I was posting at 11:20pm on Xmas eve. You were lucky I logged onIn post 940, Pavowski wrote:C'mon man. There are almost 40 pages of game. To quote Vincent Vega, right before he shot some dude in the face, you gotta have an opinionIn post 939, geraintm wrote: I've got nothing tonadd today from last night BTW
Mini Normal 2322: Game Over
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geraintm Jack of All Trades
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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I think all three SRs are wrong but I'm probably wrong on that mathematically speakingIn post 926, Hu Tao wrote:
Unfortunately 1 and probably 2 of your scumreads are wrong. So might need to rethink itIn post 919, cw357 wrote:MY READS
WELCOME TO AMOGUS CITY
He got that drip frfr
The nice list
Flavor
Pavowski
Joyboy
The neutral list
HighPrincessErinys
geraintm
Purplemango
The naught list (impostors are venting and sabotaging our tasks like taking care of navigation but then the oxygen starts to run out??!?!?!??!!)
Kyouku
DragonEater
Hu Tao
further developments could cause me to downgrade either joyboy or purplemango and swap them with a scumread, unlikely though
T[/color][/color][/color][/color][/color]AKEITORLE[color=#0040FF]A[color=#00FFFF]V[color=#FFFFFF]E [color=#800000]I[color=#408040]T-
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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This is definitely a scum postIn post 900, Pavowski wrote:
I'm not going to pretend to understand the logic of why this post means Kyo or DE or *both* could be scum, but the more I sit with it the more scum!Dragon makes sense to meIn post 899, cw357 wrote:see below
well this means at least one scum in DE/Kyouko, which I could have seen already.
I arrive at the following conclusion:
If Kyouko is town then DE/Flavor ig could be w/w? Maybe both Kyo and DE are scum
But I'm going to go out on a limb and VOTE: ssbm_Kyouko
prob should vig DE if kyouko flips town
VOTE: Dragon
Like Pav isn't even pretending to have a reason to vote me. It's thinly veiled OMGUS on a slot that he sees is coming under fire, when he needs to divert attention off hinself after the towncore starts suspecting him.
Game solved GGEZ-
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HighPrincessErinys it/its, not theyMafia Scumit/its, not they
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This one can see it with the example you quoted but it's still like, pretty pleased with his earlier play? But it supposes this could be a caught scum flailing moment or however you wanna describe it. This one will think on it. Reminder to me also to go and take a look at PM and Kyouko because they've not been on it's radar all that much this game.In post 954, DragonEater70 wrote:
This is definitely a scum postIn post 900, Pavowski wrote:
I'm not going to pretend to understand the logic of why this post means Kyo or DE or *both* could be scum, but the more I sit with it the more scum!Dragon makes sense to meIn post 899, cw357 wrote:see below
well this means at least one scum in DE/Kyouko, which I could have seen already.
I arrive at the following conclusion:
If Kyouko is town then DE/Flavor ig could be w/w? Maybe both Kyo and DE are scum
But I'm going to go out on a limb and VOTE: ssbm_Kyouko
prob should vig DE if kyouko flips town
VOTE: Dragon
Like Pav isn't even pretending to have a reason to vote me. It's thinly veiled OMGUS on a slot that he sees is coming under fire, when he needs to divert attention off hinself after the towncore starts suspecting him.
Game solved GGEZ-
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Yeah I don't think Pav has been particulalrly scummy in his play, it's just a gut thought that he's scum more than anything else. Like his towniness is the easiest to fake out of all players, if that makes sense.-
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Anyhow I'm going to slither back into the meta rabbit hole I've been in for the last 40 minutes trying to figure out if my read of Kyo is valid or not-
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Flavor Leaf Survivor
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I feel I was close to a full solve with CW, Pavowski, HPE. HPE’s AtE is strong, though, so I think they could be town, but then there’s a scum in the lurkers, soCHECK OUT MY HOW TO PLAY AS SCUM GUIDE Maybe it'll help you catch me
”Yeah, the moment I realized Flavor was scum I stopped trying because I’m sure as hell not beating him.” - Clemency
”Not bragging about myself as much as I'm actually praising the Scum player of the year...and probably the decade.” - Almost50
"Just accept that FL is too good as scum, period." - Clidd-
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Alright I skimmed like 2-3 of Kyouko's town games and also 2-3 scum games of hers, and my conclusion is that Kyouko doesn't know how to powerwolf / fake-tunnel as scum. OTOH, there's at least one instance in her town games of being overly-insistent on a wrong scumread.
So I feel content with my read of her as town for now - at least until she does something which makes me question that read.-
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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How the fuck does that work??? Like you think FL is lying about being a vig? If so you should vote him not me. And why would scum!me even need to "bait out the real vig" if Flavor isn't the real vig? Wouldn't the "real vig" CC anyway?
