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Post Post #400 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:18 pm

Post by fferyllt »

Vote Count 2-2
Image


catboi
(1): Greeting

Not Voting
(6): ɀefiend, catboi, Dunnstral, Cape90, V0ID, butterchurn


With 7 alive, it takes 4 to eliminate.



Deadline: January 10, Midnight US Eastern Time.

Countdown: (expired on 2022-01-09 21:00:00)

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- :]
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Post Post #401 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 12:37 pm

Post by butterchurn »

In post 396, Greeting wrote: What do you think of:
catboi
,
Dunnstral
and
ɀefiend
, three players I mentioned earlier?
Not very firm reads on any of them.

- Slight townlean on dunn, as almost everything he's said has made sense to me and seems well-reasoned. Not enough posts to have a strong feeling, but nothing has made me suspicious as of yet.
- zefiend I feel like has just not really been on my radar for whatever reason. I've re-read him a couple times to try to get a read, and it just feels like we're on different wavelengths. My instinct is to find that suspicious, but the arguments against him don't convince me much. He's said a few things I agree with, and a few things that that just seem strange but not particularly AI.
- catboi I'm somewhat conflicted on. In general I would say slightly leaning town, but there's been a couple things that give me pause, and his reads don't align with mine at all.
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Post Post #402 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:01 pm

Post by Cape90 »

In post 381, butterchurn wrote:He then seems to completely forget his suspicion on notscience and switches to zefiend based on very little
right I "forgot" about it LMAO.

Nice assumption.

I have my reasons for suspecting zefiend is mafia, it mostly has to do with some of the grandiose wording that he was using in his posts, it didn't feel straightforward like your posts do.
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Post Post #403 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:04 pm

Post by Cape90 »

In post 389, Greeting wrote:The potential candidates I see are: catboi, ɀefiend and Dunnstral.
I feel the same way with how I feel with cat being the weakest of these candidates.

VOTE: Dunnstral

This slot reads as really wolfy to me right now. Given they were more towny in their hydra game they played with me where they were mafia, I am comfortable voting this
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Post Post #404 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:06 pm

Post by Cape90 »

In post 381, butterchurn wrote:Cape's posts around notscience feel weird
also you certainly didn't think this earlier.

You sure you aren't mafia?
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Post Post #405 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:07 pm

Post by Cape90 »

In post 378, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 363, Greeting wrote:But looks like someone knew this was happening beforehand.
In post 356, catboi wrote:Wouldn't even be the first time town has gamethrown by fakeclaiming mason
The outcome of tonight shows that scums definitely know how to rolehunt, which points my attention towards the remaining more experienced players. I haven't seen half the enthusiasm from
catboi
this game I've seen in the other games, plus his earlier actions made me concerned about their motives.

VOTE: catboi
I took as a response to , and not as revealing inside knowledge. And 355 was prompted by NK15's two posts right before it.
I don't think this interpretation is correct at all
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Post Post #406 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:08 pm

Post by Cape90 »

In post 379, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 376, catboi wrote:
In post 342, ɀefiend wrote:I am not a mason.

This is my first game back on the site in a long time. What I learned from other games is that too many people throw their vote around willy nilly. I am taking a new approach in play style overall, to try to use my vote more effectively.

It is why I ask so many questions and "stall" before committing. My Greeting vote was intentionally left naked. It was meant as a wrench in the spoke of the NK15 wagon, to see how people react.

I was not expecting this gambit from NK15. I have no experience with this sort of thing, personally. But my gut tells me that NK15 is scum trying to pocket me as hoping that I town-read them, to form some sort of "town-bloc."

I think NK15 was happy to see my vote on Greeting, as hopefully derailing the current wagon. I choose to interpret the fake-claim as pre-emptive while at E-1. And I pretty much agree with everything Butter's said about the slot.

No problem voting here now. VOTE: NK 15
This feels a bit overexplain-y.
I disagree, I think that this is their posting style and that a lot of people have commented on it this game but that it is not really a telling piece of information

I also don't think of newbie (?) scum as being overexplain-y
I agree with the first part.

