Chevre wrote:OK, I had to put everything together and I have a theory: SlySly is a serial killer.
On night 1, there were only two kills because two anti-town factions both selected to kill EGL or SSBF, or one targetted Battle Mage but he was jailkept. I'm thinking a scumteam and SK-Karma targetted EGL.
On night 2, there were three kills, the only night to have three so far, showing that there are three killing roles, but we've only found two: the two scumteams.
On night 3, there were only two kills. Karma being SK makes sense because he was inactive during night three, and therefore he did not submit his kill.
On night 4, there was only one. Every anti-town faction would likely want to kill a power role, and they all chose CJMiller.
But the real problem is in SlySly's JOAT claim:
His night 1 target could be perfectly truthful, and makes a great start to the fake JOAT claim.
Night 2 is a very safe action claim. He says he targetted kunkstar7, who is still alive, but got redirected and got an innocent result on tubby216, who is dead and...innocent.
Night 3 is also safe: everyone knew karma was inactive.
Night 4, however, is the worst. SlySly said he targetted Asaclardy, but was redirected to CJMiller. If CJMiller was the only death, and q21 didn't jailkeep, then it is likely that both scumteams tried to kill CJMiller. This leads me to a few questions:
Why would a town redirector redirect SlySly, who was considered to be one of the most town people in the game?
If scum thought SlySly was a doctor, why would a scum redirector redirect him onto CJMiller, their likely target?
If scum thought SlySly was a vig, why would a scum redirector redirect him onto CJMiller, their likely target, and not another town-looking person?
And the biggest question of all, Why would a scum redirector redirect SlySly in the first place, when there are three claimed power roles, one of which being a jailkeeper who could possibly block their kill?
SlySly's claim does not make sense in the least. My vote is staying firm.
Found it! I remember someone accusing SlySly of being a SK, and was wondering if they were still alive...
Now, at the time it striked me as a ridiculous speculation that wasn't even necessary. SlySly seemed more likely to be scum than SK to me. The claim he might be a SK was kind of out-landish. When it came true I was even more surprised someone had figured it out...
Now, looking back, he was a bulletproof-SK. SK's are often bulletproof or able to survive 1 or 2 night attacks for balance reasons, ESPECIALLY in a large game.
Now, who would be aware of a player surviving a night kill? Well, scum of course. A number of nights early on there was only 2 night kills, when we have 2 mafia factions + SK. Now, if scum had targetted SlySly that would explain the lack of a kill. (The one night there was 3 night kills early on was when I used my vig ability on silverbullet, so there must have been a cross-kill as well or another attack on SlySly). So, if a player survives a night kill or even multiple night kills, scum would have good reason to think he is a SK. Especially when we had a 3-4 PR claims (none of which were doctor, and the one doctor claim ended up being a VT) and the PR's hadn't targetted him (ie: jailkeeper didn't protect slysly). So how did Chevre come to the conclusion he was a SK and not scum???
Well, because Chevre is scum and targetted SlySly for a nightkill (or two) and failed. He hadn't been protected by the jailkeeper, the claimed doctor, wasn't a doctor, and with all the PR's flying around the chance of there being an actual doctor was unlikely. So Chevre had information to make him believe we had a SK.
To me, I think this is a scum slip. Now, the question remains does this scum slip outweight Adrien's general scumminess!
