FGO: Mafia in the Lostbelt (Game Over!)


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Post Post #3025 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 3:11 pm

Post by Cabd »

Vote Count D2-16


With 12 players alive, it will take 7 votes to eliminate a player.

Saber (5): Lancer, Beast, Assassin, Alter Ego, Caster
Moon Cancer (2): Berserker, Saber
Ruler (1): Foreigner
Lancer (1): Avenger

Phase Page Usage: 32/60

Day two will end in: (expired on 2020-09-27 22:00:00)

Currently in COVID hell, population: Entire Household
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Post Post #3026 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 3:43 pm

Post by Servant Assassin »

UNVOTE:

VOTE: Ruler

Was hoping to hear a little more from Saber but shrug. This might be a terrible vote if it's green but do think there's a decentish chance it's red given reads elsewhere and they seem exceptionally unlikely to clear themselves via posting. Also general lack of pressure here says decent chance scum wanted to keep the slot alive and given that I'm nervous about most of the other votes now think this is fine.
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Post Post #3027 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 3:50 pm

Post by Servant Rider »

Yeet yeet shit delete

VOTE: Ruler
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Post Post #3028 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 3:57 pm

Post by Servant Avenger »

VOTE: Ruler

Did not rule.
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Post Post #3029 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:05 pm

Post by Servant Alter Ego »

In post 3022, Servant Avenger wrote:What's the bucket thing about?
A bookmark in my iso for later.
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Post Post #3030 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:06 pm

Post by Servant Rider »

In post 3029, Servant Alter Ego wrote:
In post 3022, Servant Avenger wrote:What's the bucket thing about?
A bookmark in my iso for later.
Madame Sheep, your shepherd is calling and requires your vote for a certain servant he finds lacking in... presence.
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Post Post #3031 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:15 pm

Post by Servant Alter Ego »

Not quite here, but will be soon. Internet is lagging a bit.

VOTE: Ruler
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Post Post #3032 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:16 pm

Post by Servant Assassin »

Also suddenly feeling like Ruler 3 was really trying to stall for time in their latest posts rather than say anything substantive and hoper it would buy them a day of survival.

Fine with a hammer anytime, don't care about a claim, don't have time for it anymore.
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Post Post #3033 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:21 pm

Post by Servant Avenger »

The less you say the cooler you look/the less dumb you look when the flip happens.

thingsthatdontmatter.txt

He could be the resident miselim through a dearth of interactions with the scum team leading back to him. But it's had to say. There's not much in the way of leads if he flips scum tho.
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Post Post #3034 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:22 pm

Post by Servant Avenger »

E-2. I think.
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Post Post #3035 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:25 pm

Post by Servant Assassin »

My reads aren't really changed from anything I've stated earlier bu I've significantly less confidence in a lot of them just because I've doubts about Beast, Lancer, and even Saber to an extent and really do not feel like all scum has to be within that group. Definitely don't think they're all in there. If I'm not here, don't take my word as gospel, be willing to re-evaluate.

And if I do die...it's been an honor and a pleasure. Good luck.
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Post Post #3036 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:30 pm

Post by Servant Assassin »

In post 3033, Servant Avenger wrote:The less you say the cooler you look/the less dumb you look when the flip happens.

thingsthatdontmatter.txt

He could be the resident miselim through a dearth of interactions with the scum team leading back to him. But it's had to say. There's not much in the way of leads if he flips scum tho.
Pretty much but I don't really expect he'd ever allow us to get leads so it's not like there's a point in keeping him around if he's scum.

fwiw, this is a wild guess, but I'd suspect Archer only chose 1 teammate to put in their list of scumreads and if Ruler flips red I'd feel better about Caster/Beast. Although Archer pretty much ignored both Ruler and Beast. Hrm.
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Post Post #3037 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:39 pm

Post by Servant Moon Cancer »

I thought Ruler *might* be scum just due to the fact nobody was trying to steer it towards him but based on play, not really seeing it.
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Post Post #3038 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 4:50 pm

Post by Servant Assassin »

And how do you feel about Saber, ass of right now?
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Post Post #3039 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:01 pm

Post by Servant Alter Ego »

I still have pretty much the same issues with saber.
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Post Post #3040 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:02 pm

Post by Servant Moon Cancer »

The same as I did before. I don't think he's done any real analysis (beyond the stuff I called "rigid" which is just... easy, not really an attempt to figure out motivations). The towniest stuff he's done so far is appeals lol - I'm weak to the whole "I've done all I can - it's up to you guys!!" approach even though I know it's not really a town approach.