I disagree here with the second part
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Post Post #407 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:10 pm

Post by Cape90 »

In post 323, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 289, Not Known 15 wrote:
In post 250, Not Known 15 wrote:Dunn, do you have other reads, other than Cape and myself?
VOTE: Dunnstral

This slot has not been doing much.
Only reads on me and cape, both extremely easy to fake.
Well I think that notsci and catboi are leaning town as that is who I have experience with.
I think that your play looks opportunistic.

edit:

UNVOTE:
cool, this looks like something I would 100% say as mafia
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Post Post #408 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 1:34 pm

Post by butterchurn »

In post 404, Cape90 wrote:
In post 381, butterchurn wrote:Cape's posts around notscience feel weird
also you certainly didn't think this earlier.

You sure you aren't mafia?
As I said in that post, that was my takeaway from a reread after knowing notscience's and NK15's alignments. Knowing that notscience is town, your posts stood out more. And I definitely thought some of your posts were strange earlier, especially the bit about your agreement with notscience on void, which is why I questioned you on them.
In post 405, Cape90 wrote:
In post 378, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 363, Greeting wrote:But looks like someone knew this was happening beforehand.
In post 356, catboi wrote:Wouldn't even be the first time town has gamethrown by fakeclaiming mason
The outcome of tonight shows that scums definitely know how to rolehunt, which points my attention towards the remaining more experienced players. I haven't seen half the enthusiasm from
catboi
this game I've seen in the other games, plus his earlier actions made me concerned about their motives.

VOTE: catboi
I took as a response to , and not as revealing inside knowledge. And 355 was prompted by NK15's two posts right before it.
I don't think this interpretation is correct at all
That's very strange, as I can't understand how anyone could interpret it in any other way, and now both of you have. It seems incredibly obvious that he is responding to the post right before his, and would take some serious mental gymnastics to see it otherwise, since it is... a direct response to it. Like... what? Notscience says "if you fakeclaimed mason as town..." and then catboi says "wouldn't be the first time town has fakeclaimed mason". How can both of you possibly interpret that as anything other than a response? Bizarre.
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Post Post #409 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:42 pm

Post by Greeting »

I’m trying to make sense of this game by associations, because honestly nothing else seems to be working. The colors don't mean a thing, they're just to make this more readable since I like to bold players' names.

Please correct me if I misinterpreted your stances.

Spoiler: Summary of suspicions
Cape90:


Townreads -
Greeting
(?)

Suspicions -
Dunnstral
,
ɀefiend
,
catboi


Greeting:


Townreads -
butterchurn
,
Cape90


Suspicions -
catboi
,
ɀefiend
,
Dunnstral


V0ID:


Townreads -
butterchurn


Suspicions -
Greeting
(?),
Dunnstral
(?)

butterchurn:


Townreads -
Dunnstral
,
ɀefiend
(?),
catboi


Suspicions -
Cape90
,
Greeting


ɀefiend:


Townreads -
butterchurn
(?)

Suspicions -
catboi
,
Cape90
,
Greeting


Dunnstral:


Townreads -
catboi


Suspicions -
Cape90
,
V0ID


catboi:


Townreads -
Greeting
,
Cape90
,
butterchurn


Suspicions -
Dunnstral
,
ɀefiend
,
V0ID


And here are my conclusions from this:

It seems that the majority of players townread
butterchurn
(4), and personally I also am in that majority, so I'm leaving that slot be.

It also seems that a different majority of players scumread me and
Cape90
(4), and since I'm not scum and I don't really think
Cape90
is either, I am willing to think that either of these two majorities has some scum on it. There's also another player who seem to be scumread by a majority (4) and that is
Dunnstral
. The second most suspected player is
catboi
(3), and I am amongst these players.
Cape90
indicated that
catboi
is the weakest of his scum reads (). With my vote being admittedly more of a press, which doesn't seem to resonate with others, it seems that the better course of action would be to leave this for now.

My feeling of
ɀefiend
is that it's just them against everyone. If they're scum then this is a very effective tactic which makes it very hard to see any possible associations. That being said, I don't oppose them being voted out today.

But I think that I can get on this slot. What kept me from voting
Dunnstral
before was their interactions with
notscience
who flipped town. But overall, their actions in the game are NAI at the very best, and their predecessor,
GeorgeBailey
was behaving oddly for a very active and established player. Personally, I could see the scum team being
Dunnstral
/
V0ID
who are evidently distancing from one another by scumreading, but not acting upon it.

It's not very much, but I think it's a decent shot.

VOTE: Dunnstral
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Post Post #410 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 2:52 pm

Post by Greeting »

In post 367, Greeting wrote:I think I know how the scums found out that
notscience
was a PR. And it is a direct consequence of
Not Known 15
's actions.

