Where my head is at after not paying any attention to Mafia for a while (this is my only game, so nothing doing during freeze) is I am fairly certain there are 1 or 2 experienced scum playing a "wreck havoc" strategy by lots of misinterpretation and OMGUS and keeping it confusing. Basically I am suggesting the opposite of Titus's theory is happening. Scum aren't waiting it out - they are creating havoc through activity and making D1 almost impossible.
The problem here, though, is this strategy is being beautifully (from scum's POV) confounded with genuine misinterpretations and confusion.In post 2382, Titus wrote:Namely, my theory is that town are going to town on each other and scum are waiting it out.
This does support my Scum!Norwegian scenario, so I still think my vote there is ok, but it's not doing anything as I don't think anyone wants to eliminate them. It also moves my read of people like Nero, and more recently 72/Titus towards, er, the scum end of the spectrum.
As such I would be comfortable flipping anyone in [Norwegian, JV, Hiraki (previous reads), Titus, 72].