rosso/sajin?Magnus wrote: rosso/serial
artem/serial?
Do you think Sajin is likely town? Other?
...Herodotus wrote:rosso/sajin?Magnus wrote: rosso/serial
artem/serial?
Do you think Sajin is likely town? Other?
I've seen scum rolefish, and it occurs when the scum want to know more about the setup after something unexpected happens, such as more than one kill (which happened in this game) or perhaps no kills (like in this game). In the game you linked I have no idea why they accused you of rolefishing wrt elvis_knits, and I can only see a little more why your attack on rofl could be deemed rolefishing. This game, however, was more blatant and was a lot less motivated.SerialClergyman 755 wrote:Percy - I have very distinct views on the rolefishing issue - namely, I've never seen scum rolefish, I can't imagine how it would ever be successful and I don't think I was rolefishing either in /inv or here (although the circumstances were very different).
I had plenty of reasons to ask the question that I did, including the scum assuming roleblocker because they were told their kill was blocked or them assuming blocker because a hitman or the like failed their kill, ruling out doc. As it is, I think that that line of enquiry was a road to nowhere, but I think we're all big enough boys and girls that we can handle the question.
I'm not saying that talking about roles is always scummy. My accusation is rather specific.SerialClergyman 755 wrote:The situation isn't analagous, but it's typical of the argument that says any talk about roles is scummy when it is simply not, and any clinical assesment of rolefishing accusations I'm sure would find town far more often than scum.
I don't think they were good reasons - they essentially amounted to "he's just VI". I don't think defending a townie necessarily makes you scum, but defending anyone, ever is usually a pretty good scumtell for me. The only player I've defended so far in this game is you, actually, from what I saw as poorly formulated and illogical attacks from Sajin which I have now re-evaluated as better than I thought, but still evasive. I think Sajin's attack on you was VI play with a good point at its core.SerialClergyman 755 wrote:But worse than that is directly after telling me off for using WIFOM you point to how me defending a townie makes me scum. ><. Hypocrasy, thy name is Percy. I gave good reasons as to why Ray wasn't likely to flip scum, and was right - I'm not accepting this as a scumtell.
This. I don't like retreating into the realms of mafia metatheory when I'm trying to scumhunt, so I'm not going to be talking about this anymore. Trying to get others to focus on a specific subset of players via meta reasons is bad play, imo, and I think it's ultimately about asking questions we won't know the answers to until the end of the game. Cases against individual players are far more important than over-reaching theories about how the game is working and who is the scumteam in its entirety. It means you can accuse others of only talking about metatheory or criticising your playstyle (ala Fishy and VP), because you're working hard to do just what I said you'd do - subsume scumtells to negate their effectiveness rather than proving your towniness.SerialClergyman 755 wrote:But even if you totally disagreed, I think there's little absolute there, it seems to me like a personal preference thing.
This.Fishythefish 774 wrote:In other words: if you think scum were more likely to vote RF, you should be more suspicious of everyone on his wagon. But the natural reaction to clearing people on his wagon is to weaken your hypothesis that scum voted RF, not to become more certain about the remaining players.
Ojanen clearly has an encyclopaedic knowledge of the game and is a solid reasoner. Right now, I get townvibes, but I think part of that is that her playstyle will make it easier for us to catch slips later. Her contributions make people talk about the things I want them to be talking about, so I'm not interested in interrogating her right now.SerialClergyman 756 wrote:Also, while I'm still here, could I get your thoughts on Ojanen?
...is this a scumhunting technique? I don't know what you're trying to achieve with questions like these.SerialClergyman 777 wrote:Ojanen, while you're around and musing about the game, how do you rate your own play this game?
Elaborate.Herodotus 799 wrote:I don't think Chamber is a good place to look for scum right now.
Yes, that is what I was saying. I made that pretty clear in the post.Herodotus 799 wrote:Percy 676:
You quoted a comment from Fishy on SC's defense. Are you saying it wasn't sufficient?
"Sort of" answered? Again, I was pretty clear about what I liked about both the case and the response.Herodotus 799 wrote:What about IAUN's case was good?Sort of answered in 709, though I don't really see what you mean about the case being good.
