Here's what Sotty7/James.Denholm and I said to each other during the nights so far. I've numbered each comment for ease of reference. I've left out any communications to and from the mod.
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1 imaginality:
Hello again. Just to mention, I've played with RedCoyote on EpicMafia quite a bit in the past. The set-ups there are fairly power-role-heavy, I'm interested to see if he's taking the same approach here or going for something more sedate.
2 imaginality:
Oh, and I know this is probably stating the obvious, but let's be up-front about it: the fact that we're neighbours in no way guarantees that we're both pro-town.
By chance alone I think there's a good chance you're town (and same goes for me, from your perspective), but I don't expect you to share your role or any such details with me unless and until you feel confident I'm town. And vice versa.
Looking forward to working with you though.
3 James.Denholm:
Yep, sure. Just about to go and sleep, but I'll say more tomorrow (Aussie time)
4 imaginality:
Oh, you're in Oz? Cool. I'm just across the ditch from you here in NZ.
I haven't played as mason or neighbour before, but I think we can hopefully use it effectively, both to increase our confidence that the other of us is town, and to exchange ideas on who is scum.
Do you think we should breadcrumb our connection?
5 James.Denholm:
Huh, a neighbour in real-life... Sorta. You get where I'm coming from.
Anyway, me neither. In fact, all my previous games have been Newbies, so... Yeah. I'm not sure if breadcrumming our neighbour would be a good idea, it could sort-of make it look like we might be scum-partners, I think. Probably not. You know what I'm talking about.
6 James.Denholm:
Also, a roleclaim this quick? My, my. I'm going to have to lynch you now. Sorry about that.
7 imaginality:
lol, roleclaim? You mean the mason thing? Yeah, I just meant that I haven't had a pro-town night-talking role before of any type.
I agree that if we clearly work together during the day (e.g. always pressuring the same players) that could make it look like we're scum-buddies, but I don't think bread-crumbing a connection between us would do; I think scum would be fairly unlikely to hint who their partners are. Because breadcrumbing another player's name could only really mean you're neighbours or masons, or possibly lovers. Neighbour is a kinda weak fake-claim to set up, and claiming masons would tie them together - if one gets proven scum the other goes down too. Similarly with lovers.
I can see a couple of reasons to bread-crumb:
1. If either (or both) of us has a power role, and shares the results with the other, it lets the other provably claim neighbour and reveal the results if the PR dies before he claims. Or if the PR claims, proving we're neighbours could be useful as it would allow the neigbour to confirm that the results the PR claims match what the PR told the neighbour previously.
2. If a cop spots the breadcrumb they might assume we're masons and investigate someone else. Which is good because we have a good chance of catching each other out anyhow if either of us is scum, so it's good if the cop focuses on more useful targets.
3. Or if neither of us are power roles but scum see the breadcrumb, they might assume we're masons and kill one of us. Which is good if it draws the nightkill away from more important pro-town roles.
So, I'm leaning slightly towards bread-crumbing, but we should agree together one way or the other. No point just one of us doing it!
8 imaginality:
Okay, unless you say otherwise before game starts, I'll go along with not bread-crumbing. Look forward to talking with you after Day 1 and pitting our wits together to crack this game wide open!
9 James.Denholm:
Breadcrumb away! Just of curiosity, what does a mason do? I'm just a poor townie, and I've never encountered the term before.
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10 imaginality:
Hi Sotty7. Thanks for replacing in for James.Denholm. Actually I have to say I was starting to wonder a little about him, but your posts have struck me as more clearly pro-town.
If you have any concerns about my play feel free to ask me anything you want.
More from me soonish.
11 imaginality:
By the way, to expand a bit more on my in-game answer to your question: I didn't find Vi's case on me scummy for his/her case against me in particular. But, as for Vi's play in general, I have had a slightly 'hmm' vibe about Vi's play this game. Compared with the other game I was in with Vi, where he/she was clearly town, I get more of a sense of possible hidden motives here. That's just a gut reaction though, so rather than comment vaguely on it Day1 (which also, given Vi's case against me, could have been regarded as OMGUSsy) I figured I'd make sure to re-read Vi's posts during this night period and watch Vi more closely tomorrow.
12 Sotty7:
Oooh quick topic fun
I'm just passing though at the moment so I don't have time for a detailed post, just one quick question... Are you scum?
