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Post Post #4750 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 12:55 pm

Post by GFITAC »

Okay that reading felt more uneventful than it should have imo.
Does anyone want to real-time interact with me?
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Post Post #4751 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 1:04 pm

Post by Deacon Blues »

I'm here.

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Post Post #4752 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:02 pm

Post by GFITAC »

Who seems like scum here rn? What about on the other side? Also, you mentioned superb claimed but I don't recall anything about that and scanning his ISO yielded nothing.
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Post Post #4753 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:22 pm

Post by Deacon Blues »

In post 4752, GFITAC wrote:Who seems like scum here rn? What about on the other side? Also, you mentioned superb claimed but I don't recall anything about that and scanning his ISO yielded nothing.
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I can't think of a way to talk about this that isn't bad. If I'm wrong and Superbowl wants to correct me, fine.

I'm scumreading pooky, skitter, and to a lesser extent midway and you. Midway's level of engagement today so far is troubling in and of itself. Your claim gave me bad vibes.

I'm feeling cautious about LLD in part due to the concerns that Tammy had about her, though Cabd's town read there carries a lot of weight with me.
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Post Post #4754 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:26 pm

Post by GFITAC »

alright. Most of that seems fair.
What about my claim pings you? I maaaybe can understand but it felt innocuous imo
debbie stated to me he thinks SS is scum, and I feel like with a lack of suspicions rn, and with no real hard vibe from SS, I think that's something I want to put out for discussion.
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Post Post #4755 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:42 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

In post 4687, Deacon Blues wrote:
In post 4682, superbowl9 wrote:Also, are we turnstyling skittle today or not?
I am strongly on team no-turnstile in the Reverse thread. Today gives the Forwards thread 2 last chances to clear scum out. Moving one of our scumreads to their thread today uses up one of those chances and forces them to eliminate or sort our problem rather than a problem of their own on the last day where they have a chance to IC their player list. That benefits the whole game, both threads if it happens. Even if scum have a lot of control here before the threads come together, that will be a big pile of ICs to NK through, and the town from both threads will be able to work together more effectively during the day.

I know there's a lot of discussion in the forwards thread about how to optimize today and we don't have control of what they decide. We can refuse to add complexity to that situation, though.

It's hard to predict what might have changed NachoTammy's minds about the gamestate today, but I don't see anything so far that negates the plan they came up with on N1 for the forwards thread and the turnstile.

Starting Day 3, we should definitely look at eliming the strongest scumreads from both threads and using the turnstile to facilitate that if there's not a stronger reason to move townread PR claims to a thread where they can use that ability.

bork and I are not entirely of one mind on who to elim, and it comes down to different playstyles and how we form reads. I support what he's doing to generate the data he needs. This is why we moved from elim-voting skitter to pooky. I scumread them both and am more worried about skitter. bork is more worried about pooky.
Okay I will try to respectfully object to this plan with logic I think you can agree with.

1. We have 3 people who want to be turnstyled, and 3 days to get them all over.
2. Turnstyling skittle puts our thread in a great spot because we have another consensus elim option (pooky)
3. The plan has the same efficacy done from either thread, so if we turnstyle + elim it gives us the same info/scenario
4. Sending skittle over allows her to use her power if she is town. If she isn't town, then sending her over gives us the best chance of getting the IC scenario anyways
5. In the likely outcome that the IC plan does not work, the plan should put both threads in a good place. Sending skittle over (whether they choose to elim her or not) and limming pooky here accomplishes this goal.
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Post Post #4756 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:44 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

^the only argument I have heard against this are "trust the plan" and "we don't want skitter over here" (in which case they can lim her, so also not valid)
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Post Post #4757 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:45 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

In post 4753, Deacon Blues wrote:I can't think of a way to talk about this that isn't bad. If I'm wrong and Superbowl wants to correct me, fine.
I think you are wrong but also I'm not talking about it. And shame on you gamma for asking this what possible benefit could come from that?
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Post Post #4758 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:50 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

In post 3585, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 4755, superbowl9 wrote:4. Sending skittle over allows her to use her power if she is town. If she isn't town, then sending her over gives us the best chance of getting the IC scenario anyways
That is not true....

It is. The confirmation of one scum in a thread doesn't make one thread any more likely to have more scum. We already know both threads have at least 1 scum anyways - you are committing a fallacy here. It does, however, mean the "send over scum" part of the plan is guaranteed to happen, meaning the chances of the plan working do actually increase.
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Post Post #4759 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:52 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

In post 3586, Dunnstral wrote:"just lim her" still wastes one of our chances
Again you're assuming your thread is closer to 0 scum than ours. We don't know either way. I could say you sending over A50 would be "wasting our elim"
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Post Post #4760 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:55 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

In post 3591, Annie Edison wrote:If we get all cleared by sending a50 then please do send skitter and we’ll handle it.

But don’t hamstring us.
We could say the same to you about sending skitter - this is all reads based. My plan gives a claimed PR a chance to use powers and sets us up for success in future days, yours does not though.
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Post Post #4761 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:56 pm

Post by Deacon Blues »

GFITAC wrote:alright. Most of that seems fair.
What about my claim pings you? I maaaybe can understand but it felt innocuous imo
debbie stated to me he thinks SS is scum, and I feel like with a lack of suspicions rn, and with no real hard vibe from SS, I think that's something I want to put out for discussion.
-BCCorp
Protective claims under duress always squick me a little because they play to town's wishful thinking. bodyguard is a claim that has a shelf life, which makes it less useful to scum for getting deep into the game, which is a mitigating point imo.