Sorry, but the fact that no-one likes your arguments doesn't mean it's because you're launching them at scum. If IAAUN is scum, then there is n-1 scum not on your wagon, but 12-(n+1) townies who also disagree. Can you clarify what you mean here?magnus_orion 798 wrote:Because, holistically speaking, the wagon has not been building up quickly, despite its apparent validity, and ease of agreement, else I think I'd have more nay-sayers, suggesting scum are less than satisfied with supporting the wagon.
Aside from what you feel is a scummy way of joining RF's wagon "to avoid fencesitting" (which isn't stellar, but doesn't say OBVSCUM to me), is there anything else that made le Chat scummy?magnus_orion 798 wrote:Until this is even somewhat acknowledged/addressed, what greater possible contribution do you expect from me?
Why?magnus_orion 803 wrote:I was frustrated by rosso so I meta'd him, its hard to tell but I think he was town...
its simpleSorry, but the fact that no-one likes your arguments doesn't mean it's because you're launching them at scum. If IAAUN is scum, then there is n-1 scum not on your wagon, but 12-(n+1) townies who also disagree. Can you clarify what you mean here?
How is skepticism town and reversing opinions boldly so scum? How are both not born out of uncertainty? How is flipping your position repeatedly convenient?VP wrote:Even if your scum read on le chat wasn't the strongest in the world, it was pretty much all you had from Day 1 and you pulled a complete 180 because of a single case. It simply defies a town approach to the game of mafia, which would almost always be peppered with at least some skepticism due to lack of knowledge. It seems to me that only a player with added insight could so boldly call another town in the way you did.
Wow, jaw-droppingly big theory disagreement. There are obviously many scummy types of defence, it's a very general concept, but scum isn't stereotypically keen on defending each other outright and defending town might get you cred later but is a detour to scum's wincon. I have vehemently defended people as town based on mere gut when I have felt to have good reads, the most frustrating way to lose is to be right but lack impact.Percy wrote:I don't think defending a townie necessarily makes you scum, but defending anyone, ever is usually a pretty good scumtell for me.
It’s true that I have been recently arguing with you an awful lot about your playstyle. Here’s the part where you are scum:SerialClergyman wrote:I haven't learnt the part where I'm obvscum who should be lynched.
In fact, from you and fishy you both seem to be arguing about whether my playstyle and reads are effective or well-founded - where's the part where I'm scum?
In case you've forgotten, you have a town read on VP.SerialClergyman wrote:d) I couldn't care less about defending myself to the very block of players I suggest are most likely to be scum.
Very much so.Percy wrote:(Fishy, are you a mathematician?)
Sajin, I'd love to know the answer to this question.iamausername wrote:Yes, quite. Why aren't you voting Hero?Sajin wrote:I figured you [Hero] were going to use it as an excuse to vote me reguardless of my response.
I completely disagree with this.Fishythefish wrote:In other words: if you think scum were more likely to vote RF, you should be more suspicious of everyone on his wagon. But the natural reaction to clearing people on his wagon is to weaken your hypothesis that scum voted RF, not to become more certain about the remaining players.
I know exactly what you mean.Ojanen wrote:I sometimes feel like I get into a bit of a stressed uncertainty rut with games where I suffer from too many townreads like this one. I think I need to post short things that occur me to get back rolling for a while, because I keep pushing the Epic Reevaluation back to the last spot on the things to ration my time to.
I'm doubtful. I think it's geared towards making himself look active.VP Baltar wrote: I don't know what is going on with Herodotus...I assume this note taking in the thread is gearing toward some sort of conclusion.
I don't even understand what you're saying here.magnus_orion wrote:Its true, serial has been somewhat disquieting, but if he isn't partners with IAM, then in my opinion its all been null, and lynching serial would be less than optimal.
Obviously not. Not that it should, of course. But I honestly don't believe that this list actually exists. I don't think there is anything I can do that will convince you I am town today. If we lynched Hero and he flipped scum, maybe the possibility would occur to you, but without anyone else's alignment being revealed, it is not going to happen. I can live with that, but it would certainly be more helpful if you'd at least consider looking elsewhere.magnus_orion wrote:@Sc- Iam's post claiming he's town doesn't exactly fall under my list of things that he could do to make me reverse my position on him. This list is of course private, and will not be disclosed.
