Micro 1089: the coalition, again [game over]

[Thestatusquo]

I'm giving hellbooks credit for that being a direct comment on how twitters worldview makes little sense and combining it with her words about herself so I'm hoping that's the case.

[Thestatusquo]

skitters worldview, though twitters worldview certainly also doesnt make sense.

[hellbooks]

You should approach all of my posts with a "death of the author" attitude (by which i mean you should read them and think "wow the author of this post should get limmed")

[Isis]

Ari should I vote skitter

[Isis]

This game is stress

[Isis]

VOTE: skitter

[Isis]

Feels bad

[Isis]

Why isn't it 9town

[Thestatusquo]

You should approach all of my posts with a "death of the author" attitude (by which i mean you should read them and think "wow the author of this post should get limmed")

a lot of people talk about the death of the artist but not that many talk about the death of the fartist.

[Aristeia]

do you feel better about sheep?

[Isis]

I don't feel good about anyone being scum except fire

[hellbooks]

APPENDIX A

Tossing in this image created by schadd feel free to replace the captions with something that captures the three competing wagons with an adequate amount of humor

[Isis]

If I was clever I could determine something about the gamestate based on there being too many wagons

[Thestatusquo]

the fact that there were two competing counterwagons makes it more likely tris is scum but I dont believe in wagonomics.

[Thestatusquo]

It makes it slightly less likely that skitter is scum because if she were we likely would have seen movement back to tris instead of to a new wagon.

But again wagonomics is utterly flawed.

[hellbooks]

lets explore the wutheringness of a skitbooks theory where theres a trolley coming towards her and my pre-coal vote is the lever

[Thestatusquo]

sheep is the least likely to be scum of the three based on pure wagon considerations.

[hellbooks]

trolleynomics

[hellbooks]

no in that universe they'd call it trolleyology for sure

[Isis]

Are you calculating based on my status as confscum

[Thestatusquo]

no.

[Isis]

It helps to make simplifyibg assumptions for instance I assume ari is town and I assume tris is my scumpartner

[Thestatusquo]

You are asking simply what the wagonomics would say.

If you want to make further assumptions you're free to do so.

For what its worth I think that one of the ways analysis of wagons goes wrong is the person doing said analysis makes heavy assumptions about the game state outside of what is actually know. I think another way it frequently goes wrong is people use it as a determinative measure rather than a probabilistic measure, and a low probability one at that.

I'm answering earnestly because I don't know how else to respond to this bit at this point and I really don't like it.

[Thestatusquo]

*outside of what is actually known that should say and should further clarify that I think one of the major assumptions people make is that scum would do x or y in a certain wagon state when in my experience frequently these are percentage calls rather than absolutes which feeds into my second critique of the overall process.

Or something.

[tris]

i have the power