "not a wallposter" that's not a mischaracterization

[NU Ubers]

Gun to my head right now I think its Bingle/Chemist (TW was top, we were second)

I need to stop talking until I can reread and get with my other head.

~Sala

[the worst]

yeah, i'm leaning into quieter slots as well

i'm kinda thinking after all the noise i made yday about being mislynchable and a bad n1 kill i might have swung over the nk through sheer wifom but picking NUbers in that vacuum doesn't feel like a conscious decision - it felt to me like a ?compromise? kill

basically i don't feel like the list was switched

nubers are obviously cleared; i also think pops and pp are more than likely town

[PenguinPower]

My stance to any opinions on my guestimations on PP's characteristics is "stand corrected" btw. Mostly inferences about "average players" and how threadcheck frequency relates to post frequency.
Or worse underestimating his post frequency due to the length of his posts

Hopefully if I call PP "not a wallposter" that's not a mischaracterization

I'm going to start wallposting now.

[the worst]

i'm going to write all of my posts via this tool from now on.