Who did you bodyguard last night?
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Post Post #4762 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 2:57 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

In post 3592, Annie Edison wrote:We aren’t even telling you to elim a50 we just want to see if it confirms us all. It’s not wasting your elim.

If a50 does confirm us all as town I want superb to go.
We aren't saying you need to elim skitter either - anything you say we can say the exact same things, but our side doing it sets us up better even if it doesn't work.
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Post Post #4763 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:00 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

In post 3594, Spiffeh wrote:@superbowl say Almost50 is turnstiled over to you guys and that does not confirm this thread as all town

Who do you think should be limmed over here?
Exactly, I'm not so sure you have a great option right now. On the other hand our thread has 2 people we would like to kill (or, in skittle's case, at least send to the other thread so that she can use her role). Which is why my plan is setting us up better even if it fails (which we all admit, this plan is pretty likely to fail)
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Post Post #4764 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:00 pm

Post by Deacon Blues »

In post 4755, superbowl9 wrote:
In post 4687, Deacon Blues wrote:
In post 4682, superbowl9 wrote:Also, are we turnstyling skittle today or not?
I am strongly on team no-turnstile in the Reverse thread. Today gives the Forwards thread 2 last chances to clear scum out. Moving one of our scumreads to their thread today uses up one of those chances and forces them to eliminate or sort our problem rather than a problem of their own on the last day where they have a chance to IC their player list. That benefits the whole game, both threads if it happens. Even if scum have a lot of control here before the threads come together, that will be a big pile of ICs to NK through, and the town from both threads will be able to work together more effectively during the day.

I know there's a lot of discussion in the forwards thread about how to optimize today and we don't have control of what they decide. We can refuse to add complexity to that situation, though.

It's hard to predict what might have changed NachoTammy's minds about the gamestate today, but I don't see anything so far that negates the plan they came up with on N1 for the forwards thread and the turnstile.

Starting Day 3, we should definitely look at eliming the strongest scumreads from both threads and using the turnstile to facilitate that if there's not a stronger reason to move townread PR claims to a thread where they can use that ability.

bork and I are not entirely of one mind on who to elim, and it comes down to different playstyles and how we form reads. I support what he's doing to generate the data he needs. This is why we moved from elim-voting skitter to pooky. I scumread them both and am more worried about skitter. bork is more worried about pooky.
Okay I will try to respectfully object to this plan with logic I think you can agree with.

1. We have 3 people who want to be turnstyled, and 3 days to get them all over.
2. Turnstyling skittle puts our thread in a great spot because we have another consensus elim option (pooky)
3. The plan has the same efficacy done from either thread, so if we turnstyle + elim it gives us the same info/scenario
4. Sending skittle over allows her to use her power if she is town. If she isn't town, then sending her over gives us the best chance of getting the IC scenario anyways
5. In the likely outcome that the IC plan does not work, the plan should put both threads in a good place. Sending skittle over (whether they choose to elim her or not) and limming pooky here accomplishes this goal.
I know some things that you don't know at this point.

I'm not going to discuss these things today.

Tomorrow I won't need to discuss these things. Even if I'm dead N2, the info I have will make it into the game. That's why I'm asking you to trust me.
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Post Post #4765 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:02 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

This is 1 more reason I keep asking Deacon + dandelion how confident they are that skitter's claim is false, because based on that if we aren't scum free after turning skittle the the other thread could still lim A50 and let skitter use her night action if town.
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Post Post #4766 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:04 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

That's okay deacon, you don't have to come onboard, but you can't expect me to trust you just like that. I still think my plan is optimal - no one has given me real reasons why it's not the best option. I'm willing to hear people out though still which is why I'm discussing it
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Post Post #4767 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:05 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

In post 3596, Annie Edison wrote:Or, skitter is scum and we give scum an info gathering PR

But sure!
Then you can elim them if you think that's what's going to happen lol
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Post Post #4768 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:05 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

But you turning A50 could be giving him a scum PR as well. You're only considering your side of things Annie
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Post Post #4769 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:06 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

1. We have 3 people who want to be turnstyled, and 3 days to get them all over.


^I think this is the most important point
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Post Post #4770 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:08 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

Which, if you're sending over a SR, puts us in such a bad spot if skittle is green. Then we have A50 and pooky to get through while yall think everyone's obvtown - such a bad gamestate
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Post Post #4771 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:12 pm

Post by superbowl9 »

In post 3598, Annie Edison wrote:Who are the three, superb.
Skitter (watcher), Firebringer (cop), and me.
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Post Post #4772 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:17 pm

Post by skitter30 »

Fire, once again, was a meme
Show
Hiatus once more.

'skitter is fucking terrifying' ~ town-bork about scum-me

'Skitter [was] terrifying to play against ngl' ~ scum-bork about town-me

'Going into lylo against scum!skit unprepared is like having someone force feed you dull razor blades. It's painful, and once it starts, you're pretty much dead' ~ NMSA

'Skitter you're a spirit animal's spirit animal' ~ slaxx
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Post Post #4773 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:20 pm

Post by midwaybear »

I've been lurking around. My reads are mostly the same. I'm pretty sure Firebringer is cop though?
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Post Post #4774 (ISO) » Wed Dec 23, 2020 3:21 pm

Post by skitter30 »

He formally retracted it ...
Show
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'skitter is fucking terrifying' ~ town-bork about scum-me

'Skitter [was] terrifying to play against ngl' ~ scum-bork about town-me

'Going into lylo against scum!skit unprepared is like having someone force feed you dull razor blades. It's painful, and once it starts, you're pretty much dead' ~ NMSA

'Skitter you're a spirit animal's spirit animal' ~ slaxx

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