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Mini 62: Pokemafia!
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mathcam Captain Observant
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We still haven't heard back from Someone about his "This is still very strange for me" post. On the one hand, I feel like he's probably pro-town because of it, and maybe we shouldn't press the issue. On the other hand, he wouldn't have said anything at all if he really didn't want to...
So Someone, out with it.
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This post was on Tuesday...the last time you posted was Friday. That must have been one messy room.PBuG wrote:I haven't been able to get on much because my room is being cleaned right now.
Okay, I'm inclined to not push Someone any further for whatever information. It'll probably do the mafia more good than it does us.
I see no alternative to shamelessly bandwagoning.
Unvote: Stewie, Vote: PBuG,
'cause he gets his room cleaned for him.
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mlaker, you can't vouch for PBuG. Just because you chose the same Pokemon has he did has no bearing on whether or not he's evil. The generic townie/trainer discrepancy is bigger than anything I bet we'll get out of anyone else. That's quite suspicious, though I understand the possibility for a misstatement is present. But still. There's no point in needlessly bandwagonin gsomeone when we already have a viable target.
My vote stays.
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It seems quite possible that Team Rocket might not be able to recruit Pokemon but have other abilities. Maybe they can stealourPokemon. So basically it comes down to this:
If we feel that Team Rocket isn't capable of recruiting wild Pokemon (because they're not allowed in the tournament), then PBuG and mlaker are almost certainly cleared.
Otherwise, I'm most suspicious of PBuG.
Fletcher...I don't understand your last post. If you're conceding that Team Rocket could, for example, own Bulbosaur, then wouldn't thatsupportthe argument against PBuG? Yet you unvoted him.
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Well, that's definitely quoting the mod. If the Pokemon has two pieces of important information, they could each reveal one. If not, we could divide it up over two nights or something. But the mafia might have extra information that'll clear them...or someone could get role-blocked from recruiting and then we'd lynch 'em for not having the right information. I definitely see what you're saying, but here's a lot of ways it could go wrong.
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The reason I tend to think TR have Pokemon is exactly becuase of what's happening. If they didn't, then we could all verify each other by recruiting the same mafia at night. The rockets would be the only ones without, so that would be immediately obvious. So either TR has Pokemon to recruit also, or there's a serious flaw in the game. It's safest for us to assume the former.
All in all, my PBuG vote is becoming more and more entrenched.
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It sure would be nice to lynch a TR so we could find out some information about them. As I've probably mentioned several times, I bet everyone has an initial pokemon, so the bulbosaur logic just doesn't pan out. Hence (again) the vote. We're certainly not coming up with anynewinformation...so we have to either lynch PBuG or force someone else to reveal. PBuG's already made his claim weird by saying "generic townie" and I doubt we'll get anything as weird from anyone else.
My vote's going to stay on PBuG unless the town goes and bandwagons someone else and by some miracle manages to catch them in a lie.
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Ummm, yep. I could have sworn I revoted him. I even have it written in my notes that I did. Oh well.Well, I'm sure this will be played off as just an innocent slip-up, but I sure find it interesting that mathcam has commented twice about maintaining his PBuG vote despite having unvoted him at the top of this page.
Vote: PBuG
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He's the only person I find at all suspicious other than my permanent suspicion of mlaker. I think PBuG made a slip by calling his role "generic townie". Of course he could have been good and done this, but if he was evil, he probably would havehadto do it, because he didn't know what the "generic townie" was actually called.
I may have had more reasons and I probably stated them in an earlier post. Maybe someone coudl explain the mlaker bandwagon to me?
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I don't understand that post at all. You're saying that I shouldn't be suspicious of PBuG because I don't think he knew the name of the "generic townie" role, but now you're suspicious of me becauseImight not have known the name of the generic townie role?
And I wasn't continuing an argument...I was re-stating it because you asked me to. I can certainly see why people wouldn't find it as suspicious as I do, but that doesn't mean I didn't/don't find it suspicious. On top of this is that generic townie is the easiest claim for evil. This of course doesn't mean he's not a townie, but a) it's a likely role for evil to pick early in the game before they know the game's setup, and b) if he's telling the truth, lynching him is better than killing someone with a powerful pro-town role.
