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Post Post #4050 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:37 am

Post by mith »

Thanks for the input, LLD. I don't see how this is town Ali at all, but I will definitely take how she follows through into consideration.
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Post Post #4051 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:39 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

I know, I know.

And she can still be scum here.

But she has committed to doing something scum won't do here if they're looking to win today, Mith.

She's committed to voting with me as her top townie.

she could be deepwolfing but that means she's trying to convince her top town read (me) to switch onto believing the guilty was faked and that's not necessary in this game state
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Post Post #4052 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:40 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

For me, I'm thinking... Bella is probably town at this point.

So it's JJH/Datisi/One more, and in my mind if you want my opinion shoot Datisi in the face tonight please
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Post Post #4053 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:42 am

Post by Alisae »

In post 4052, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: So it's JJH/Datisi/One more, and in my mind if you want my opinion shoot Datisi in the face tonight please
In post 3987, Alisae wrote:
In post 3978, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: It's jjh/Datisi/one more

Don't know the last one.
Let's go down the pl.

Alisae - I mean I know I'm town. If you think wolves were shooting Staeg because you think they were a cop, then by extention, you must think that I thought Staeg was a cop. So why is Datisi wagoning Imaginality? If I wanted Staeg dead that badly, wouldn't you think that I would just pool all of my resources to do it? Like, why is Datisi off wagon here? If I called for them to kill Staeg they would probably do it.
Bellaphant - I explained why I felt like them unvoting and their play in general is probably coming from town.
Menalque - Mena would probably just vote Staeg. You probably aren't likely to trust the Meta that he is providing on himself but I believe him when he says that he hates playing wolf so much that he just straight up does not care and honestly I feel like this player has been approaching this game from the town mindset this whole game when it comes to just their efforts to try to work with people.
Ythan - no, she just fakes the guilty on mith.
mith - AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA okay nothing actually comes to mind right away on how this team just isn't possible.
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Post Post #4054 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:44 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

In post 4053, Alisae wrote:
In post 4052, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: So it's JJH/Datisi/One more, and in my mind if you want my opinion shoot Datisi in the face tonight please
In post 3987, Alisae wrote:
In post 3978, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: It's jjh/Datisi/one more

Don't know the last one.
Let's go down the pl.

Alisae - I mean I know I'm town. If you think wolves were shooting Staeg because you think they were a cop, then by extention, you must think that I thought Staeg was a cop. So why is Datisi wagoning Imaginality? If I wanted Staeg dead that badly, wouldn't you think that I would just pool all of my resources to do it? Like, why is Datisi off wagon here? If I called for them to kill Staeg they would probably do it.
Bellaphant - I explained why I felt like them unvoting and their play in general is probably coming from town.
Menalque - Mena would probably just vote Staeg. You probably aren't likely to trust the Meta that he is providing on himself but I believe him when he says that he hates playing wolf so much that he just straight up does not care and honestly I feel like this player has been approaching this game from the town mindset this whole game when it comes to just their efforts to try to work with people.
Ythan - no, she just fakes the guilty on mith.
mith - AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA okay nothing actually comes to mind right away on how this team just isn't possible.
because the staeg wagon wasn't necessary.

they could pull back off it or let a townie hammer it, because the other options (Imag, Rad, Maru) were all TOWN.

Like EERY WAGON DAY 1 WAS TOWN. PROVABLY.

So scum didn't have to do SHIT.
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Post Post #4055 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:44 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

and in fact doing something wold have been worse for them
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Post Post #4056 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:45 am

Post by Alisae »

In post 4054, Lady Lambdadelta wrote:
In post 4053, Alisae wrote:
In post 4052, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: So it's JJH/Datisi/One more, and in my mind if you want my opinion shoot Datisi in the face tonight please
In post 3987, Alisae wrote:
In post 3978, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: It's jjh/Datisi/one more

Don't know the last one.
Let's go down the pl.

Alisae - I mean I know I'm town. If you think wolves were shooting Staeg because you think they were a cop, then by extention, you must think that I thought Staeg was a cop. So why is Datisi wagoning Imaginality? If I wanted Staeg dead that badly, wouldn't you think that I would just pool all of my resources to do it? Like, why is Datisi off wagon here? If I called for them to kill Staeg they would probably do it.
Bellaphant - I explained why I felt like them unvoting and their play in general is probably coming from town.
Menalque - Mena would probably just vote Staeg. You probably aren't likely to trust the Meta that he is providing on himself but I believe him when he says that he hates playing wolf so much that he just straight up does not care and honestly I feel like this player has been approaching this game from the town mindset this whole game when it comes to just their efforts to try to work with people.
Ythan - no, she just fakes the guilty on mith.
mith - AAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAAA okay nothing actually comes to mind right away on how this team just isn't possible.
because the staeg wagon wasn't necessary.

they could pull back off it or let a townie hammer it, because the other options (Imag, Rad, Maru) were all TOWN.

Like EERY WAGON DAY 1 WAS TOWN. PROVABLY.