Saying "there was a week left" isn't entirely accurate - there was a deadline extension just before Fishy made the post, by about half an hour, and I think it's unlikely that Fishy put together that whole post after the deadline extension went up, so there was really only about 3 days at the time he made the post, although granted, the extension didn't come as a total surprise. But either way, I think you are being highly dishonest if you're suggesting that Ray's lynch was anything but inevitable at that point.Herodotus wrote:There was a week left, which is enough time to form a new lynch wagon. Granted, RF was pretty suspicious and a new wagon was unlikely, but this isn't right.iamausername wrote:Post #464, 2 weeks and 5 pages after he joined the game, is really the first time Fishy comments on anyone besides RayFrost, chamber and Rosso (and even with those, his comments on Rosso were the very definition of fence-sitting). It also happens to arrive just a few days before deadline, well after there is any chance of anyone besides RayFrost being lynched. Very much seeing it as sowing the seeds for attacks on D2, now that he's satisfied that the Ray lynch is done and dusted.
He went through D1 not making waves, this doesn't mean he would necessarily continue that later on. I don't see how this is incongruous.Herodotus wrote:I disagree with this; it's incongruous with what you said about him sowing the seeds for a D2 attack. Was he planning to both attack and not make waves? Maybe he would have done either, but not both.iamausername wrote:- Both Nuwen and Fishy have definitely displayed an attitude of not making waves, trying to fly under the radar, etc.
Fishy doesn't use the word "lurking", but he attacked MM for a lack of good contributions, which is what lurking is.Herodotus wrote:Iam 697:
Upon rereading, Fishy doesn't mention MM lurking at all, and doesn't accuse Rayfrost of it until ISO 8.
I enjoy this tactic of making baseless speculation about what my reaction will be and attacking me based on that instead of waiting to see what my actual reaction is. Good timesaver.Herodotus wrote:Iam is now among my suspects. The majority of his first case is based on inaccuracies, and he doesn't want to talk about his accusation toward me, so it looks like it could be a way to lie low after an earlier misstep. I expect to hear that I'm "exploiting Magnus's tunnelvision" now.
Herodotus wrote:IAM, why do you suspect me? (Especially at the time you said so.)
Is there something unclear about this?iamausername wrote:Also scummy: Herodotus. I just read this entire game in the last few days, so one would hope it would be fairly fresh in my memory but I could not tell you a single thing that Hero has done in this game.
After reading him in isolation, I was going to add "I also just read Hero in isolation a few seconds ago, and... nope, still no idea", but then I got to the part where he voted Sajin for not analyzing the play of Rosso (Sajin's predecessor). So he has done something, just not something sane.
Analyzing one's predecessor as a replacement is pretty much a complete waste of time. You already know their alignment, so analyzing their posts is not going to serve any purpose in helping you to discern it. And since you are obviously coming from a totally biased point of view, it's unlikely to help persuade anyone else of their alignment either. Is there some other reason to do it that I'm overlooking, Hero?
Urgh, no.Percy wrote:I don't think defending a townie necessarily makes you scum, but defending anyone, ever is usually a pretty good scumtell for me.
SerialClergyman wrote:Percy, I can't tell if your position is general hubris or actual scumminess.
I think it's general hubris. Getting involved in theory arguments and being horribly wrong about everything in them fits my town meta on Percy.SerialClergyman wrote: Ojanen, chamber, iam, magnus - thoughts on Percy when you get a chance.
to be perfectly honest I was considering it after that post...SerialClergyman wrote:Percy, I can't tell if your position is general hubris or actual scumminess.
How do you know my playstyle isn't working? I've made one testable prediction, that Ray would flip town. Everything else is yet to be bourne out, and I still have high hopes.
In fact, just about the only negative thing you could show is that I'm getting a high amount of suspicion - something which is bad for both alignments, but more so for scum.
But aside from that - the major thurst of your post seems to be pushing for my lynch due to my playstyle AND THEN BLAMING ME FOR THAT.
You tell me that you don't like my meta reasons, or mafia theory reasons. You tell me you don't like me defending people or 'buddying up to townies' (which begs a question on its own.) You tell me that you're tunnelled on me due to my playstyle.