In seriousness, I'm pretty sure Vi is scum at this point.
13 imaginality:
lol... well, since you ask, I'm... oh, the suspense... town!
Interesting to see TMJ flip as framer. Doesn't guarantee a cop, but does point towards it, and arguably lessens the likelihood of the cop having non-sane sanity (unless there's more than one cop around).
14 imaginality:
I plan to re-read tonight (NZ time). A couple of things in the meantime. First, I breadcrumbed our neighbourlyness with the capital letters of my first post.
Second, my read of Porkens' isoposts 15 and 16 is that he thinks you and DRK might be scumbuddies or masons. I notice DRK gave a neutral opinion of you when Porkens asked. You didn't directly offer an opinion of DRK to Porkens (though your post 2 suggests you see DRK as scummy). Was there a reason for not answering Porkens directly or did you just not see Porkens' question?
15 Sotty7:
Porkens asked James those questions. If he wanted me to answer them when I replaced in I would have thought he would have asked me.
I did think that DRK was scummy because of his tunneled approach to Pops and his quick switch to Jammer after the claim. But I thought that he started to pull away from Pops before the claim. But when I looked back again I saw I got the time line wrong so I didn't mention it. I still find him somewhat scummy, but he could easily be a tunneled townie.
I was pleasantly surprised that TMJ flipped framer of all things. In my opinion this makes bussing much more unlikely because of his powerful role. So his wagon v Pops tells us A LOT and I love it.
Presence of a framer makes me 99% sure of a cop.
Vi is still scum, encouraging the wagon of the claimed doc while keeping her vote off it. Plus TMJ sheeping Vi's early vote of Y.C just screams of scum following.
Who are your suspects?
16 Sotty7:
Oh and nice bread crumbing, I'll try something like that in day two
17 imaginality:
The short of it:
My main scum suspects now are Cruciare, Vi and DRK, but if pops doesn't get NKed I'll be keeping an eye on him too.
More detail:
afatchic - not very active but reading her posts, I really can't see her being scum unless pops is also scum
Col.Cathart - would he bus TMJ that hard day 1 as scum? I don't see it. Pretty sure he's town
Cruciare - tried to steer it to a pops vs jammer choice and away from TMJ. And softened his position again pops to 'more gut than logic' when pops looked likely to be lynched, an attempt to deflect suspicion onto others if pops flipped town? There's also a bit of 'I don't know' avoidance of commenting on stuff at times. I suspect Cruciare could be scum
DRK - the 'pops or jammer' thing stands out again, similar to Cruciare though he made more of a case against pops than Cruciare did. I agree with you DRK could be scum and I'm curious about the possibility of a DRK and Cruciare pairing
jammer - didn't like his L-1 vote on pops, but the way he switched to the TMJ wagon seemed genuine, I now think he's more likely town than scum. Also jammer-town would fit with Cruciare-scum and/or DRK-scum
pops - I still think his play after replacing in fully justified a wagon on him, even after his claim. If he survives the night, hmm... I also wonder if he is town, why scum didn't get pops lynched over TMJ, given how close it ended up? (Unless the scum were all already on the pops wagon of course.) Not tooo worried about pops now though as he can hardly stay under the radar so if he's scum I think we'll pin him down in the end
Porkens - the other game I played with Porkens he was scum and I fairly easily picked up on that. He seems more pro-town this game. So I've just gone with my gut with that and see him as town. A quick re-read didn't throw up any alarm bells
sigma - posts seem genuinely scum-hunting, I get a town feel
Vi - want to do a detailed re-read but as per my post below, I can see an argument that Vi=scum
18 imaginality:
Further to: "I also wonder if he is town, why scum didn't get pops lynched over TMJ, given how close it ended up? (Unless the scum were all already on the pops wagon of course.)" - looking at the votecount, that would fit with any or all of Vi, Cruciare and DRK being scum. Vi only switched to pops when it was either that or no lynch.
If my theory is right, I expect that the scum will try to push a case on me tomorrow since one of them bussing the other seems kinda risky when they're already one down, and they don't have a whole lot of other logical targets given the TMJ=framer flip. We'll see.
What do you think of my reads, any you particularly agree/disagree with?
19 imaginality:
Re-reading Vi, she did express a reasonable amount of suspicion of TMJ, though yes, while also encouraging the pops wagon. Do you think Vi was deliberatly bussing TMJ from mid-day onward or just distancing - not expecting TMJ to end up as the lynch?