So scum didn't have to do SHIT.
Ok, why do they shoot staeg if they want them dead so much
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Post Post #4057 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:45 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

because people backed off staeg right?

because once people back off they won't kill him

so now they want to shoot there for cop hunting reasons
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Post Post #4058 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:46 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

staeg also probably had good reads (he had me town and reversed for sure) so
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Post Post #4059 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:48 am

Post by Alisae »

In post 4057, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: because people backed off staeg right?

because once people back off they won't kill him

so now they want to shoot there for cop hunting reasons
Gimli put them at 6 votes.
The only unflipped players on that wagon by that point are me and Gimli.

--
In post 4058, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: staeg also probably had good reads (he had me town and reversed for sure) so
In post 1689, Staeg wrote: readslist:
Ceph
and Datisi gigatown
mith,
Alisae, LLD
town
Gimli leaning town
Bella (soft pointers in both directions) and Mena (basically no pointers, somehow; wish he would talk to me) at ~null
Ythan leaning scum
Rad, mara and imaginality
scum, but absolutely not all together and even pairwise fits are hard
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Post Post #4060 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:48 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

at this point iwth Gimli/Andante/JJH scum picking bulletproof (BTW Ali, how do you justify Gimli taking bulletproof there!?)

they know Staeg or Ythan is cop

they shoot the one with the bigger threat level, and then know Ythan is cop/bp
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Post Post #4061 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:49 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

In post 4059, Alisae wrote:
In post 4057, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: because people backed off staeg right?

because once people back off they won't kill him

so now they want to shoot there for cop hunting reasons
Gimli put them at 6 votes.
The only unflipped players on that wagon by that point are me and Gimli.

--
In post 4058, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: staeg also probably had good reads (he had me town and reversed for sure) so
In post 1689, Staeg wrote: readslist:
Ceph
and Datisi gigatown
mith,
Alisae, LLD
town
Gimli leaning town
Bella (soft pointers in both directions) and Mena (basically no pointers, somehow; wish he would talk to me) at ~null
Ythan leaning scum
Rad, mara and imaginality
scum, but absolutely not all together and even pairwise fits are hard
hmmm

so you tell me why scum shot Staeg then Ali? my reasoning makes sense still somewhat
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Post Post #4062 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:50 am

Post by Alisae »

In post 4061, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: so you tell me why scum shot Staeg then Ali? my reasoning makes sense still somewhat
I can explain why all of D1 happened.
mith picked the n3 gun and thought that the 1-shot gun would be picks 2 and 3.
They did not want to give Imaginality a gun because if they did, Imaginality shoots mith
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Post Post #4063 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:51 am

Post by Alisae »

Wolves proactively did NOT want Imaginality getting the 1-shot gun.
They wagoned Imaginality to try to kill the UB, and when they couldn't get that, they wagoned Rad to give Imaginality the doctor.
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Post Post #4064 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:53 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

that's.... way far fetched and does not explain why scum shot staeg over ythan or gimli given the reads you posted
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Post Post #4065 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:54 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

like Ali that's so many levels removed from Occam's Razor it's begging for a fucking shave
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Post Post #4066 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:55 am

Post by Alisae »

In post 4064, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: that's.... way far fetched and does not explain why scum shot staeg over ythan or gimli given the reads you posted
Ythan is a wolf w/ mith.
They don't shoot Gimli because they're not a threat. Gimli wanted to kill Marashu.
Staeg could potentially shoot Ythan.
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Post Post #4067 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:55 am

Post by mith »

Bella was on the E-1. Ali knows this, she’s been arguing Bella wouldn’t have unvoted.
In post 2158, implosion wrote:
It's difficult to pinpoint the exact origin of the myth that coins are more likely to land on tails in the northern hemisphere, but it is believed to be a relatively recent myth that likely arose in the 20th century.

There is little evidence to suggest that the belief was held prior to the 20th century. In fact, the earliest recorded mention of the myth appears to be in a 1969 article in New Scientist magazine, which cited a study that found a slight bias towards tails in a small sample of coin tosses conducted in the northern hemisphere. However, the study's results were not statistically significant and have since been called into question.

Overall, the myth that coins are more likely to land on tails in the northern hemisphere appears to be a modern misconception with no basis in fact or scientific evidence.


Vote Count 1.17
Staeg (6): Alisae, Bellaphant, imaginality, Marashu, Rad, Gimli
imaginality (3): Staeg, Datisi, Menalque
Rad (2): Cephrir, mith
Lady Lambdadelta (1): Ythan

Not Voting (1): Lady Lambdadelta

With 13 alive, it takes 7 votes to eliminate.

Deadline is April 27 at 10:00 PM PST, in (expired on 2023-04-28 01:00:00).
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Post Post #4068 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:56 am

Post by Alisae »

In post 4009, Alisae wrote:
In post 530, mith wrote:I particularly don't care for the start of the argument with Ythan.
In post 1710, mith wrote:
Ythan
- Sort of the opposite of LLD; the initial stuff read as town, but feels like she's coasting on that (and draft position) since? To the point that I almost forgot to include her. Wouldn't vote for her today, but if this feeling persists she's going to shoot up the list.