In short, I hear a hell of a lot of reasons why you're on my wagon, NONE of which indicate me actually being scum over just having a playstyle you think is flawed/ineffective and all of which are nonetheless used as justification for your vote. It's MY fault that you don't like my playstyle, don't understand my methods, that you're tunnelled on me and were I to be lynched, it will be MY fault that you've lynched another townie.
And what good reason have you shown, either in game or meta game or mafia theory, to explain why a) my playstyle is so ineffective, b) my theory in this particular game is incorrect or c) even if either were the case, I'm scum?
Absolutely zero.
In the meantime, you've earned my vote.
vote Percy
Ojanen, chamber, iam, magnus - thoughts on Percy when you get a chance.
So you think I'm lying?Obviously not. Not that it should, of course. But I honestly don't believe that this list actually exists. I don't think there is anything I can do that will convince you I am town today. If we lynched Hero and he flipped scum, maybe the possibility would occur to you, but without anyone else's alignment being revealed, it is not going to happen. I can live with that, but it would certainly be more helpful if you'd at least consider looking elsewhere.
I was saying that the utter lack of skepticism in SC is scummy. I don't see how you conclude that pulling a complete 180 on a position (le chat is scummy) for no visible reason is "born out of uncertainty". That seems quite a deliberate move to me and that is what I have been trying to get out of SC this entire time: WHY? I don't see how his argument of 'big case = likely town' could have caused him to go from wanting to lynch that player slot to it being his best town read in the game instantly.OJ wrote:How is skepticism town and reversing opinions boldly so scum? How are both not born out of uncertainty? How is flipping your position repeatedly convenient?
Ummm....no. I've (successfully) defended plenty of townies in my time. If I have a strong town read on someone, I have no problem going to bat for them rather than just let them take abuse and possibly be mislynched.Percy wrote:I don't think they were good reasons - they essentially amounted to "he's just VI". I don't think defending a townie necessarily makes you scum, but defending anyone, ever is usually a pretty good scumtell for me.
I have the same misgivings about it. However, I'm willing to give him the benefit of the doubt until he "catches up" to see if he actually produces something out of it.Iam wrote:I'm doubtful. I think it's geared towards making himself look active.
I think we saw earlier in this very game that magnus will switch opinions if he feels his town criteria are satisfied. I don't see why this seems an impossibility to you.Iam wrote:Obviously not. Not that it should, of course. But I honestly don't believe that this list actually exists. I don't think there is anything I can do that will convince you I am town today. If we lynched Hero and he flipped scum, maybe the possibility would occur to you, but without anyone else's alignment being revealed, it is not going to happen. I can live with that, but it would certainly be more helpful if you'd at least consider looking elsewhere.
The way you are playing this game makes me more suspicious of you, not less, and I'm not the only one. It's also (and most importantly) not doing what you intend it to do, which is to excuse your scummy behaviour.SerialClergyman 807 wrote:How do you know my playstyle isn't working? I've made one testable prediction, that Ray would flip town. Everything else is yet to be bourne out, and I still have high hopes.
You haveSerialClergyman 807 wrote:In fact, just about the only negative thing you could show is that I'm getting a high amount of suspicion - something which is bad for both alignments, but more so for scum.
But aside from that - the major thurst of your post seems to be pushing for my lynch due to my playstyle AND THEN BLAMING ME FOR THAT.
You tell me that you don't like my meta reasons, or mafia theory reasons. You tell me you don't like me defending people or 'buddying up to townies' (which begs a question on its own.) You tell me that you're tunnelled on me due to my playstyle.
This was a general trend I noticed. Specific examples and variations on this theme include:Percy 709 wrote:By signalling behaviour he may engage in that would otherwise draw attention, he can constantly subsume any and all scumtells into this new playstyle he's adopted.
See what you did there? When someone calls you out for poorly reasoned stance-switching, your response is to say "so what, I changed my mind, whatever, it's my playstyle" and follow it up with "why are you attacking my playstyle?". When I say "your playstyle isn't working", I mean that your playstyle can't subsume all of this and render it null.SerialClergyman 740 wrote:Me too, because i"m being unconventional and change my mind, which apparantly = scum.
...as well as my conclusions which I reached here:Fishythefish 774 wrote:In other words: if you think scum were more likely to vote RF, you should be more suspicious of everyone on his wagon. But the natural reaction to clearing people on his wagon is to weaken your hypothesis that scum voted RF, not to become more certain about the remaining players.
