Reads
[Sorted]
Hectic
The way Hectic dealt with the proposed Train Cop strategies appeared like a genuine attempt at finding a solution. A lot of his posts just come off as natural. His interaction with Spring felt like genuine frustration. The way Farkset treated Hectic came off as a pocket attempt.
SpringRaven
I think
112 comes from town. I don't think scum would openly role fish at that point, particularly because she had yet to establish her persona.
I also believe her reaction in
114 and
116 were genuine.
1625 by Raven seems genuine, which would clear Spring as not-mafia since she didn't lose any XP from the capture. However, there is the potential that she was coached.
Pink
From
794: "I don't know, that's why I'm not endorsing any capture yet (I mean I'm on Pine but that's not real)." The honesty of the parenthetical bit gives me the impression of a sorting/non-agenda driven mindset. The timing of the read of his mastina slot feels genuine.
Pine
The mistake with his action seems genuine. I think all the town reads on him also point to him being town. My only thing is his role seems quite broken if scum doesn't have a way to counter it.
LadyCreature
After reviewing Chloe's play, I don't think she was scum. All her posts were well-reasoned and consistent. My only concern with her play is that her read suddenly changed on Farkran during the time I began to case him. Additionally, her entrance today appeared flustered as if she wasn't expecting the Fark flip. She was asking a bunch of questions that didn't really make sense. Lastly, I think this user is a perfectionist when it comes to scum play, and that she tends to lose motivation when things don't pan out as she expects. However, my concerns are more speculative and her play throughout Day 1 is enough to override those concerns. I am also willing to trust Hectic's read on Creature.
[Investigate]
Ginnie
I am town reading based on the reasoning in
1575. I suppose this read is weaker, however, if MastinaKnight is scum. Knight's preoccupation with Ginnie reads as SvS. So we could look here is MastinaKnight is scum. If MastinaKnight is town, then I'd stick with Ginnie as town.
Raya
She has sufficiently addressed my case. However, I still think she has high scum equity.
[Lynch]
MastinaKnight
Her justification for vote in
613 is disingenuous. I think the associations with Fark lead to her being scum (see below). I also trust Pink's read.
MomoSae
On the town side, I don't think
146 comes from scum. In particular, the line "On the disable strongman? Why would you choose this" isn't something I think comes from the sort of self-consciousness that comes with being scum. Additionally, I dove into momo's meta and his scum play is quite different. On the scum side, in his answer to #3 in
974, he is agreed with Farkran's
454 which was scummy and didn't make sense. And he is agreed that Hectic townslipped for townreading Spring's ordering of the questers, which also does not make sense. Thinking about this more, I do think we should lynch here.
Disassociations
[D1] LadyCreature ~= MastinaKnight:
75 isn't the type of reaction a partner!Chloe would have I don't think.
[D2] SpringRaven ~= MastinaKnight:
228 nice followup to a suspicion. More followup in
235.
[D3] SpringRaven ~= Farkset:
238 is similar in tone and appearance to Farkset's
90 regarding FotC. Both are hedgey scum reads.
[D4] SpringRaven ~= Farkset:
241 is Farkset attempting to lower the confidence of Spring town reads. This is why I think the Farkset + Spring + Mastina solve is incorrect
@NK
. If Farkset was bussing, I don't think he would have actively 1-on-1 attempt to change people's town read (even if Mastina was his mate).
[D5] SpringRaven ~= Farkset:
246 is a TMI read from Kerset. He knows Spring is town and so was failing to attribute his play to mafia.
@NK
[D6] Hectic ~= Farkset:
291 is riding Hectic's coattails.
[D7] Hectic ~= Farkset:
49 and
50 read as TvS.
[D8] Hectic ~= SpringRaven: Hectic's ISO 60-64 appear as genuine frustration.
[D9] Pine ~= Farkset:
577 spews town Pine.
[D10] Ginnie ~= MastinaKnight:
627 and
629, I don't think Mastina would feel the need to voice that slip up if her and Ginnie were partners. And I don't think Ginnie would have had this reaction either, which seems natural.
Associations
[A1] Farkset = At least 1 of MastinaKnight or LadyCreature:
240 is a partner interaction I think based on the difference in tone with the way he addressed other players. I'm not certain if it is Farkset addressing his partner or Farkset talking
about
his partner. Because of D1 above, it cannot be both. Except maybe I'm wrong about D1. Farkset's
105 leads me to suspect that he was attempting to disassociate the two. And Mastina does like to bus.
I think it's unlikely Farkset defends scum!Lady here against town!Mastina, so it is either just scum Mastina or both scum Mastina and Chloe.
Conclusion
I think the team is either Knight + {Ali/Raya/Ginnie} or Ali + Raya.
I don't think I buy Knight being at 1 XP and not having mentioned that he was blocked.
My instinct is leaning me toward Ali, however.
VOTE: Alisae