20 Sotty7:
I'm starting to think I might have been wrong about Cruciare. If Vi does flip scum then their exchange over his vote could be coaching of sorts. Pretty weak but can't rule that out. Then there is the WIFOM over Cruciare's last ditch appeal to get Pops lynched at the top of page 16. Would scum go that far out of their way to save a buddy? Maybe. That is higher considering TMJ was a framer. The only thing is that all those people said she was scummy but no one could really say why, you know what I mean?
Sigma is probably town. He switched his vote at such a key moment in the wagon, it makes zero sense for him to do so as scum. He could have simply not posted and no one would have said much I doubt.
Porkens is also a town read for me. Early voter for TMJ when I pushed him, he could have put his vote anywhere else at the time.
Col.Cathart I'm not sure on. He's very wishy washy in this game, which is not the town meta of his that I know. But he was an early and constant vote on TMJ. After the flip, he feels more town to me than he did. There is a chance he is scum.
jammer and afatchic lurked in the face of the deadline. I have an issue with a jammer and him throwing his vote around and afatchic just needs to post more. Not sure what to think of him. jammer is more likely to be scum here I think.
DRK is a tough one. Calling for an early and quick lynch is bad, I will have to see what he does at the start of day two.
Pops is the doc. I'm about 99% sure of that now with how the two wagons went and TMJ's flip. Probably will die tonight if the scum don't have a roleblocker.
Vi is my highest scum read at this point and needs to die.
21 Sotty7:
"Do you think Vi was deliberatly bussing TMJ from mid-day onward or just distancing - not expecting TMJ to end up as the lynch?"
Yes.
No offense to TMJ, but he wasn't the greatest player, he was pretty awful. In my eye, Vi needed to slap him down after he sheeped her early vote of Y.C. I will re-read but I don't remember a significant amount of time where Vi was voting for or overly pressuring TMJ over any other player.
22 imaginality:
Re. Vi coaching Cruciare, there are a few other exchanges between Vi and Cruciare earlier that could possibly read as Vi prompting Cruciare to comment in particular ways (e.g. the 'newbishness' thing about TMJ).
Also there was their 254-255 double hit on Col.Cathart.
Re. people finding Cruciare scummy: after a skim (alt-F4 searching for 'Cruciare' from page 9 onwards) it looks to me like the only people to really express much suspicion of Cruciare were:
-afatchic
-Porkens (in 293 "Cruciare wouldn't be terrible [as a lynch]")
-Vi who later said s/he was satisfied with Cruciare's answers
-sigma right at the end
I think the case against Cruciare looks a lot clearer now post-TMJ-flip than during the day, and none of those players who expressed suspicion of Cruciare look scummy to me, aside from Vi (but I don't think s/he was ever really seriously pressing Cruciare, just doing a bit of distancing, it's not like Cruciare was ever likely to be the lynch).
I think we could be onto something with Vi and Cruciare as a possible pairing.
23 Sotty7:
We pretty much seem to agree as far as the players go, that makes me feel like we are probably both townies which is good.
Right now I am just interested to see who is killed. I think the scum have to kill Pops even if they don't have a roleblocker, he will be harder to lynch than yesterday.
24 imaginality:
Yep, from the scum's perspective, it's a massive risk leaving pops alive if he's town, especially given that we almost certainly have a cop. The only scenario I could see them doing so is if they have a roleblocker. In that case, they might leave him alive in the hope the/a cop comes out and they can block the doc, kill the cop N2 and push to lynch pops D3.
Also, it's not like there's anyone who's especially shiningly clearly town to kill instead of pops.
25 imaginality:
I agree, I'm feeling comfortable about us both being townies.
26 Sotty7:
I'm just waiting on the day now. Can't think of anything else we should chat about.
27 imaginality:
Likewise, I think we've covered the important stuff. Hopefully we both survive the night and can put a bit of combined pressure on Vi and Cruciare in particular.
As for breadcrumbing, go ahead, feel free.
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28 Sotty7:
Hrmm... That was interesting.
DRK stepped over the line at the end there, but did you notice Vi's complete no sell of his claim? Do you think that was because she knew that the scum got the townie PM?
Porkens and charter = Town. Sigma seemed overly concerned about getting DRK mod killed as well. Gave me pause for thought a little there.