As for mlaker, I just don't see it. This is one of the few times I've been in a game with mlaker and not found him incredibly suspicious. One of the arguments is that he tried to vouch for PBuG...but that's not evil in and of itself unless PBuG is his fellow mafia anyway.
I feel like you're trying to convince the rest of the town to jump on the superior bandwagon. It's worth noting the people joining you on the mlaker bandawgon are PBuG, discer, and Stewie, who have given the below reasons:
Discer wrote:Vote: mlaker, because I should do something and don't know what else to go on.Stewie wrote:Vote: mlaker, reason stated above by discer.
CamPBuG wrote:Vote: mlaker, same as Stewie and discer.-
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What can I say? Mostly valid points all around. But...
I did think mlaker's post was an attempt at clearing PBuG. It seemed to me like mlaker was trying to help the town get off a bandwagon of someone he thought to be innocent. But, of course, he could have been doing as you suggest.
I personally (and I think you agree) think the Bulbasaur revelation is worthless. I guess that's another psychological reason why I'm staying on the bandwagon...because other people got off for what I deem a stupid reason.The only other options currently are to bandwagon PBuG (which we already did, and enough people jumped off with the Bulbasaur revelation)
From my point of view we can either continue bandwagonning or go with someone we've already bandwagoned and has made a dubious (even if only slighly so) role claim.
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Oh.
Unofficial end-of-day vote count:
PBuG (5): shadyforce, mathcam, mlaker, massive, Stewie
mlaker (2): discer, PBuG
massive (1): Maverick
No vote (2): Someone, Fletcher
This is accurate if massive's last one was, I think. Unfortunately, we need 6 to lynch. So Someone, Fletcher, discer, or really even PBuG needs to put on the finishing vote.
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Right, mlaker. That's why he wanted to adjust the range.massive wrote:I really want a Torchic. Can't we adjust the Pokemon range?
I've emailed mole, but as of now, no response. Unfortunately, this is not the game where we can take a substitute mod, as probably only mole knows the various roles and even the game mechanics.
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There's no way we have to assume there are three killers left. It's possible some killing gropu got two kills, and there's a good shot people just misused their Pokemon.
Someone...you couldn't get a choice in on time? Night was like two weeks long!!!!!!
How about sharing what killed discer? I have no idea, and I can't see any detriment in making it public. Whoever's doing it already knows, and I don't.
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No offense, Fletcher, butIthink you're not following the thread, and have latched on to an incredibly weak argument that you saw upon skimming the thread to cover yourself.
I'm not defending him. From my point of view, the chance he's evil is at least %40, so I wouldn't be surprised if he were evil, but I just don't think this particular argument holds any water.
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Let me get this clear right now: IT. IS. ENDGAME. RIGHT. NOW.
If we lynch wrong today, then the mafia kills one overnight, and we wake up with 4 people left, two of which are mafia, which is an automatic win for them. Not only this, but we've seen a demonstration that there is a remarkable amount of killing power left.
It's quite possible that this involves a vigilante role gone astray last night, but the paragraph above should illustrate that even if there's only going to be one kill tonight, we're screwed if we lynch wrong today, and there's quite possibly going to bemorethan one.
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Nope. I was suggesting we be careful with our votes. I would support no lynch, possibly, if
a) We were sure how many evil there were left, and their distribution among teams
b) We could be confident of how many kills there would be tonight.
Though a is somewhat clear, b is not. I realize I've just been arguing against people's arguments and not making any cases of my own, so I'll figure out who I find most suspicious momentarily. I was just trying to make sure we didn't lynch anyone too quickly.
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Okay, I've got some ideas and will think just a little more about them before I post, but I have a general thought first: How did Maverick die?
If he used Abra, he should have been safe, but mole writes that Team Rocket was too fast for him. What does that mean? Did his use of Abra get role-blocked. Maybe the evil team has a pokemon that goes through doc protections? Maybe weshouldreveal all of our Pokemon....probably not. It's just too easy to lie.
