Newbie 2105 | Game Over

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Post Post #75 (ISO) » Wed Nov 09, 2022 3:04 pm

Post by furtiveglance »

VC

Bellaphant (2) Player6, BlueSnakelet

Player6 (2) Bellaphant, Ghardi

Ghardi (2) NotKnown15, Tapiocaphobe

Spartan117 (1) Greeting



Not Voting (2) Spartan117, darkj


Deadline: (expired on 2022-11-16 16:25:42)
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Post Post #76 (ISO) » Wed Nov 09, 2022 4:23 pm

Post by BlueSnakelet »

It's seriously late where I am, but I didn't want to go to sleep before finishing this. This are my thoughts on the game prior to me replacing in.

Greeting's #7:
Perfectly regular random vote on Bella.

P6's #10:
Perfectly regular random vote on Greeting.

Bella's #11:
(Seemingly) random vote on P6.

P6's #16:
Vote on Bella, while calling out Bella x Greeting, due to the vote on #11. #11 looked just like a random vote at that moment. At best, this is a townie overreacting. At worst, he's mafia trying to appear as a overreacting townie.

If P6 is mafia here, I don't think #16 was meant to actually cast suspicion on Bella x Greeting. His accusation didn't have a leg to stand on at that moment. It was just to give the appearance that he was trying to find mafia.

Bella's #19:
In response to P6's #16, they explain their #11 vote. They said that #10 was "really awkward and felt like new scum posting for something to say", and that's why they voted. I'm not satisfied with this explain. #10 felt like a perfectly natural introduction. This leads me to believe that Bella made up that reason on the fly once questioned by P6. But when they did, they missed the very plausible explanation that "it was a random vote".

When someone (town or mafia) pushes for someone else, they have a reason. Townsfolk can usually disclose their reasons when asked (except if it's because of PRs, but that's not likely to be relevant Day 1). Mafia members, however, can never disclose their reasons, so they must give a fake reason instead. If they don't have a fake reason already, they make one up on the spot. That's why I'm scumreading Bella right now.

Greeting's #20:
Responding to #16, Greeting ask P6's opinion on a earlier post (#7) that contracts his logic. I like this post. Felt like a townie probing for info on a scummy player.

Ghardi's #21:
Responding to #16, Ghardi disagree with P6's logic and asks for clarification. I also like this post, for the same reason as Greeting's.

P6's #22:
This is a word salad. P6 does address Greeting's and Ghardi's posts in there, but it all felt... how should I say it? *clears throat*
really awkward
. P6 also questions Bella's #19, which he can absolutely do, so there's that.
In post 24, Tapiocaphobe wrote:P6's entrance also felt awkward to me
Please tell me why!

Conclusion


I'm giving a slight townread to Greeting and Ghardi.

I believe either Bella or P6 is mafia, but definitely not both. Leaning more on Bella.

I'll give my thoughts on the rest of game tomorrow. I'm going to bed now.
Let he who is with sin, and loves it, cast the final stone.
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Post Post #77 (ISO) » Wed Nov 09, 2022 5:39 pm

Post by Player6 »

The way I worded #22 is extremely weird and was just trying to get something out to explain my votes but the myth peddled by multiple people at this point is annoying #10 is a fine introduction why multiple people are saying it's awkward confuses me. I think the fact that 2 different people have said that my normal intro was weird seems like 2 mafia sticking up for each other
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Post Post #78 (ISO) » Wed Nov 09, 2022 8:07 pm

Post by Not Known 15 »

In post 68, Bellaphant wrote:There's obviously progression there though, from then reading the posts in-between?
In post 74, Ghardi wrote:
In post 66, Not Known 15 wrote:
In post 40, Ghardi wrote:
In post 37, Spartan117 wrote:Kinda hoped for more of a reaction from my test rather than being outted, let it be known if anyone votes for bella now and Hammers that they are scum.
One mafia found, one to go!

UNVOTE: Tapiocaphobe
VOTE: Spartan117
In post 58, Ghardi wrote:I’ve read the interaction between P6 and Bella a couple of times again. The interaction doesn’t sit well with me and I feel that one of them could be mafia.

Not sure who - Whether it is Bella pushing against P6, or P6 getting a bit wordy with his explanations and being defensive.

I am leaning more towards P6 at the moment as his early comments and accusation towards Bella and Greeting still don’t sit well with me.

More interaction from the others would be nice (from darkj, Uncrowned and Greeting).

UNVOTE: Spartan117
VOTE: Player6
This looks rather opportunistic/hedgey.
VOTE: Ghardi
Hi Not Known.

I used the words "not sure" and "leaning more" because there is always an element of uncertainty when trying to work out who is townie and who is mafia.

I'm not ruling out Bella's push against Player6 as the push was a tell to me. However, Player6's accusation is a stronger tell, which is why the words "leaning more" and "not sure" were used. "Leaning more" as Player6's accusation was a stronger tell. I used "not sure" because I don't want to discard Bella's push from my analysis.
What happened to your Spartan scumread?
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Post Post #79 (ISO) » Wed Nov 09, 2022 10:00 pm

Post by Ghardi »

I haven't scumread Spartan117 at all.

I assume you are referring to this post from me when you say I scumread Spartan117:
In post 40, Ghardi wrote:
In post 37, Spartan117 wrote:Kinda hoped for more of a reaction from my test rather than being outted, let it be known if anyone votes for bella now and Hammers that they are scum.
One mafia found, one to go!

