Situation Room [Game Over!]


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Post Post #2400 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 2:14 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

I think we can get around the is-ought problem here by rephrasing the question into

"Do you think that leashing neighborhoods today will increase town's chances of winning the game"

then we're only asking an empirical question that we could reason about or find evidence to support

Of course it can and will be a huge debate still on whether we
"should"
increase town's chances of winning the game via leashing neighborhoods, but I'd theoretically be fine with policy eliminating people who say no if the evidence for leashing improving win % is strong enough. Unfortunately I suspect that we don't have such rigorous/strong evidence.
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Post Post #2401 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 2:19 pm

Post by GuiltyLion »

anyway that's just a silly thought, the real question here is why Yuri is voting T3 specifically as opposed to say Lavar
"I think I no longer believe in monsters as faces in the floor or feral infants or vampires or whatever. I think at seventeen now I believe the only real monsters might be the type of liar where there's simply no way to tell. The ones who give nothing away"
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Post Post #2402 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 2:24 pm

Post by Dusa »

GL-_]FG-[_-]OP-_-_[B
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Post Post #2403 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 3:06 pm

Post by Bingle »

Dusa is clearly attempting to use some kind of cheat code. What game did you read that LM was active in?

VOTE: Lavar
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Post Post #2404 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 3:21 pm

Post by OkaPoka »

bingle stop dodging the pressing mechanical questions that even obama wants to know about
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Post Post #2405 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:07 pm

Post by Bingle »

In post 2096, Bingle wrote:The wagon today should ideally be the seven towniest people with a roughly even number from each neighborhood, FWIW
This is true. I'm not going to attempt to force it through, because attempting to force it through is the surest way of killing WIM for town.
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Post Post #2406 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:12 pm

Post by OkaPoka »

my WIM is very low as it stands because thinking about limming lavar or t3 is very boring
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Post Post #2407 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 4:15 pm

Post by Dusa »

Haunt the mansion!
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Post Post #2408 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 6:07 pm

Post by Titus »

Lavar is at l minus 2.
Show
The scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx

You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin

GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy

VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.

All hail the Scum Empress!
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Post Post #2409 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 6:25 pm

Post by Bingle »

UNVOTE:

Hm.
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Post Post #2410 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 6:27 pm

Post by Bingle »

Subject: Newbie 2052 | The End
Sirius9121 wrote:
Hello, everyone.

Welcome to Newbie 2052. I am your host, Sirius9121.

The game is in
Day 1
.

Moderated by Sirius9121, backed up by Pookythemagicalbear


PlayersLunar Martian
marcistar
Cook
lenora
shadowslug
HypoSoc
Battle Mage (SE)
YyottaCat (SE)
Not_Mafia (SE)



A · next to their name means they have not confirmed. An asterisk means they have received a prod.


Spoiler: Votecounter Settings
Living PlayersLavarManos (replaces lenora)
shadowslug
HypoSoc
Battle Mage


Dead PlayersLunar Martian
YyottaCat
Cook
Not_Mafia
marcistar


LinksDay 1: Post #4
Day 2: Post #300
Day 3: Post #460
Day 4: Post #529


Deadline2021-02-22 09:41:00 8.00
Dusa, did you read this game?
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Post Post #2411 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 6:27 pm

Post by Bingle »

Also, did you read any town lm games?
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Post Post #2412 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 7:57 pm

Post by Almost50 »

*Yawn*

That's as much enthusiasm I have for this game right now. End the bloody day already. I will stay on T3 regardless.

Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.
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Post Post #2413 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 11:34 pm

Post by Yuri Gagarin »

In post 2401, GuiltyLion wrote:anyway that's just a silly thought, the real question here is why Yuri is voting T3 specifically as opposed to say Lavar
didn't you catch the memo? lazily bussing which is somehow going to win the game
"I see no VTs up here"
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Post Post #2414 (ISO) » Mon Jun 28, 2021 11:43 pm

Post by Yuri Gagarin »

In post 2337, GuiltyLion wrote:it doesn't feel like you're really disagreeing with Oka? I don't think A50/UNOwen has enough towncred to be one of the last two players alive here so it feels like you're arguing for both these points simultaneously:

a) you shouldn't be seen as scummy, because you haven't been trying to capitalize/benefit from the easy D1/D2 scum eliminations, and it's wrong to think that scum is likely just coasting to a loss here

but also

b) T3/Lavar both scummy and last scum could be in A50/UNOwen

and I just don't think A50/UNOwen have tried all that hard either, and this b) conclusion feels a little incongruent with your points around a) in debate with Oka

Does that make sense?
Why should we give you credit for clearly not manipulating the gamestate, yet deny any of that credit to UNOwen, for example?
broadly:

maybe it's as easy as both being in T3/lavar

and the final is in A50/Unowen who are at least trying, I think, to look town

I think it is borderline inevitable that those 4 players + me all get limmed and so if that PoE is correct, great, game over

but I think that after limming, let's say, (T3, lavar, me) and hitting 2 scum max the shots are going to start hitting through the PoE and that's when I think assuming there's no gameplay on behalf of scum is dumb and that they aren't setting up with some sort of plan -- essentially it's a request to town not forget about (you, dusa, bingle) once all the "obvious" scum are dead and it becomes apparent that the scum gameplay wasn't "let's just lose"
"I see no VTs up here"
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Post Post #2415 (ISO) » Tue Jun 29, 2021 3:00 am

Post by DrippingGoofball »

I'm pretty sure Yuri is town, if he's scum I will congratulate him.
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Post Post #2416 (ISO) » Tue Jun 29, 2021 4:01 am

Post by Bingle »

Dusa wrote:Haunt the mansion!
In post 2360, Dusa wrote:I looked at the archives in LavarManos's bedroom! I found a game where he was much more chatty!