Your contradictions between here:Percy 684 wrote:This is not a strategy worth trying. I think it's the classic scum strategy, actually - pick a few players who you probably won't be able to get lynched any time soon, and pick someone not like that (pretty much at random) and attack them. If they seem even slightly scummy, push their lynch! Befriend the visible townies and NK them later, and don't commit to wagons withSerialClergyman 677 wrote:1) I'm claiming that's what I'm aiming to do - but replacing in is a little different. It's just playing around with playstles to try to make myself more useful early.argumentsorreasonsor anything that might come back to bite you!
...and here (a response he got to after some prodding for answers from me):SerialClergyman 628 wrote:I think of magnus's suggestion for wagon analysis as like kmd's wagon analysis - don't look at the motivations for being on the wagon, don't look at general scumminess at all, just have a theory that there are x number of scum on the wagon and start lynching people till you find them.While I don't mind that style in general, I think the nature of the lynch yesterday is such thatthat approach is not particularly helpful.
...along with your continued insistence that the scum are on the wagon (you even did a VC analysis to try and demonstrate this) is another thing you've tried to make a playstyle issue rather than a consistency issue. Your misrep of magnus to cover up this inconsistency is another specific accusation that you haven't responded to at all.SerialClergyman 660 wrote:If you think having a few town players you wouldn't lynch and then focusing on the others almost randomly on D1 is lining up lynches, your mistaken, in my opinion.
You have been dancing around my accusations, ignoring my questions and viewing my case in an utterly dismissive manner. You ask this batch of leading questions:Percy 753 wrote:Serial replaced Artem, who had been getting some small amount of heat. By the time he replaced in, the RayFrost lynch was almost a certainty - he was on 5 votes (which was L-2) and no-one else was on any more than 1 vote, and from SC's le Chat votepost (his first content post) to deadline was about one and a half IRL days. As scum, he knew Ray would flip town, and so went along with the magnus case and against the case he knew would succeed in lynching a townie in a bid for townie points. His case was very weak if it was designed to pull five more votes in one and a half days - essentially the one comment of le Chat's which is just as easily dismissed using the VI defence he liberally applied to Ray's play.
When the next day dawned, there was no mention of le Chat - instead, there was a good deal of "told you so" and "lone voice of townie reason" talk. He's since followed the players he finds town, adopted a novel and (imo) scummy playstyle whilst ironically relying heavily on meta defence, rolefished, and suddenly and completely inverted his read on the le Chat slot.
With regards to a) and b), I don't know whether your theory is correct, but I don't think many people share your views with regard to "Look at the wagon, clear some, lynch the rest". You have given me no good reason to believe your theory.SerialClergyman 807 wrote:And what good reason have you shown, either in game or meta game or mafia theory, a) my playstyle is so ineffective, b) my theory in this particular game is incorrect or c) even if either were the case, I'm scum?
Absolutely zero.
I agree with everything listed here. The first sentence is actually the most relevant. The reason we've been talking about your playstyle is that you've been trying to force us to talk about nothing else. In actual fact, you have done concrete, demonstrably scummy things and haven't responded to the questions put to you.Fishythefish 808 wrote:It’s true that I have been recently arguing with you an awful lot about your playstyle. Here’s the part where you are scum:
1) You jumped on iam’s case without checking it.
2) You didn’t read my response, or if you did, you ignored it – after I’d asked you which bits of the case you agreed with, you just didn’t answer.
3) You still haven’t explained either 1) or 2). All your reasoning since then have been pretty much totally separate from iam’s case.
4) Instead, you have come up with a theory about the group of wagoners being largely scum. However:
a) Certain aspects of this theory don’t hold together – most notably the theory that 7 players are being influenced by two or three scum.
b) You use this theory to support an attack on me – in fact I think it’s fair to say it’s the meat of your attack. But this theory points to me as scum no better than it points to a few other players.
I think your theory, and the conclusions you draw from it, are designed to move scumhunting from you to the wagon, and to support your vote for me, covering your tracks after your following of iam.