I thought Saber v1 was OK but the towniest thing he did was the eureka moment but there was no followup to that.

Actually was hoping he'd claim just because I have some theories about what scum are going to claim in this game.

TL;DR is he's still in my POE pool, I just don't have 100% confidence on the read.
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Post Post #3041 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:07 pm

Post by Servant Moon Cancer »

Also, re: the last minute eureka moment, I don't really believe he thought what he did about it unless he was sure scum picked up on it too? But considering he apparently only saw it at the last minute, it seems a bit of a stretch for him to suddenly go "oh!!! scum were definitely avoiding avenger" particularly when he was scum-reading avenger outside of that? That whole thing is a bit off the more I think about it.
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Post Post #3042 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:22 pm

Post by Servant Assassin »

All right. Wasn't sure if I needed to flip out on you or not. I remember liking Saber V1 a fair bit. The idea of him trying to trap people who were avoiding voting Avenger but townreading him is a little funny considering he was skeptical of Avenger for a lot of the phase. Could have been an excuse for setting people up but meh.
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Post Post #3043 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:34 pm

Post by Servant Caster »

Please hold.
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Post Post #3044 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:39 pm

Post by Servant Assassin »

In post 3043, Servant Caster wrote:Please hold.
?
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Post Post #3045 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:40 pm

Post by Servant Caster »

Okay so. I was planning to do some cute bullshit with my messenger tomorrow to get some input from probably avenger if I should out but now I have to out.

On night 1, expecting to be eliminated day 2, I chose to use my self-loverize ability to effectively vig Ruler. We are now lovers. In this situation with me escaping the gallows, i have instead vigged myself. I wish this wagon had been slower, as it would have been fascinating to see how scum potentially worked around knowing this info.

This is what i was asking about at EOD1 as well as the terrible (suicidal) action i would have taken were i scum.

I'm potentially fine with this going through, as unfortunately I'm just doomed at this point, but know that you are killing me as well.
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Post Post #3046 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:42 pm

Post by Servant Moon Cancer »

The idea of trying to trap people who were avoiding voting Avenger only really works if all the people who were both avoiding voting Avenger and scum were doing it for the reason he thought they were doing it. But unless you think Avenger is town (he didn't at the time) and scum noticed it (he didn't until the last minute apparently), it's a fruitless avenue to explore outside of making note of it and coming back to it later if Avenger is town (from his POV). But he never really ended up doing anything with it anyway.

TBH I might just be wrong about Ruler seeming town purely due to POE (haven't really looked at whether I can construct a team that makes sense based on interactions that doesn't include him). But I suppose I'll talk about what I think he's said that was town in a bit.

It's mostly small things though that I doubt will convince anyone to change their mind. e.g. I thought Ruler v2 getting upset about being called deadweight scum (that ended with him saying "baby is good scum") was probably genuine and something I'm not sure he makes a point of as scum. I also got the opposite impression that Alter Ego seems to have gotten about his interactions with her seeming off. I need to go for a walk, I'll probably read and think along the way, but won't really be posting as much for an hour because I cbf changing my MS account on my phone.
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Post Post #3047 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:43 pm

Post by Servant Avenger »

:facepalm:
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Post Post #3048 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:43 pm

Post by Servant Avenger »

UNVOTE:
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Post Post #3049 (ISO) » Sat Sep 26, 2020 5:44 pm

Post by Servant Assassin »

UNVOTE:

Fucksake. I am really displeased with this. Okay, we're voting one of Saber or Lancer now.

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