Honeslty, I'm going to go out on a limb here and say that I think I look pretty damn cleared. I led the charge against PBuG when most people had their votes strewn about OMGUSly. This any my arguments today. I'd like to hear people either agree of argue on this point.
Someone, I'd really like an explanation of what your conflict was on day one. This is no time for holding anything back. Or did I miss the explanation on my read-through?
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I don't think there's anyone actually arguing for no lynch, just a bunch of people arguing against it.
Good point. Any names of known-to-you innocents should be made public, as well as confessions of killings last night. If three kills a night is going to be the norm, and we just got lucky night 1, then we're totally screwed, so I don't really believe that.I also think that if you are the townie player who managed to kill a player last night, you had best come forward with it. Now. Or if anyone caught a Meowth recently, so we know we'll have some decent info tomorrow.
massive, you seem very sure about some of this night activity stuff...you claimed earlier that we HAD to conclude that there were three evil groups. And now this most recent post. This makes me think you know something you're not telling the rest of us.
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But with PBuG dead, that makes 4 out of 12 evil, which is a lot. I guess I'll have to take your word for it.
I know I'm going to have a tough time defending this position, but I'm going to
Vote: Shadyforce.
Why? It's primarily that several other people have done things that make me think they're innocent, and shady hasn't. This, and he was a little eager to start going after people today.
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This is the quote I'm referring to, Someone, not your night choice.Someone wrote:Hmm, very strange situation for me. Random vote: stewie
It seems likely to me that Stewie was somehow involved in the killing of mlaker. This is at least much more plausible to me than the possibility of three killing groups.
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Hmm, how likely is a third drowzee? Is it popular enough of a Pokemon that someone not knowing much about Pokemon would have been known to pick him. Then again, I had never heard of the Pokemon I recruited last night.
What does Talitha mode mean?
I also wonder about "being asleep." Aren't we all asleep at night?
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Hm, that doesn't sound like a Drowzee kill either. But I'm not sure why you think this means Stewie is evil. Doesn't that mean just that Stewie's Drowzee isn't responsible for the death? So someone targeted mlaker to die for some other reason, and I'm not sure why your argument means it any more likely to be Stewie than someone else.mlaker lies unconscious in a different part of the forest. He has also been taken to hospital.
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Well, kind of. I'm not saying that this someone else is not Stewie, just that it wasn't Stewie's Drowzee that knocked mlaker unconscious. I think we're pretty much agreeing that it's not true that Stewie's Drowzee didn't do the killing.I have no idea. What you are suggesting, Cam, is that Stewie put mlaker to sleep and someone ELSE knocked him unconscious?
This is a good point. Okay, it's better than my gut feeling on Shadyforce.I just don't know. It's not adding up. Please also note that Stewie thinks we will have less kills tonight because "the docs will get one right" and not because he won't use his Drowzee to keep from accidentally killing another player.
Unvote: Shadyforce, Vote: Stewie
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No, I recruited Diglett (who I've never heard of) and recruited Bulbosaur (the only Pokemon Ihaveheard of.)
I think it's gotta be shadyforce. He just keeps coming with the votes, regardless of how close they put someone to lynch. Eagerness to lynch just about anyone implies mafia to me.
Vote: shadyforce
I'm pretty indifferent on revealing, though anyone else with a Drowzee should definitely come forward and say whether or not you targeted mlaker last night.
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Really? I didn't mean to only be hinting. It sure seems like a fact to me. There are 4 townies and 2 mafia left, presumably. If the two mafia succeed in lynching today, there are 3 townies and 2 mafia left. When a townie dies overnight, there are 2 townies and 2 mafia left. The mafia win. I thought I had made this clear before, and the fact that you keep questioning it is just adding to your suspiciousness.Cam, that's the second time you hinted that 2 scum could finish off a lynch.
Shady, you were the 3rd of 4 to lynch. Onlyif I was one of them, then there wouldn't be 2 scum to finish off the lynch as there are only 2 remaining mafia right?onemore evil, now two, had to jump on to finish the kill. You're just digging yourself a deeper and deeper grave.
