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Sens, I take it your vote for jammer is semi-random OMGUS, and has little to do with my or Kairyuu's reasons for voting him. Is that correct?
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Zachrulez:
Although the math states that 2 mafia is the most balanced, the math assumes random lynches, and does not take into account the fact that finding scum gets exponentially easier as more are lynched. I do not think that 4 scum is so unreasonable that it cannot be the case, although if there are 4, we are in for a tough game. I actually think that 4 scum is more likely than 2, as a 2-scum setup would be way too swingy, and Yaw may not have been familiar with that particular bit of theory.Zachrulez wrote:As is Gieff, due to his attacks on Jammer over stating 4 scum as fact being some kind of "scum slip." I don't subscribe heavily into that as a strong scumtell. In fact given that 3 scum tends to make a lot more sense in this kind of a setup, I think it's more likely that Gieff is scum attacking Jammer's "slip."
Can you give your reasoning as to why "3 scum tends to make a lot more sense in this type of setup?"
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Does anybody have a link to a similarly-sized all-vanilla game, or can somebody more experienced with vanilla setups (or Yaw's preferences/knowledge of vanilla setups) shed some light? If 4 scum is extremely unlikely, then jammer's scumminess drops dramatically. However, the fact that two players (alexhans and jammer) decided 4 scum was the most likely scenario makes me think a 4-scum setup is not as unlikely as zachrulez and Cephrir believe it to be.
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jammer,
How many scum do you think there are in this game? Why?