Large normal 236 [Game over]
-
-
Dwlee99 They/themSurvivorThey/them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 25777
- Joined: July 3, 2015
- Pronoun: They/them
- Location: Northeast USA
-
-
GrandpaMo HeJack of All TradesHe
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5057
- Joined: December 31, 2020
- Pronoun: He
- Location: do people ever use this for their actual location lol
thats why u had matching pfps with scumIn post 1876, NorwegianboyEE wrote:How can you type texts that i can read word for word, yet feel like i didn't actually read anything.-
-
GrandpaMo HeJack of All TradesHe
- Jack of All Trades
- Jack of All Trades
- Posts: 5057
- Joined: December 31, 2020
- Pronoun: He
- Location: do people ever use this for their actual location lol
tell me why i thought u were like radiant at firstIn post 2175, charlemagne wrote:
koba can you like. respond to this pleaseIn post 2161, charlemagne wrote:
This seems like really, really poor reasoning. If you're town, your priors of getting the entire scum team from a random sampling of three players (out of 14 not including you) is 3/14*2/13*1/12 or 0.27%. There can't beIn post 2153, DkKoba wrote:the thing is no matter what you do, short of voting a very likely townie - it will be something i want because I am 95% sure i have PoE'd the whole scum teamthatmany people you consider mechanically town—I'm not sure exactly what you believe, but I don't think that you've said anyone is locktown except House/Titus (correct me if I'm wrong.) That leaves 12 others, so a 3/12*2/11*1/10 or a 0.45% chance of guessing three players and having them being a scumteam. Koba, you're saying you're 95% sure you've PoE'd the whole scum team, which means that your reads based off meta+flips are somehowone hundred and ninety times better than random.I really don't understand how you get there, because I don't think that any player in existence (including xyz top amazing wonderful beautiful scumhunters, or even top amazing scumhunters who are intimately familiar with the meta of every player in the game) can be 190x +rand.
Can you walk the rest of the players in this game through the process where you go from the priors to your current state of confidence? Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and honestly I haven't seen those thought processes spelled out where anyone here can be anywhere near as confident as you in your claims.
I'm really conflicted here. To the best of my knowledge you have a reputation for being overconfident/tunneling like this in games when you are town, so I'm hesitant to say this is especially scum indicative, but on the other hand I'd think town you should know better.-
-
charlemagne Townie
- Townie
- Townie
- Posts: 97
- Joined: October 1, 2021
This is really interesting data. Where did you get it from, what are the sample sizes, and are there any potential biases/confounding factors that weren't controlled for? My only real concern is that it's in a mini, but this is sufficient evidence that my anecdotal hypothesis was wrong and ranny is slightly +rand scum
-
-
charlemagne Townie
- Townie
- Townie
- Posts: 97
- Joined: October 1, 2021
?In post 2202, GrandpaMo wrote:
tell me why i thought u were like radiant at firstIn post 2175, charlemagne wrote:
koba can you like. respond to this pleaseIn post 2161, charlemagne wrote:
This seems like really, really poor reasoning. If you're town, your priors of getting the entire scum team from a random sampling of three players (out of 14 not including you) is 3/14*2/13*1/12 or 0.27%. There can't beIn post 2153, DkKoba wrote:the thing is no matter what you do, short of voting a very likely townie - it will be something i want because I am 95% sure i have PoE'd the whole scum teamthatmany people you consider mechanically town—I'm not sure exactly what you believe, but I don't think that you've said anyone is locktown except House/Titus (correct me if I'm wrong.) That leaves 12 others, so a 3/12*2/11*1/10 or a 0.45% chance of guessing three players and having them being a scumteam. Koba, you're saying you're 95% sure you've PoE'd the whole scum team, which means that your reads based off meta+flips are somehowone hundred and ninety times better than random.I really don't understand how you get there, because I don't think that any player in existence (including xyz top amazing wonderful beautiful scumhunters, or even top amazing scumhunters who are intimately familiar with the meta of every player in the game) can be 190x +rand.
Can you walk the rest of the players in this game through the process where you go from the priors to your current state of confidence? Extraordinary claims require extraordinary evidence, and honestly I haven't seen those thought processes spelled out where anyone here can be anywhere near as confident as you in your claims.
I'm really conflicted here. To the best of my knowledge you have a reputation for being overconfident/tunneling like this in games when you are town, so I'm hesitant to say this is especially scum indicative, but on the other hand I'd think town you should know better.-
-
Dwlee99 They/themSurvivorThey/them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 25777
- Joined: July 3, 2015
- Pronoun: They/them
- Location: Northeast USA
viewtopic.php?f=5&t=87263
But probably avoid commenting in this thread til the game is over cause I'm posting it hereI prefer they, thanks :)-
-
Dwlee99 They/themSurvivorThey/them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 25777
- Joined: July 3, 2015
- Pronoun: They/them
- Location: Northeast USA
-
-
Gamma Emerald AnySurvivorAny
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 69109
- Joined: August 9, 2016
- Pronoun: Any
- Location: Hell on Earth (aka Texas)
-
-
charlemagne Townie
- Townie
- Townie
- Posts: 97
- Joined: October 1, 2021
-
-
Dwlee99 They/themSurvivorThey/them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 25777
- Joined: July 3, 2015
- Pronoun: They/them
- Location: Northeast USA
-
-
House Survivor
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 19605
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Location: Home of Top Gun
!