If Vi doesn't die tonight I will be voting her and keeping my vote on her. She soft claimed a power role I can't see the scum keeping her alive if she isn't one of them.
I really didn't like Cruciare's question "Sotty, terribly sorry to digress, but could you list all the people you think are less scummy than Imaginality?" which is why I ignored it. Just rubbed me the wrong way.
I really hope the game isn't broken though
Thoughts?
29 imaginality:
Sotty: Firstly, sorry about my slackness over the past game day, which led to me getting wagoned. (Annoyingly the sine wave of real life commitments and the sine wave of mafia game commitments seem to be in phase rather than balancing each other out... Will be making more of an effort day 3 though.)
Hopefully being openly neighbours and having a town read on each other might help. Now scum have to decide whether to kill one of us or hunt for power roles.
Initial thoughts:
I agree on Porkens and charter being pretty likely town. Something about Col's posts today make me want to re-read him, but I'll probably end up still concluding he's also town.
Re. Vi, I was pretty sure Vi was setting up a cop claim, either as cop or as scum, and was kinda surprised that she backed off from doing so. Scum-Vi could have claimed cop and not been too worried about counterclaims (multiple sanity cops would be believable). Definitely re-reading Vi again tonight.
Re. sigma, I've just re-read sigma's other posts and he definitely looks scummier than I thought N1, especially his voting record. He only switched to TMJ when it was inevitable TMJ would get lynched.
A few of Cruciare's posts made me doubt my previous read. But now I know DRK isn't scum, I'm leaning scum on Cruciare again because unless scum planned to bus TMJ from the start of Day 1, when it got down to the wire as a choice between their scumbuddy or pops, pops would've been too tempting a lynch target to pass up, I'd've thought.
So for me it's two from sigma, Vi and Cruciare at the moment. Or possibly just one of them scum with another neutral role around. (I thought Vi might be lyncher with me as target, but I doubt that now.)
More later.
30 Sotty7:
I think I might die tonight. If not me, then Vi. (maybe sigma?)
If Vi is a townie I am leaning towards Ojanen or Cruciare (more likely the latter)
Sigma was a little off towards the end of that day, but check out post 544. I still think he is likely town. I do find the actively looking for a mod kill somewhat anti town, BUT DRK did make it obvious, I don't think Red had any choice but to modkill him.
I will say that I thought Sigma might be the cop. He was waiting in little Italy right before the game opened up as Red was writing up the night scene. I know this because I was eager to see if I was dead or not and so was also waiting for Red to open the game. Now either Sigma is in love with this game and has no life (like me) OR he received a PM at the end of the night that brought him to the boards to camp out and wait for Red.
I really wanted to see what he posted when the game opened as was ready to wagon who ever he voted for in his post. However his opening post was a really weak lurker vote of afatchic which he later abandoned. So, I could be off with the power role assumption. Some thing to keep in mind.
31 imaginality:
Given that everyone got the townie PM and flavour, I don't think sigma's 544 is a towntell. Your point about timing is interesting, but he's also in Open 165 by the looks of it, so maybe was just reading that game?
If you or Vi don't die, I could see Col dying to be honest. His 'oh yeah I see it now' sounds like a possible PR who didn't see the name difference since his PM says cop or whatever instead of townie.
One problem with my Cruciare scum theory, if he is scum then I'm not sure what to make of 533/542. Would scum really defend DRK, especially when he could well have ended up as the lynch if we didn't lynch DRK? If anything charter's post 537/539 would be a more plausible mafia-wanting-to-seem-town-and-get-DRK-lynched-as-a-bonus post.
32 Sotty7:
Hmm I see what you mean as far as Cruciare and even cc goes. That is interesting. Sigma's 544 just felt like a townie reaction to me, but how knows I could be wrong there as well.
Who are your top three suspects at this point?
33 imaginality:
Honestly it seems less clearer now than it did at the start of day 2. My top four are sigma, Vi, charter (more for jammer's play than his own) and Cruciare (because if he's not scum then there were no scum voting pops).
34 Sotty7:
My top three are: Vi, Cruciare and Ojanen. Maybe an extreme outside chance of Sigma being scum. Everyone else I am happy enough to call town for now anyway.
The game opens again today, if I remember I will see if I spot Sigma in the forum waiting again
"holy shit this entire time i thought imaginalitys profile was a purple seahorse" - camelCasedSnivy