VP Baltar 811 wrote:What I have concluded from this long discussion with SC is that he skimmed the Iam case and jumped on it like I did. Then when called on it, rather than go back and do the rereading to reassess his position if necessary (which doesn't look good on a player, I suppose) he decided to stick with his guns and say he had this mega town read on Iam. Then I asked him why he had that read and that is when he got into all these tangents about vote analysis and responding to fishy's countercase, but the problem with all of those things is that they are revisionist. The fact is that those things weren't in play when he first made his 180 on the player slot. This is what I find scummy about it, his reasoning for the switch doesn't add up and in my opinion you ought to at least have some reasoning for a switch like that.
Considering what? Why?magnus_orion wrote:to be perfectly honest I was considering it after that post...
Awesome! This is the first time I've met another mathematician on this site!Fishythefish 808 wrote:Very much so.Percy wrote:(Fishy, are you a mathematician?)
You started with your post with the most fundamental of errors. The point of my playstyle isThe way you are playing this game makes me more suspicious of you, not less, and I'm not the only one.It's also (and most importantly) not doing what you intend it to do, which is to excuse your scummy behaviour.
percy 1 wrote:(1)Your playstyle is not working.If you are town, your experimentation with this new way of playing is going to get you lynched. At the very least, you are wasting our time.
(2) The more you excuse your behaviour with meta arguments and mafia theory, the more I want to lynch you.
(3) The more you buddy up to townies and play down your considerable skill at this game, the more I want to lynch you.
(4) I am willing to admit that I am tunnelling and could be playing quite tilted.I have been focussing too much on your playstyle, but I think your playstyle itself encourages this (which is a massive problem).
Therefore,
If you're town, change your playstyle.Tell me who you think is scum and give me concrete in-game reasons as to why I should believe you, with quotes. Stop deflecting, distracting and defending yourself as much as you are and give me something I can sink my teeth into. Do it anyway if you're scum, and I'll tear it to pieces.
Percy2 wrote:The problem is emphatically not just that you have a scummy playstyle.
Now it seems to me in the first post your key point is to say that I have a scummy playstyle that needs to be changed, and you are suspecting me because my playstyle encourages it. You make a grand challenge to me ot change my playstyle and adapt to the playstyle you want me to.Percy2 wrote: I wanted you to stop talking about the meta and the playstyle and actually concentrate on finding a good lynch for today. Instead, you continue to misrepresent my case, put all your flaws down to "playstyle" while ignoring everything that isn't even tangentially related to playstyle, and vote me. Why do you think I'm scum? I don't even know. I know one thing - you're scum, and my fears of tunnelling have completely dissipated.
Not true. I only have one lynch. Thus I want to maximise my chances of hitting scum. So I take my hypothesis that the scum are primarily on this wagon and assign some level of probability to it. Now I need to find which person on the wagon has the highest probability of being scum. I could do this in one of two ways - identifying factors that make people on the wagon more likely to be scum, or identifying factors that make the people on the wagon more likely to be town. I've already explained that the latter is my strong suit and so away I go, eliminating choices who have done enough to indicate towniness FROM THIS NEXT LYNCH. Now - I agree with you that each person I give townpoints to slightly removes the hypothesises chance of being true. But you'll also note I could clear four people completely and not only is the hypothesis still possible, if the remaining three are found to be significantly likelier to be scum then that actually SUPPORTS the hypothesis, that's exactly what you'd expect to see.n other words: if you think scum were more likely to vote RF, you should be more suspicious of everyone on his wagon. But the natural reaction to clearing people on his wagon is to weaken your hypothesis that scum voted RF, not to become more certain about the remaining players.
1) Untrue, explained previously why I liked the case and why I remained on Fishy, and explained on why I like voting with long cases to increase pressure.It’s true that I have been recently arguing with you an awful lot about your playstyle. Here’s the part where you are scum:
1) You jumped on iam’s case without checking it.
2) You didn’t read my response, or if you did, you ignored it – after I’d asked you which bits of the case you agreed with, you just didn’t answer.
3) You still haven’t explained either 1) or 2). All your reasoning since then have been pretty much totally separate from iam’s case.
4) Instead, you have come up with a theory about the group of wagoners being largely scum. However:
a) Certain aspects of this theory don’t hold together – most notably the theory that 7 players are being influenced by two or three scum.
b) You use this theory to support an attack on me – in fact I think it’s fair to say it’s the meat of your attack. But this theory points to me as scum no better than it points to a few other players.