UNVOTE: Tapiocaphobe
VOTE: Spartan117
To clarify what happened here, I was taking the opportunity to have a bit of fun and banter, and gather some information at the same time by seeing other people's reactions if I voted Spartan117. Spartan117's first posts sounded quite fun and lighthearted.

This was Spartan117's reaction to my post:
In post 48, Spartan117 wrote:
In post 40, Ghardi wrote:One mafia found, one to go!
Okay thats one in the bag, let's goo! Lets bank it and now on to find the other one! Hmm where should we look? :shifty:
From this post I think Spartan117 felt the same way that I did and realised that I was just having a bit of fun and that we were trying to get things going (correct me if I am wrong Spartan117).

If you want my read on Spartan117, he reads more townish as he's trying to get discussion going.

My vote (during RVS) and my read on Spartan117 are two separate things.
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Post Post #80 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 2:21 am

Post by Not Known 15 »

Now, that makes sense.
UNVOTE:
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Post Post #81 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 2:33 am

Post by Tapiocaphobe »

@blue 10 was null to me, 16 was an awkward joke and 22 was really defensive in a way that makes me think they aren't scum together

honestly i'm willing to believe it's town vs town but if there's a scum I really only see it being P6

if bella is scum I don't think they push P6 in RVS, P6 flipping town makes bella look way worse, plus it gave us content and moved town out of RVS
in contrast P6 is a big ? to me, I originally read them as null lean town but 65/77 just feel way scummier to me
my gut feeling is that they're just really defensive town but I'm not sold on that

I don't see any good partners with scum!bella either, P6 has a lot more

at this point I think we're a lot more likely to find scum outside bella/P6
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Post Post #82 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 2:39 am

Post by Tapiocaphobe »

VOTE: Greeting
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Post Post #83 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 2:49 am

Post by Tapiocaphobe »

I feel like greeting is scum here, they haven't offered much and I think they benefit a lot from town pushing bella/p6
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Post Post #84 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 3:05 am

Post by furtiveglance »

Replacing darkj.
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Post Post #85 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 10:47 am

Post by Spartan117 »

In post 81, Tapiocaphobe wrote:I don't see any good partners with scum!bella either
Me and Bella were great partners last game..... just sayin :lol:
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Post Post #86 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 10:47 am

Post by Spartan117 »

Hows everybody doing? Is anyone about?
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Post Post #87 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 10:52 am

Post by Spartan117 »

In post 79, Ghardi wrote:From this post I think Spartan117 felt the same way that I did and realised that I was just having a bit of fun and that we were trying to get things going (correct me if I am wrong Spartan117).
Yeah its all pretty casual early on, ive just been playing pretty chaotically casual until I feel my way into the game and get a good read on everybody.
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Post Post #88 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 10:54 am

Post by Spartan117 »

In post 79, Ghardi wrote:If you want my read on Spartan117, he reads more townish as he's trying to get discussion going.
Noooo, I mean yeah I am but I should totally be sussed, lots of sussy behaviour going on over here, definitely :good:
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Post Post #89 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:02 am

Post by Tapiocaphobe »

hello spartan
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Post Post #90 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:21 am

Post by Spartan117 »

Hello
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Post Post #91 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:21 am

Post by Spartan117 »

Are you scum?
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Post Post #92 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:24 am

Post by Tapiocaphobe »

i wish :)
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Post Post #93 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:29 am

Post by Tapiocaphobe »

what do you think about 81?
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Post Post #94 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:35 am

Post by Spartan117 »

In post 93, Tapiocaphobe wrote:what do you think about 81?
Yeah I think its difficult I see a lot of what I could see being town v town interactions, its still so early too and the game would benefit a lot if we had a higher activity across the board, don't think we have even had the dull compliment of players post yet.
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Post Post #95 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:38 am

Post by Spartan117 »

Think it's also far too early to look at scum partners and scum teams, until we get a filp we could make tons of reads on associations between players which could be just clouding up the actual hunting this early, more than likely the scum team would get mentioned amongst a flurry of other pairs that would bury it.
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Post Post #96 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:39 am

Post by Spartan117 »

In post 94, Spartan117 wrote:
In post 93, Tapiocaphobe wrote:what do you think about 81?
Yeah I think its difficult I see a lot of what I could see being town v town interactions, its still so early too and the game would benefit a lot if we had a higher activity across the board, don't think we have even had the dull compliment of players post yet.
Full not dull, sorry phone posting.
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Post Post #97 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:45 am

Post by Tapiocaphobe »

definitely agree on activity, although I just assume people are busy
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Post Post #98 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 11:52 am

Post by Tapiocaphobe »

oh also what's your feeling on P6?
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Post Post #99 (ISO) » Thu Nov 10, 2022 12:18 pm

Post by Greeting »

In post 62, Spartan117 wrote:
How many games have you played in before Greeting?
I see you are an SE so I assume you have been in a few?
Very interesting for you to highlight a few posts of mine referring to my entrance without actually including my actual entrance post, this isn't your first rodeo and it's not mine either.

Please tell me from the perspective of an experienced player such as yourself, what about trying to create conversation and reaction testing is "absolutely anti town"?
I update my wiki page rather frequently, browse away.

You attempted to joke-hammer a player in RVS. It's a bad and awkward joke to make, and the potential consequences of a mislim could have been awful. Newbie games are a 7-2 setup, which means we have two mislims at most to get to ELo ("eliminate or lose"). If we just had yeeted a player randomly, and they turned out to be town, not only would we be a townie down, but we would have had very little to go with on Day 2.

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