Now that I think about it, perhaps a more likely situation (Conoisseurs of Pokemon should feel free to correct me): Isn't the tournament won by a single player? Maybe there is no mafia, but rather a collection of individual serial killers. That would certainly do a better job of explaining the multiple kills. AND it would explain why Shadyforce keeps dismissing the possibility of a mafia group ending the lynch.
This has got to be clear to someone else now, right? There is now no doubt in my mind that shady is evil. Ifanyone(other than shady) disagrees, I'm all ears, but I doubt you're going to change my mind.
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So in the show, the whole team wins a tournament rather than just one player? Maybe each Team Rocket gets a kill? I'm quite willing to abandon this idea if it's as unplausible as shady suggests.No, your hypothesis about there being individual killers looks unlikely given that PBuG is a Rocket. And the don't call it "Team Rocket" for nothing.
But this wasn't the key factor in my argument against Shadyforce. You're quite right that I can't be sure about my suspicion, and I will certainly admit that it is, in fact, just a suspicion, but it's as strong of one as I ever get playing mafia, and hence the vote.
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I just misspoke. Good catch. I started with Diglett, and recuited Bulbosaur, and then Chansey. I think it's pretty clear that this was just a typo and not a "slip" just by checking the context of the sentence:
massive wrote: Cam: did you start with the Bulbosaur?
I did, actually, recruit Chansey because someone mentioned recruiting him to be a good pick (probably massive).No, I recruited Diglett (who I've never heard of) and recruited Bulbosaur (the only Pokemon I have heard of.)
I gotta say I'm somewhat dismayed by the fact that we're not focusing on the two people I find most likely to be innocent: me and Fletcher. Stewie's third on my list of innocents, so I guess I feel that two out of massive, Someone, and shadyforce are evil, and I'm relatively confident about shady.
EvenIknow Jigglypuff has a sleep-related ability (via Super Smash Brothers Melee for the GameCube )....so I do see some suspicion on Fletcher from that point, but it's quite possible that mole just wanted to have different Pokemon have different abilities, and the role that Fletcher is claiming for jigglypuff certainly isn't unbelievable. Maybe I'm being blind-sided by this, but the fact that Fletcher didn't enact the lynch when he had the ability to really seems somewhat convincing to me.
I'll probably post again in a minute or two once I collect my thoughts on legendary pokemon.
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Hey, wait a minute! I used Bulbosaur on massive last night. He shouldn't have three Pokemon. Unless Fletcher Jigglypuffed me, I guess. Fletcher?
This Legendary pokemon things is very weird. There are 2 out of the three in the game? It seems more likely to me that there are none in the game, and that massive and shadyforce are lying. But Stewie has a point about it being risky for scum to claim them, so I don't know. This quote stands out to me as being suspicious:
This sounds a lot to me like two mafia putting on an act of surprise. I guess I'll reiterate my strong belief that we should lynch shadyforce, and possible massive next if shady's innocent. I'm appealing mostly to Stewie, Someone, and Fletcher here, as massive has made it clear he's not voting for Shadyforce.Hrm. Shadyforce ... when you read your PM about Articuno, did you have the same impression that I did - that all three Legendary Pokemon were in the game? I would have argued that point for quite a while, had it come up. Were you as surprised as I was to see no Zapdos?
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Agreed.I'm sure we'll continue to go rounds. This is kinda fun.
a) There's no reason to suspect I'm lying about having a bulbosaur. Unless you believe I'm a magnificent liar, it's pretty clear I have no idea what I'm talking about when it comes to Pokemon. Bulbosaur is one of the only pokemon that non-fans would have heard it. In any case, I don't think you really think otherwise, so the point is mostly moot.
b) Okay, the points in your second paragraph are taken.
c) Why would I lie about the order in which I received my pokemon? And if I lied, why would I backtrack?
I don't get this at all. If it's stuff worth explaining, then how does it look desparate? But honestly, I am getting desparate. I can't believe none of you see shadyforce as evilly as I do, and I can't believe you're leaning towards lynching Fletcher or me instead.What's funny is, I can explain a lot of that, cam. It's a nice attempt, but looking more and more desperate.
Someone: why do you think we should lynch me?
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