I think your theory, and the conclusions you draw from it, are designed to move scumhunting from you to the wagon, and to support your vote for me, covering your tracks after your following of iam.
1) Please point out anywhere you commented on the case to say you agreed with some specific point of it. Why you remained on me afterwards is irrelevant to this.SerialClergyman wrote:1) Untrue, explained previously why I liked the case and why I remained on Fishy, and explained on why I like voting with long cases to increase pressure.
2) I did answer that which led to the 'did he suspect Rosso' fiasco. I may have ignored some questions though.
3) How is this a third point? It's just a second bite at 1) and 2)
4) a) This is rubbish. 2 or 3 people committed to a lynch can make it happen, especially if they are scum. Committed attacks and encouragement increase someone's 'default' scumminess. Plus - many people consider the kinds of cases being made against Ray to be legitimate either on a vague policy level or even in an active scumhunting level.
Are you seriously saying that a block of scum can't influence the town on D1 to lynch someone who's contribution so far has been low or poor?
b) Well, if I could lynch the entire wagon I'd think about it but I can't. When I have a good four or five people on the wagon I have to differentiate between them and pick one, and you managed to put your hand up above the pack. Saying I'm scummy because out of the few people I've narrowed it down to I picked you when I could have picked someone else in the group doesn't make sense - I've got to pick one of them.
The following is the implication I get from some of your posts that I dislike:SerialClergyman wrote:Not true. I only have one lynch. Thus I want to maximise my chances of hitting scum. So I take my hypothesis that the scum are primarily on this wagon and assign some level of probability to it. Now I need to find which person on the wagon has the highest probability of being scum. I could do this in one of two ways - identifying factors that make people on the wagon more likely to be scum, or identifying factors that make the people on the wagon more likely to be town. I've already explained that the latter is my strong suit and so away I go, eliminating choices who have done enough to indicate towniness FROM THIS NEXT LYNCH. Now - I agree with you that each person I give townpoints to slightly removes the hypothesises chance of being true. But you'll also note I could clear four people completely and not only is the hypothesis still possible, if the remaining three are found to be significantly likelier to be scum then that actually SUPPORTS the hypothesis, that's exactly what you'd expect to see.n other words: if you think scum were more likely to vote RF, you should be more suspicious of everyone on his wagon. But the natural reaction to clearing people on his wagon is to weaken your hypothesis that scum voted RF, not to become more certain about the remaining players.
But either way - we're all just trying to find a way to make the game make sense to us at home and increase our chances of finding scum. Everyone who votes anyone else is immediately making assumptions about the likely scum teams and makeup of the town, they're just hidden behind the mechanic of it being too hard to estimate. I open myself up to this criticism with my approach because I deliberately make assumptions that aren't necessarily true and I deliberately talk about the town as a whole - but that works for me and I'm prepared to run with my impressions of the game.
Maybe I'm sensitive because as I said to you before this is exactly the argument both scum used to try to push aside my similar theory last time, but I'll try to be as clear as I can.I just think that you get an unjustified amount of certainty
That was where I talked about what I liked about the case. You could have some clue about my joining for pressure when I posted this:I agreed with the case on Fishy because I thought iam made some good points, particularly those involving hyporacisy which is always a decent scumtell. But it also highlighted the fact that fishy's targets throughout the game have been the typical lynchbait targets - chamber and rosso and rayfrost and the like. They are exactly the sort of targets that scum love pushing - unusual playstyles that seem more scummy than they are.
Your voting patterns aren't the only reason I chose you, but they're a legitimate one. I had to choose one but would have happily settled for others.Now - iam getting off the wagon isn't fun, and Ojanen is traversing around Eurpoe rather than solving the game for me so I'm going to ride on with VP and lend my considerable bulk to getting some momentum on this Sajin wagon.
I've been over this but for the sake of completeness - my suggestion is that the scum are currently using a strategy of isolating 'scummy' individuals. I keep putting the ' marks in because I am highly skeptical of a lot of scumtells that people use. The townies on the wagon are a) almost to a man reading more townie than those off it and are b) happy to go along with voting said 'scummy' individuals. Thus is makes th most sense for the scum to keep it rolling onto the next 'scummy' target. As soon as the focus turns the wagon in on itself, the scum on the wagon are exposed to a possible lynch and they lose a voting block that's happy to go along with them and possibly make their cases on 'scummy' individuals for them.you misunderstand my argument. You are claiming that the reason that most of the wagoners are not voting for people on the wagon today is that there are a few scum among them. I think this is an odd claim which needs more justification - scum have no particular reason to hunt off the wagon, and thinking that our scum are manipulative enough to influence a block of townies to vote in a particular general way early in the day seems unrealistic.