However!

LavarManos was evil!!!!!
In post 2366, LavarManos wrote:We played in the Haunted Mansion game.
I might be A50 levels of tinfoiling here, but I think this means there’s at least one, possibly two scum in LM/Dusa.

First of all, Dusa apparently went to a game a 8 months ago to look for scum meta of lavar when he had a completed scum game that’s like two weeks old. Second of all, LM somehow knew that this was the game that Dusa had looked at despite the other option being, as noted, two weeks old.
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Post Post #2417 (ISO) » Tue Jun 29, 2021 4:01 am

Post by Bingle »

Thoughts?
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Post Post #2418 (ISO) » Tue Jun 29, 2021 4:06 am

Post by Bingle »

Subject: Mini Theme 2164: Betrayal Mafia I (Game over!)
lilith2013 wrote:
P
LAYER
L
IST:

01. Gamma Emerald*;*
02. SirCakez
03. GeorgeBailey*
04. CreativeMod1*
05.
clidd
Albert B. Rampage
Flavor Leaf
06.
Pine**;**
Chara
LavarManos
07. Bingle
08.
Nosferatu**
DKKoba
09.
DoctorPepper*
I Keep Siteflaking
10.
PenguinPower*
the worst
11. Fun and Games*
12.
Ydrasse
Noraa
Tsunami Slayer
13.
beeboy*;*
JohnnyFarrar
Note: no obvious Dusa involvement to explain the assumption.
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Post Post #2419 (ISO) » Tue Jun 29, 2021 4:09 am

Post by FakeGod »

well Bingle my boy that certainlys looks prety bad but are people who are wrong more likely to be scum

but I did a quick read thru that LavarManos game you linked (newbie 2052) and holy moly they seem like an actual real person in that game
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Post Post #2420 (ISO) » Tue Jun 29, 2021 4:10 am

Post by FakeGod »

god I cannot tell if lavar is checked out townie or checked out scum

but one thing is for sure he is checked out
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Post Post #2421 (ISO) » Tue Jun 29, 2021 4:15 am

Post by Bingle »

In post 2419, FakeGod wrote:well Bingle my boy that certainlys looks prety bad but are people who are wrong more likely to be scum

but I did a quick read thru that LavarManos game you linked (newbie 2052) and holy moly they seem like an actual real person in that game
I’m not saying that anyone is wrong. Having reread both games, I think LM does tend to try hard more as scum.

The issue I take is that Dusa offered vague meta that matched a game that just ended, lm assumed she was describing a game from last year, wouldn’t answer when asked why, and then Dusa was like: “yup, talking about the game from last year!”

I have not completed the meta effort of looking to see if lm also try hards more as town as of right now, but I definitely want thoughts about this interaction. (Not votes though)
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Post Post #2422 (ISO) » Tue Jun 29, 2021 5:04 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 2416, Bingle wrote:First of all, Dusa apparently went to a game a 8 months ago to look for scum meta of lavar when he had a completed scum game that’s like two weeks old. Second of all, LM somehow knew that this was the game that Dusa had looked at despite the other option being, as noted, two weeks old.
I think I see what you mean - if "we" in LavarManos' is referring to Dusa then that's confusing and likely a slip. However, I think Lavar's comment makes more sense in context if you interpret "we" to refer to you, Bingle, because you played with him in that game and his post was immediately after yours. I think this explanation fits better than making all the assumptions that:
1) Dusa's main
also
played in that game
2) a scum!Dusa said in the mafia PT who her real account is
3) Lavar carelessly slipped this information in the main thread.

As for Dusa picking an older scum game instead of the most recent one, I will let Dusa answer her own reasons but I disagree that's likely to mean anything. I can go into my thoughts why after she answers, but I don't want to potentially interfere with her giving an explanation.
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Post Post #2423 (ISO) » Tue Jun 29, 2021 5:06 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 2415, DrippingGoofball wrote:I'm pretty sure Yuri is town, if he's scum I will congratulate him.
I can definitely imagine Yuri town here, but I'm not seeing this as such a strong scumgame that it'd be worthy of congratulation? Two of his teammates would have already died and he's not especially townread or cleared from it?

Kinda makes me think about this Oka post lol:
In post 776, OkaPoka wrote:in fact it should be outrageous whenever townreads you for something silly because that means they think that lowly of your scumgame
"I think I no longer believe in monsters as faces in the floor or feral infants or vampires or whatever. I think at seventeen now I believe the only real monsters might be the type of liar where there's simply no way to tell. The ones who give nothing away"
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Post Post #2424 (ISO) » Tue Jun 29, 2021 5:06 am

Post by GuiltyLion »

In post 2413, Yuri Gagarin wrote:
In post 2401, GuiltyLion wrote:anyway that's just a silly thought, the real question here is why Yuri is voting T3 specifically as opposed to say Lavar
didn't you catch the memo? lazily bussing which is somehow going to win the game
this is funny, but seriously, do you wanna switch to Lavar here?
"I think I no longer believe in monsters as faces in the floor or feral infants or vampires or whatever. I think at seventeen now I believe the only real monsters might be the type of liar where there's simply no way to tell. The ones who give nothing away"

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