Notscience
was
the only player
who did not withdraw their vote on
Not Known 15
after their claim in , presumably knowing for sure that the claim was fake due to their role. I did notice this before on Day 1, but then didn't pay very much attention to it. Now it makes perfect sense.

And I don't think a complete newbie would be clever enough to spot and correctly interpret such a detail, hence why at the moment I'm convinced that there is someone experienced who is leading the scum team.
Dunnstral
and
notscience
knew each other before this game so this slot also makes sense here.
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Post Post #411 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 3:01 pm

Post by butterchurn »

That is... such a scum way of looking at things. I'm actually baffled, because I can't imagine scum-you being so bold as to post something like that, unless you're just completely lacking in self-awareness, but also can't imagine that perspective coming from town. I've never seen you do this kind of analysis in previous games. You understand how looking at things from a perspective of sorting out what everyone else's suspicions are in order to determine where you have room to be suspicious is exactly what scum would be doing today, right? What made you decide to look at things in this way, when to my knowledge, you haven't before in any of your previous 4 games, as town? And if I'm wrong on that, please point me to an example.

Am I seeing things? catboi, dunn, zefiend, y'all have experience, am I just totally off base here? Current mood: confused
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Post Post #412 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 3:10 pm

Post by Greeting »

@
butterchurn


That’s
your
interpretation of what I’m doing, so from my perspective your question has a thesis in it which is false. Might I add that this is has already happened in our last exchange. I already said what I’m doing and why I’m doing it and if you keep on interpreting this in a scum way then it’s on you and there’s nothing for me to discuss here.
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Post Post #413 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 3:18 pm

Post by Greeting »

The point about me packing self-awareness is, sorry to say this, utterly ridiculous. I am town, I don’t need to worry about acting town, because everything I do is from a town point of view and is aimed at achieving my winning goal. Moreover, in order to do this, I must cooperate with others, because I do not posess a superpower to eliminate any single player on my own.
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Post Post #414 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 4:46 pm

Post by butterchurn »

Putting together a list of who currently has townreads or suspicions on whom in order to determine what directions are viable for you to push is exactly what I would expect mafia to be doing right now. I have no idea why town would organize their thoughts in that manner. If nobody else agrees with me, maybe I'm just seeing things and I'll drop it, but to my eyes it is an extremely scum-perspective thing to do. The comment about lacking self-awareness obviously only applies if you are scum, because to me this looks so clearly scum-perspective that I can't believe scum-you would just put it out in the open like that. That's why I'm waiting for others to weigh in, because I kinda feel like I'm going crazy here.

If you're town, your most helpful response would be to point me to a time in another game where you sorted things out in a similar way, or if it is the first time, explain more about why you decided to do so in this instance.
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Post Post #415 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 6:35 pm

Post by V0ID »

I understand what butterchurn is saying, it does seem like a scum thing to put that list together in that fashion. Not to say town should not have their thoughts organized but I get what butterchurn is getting at in the post above. But then again, if greeting did have a notepad file open with that as scum and was keeping track of people in that way for his scum motives would he really have posted it for all of us? Once again, I see what butterchurn is saying and I am not ruling out that perspective. But,I could easily see that just as simply information gathered he is presenting to us to help both us and himself as town. I guess it is kinda strange though.
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Post Post #416 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 8:04 pm

Post by Greeting »

In post 414, butterchurn wrote:If you're town, your most helpful response would be to point me to a time in another game where you sorted things out in a similar way, or if it is the first time, explain more about why you decided to do so in this instance.
Sorry to disappoint you, but I feel like me discussing your projections further is a waste of my time and an unnecessary source of frustration for me. If you think that I’m scum then just vote me and I’ll try to work with others.
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Post Post #417 (ISO) » Mon Jan 03, 2022 8:39 pm

Post by butterchurn »

...okay, then.