-
-
Gamma Emerald AnySurvivorAny
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 69109
- Joined: August 9, 2016
- Pronoun: Any
- Location: Hell on Earth (aka Texas)
I skipped several pages to save time and I see vote analysis stuff, what’s the deal with it?
<Embrace The Void>
“A flipped coin doesn't always land heads or tails. Sometimes it may never land at all...”-
-
Titus She/herMoon WalkerShe/her
- Moon Walker
- Moon Walker
- Posts: 80307
- Joined: May 3, 2013
- Pronoun: She/her
Koba, while I get having fun with House, proposing a setup where someone doing nothing butactively trollingis the nightkill needs a lot more justification. It also can be extrapolated to the game state at large.
I'd like to see you do that.
However, House is NOT a doctor. We are as we've claimed.ShowThe scum had the misfortune of Titus being absurdly accurate on day one.Really quite impressed by that.~Drixx
You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin
GTKTitus Part 2
Titus Academy
VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.
All hail the Scum Empress!-
-
DkKoba They/ThemSurvivorThey/Them
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 20900
- Joined: January 28, 2020
- Pronoun: They/Them
it was really simple- you were a claimed PR. that was it.retired
"1 thing I will give you Dk, I think you are very good at manipulating. I don't mean that in a bad way, I just think you [have] this way with yourself. You know what to say and when to say [it]." ~VFP
"Koba doesn't really have a scumrange/townrange, Koba will kill your pet cat to win a game" ~Pooky-
-
NorwegianboyEE GLADiator
- GLADiator
- GLADiator
- Posts: 26779
- Joined: August 25, 2019
- Location: Norway
You’re acting pretty childish right now.
Norwe is spontaneous, has a stream-of-consciouness posting style, usually posts on catch-ups by commenting on past pages posts, gets rather fired up in certain moments in games, is relatively as playful as me in games and likes casual shitposting
- Bunno-
-
LicketyQuickety Survivor
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 12785
- Joined: May 14, 2015
- Location: Where the moon and the sea meet.
-
-
House Survivor
- Survivor
- Survivor
- Posts: 19605
- Joined: September 5, 2014
- Location: Home of Top Gun
Hi.
I'm House.
Nice to meet you.-
-
NorwegianboyEE GLADiator
- GLADiator
- GLADiator
- Posts: 26779
- Joined: August 25, 2019
- Location: Norway
Charlemagne’s posts are very +scum.Norwe is spontaneous, has a stream-of-consciouness posting style, usually posts on catch-ups by commenting on past pages posts, gets rather fired up in certain moments in games, is relatively as playful as me in games and likes casual shitposting
- Bunno-
-
NorwegianboyEE GLADiator
- GLADiator
- GLADiator
- Posts: 26779
- Joined: August 25, 2019
- Location: Norway
No uIn post 2201, GrandpaMo wrote:
thats why u had matching pfps with scumIn post 1876, NorwegianboyEE wrote:How can you type texts that i can read word for word, yet feel like i didn't actually read anything.Norwe is spontaneous, has a stream-of-consciouness posting style, usually posts on catch-ups by commenting on past pages posts, gets rather fired up in certain moments in games, is relatively as playful as me in games and likes casual shitposting
- Bunno-
-
Almost50 Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Posts: 27276
- Joined: November 13, 2015
- Location: Right here.
You mean the L Lawliet pic in 71, theIn post 1857, Dwlee99 wrote:Also did you not notice my crumbs Koba? They were super obvious and multiple times directed towards youDetected(with a capital D) in 80, the Detective Pikachu pic in 126, the "whatever this is" in 200, the "detect it later" in 448, the "smaller" Detective Pikacho pic in 608, and the "I'll make sure to detect bussing" in 1639?? I don't think anyone noticed that AT ALL!
Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.-
-
Almost50 Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Posts: 27276
- Joined: November 13, 2015
- Location: Right here.
Neither did I tbh. Neither did I indeed.In post 1858, NorwegianboyEE wrote:I did not notice a single crumb.
Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.-
-
Almost50 Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Posts: 27276
- Joined: November 13, 2015
- Location: Right here.
NotedIn post 1959, DkKoba wrote:@norwee/dwlee/a50 thats you 3 atm
especially 100% put cool cookie as cleared town on ranny scumflip.
Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.-
-
Almost50 Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Posts: 27276
- Joined: November 13, 2015
- Location: Right here.
In post 1966, LicketyQuickety wrote:I have reason to believe they are not BP.
This is it. I can't hold it no more.. I gotta go to the bathroom right now!In post 1970, LicketyQuickety wrote:I'm N2N3 Commuter.
Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.-
-
Almost50 Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Posts: 27276
- Joined: November 13, 2015
- Location: Right here.
maybe they didn't notice the Detective crumbs either..In post 1980, DkKoba wrote:i mean like scum literally had an ascetic to kill that buried a scum on a silver platter and they chose not for whatever reason lmfao
Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.-
-
Almost50 Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Monkey Business
- Posts: 27276
- Joined: November 13, 2015
- Location: Right here.
Mate, Dwlee was literally baiting the NK. How do you bait the NK without acting LAMIST?In post 1984, LicketyQuickety wrote:
Did you read my case on them? DW was playing LAMIST because they were faking the emotions. In the other game they were playing at the exact same time they were completely calm compared to how irritated they seemed in this game. Like 2 separate personalities at the same time.In post 1975, DkKoba wrote:dwlee is pretty towny on dayplay.
Modded 2 Opens & 2 Large Themed games successfully.
Copyright © MafiaScum. All rights reserved.