VOTE: andres
I was all up in andres grill for being--what I perceived--passive in KTANE and I'm trying to learn from my mistake there while following the tells that I can see. If I understand andres correctly, andres deviated from his town meta at least three times this game; and maybe even
exactly
three times. First when he failed to follow up on
119, second when he failed to engage with the thread at all between
119 through
213, and third when he failed to engage the thread in a meaningful way in
214, failing to follow up on his promise in
213 in the process.
My understanding of andres strategy is that he's playing a TAG game (
https://www.quora.com/How-can-you-explo ... r-in-poker ) so it's not actually AI that he's quiet or only made 3 posts, it's AI that he didn't attempt to do anything within those 3 posts or for the entirety of D1. TAG is tight and it's still both aggressive and good. I'm comparing this a lot to Community 1 where andres was quiet but also scum hunted and pushed Passenger. Separately, I think andres being a mason in Community 1 would imply he posted less frequently there than he normally would as town because he had Bell to serve as an ambassador of some sort.
On a final note, outside of meta, there are some simple children's tells which can be used to select andres for a D1 elimination.
214 can be read a lot of ways other than town: softing to Bell, pocketing Bell, wifom distancing from Bell and/or fluff posting. I don't know which--if any--of those are true, but they're all different shades of scummy.
213 seems dubious as this is a forum game and doesn't require the same kind of internet or hardware an online multiplayer game would. With this kind of game you really have access to post or you have limited access or you don't. Not posting anything just to appear and specify that you may not be able to post anything seems like exceptionally poor planning, and that might fly for someone like me sometimes, but I'm not convinced andres is an exceptionally poor planner.
"Okay I really enjoyed that Christmas break but I'm back" implies andres views this game as work which implies that he's scum. Finally, just the lurkiness of the slot I think makes it a superior choice. He's already on anti-spew basically.
And in case anyone wants to ask
"What about Roden and their 2 posts?"
My answer is
"...
what
about Roden and their 2 posts?"
Bruce: Terry. I've been thinking about something you once told me... and you were wrong. It's not Batman that makes you worthwhile; it's the other way around. Never tell yourself anything different.
Terry: ...Thanks.