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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You have a really dry sense of humor.In post 892, ssbm_Kyouko wrote:
No?In post 648, DragonEater70 wrote:
Probably because we were naughty and killed LaplacianIn post 596, Hu Tao wrote: Santa brought us coal for Christmas
@Kyocan I be conftown for not wanting to kill him earlier?-
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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cw357 Goon
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lol this is the most blatant de/hu Tao w/w post I’ve seen yetIn post 949, Hu Tao wrote:
FixedIn post 948, Hu Tao wrote:
If he's town and we don't vote him out today and vote out town today I think we lose tomorrow. Because he will push on me or dragon tomorrow. So I agree.In post 943, Flavor Leaf wrote: I think I’m still team fade CW-
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cw357 Goon
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Im townIn post 959, Flavor Leaf wrote: I feel I was close to a full solve with CW, Pavowski, HPE. HPE’s AtE is strong, though, so I think they could be town, but then there’s a scum in the lurkers, so-
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HighPrincessErinys it/its, not theyMafia Scumit/its, not they
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In post 965, cw357 wrote:
Im townIn post 959, Flavor Leaf wrote: I feel I was close to a full solve with CW, Pavowski, HPE. HPE’s AtE is strong, though, so I think they could be town, but then there’s a scum in the lurkers, soAnda liablity!-
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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If all my town reads are correct (which is 100% not the case), then the following are town:
Purple, Flavor, Dragon, HPE, cw, Kyouko, Hu Tao
Meaning the scum team is exactly Gera/Pav/Joyboy
However like I said this is incorrect
What I think is pretty likely is there's 0 scum in Purple/Dragon/Flavor/Kyo, 1 scum in cw/HPE/Hu Tao, and 2 scum in Gera/Pav/Joyboy
Pav is my most confident SR but I would 100% go for Gera/Joyboy. I think fading one and vigging another out of these three will give us a scum flip 95% of the time.-
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Dark green - conftownIn post 589, D1 Final VC wrote:Votecount 1.6
With 13 players alive, it takes 7 votes to eliminate. Day 1 ends in (expired on 2024-01-02 07:27:34).
Light green - confident these are town / conftown FMPOV only
Based on this we can rule out HPE/Pav/Gera scum team as well as Hu/cw/Joy scum team. However cw and Hu Tao have individually high partner equity with Joyboy (distancing).
Pav's vote looks less opportunistic than I remembered.
Maybe the solve is like 2 out of cw/Joy/Hu Tao + 1 out of HPE/Gera. I need to look at combined ISOs to confirm likelihood of this.-
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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DragonEater70 He/HimJack of All TradesHe/Him
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Hu Tao she/herJack of All Tradesshe/her
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I don't think cw and joyboy are scum together. So if cw is scum I think it's Gera in the lurkers. I'm not sure.In post 959, Flavor Leaf wrote: I feel I was close to a full solve with CW, Pavowski, HPE. HPE’s AtE is strong, though, so I think they could be town, but then there’s a scum in the lurkers, so-
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Hu Tao she/herJack of All Tradesshe/her
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How so?In post 964, cw357 wrote:
lol this is the most blatant de/hu Tao w/w post I’ve seen yetIn post 949, Hu Tao wrote:
FixedIn post 948, Hu Tao wrote:
If he's town and we don't vote him out today and vote out town today I think we lose tomorrow. Because he will push on me or dragon tomorrow. So I agree.In post 943, Flavor Leaf wrote: I think I’m still team fade CW-
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I don't hate this planIn post 967, DragonEater70 wrote: If all my town reads are correct (which is 100% not the case), then the following are town:
Purple, Flavor, Dragon, HPE, cw, Kyouko, Hu Tao
Meaning the scum team is exactly Gera/Pav/Joyboy
However like I said this is incorrect
What I think is pretty likely is there's 0 scum in Purple/Dragon/Flavor/Kyo, 1 scum in cw/HPE/Hu Tao, and 2 scum in Gera/Pav/Joyboy
Pav is my most confident SR but I would 100% go for Gera/Joyboy. I think fading one and vigging another out of these three will give us a scum flip 95% of the time.-
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Hu Tao she/herJack of All Tradesshe/her
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Okay let's go joyboy if you think I'm just scum bussing.In post 968, DragonEater70 wrote:
Dark green - conftownIn post 589, D1 Final VC wrote:Votecount 1.6
With 13 players alive, it takes 7 votes to eliminate. Day 1 ends in (expired on 2024-01-02 07:27:34).
Light green - confident these are town / conftown FMPOV only
Based on this we can rule out HPE/Pav/Gera scum team as well as Hu/cw/Joy scum team. However cw and Hu Tao have individually high partner equity with Joyboy (distancing).
Pav's vote looks less opportunistic than I remembered.
Maybe the solve is like 2 out of cw/Joy/Hu Tao + 1 out of HPE/Gera. I need to look at combined ISOs to confirm likelihood of this.
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