Open 770: Monty Hall Mafia (Game Over)

[popsofctown]

Ej ignored my question too

Someone else ignored one of my questions this game was it EJ? Let me look up

[popsofctown]

It was but he eventually answered.

EJ why can't I get stuff from you in such a quiet game?

[the worst]

Frozen 2 is bored. I don't think his alignment is gonna really poke through all that much for a minute

[PenguinPower]

VOTE: Chemist

[Bingle]

Spoiler: Potential townslips. Not trustworthy per se, but I don't see 2 scum in these three.

i can give my full reasoning if needed but i'd probably rather not

of everyone i think bingle is someone who's well known enough and has a formidable enough presence as town that most scumteams would at least seriously considering submitting him as a delayed n0 kill.
there are other considerations but i don't really regard them as consistently probable as bungle.

Alright, since I replaced into a slot, I can't say anybody would target me for some reason since I didn't exist yet. Lovebird is someone I dont know, but I'm just gonna pray they aren't important to most of ya so I can just survive day 1.

This is me defaulting and refusing the n1 protection btw. I also refuse the day 1 lynch but that's obvious.

Too protect, i uh... Theres so many dang replacements I can't tell who was up for selection during the mafia pre-game phase.

Lovebird, Chemist, and Gamma plus 1 I see were garunteed, atleast. I think Pop too? Actually I think I just want the list of people who were on the selection for the pre-game first.

@mod

was the kill list locked before or after replacements?

also i'll spam post because both bingle and pp would put off reading the thread longer if it seems like there's more to have to read

not salamence though I think he'd eat that ish up

Nope.

A nonzero component of my motivation was Bingle was kind of resonating about protect phase being so crappy and harder to dayplay through and get good reads going and that was resonating with me.

Monty Hall and activity lolhammer motivations are fancier though.

Probably town.


The fact that I don't see two scum in Duck/Chem/EJ means the PoE pool of me/EJ/Chem is pretty

Someone walk me through why that pool exists in the first place, given that we have a mechanical PoE pool that has literally two more players and the wagon doesn't seem particularly unlikely to contain scum.

My Monty Hall Math was off, btw, but not because of monty hall but because I was working with a 9 player assumption (not sure why).

Ducky has a 2/7 chance of being scum. Anyone else chosen has a 2/6 chance, via Monty Hall math. Now, in future days, the player who we protect should also be the one we least suspect because they are also the one who can't be conftowned, but for today with the low information? Flashwagoning was definitely the right choice.

VOTE: PP

Questions?

[PenguinPower]

Oooh - spicy. Bingle rolled scum.

gj duck.

[Ausuka]

Vote Count 1.6

Monty Hall even got into xkcd! It's culturally relevant!

Chemist1422 (2)

- the worst, PenguinPower

PenguinPower (1)

- Bingle

Not Voting (4)

~ NU Ubers, Chemist1422, popsofctown, Elsa Jay

With 7 alive, it takes 4 to lynch.

The deadline is in (expired on 2019-12-20 17:44:06)

[popsofctown]

^^

[PenguinPower]

What a great mod.

[popsofctown]

Bingle, presuming you townread yourself, you have 5 townreads. It's logically consistent that you voted the player you don't townread. But I'm a little bit concerned about the cognitive consistency in calling me "probably town" if I'm the only player who both hasn't townslipped and isn't a flightless bird.
I was townreading you earlier, help me with how this isn't a perspective slip

[Chemist1422]

Bingle, presuming you townread yourself, you have 5 townreads. It's logically consistent that you voted the player you don't townread. But I'm a little bit concerned about the cognitive consistency in calling me "probably town" if I'm the only player who both hasn't townslipped and isn't a flightless bird.
I was townreading you earlier, help me with how this isn't a perspective slip

I mean he said “potential townslips” which has the same implications as “probably town”

[PenguinPower]

Hi, Bingle. You seem to have a different username and avatar today.

[the worst]

Chemist1422 is a distant descendant of Bungle, Generations of tweaks to the original model, but they can't shake the biological impulse to respond to the name Bingle.

[Elsa Jay]

Chemist1422 is a distant descendant of Bungle

Where can I find this Bungle?

[Elsa Jay]

VOTE: Chemist

I wanna see if someone actually hammers him.

[Chemist1422]

do I count as someone

[Elsa Jay]

If you wanna hammer yourself then be my guest?

That's a weird question to ask.

[PenguinPower]

@mod: V/LA through Sunday

[popsofctown]

Elsa, please unvote. I definitely don't want to remove Gamma from the game before he's had a chance to make reads after getting NKed even if Salamence has writer's block

[Chemist1422]

I'm not actually hammering myself tbh

But it's quite rude of y'all to put me to L-1 before I said I'd be available

[PenguinPower]

You're typing a lot of words for not being available, Bingle.

[the worst]

VOTE: Bungle

[the worst]

idrk about bungle
rather this than unvote tho

[PenguinPower]

I got 8-Ball vibes from his last post tbh.

[the worst]

Tbh I think I see what you're seeing. I'm not sure if that kind of mindset off one post from vla!Bungle is like /explicitly/ scum inductive but I like the idea of squeezing him harder.