Datisi
- Reads like he's trying to solve the game, vote progression has seemed reasonable.
In post 2892, mith wrote: Datisi - "i still want to absolutely kill imaginality, but this kind of play from ythan is fucking unacceptable" (No. We lim the obvious scum, and we sort out Ythan tomorrow. I agree her play is unacceptable, and if she's town doing this and continues to do it expect an epic rant from me after the game. But we need to lim scum today.)

Alisae - shifting discussion to lurkers, ignoring the D2 imaginality discussion (Is she town deathtunneling on her bad mith take and therefore isn't going to listen to me? Maybe. It's hard to see her as scum with imaginality just on the numbers clashing, but if not for that she's the most blatant deflector for imaginality.)
LLD look at how mith has treated Ythan throughout the game. How does this not look partnered to you?
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Post Post #4069 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:56 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

In post 4068, Alisae wrote:
In post 4009, Alisae wrote:
In post 530, mith wrote:I particularly don't care for the start of the argument with Ythan.
In post 1710, mith wrote:
Ythan
- Sort of the opposite of LLD; the initial stuff read as town, but feels like she's coasting on that (and draft position) since? To the point that I almost forgot to include her. Wouldn't vote for her today, but if this feeling persists she's going to shoot up the list.

Datisi
- Reads like he's trying to solve the game, vote progression has seemed reasonable.
In post 2892, mith wrote: Datisi - "i still want to absolutely kill imaginality, but this kind of play from ythan is fucking unacceptable" (No. We lim the obvious scum, and we sort out Ythan tomorrow. I agree her play is unacceptable, and if she's town doing this and continues to do it expect an epic rant from me after the game. But we need to lim scum today.)

Alisae - shifting discussion to lurkers, ignoring the D2 imaginality discussion (Is she town deathtunneling on her bad mith take and therefore isn't going to listen to me? Maybe. It's hard to see her as scum with imaginality just on the numbers clashing, but if not for that she's the most blatant deflector for imaginality.)
LLD look at how mith has treated Ythan throughout the game. How does this not look partnered to you?
it doesn't remotely look partnered, sorry
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Post Post #4070 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:57 am

Post by Alisae »

In post 4065, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: like Ali that's so many levels removed from Occam's Razor it's begging for a fucking shave
I don't know what makes sense otherwise I don't know why Staeg doesn't go through if wolves want to shoot him. If they want him dead that badly just vote him and shoot elsewhere. If they were okay with town just eliminating staeg because all of the wagons are on town, why are they shooting him? Eliminating Staeg is so good for wolves going into night is jjh is a wolf so why didn't it happen?
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Post Post #4071 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 9:58 am

Post by Alisae »

In post 4069, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: it doesn't remotely look partnered, sorry
How does "No, we lim the obv scum today and sort out Ythan tomorrow" not look like they're partners with Ythan?
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Post Post #4072 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 10:01 am

Post by Lady Lambdadelta »

In post 4070, Alisae wrote:
In post 4065, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: like Ali that's so many levels removed from Occam's Razor it's begging for a fucking shave
I don't know what makes sense otherwise I don't know why Staeg doesn't go through if wolves want to shoot him. If they want him dead that badly just vote him and shoot elsewhere. If they were okay with town just eliminating staeg because all of the wagons are on town, why are they shooting him? Eliminating Staeg is so good for wolves going into night is jjh is a wolf so why didn't it happen?
maybe and go with me here Ythan isn't scum.
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Post Post #4073 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 10:02 am

Post by mith »

In post 4071, Alisae wrote:
In post 4069, Lady Lambdadelta wrote: it doesn't remotely look partnered, sorry
How does "No, we lim the obv scum today and sort out Ythan tomorrow" not look like they're partners with Ythan?
Publicly, to the alleged third scum of your solve. Neither Datisi switching to Ythan nor switching back (without comment IIRC?) after I put my foot down in public make much sense if we’re all scum together.
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Post Post #4074 (ISO) » Fri May 12, 2023 10:03 am

Post by Alisae »

I think the team being {Ythan, mith, Datisi} having a read that Staeg is the 1-shot vig and them not wanting to give that vig to Imaginality makes so much sense. Wolves tried to kill the UB or kill literally anyone else. If they don't have to worry about giving him the cop, the only thing they do have to worry about is giving him the 1-shot gun. If Imaginality gets the 1-shot gun they absolutely shoot mith with it. How is this far fetched? I feel like it makes perfect sense.

Imaginality being the town UB means that wolves have to be very careful w/ what it is that they kill because if they kill a threatening PR, it goes to Imaginality. If Imaginality is a threat to wolves, that is a big deal. If they read Staeg as having the 1-shot gun (very possible if mith is drafting the N3 gun), they're not going to want to give that gun to the Imaginality that wants to shoot mith in the face.

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