VOTE: Greeting
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Post Post #418 (ISO) » Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:46 am

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 387, catboi wrote:
In post 378, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 374, catboi wrote:Greeting/Cape town, butter weaker town, scum in void/dunn/zefiend. I still think void's day 1 was incredibly scummy but if scum he undoubtedly has a more savvy partner
I don't agree with most of these reads
Explain?
I don't agree with Greeting/Cape in the townreads (that doesn't mean I think it is both of them though), or that Zefiend is scum, or that I am scum
In post 388, catboi wrote:I fel like scum often go to lengths to overjustify a vote they know is wrong, is what I'm getting at.
Look at their iso though, a lot of their posts are about that long and have the same feel. That's why I am saying it is t heir posting style.
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Post Post #419 (ISO) » Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:49 am

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 394, Greeting wrote:
In post 328, notscience wrote:Hey Dunn, how well do you remember xeno 2 day two?
In post 329, Dunnstral wrote:Refreshing my memory, there were two things that stuck in my mind from day 2, both from mafia
In post 330, notscience wrote:Do you remember what gave Cabd the push to claim his “guilty” that day?
In post 331, Dunnstral wrote:I figured it out, not sure I agree with the implication
In post 332, notscience wrote:Well it’s one of two options.

I’ll see what zefiend has to say.
@
Dunnstral
what was this conversation all about in the context of
Not Mafia 15
's elimination and who is xeno?
Xenoblade 2 mafia was a different game.

notscience was trying to signal something to me, but when I read over the game I saw that Cabd's explanation for the guilty (which notsci references in post 330) was essentially that cabd faked that there was an investigative result on another player to mask somebody else who was a cop. So I thought notsci was saying that NK15 was masking another power role, which I said was was unlikely.

In actuality, it was something about their role and nk15 fake claiming, I'm sure
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Post Post #420 (ISO) » Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:53 am

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 389, Greeting wrote:Obviously I can say that the argument about myself being "performative" is false, but I don't buy it as a description of
Cape90
either.

As for my reads, at this moment I think
butterchurn
and
Cape90
are town and can be trusted. The rest is all varying degrees of mixed feelings.

I am still pretty sure that there is an experienced MafiaScum player leading the scum team.
The potential candidates I see are:
catboi
,
ɀefiend
and
Dunnstral
.
I got a feeling that there is at least one scum hiding amongst them.
Butterchurn
is classified as a newbie, but obviously has previous mafia experience. I don't include them in my suspicions as their tone is independent and investigative, the only thing seeming to worry me is their lack of conviction. I don't think there was anything scummy about the
NK 15
wagon at all - the reasons to vote that player were all pretty reasonable and their fake claim was the cherry on top. I was reassured by
butterchurn
's vote on
Not Known 15
Day 1, they later withdrew it in understandable circumstances (and so have I), but
NK 15
was ultimately eliminated without them.

Cape90
had nothing to do with
Not Known 15
's elim altogether, but has shown strength of conviction in his pursuits into other slots and I like it.
You keep pushing that scum has to be experienced to have made that kill. In my opinion, I would put cape90 in that category because they have experience on another site, as well as yourself since you pointed it out right at the start of the day. That ends up being most everyone anyway.
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Post Post #421 (ISO) » Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:54 am

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 403, Cape90 wrote:
In post 389, Greeting wrote:The potential candidates I see are: catboi, ɀefiend and Dunnstral.
I feel the same way with how I feel with cat being the weakest of these candidates.

VOTE: Dunnstral

This slot reads as really wolfy to me right now.
Given they were more towny in their hydra game they played with me where they were mafia, I am comfortable voting this
Is the bolded not an argument against me being mafia?
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Post Post #422 (ISO) » Tue Jan 04, 2022 12:55 am

Post by Dunnstral »

In post 405, Cape90 wrote:
In post 378, Dunnstral wrote:
In post 363, Greeting wrote:But looks like someone knew this was happening beforehand.
In post 356, catboi wrote:Wouldn't even be the first time town has gamethrown by fakeclaiming mason
The outcome of tonight shows that scums definitely know how to rolehunt, which points my attention towards the remaining more experienced players. I haven't seen half the enthusiasm from
catboi
this game I've seen in the other games, plus his earlier actions made me concerned about their motives.

VOTE: catboi
I took as a response to , and not as revealing inside knowledge. And 355 was prompted by NK15's two posts right before it.
I don't think this interpretation is correct at all
What is your interpretation?
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Post Post #423 (ISO) » Tue Jan 04, 2022 4:38 am

Post by catboi »

In post 420, Dunnstral wrote:You keep pushing that scum has to be experienced to have made that kill. In my opinion, I would put cape90 in that category because they have experience on another site, as well as yourself since you pointed it out right at the start of the day. That ends up being most everyone anyway.
This is probably a fair enough point that theorizing on those grounds is mostly useless.
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Post Post #424 (ISO) » Tue Jan 04, 2022 4:54 am

Post by fferyllt »

allez
Amid the pressure of great events, a general principle gives no help.

Idic

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