Final Fantasy XIV - A Realm Reborn Mafia (Game Over)

[Bell]

Good luck on your chemistry test Noraa,

I'm teasing,
but seriously go focus on that instead and yeah it's probably better to kill you now than later if you're a miselim.

[Bell]

On the other hand, I feel kind of bad ignoring Romance's last wish.
But I did it with Wheme so what can you do.
Might as well keep trampling over their hopes and dreams while they scream impotently in the dead thread.

[Mystic Bears]

Ok the chem test was legit too but I went overboard with the AtE in other ways. I don't lie about homework. I guess this'll sound scummy now that you say that but I do have a calc test tomorrow that I now can't focus on because now I'm like determined to get town reads.

I keep thinking I can actually let my mind be at peace about mafia games but they always just drive me insane.
And i read that as why not what

[Bell]

Man, my posts are especially shitty today.
Sorry, tired. Long day, excuses, excuses.

Uhhh. So. I guess I'm not confident or anything that Noraa is lying.
But I sort of think they're lying.
and that's enough for me, but I would also like to consider other options.

That last line wasn't scummy, you're scummy.

[Bell]

Ok the chem test was legit too but I went overboard with the AtE in other ways. I don't lie about homework. I guess this'll sound scummy now that you say that but I do have a calc test tomorrow that I now can't focus on because now I'm like determined to get town reads.

I keep thinking I can actually let my mind be at peace about mafia games but they always just drive me insane.
And i read that as why not what

Ow. Right in my guilt cortex.

Focus on that Noraa. I know it's hard, but focus on that. I'll stop trolling.
First, calm down, then study and then do your best.

[Mystic Bears]

It doesn't even have anything to do with you. I dont want to study is probably the main reason.

[Bell]

Oh no, I never thought you were lying about homework or doing stuff.
Though I do know you lie about other things, but who doesn't.

*stares at house*
Everybody L I E S

No that wasn't a crumb either, I'm just being goofy.

[Mystic Bears]

you're scummy.

I mean that's not really new to either side of my meta. I've played extremely scummy town, 3p, and scum games.

[Mystic Bears]

Oh no, I never thought you were lying about homework or doing stuff.
Though I do know you lie about other things, but who doesn't.

Like what? I dont think I've ever lied in a game before. Sure I might post something that I dont need to post but I've never *lied*

[Bell]

It doesn't even have anything to do with you. I dont want to study is probably the main reason.

Oh no yeah, you're totally stress avoiding as a coping mechanism that doesn't work and is broken. You gotta get yourself out of that loop. First step is recognizing you're stressed. Second step is how to deal with your stress constructively or in a way you're good with.

Mafia loop is not it.

[Bell]

You lied about being a college student I think when I first met you? Or you age was different, but it isn't a serious thing. Lots of people lie about their ages on the internet.

[Mandelbrot]

It doesn't even have anything to do with you. I dont want to study is probably the main reason.

Oh no yeah, you're totally stress avoiding as a coping mechanism that doesn't work and is broken. You gotta get yourself out of that loop. First step is recognizing you're stressed. Second step is how to deal with your stress constructively or in a way you're good with.

Mafia loop is not it.

I find going out to the range with my 9mm does wonders.

Give it a shot. (Ba dum pshh)

- House

[Mystic Bears]

Ah I get what you're saying
But even with that, you still think it's possible that I'm scum?

[Mystic Bears]

no to the college student thing, to the rest because I think I just understood what you meant.

[Mystic Bears]

Which btw, I dont think that actually happened but I do remember some shenanigans surrounding my age. I dont think I ever straight up lied about it though.

[RealCheeks]

so it's just bears+QR

Spicy. I like it.
~C

[RealCheeks]

Thought on 3 scum left to make number of game days more reasonable with only 1 NK per night? Oh also... why did scum have a body guard? O_o
~C

[RealCheeks]

Bruh why the fuck wouldn't i fake crumb to draw the nk?
i joked around saying i was vig
insisted i must be in every raid

i was some town pr or a town friendly 3p. can't remember which and i didn't claim pgo there. mom claimed it.

Oh maybe this is where RB went instead of Mandelbrot if MB are town.
~C

[RealCheeks]

I still lowkey think the strongman PoE is wrong and I'm a sicker for people claiming they're town. What if it's just Q+R and STD?
~C

[Save The Dragons]

I kinda think MB is town but what do I know

[Save The Dragons]

I still lowkey think the strongman PoE is wrong and I'm a sicker for people claiming they're town. What if it's just Q+R and STD?
~C

I'm town

[Save The Dragons]

BP is a weird claim though

[RealCheeks]

Dammit.
~C

[mastina]

What's your 25%

Honestly?

That the rb/strongman theory spec is wrong and that the last scum is just a player who isn't cleared by play. (I'm pretty damn sure that RealCheeks is just town here by play.)

Given MB scum and theoretically not-you as scum...

Toogeloo is cleared by play;
Mandelbrot is cleared by play;
Bell is cleared by play;
Qrow and Raven is pretty damn cleared by play;
RealCheeks is pretty damn cleared by play;

That leaves a not-cleared-by-play pool of {Dwlee99, tictac, Tomorrow Corporation}.
From there, Tomorrow Corporation would be the least likely due to being the name that scum tried to force through instead of Elsa Jay, so, to give the answer you're looking for,

The 25% remaining where you're not scum is like 20% Dwlee, 5% tictac.

But I still have the 75% on you being scum and once I give a dump of last night's note I will show why.

[mastina]

VOTE: RealCheeks

I might sheep this. She was also defending Mystic Bears.

Actually, not as much as you'd think. Will explain this in a bit.

What's the PoE, Panda?

Well, by the rb/strongman logic, it'd be precisely:
{RealCheeks, Mystic Bears} for the strongman and {RealCheeks, Mystic Bears, Save the Dragons} for the roleblocker.
And RealCheeks is basically hard-cleared by play ESPECIALLY with a Mystic Bears scumflip.

If we're going by slots being town by play, I'd say the pool is a bit wider, but not by much, per 5773;
With Toogeloo, Mandelbrot, Bell, Qrow and Raven, and RealCheeks all town by play, that leaves a POE pool of,
{Mystic Bears, Save the Dragons, Dwlee99, tictac, Tomorrow Corporation}.

(Again, getting caught up in the thread properly then will be posting the PT content.)