The whole thing feels a slightly circular, like he would adopt a playstyle so that he can unnecessarily do scummy stuff in the first place. Serial's play doesn't read as convenient in my gut.Percy to SC wrote:The way you are playing this game makes me more suspicious of you, not less, and I'm not the only one. It's also (and most importantly) not doing what you intend it to do, which is to excuse your scummy behaviour.
3.post700 votes Sajin wrote:Now - iam getting off the wagon isn't fun, and Ojanen is traversing around Eurpoe rather than solving the game for me so I'm going to ride on with VP and lend my considerable bulk to getting some momentum on this Sajin wagon.
Sajin 4 has, Serial 2 votes.post701,45 min later without other people posting in the middle wrote:Hmm
Upon re-reading some of yesterday I warn that I may immediately switch back to fishy in a way that isn't anti-town but will cause people to have scummy vibes on me.
Percy's own stance on le chat before Iam content:Percy wrote:I agree with everything listed here. The first sentence is actually the most relevant.Fishy wrote:It’s true that I have been recently arguing with you an awful lot about your playstyle. Here’s the part where you are scum:
1) You jumped on iam’s case without checking it.
AFTER Iam's case, Serial voting and Fishy pointing out the inconsistencies, Percy comes to the scene and saysPercy wrote:I have a mild scumread of le Chat, and his meta didn't help.
I'm not sure to what he was referring to with the "rest of the case"; I saw no criticism of Iam's Fishy case before the expression, more like Percy's own anti-Fishy points added to it.Percy wrote:The rest of IAUN's case was good, but Fishy's response was good too.
Overall, a firmFoS: Fishythefish.
...
[To SC:] I think Sajin and Fishy are coming across pretty scummy right now, and you're looking a lot better by comparison.
I'm prob not coming across as terribly coherent right now (on sleepy mode) but seems to me a revisionist criticism. Similar opinion changes are what populate Percy's reasons for finding Serial scum.Percy wrote:I don't get a "blatant misrep" vibe from IAAUN for his case. I think it's over-reaching
Ok. I can relate to 180's as a form that exhibits my uncertainty on occasion. Although obviously everything depends on the context. I see the reasons why you question it. I dunno, I have a gut thing on this particular point.VP Baltar wrote:I was saying that the utter lack of skepticism in SC is scummy. I don't see how you conclude that pulling a complete 180 on a position (le chat is scummy) for no visible reason is "born out of uncertainty".
etc. etc.
Upon thinking, ongoing games were influencing my rhetoric.Percy wrote:I'd like for one of those who are singing the benefits of defence to link me a relevant game to read it over for interest's sake (particularly Ojanen - I'd like to see this vehement defence of which you speak).
No. This was where you restated that you like the case. Practically every point in iam's case was about hypocrisy. There is no indication in this post that you didn't like every point in the case.SerialClergyman wrote:That was where I talked about what I liked about the case.I agreed with the case on Fishy because I thought iam made some good points, particularly those involving hyporacisy which is always a decent scumtell. But it also highlighted the fact that fishy's targets throughout the game have been the typical lynchbait targets - chamber and rosso and rayfrost and the like. They are exactly the sort of targets that scum love pushing - unusual playstyles that seem more scummy than they are.
This implied you joined the Sajin wagon for pressure. There was no indication when you voted me that you were doing so for any reason other than agreeing with iam's case on me. I feel your recent justification of pressure and/or thinking iam town are made up after you came under pressure for your actions.SC wrote:You could have some clue about my joining for pressure when I posted this:
Now - iam getting off the wagon isn't fun, and Ojanen is traversing around Eurpoe rather than solving the game for me so I'm going to ride on with VP and lend my considerable bulk to getting some momentum on this Sajin wagon.
Can you give some examples?SC wrote:I keep putting the ' marks in because I am highly skeptical of a lot of scumtells that people use.