Newbie 2111 - Know Your Skittles! (Game Over)

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Post Post #750 (ISO) » Tue Feb 14, 2023 5:14 pm

Post by Freedom »

In post 743, Elements wrote: VOTE: StD
It's the only wagon with two votes, hop on people
You mean the only one that is now at E-3?
On the other hand, I don't think that your move is inherently scummy.
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Post Post #751 (ISO) » Tue Feb 14, 2023 5:27 pm

Post by usesPython »

In post 630, Black wrote: Could you provide examples of what you consider good scumhunting from StD and Elements when you get back?
I think I've clarified it well enough in my previous post but just in case.

From STD his progression in posts like , , , , , , , and

From Elements her progression in posts like , , , , ,

Also while I'll definitely look into them more d2 for now UNVOTE: Black
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Post Post #752 (ISO) » Tue Feb 14, 2023 5:40 pm

Post by usesPython »

I'll need to redo after but for now I'm down to push Weuler with the expectation they'll flip scum or STD/Elements with the expectation that neither of them are that much likelier than average to flip scum but either of them flipping town generates a good amount of content for d2

VOTE: Weuler
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Post Post #753 (ISO) » Tue Feb 14, 2023 10:14 pm

Post by usesPython »

With d1 coming to a close and there being a 5/9 chance of there being either a Jailkeeper or Doctor in the game (Setups: A1, A2, B2, B3, C2) I might as well start speculating on the expected n1 nightkill.

The way I see it there's two different strategies scum can use for nightkills this game:

1. Kill all obvtown.
From what I can tell for most people here that list includes at least two of the following: Aureal, Black, usesPython. This would guarantee at least one obvtown in ELO and also risks the nightkill being stopped by a protective PR but means that scum would be able to blend in better in ELO and cause a miselim

2. Play for an Aureal/Black/Python/two scum ELO and attempt to sheep Black or Aureal to vote for me
This would require the two scum to be pushing each other without seeming scum vs scum. In that case it would create an argument for eliming me since a 2v3 is harder for town than a 1v2, while also letting them lean on my scummyness from d1. This would be pretty hard to pull off, realistically if this somehow happens the only scumteam I can see doing it at the moment is STD/Elements

If you are a protective PR here's my advice: Take a list of your obvtown and flip a coin/roll a 1d3 to pick who to be on any given night
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Post Post #754 (ISO) » Tue Feb 14, 2023 11:25 pm

Post by Elements »

Talking about night kills before they happen sets up unnecessary WIFOM
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Post Post #755 (ISO) » Tue Feb 14, 2023 11:26 pm

Post by Elements »

I don't want to lim Weuler today
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Post Post #756 (ISO) » Tue Feb 14, 2023 11:30 pm

Post by Elements »

I think everyone at some point has scumread Weuler and now it seems like a compromise wagon
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Post Post #757 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 12:00 am

Post by usesPython »

In post 754, Elements wrote: Talking about night kills before they happen sets up unnecessary WIFOM
Yeah but it also gives more information to any protective PR's, which given that this is a newbie game with multiple recent replacements that are still catching up might do more good than harm
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Post Post #758 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 12:17 am

Post by Elements »

It doesn't give PRs more info?
It gives them more WIFOM too
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Post Post #759 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 12:27 am

Post by usesPython »

In post 758, Elements wrote: It doesn't give PRs more info?
It gives them more WIFOM too
How so? If say Meg or Freedom (who are still catching up) is a protective PR then a quick rundown on likely nightkills leading to a failed nightkill is more valuable than any WIFOM generated from pointing out the obvious (though you do have a point that theory 2 generates unnecessary WIFOM).
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Post Post #760 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 12:30 am

Post by Elements »

They also don't know your alignment so you could be deliberately giving false information to lead them away from who you want to kill. You're also if town telling scum who you think any hypothetical protectives should target and therfore who they shouldn't kill
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Post Post #761 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 1:30 am

Post by Human »

This could also be an attempt to divert scum if there isn't a protective PR
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Post Post #762 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 1:32 am

Post by Human »

Anyway can't think of anyone other than weuler to vote so
VOTE: Weuler
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Post Post #763 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 1:39 am

Post by Elements »

^ exactly what I mean
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Post Post #764 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 1:40 am

Post by Elements »

In post 762, Human wrote: Anyway can't think of anyone other than weuler to vote so
VOTE: Weuler
Why not StD or Freedom?
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Post Post #765 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 2:12 am

Post by Human »

StD doesn't seem scummy to me though freedom seems to be observing more than reading but I think you just scumread them because they scumread you
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Post Post #766 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 2:12 am

Post by usesPython »

In post 764, Elements wrote:
In post 762, Human wrote: Anyway can't think of anyone other than weuler to vote so
VOTE: Weuler
Why not StD or Freedom?
The consequences of 0 wagons. Anyways might as well play a bit crazy.

UNVOTE: Weuler
VOTE: StD

You have until 6 hours from the deadline to convince me you're town
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Post Post #767 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 2:29 am

Post by usesPython »

Also E-2
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Post Post #768 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 2:53 am

Post by Human »

Look there was a massive wagon earlier on weuler but it halted because we wanted time to talk now we have talked do we have any better reads now? I don't think so
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Post Post #769 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 2:56 am

Post by usesPython »

In post 768, Human wrote: Look there was a massive wagon earlier on weuler but it halted because we wanted time to talk now we have talked do we have any better reads now? I don't think so
If today is a miselim, who do you think being miselimed would maximize the chances of town winning?
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Post Post #770 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 3:18 am

Post by Human »

In post 769, usesPython wrote:
In post 768, Human wrote: Look there was a massive wagon earlier on weuler but it halted because we wanted time to talk now we have talked do we have any better reads now? I don't think so
If today is a miselim, who do you think being miselimed would maximize the chances of town winning?
I'm going to have to think and reread but StD is not our best bet
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Post Post #771 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 3:24 am

Post by Elements »

Why not, what's wrong with an StD lim?
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Post Post #772 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 3:28 am

Post by Human »

Other than you and this recent wagon there's been no other interaction if we wanted info we could just go for you
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Post Post #773 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 3:29 am

Post by Human »

Also Python Black and Elements have posted the most but Elements and python have had the most people interact with them until recently so by Python's logic logic they are actually one of the best elimination options
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Post Post #774 (ISO) » Wed Feb 15, 2023 3:33 am

Post by usesPython »

In post 773, Human wrote: Also Python Black and Elements have posted the most but Elements and python have had the most people interact with them until recently so by Python's logic logic they are actually one of the best elimination options
You might be surprised to hear this but I have no problems with getting miselimed as long as it increases my chances of winning the game. A miselim 100% confirms a person as town so me getting miselimed means everyone can trust with certainty that I believe in my reads
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