A Dance with Dragons Mafia: A New Dawn!

[Zdenek]

I've been rereading today, and so far the two people who I think are reasonably likely to be scum and Stannis aligned are Kortul and Anxiety, so needless to say, I am not surprised by this at all.

[Pandora]

I keep looking for the popcorn picture but I can't find it. So the current forecast is Anxiety, Thor and Zdenek as scum with some random guy thrown in as a fourth chaser? (hint it's kortul). Probably too easy. It's irritating to be waiting for the scum before lynching, mostly because there's no chance of a wagon his way right now.

Do you think Thor and Zdenek are teammates, or opposing teams? Which one do you think is on a team with 4nxi3ty?

If you read my well-written case (you didn't read my case did you :< ) you would know I think Anx is possibly buddies with kortul. Zdenek and Thor don't quite fit as scum together because they're kind of been opposing wagons for a bit, but other scum driving etc. and I think there was always a third wagon around. I figure a few more deaths will make it clearer (or I'll be dead by then so it's someone else's problem to solve)

Zdenek: :fistbump:

[Eddard Stark]

Day 6, Votecount 11

Zdenek (1) - 4nx3ty
Thor665 (2) - Minimum, kortul

4nx3ty (4) - Plums Yo Mamma, BBmolla, Zdenek, Tyene Sand,

Not Voting (4):

AurorusVox, Pandora, Thor665, Magua

With 11 alive it takes 6 to lynch.

Deadline

: 13th November at 19:00pm Ireland time. (GMT+1)

Countdown to deadline

: (expired on 2012-11-13 15:00:47)

[Zdenek]

To clarify:

I think that Minimum is fairly likely to be town because of interactions with both Salamance and bvoigt D1. Specifically, they were cross-voting with Salamance for quite a lot of D1, and bvoigt was on the Salamance wagon. They unvoted to vote DCL, and then unvoted DCL, which makes me think that they weren't bussing there. (However, due to Aegon being split up, the reasoning for them not being a member of that faction is fairly weak).

Tyene Sand (Tierce) - probably not Stannis aligned due to interactions with RedFF.

Magua - I have a gut town read here.

AurorusVox - town because of being the only protective role.

Pandora (Shadoweh/Quilford) - town because of role-synergy with Shinori and the reasons that regfan gave.

BBmolla - role makes no sense as stannis at all

Thor665 - I think he is more likely likely to be Aegon aligned due to Jal's interactions with the Salamance slot.


To summarize my thoughts as of now, I think the scum teams look like:

Stannis:
Kortul
Anxiety,

I can't rule out Magua, but such is life.

Aegon:
Thor
*Trying to be diplomatic,* one of bbmolla, Magua, Minimum, Tyene.

I'd be happier if my read on Magua was based on more than just gut.

My reasons for thinking Minimum's not Aegon are weak given that Aegon's split up

There's also the possibility of bbmolla being Aegon aligned and the purpose of his claim being to inform the other Aegon scum of their presence, his votes on Salamance and defense of bvoigt don't help me feel great about him, but it's iffy.

My current goal is to try to get more solid reads on these four and specifically trying to see what I can do about my Tyene read that seems to be contrary to most people's.

[Zdenek]

Kortul, why do you think that Regfan was almost confirmed town?

[Pandora]

A better question is why would you think copping someone that is almost confirmed town is a good idea holy shit

[Thor665]

While we're at it - Kortul claimed to read up on Minimum, and then gave him advice for who to use his powers on today.

Just saying.

[Plums Yo Mamma]

4nx clearly has 1-shot name cop power, and waiting for a night 4 and then using it on almost conf-town points towards him to be town.

We know he used it on Regfan. We don't know when.
I doubt he has a name cop power; what he actually has is a rolecop power, meaning that it's my prediction that he used his rolecop early on Regfan and didn't kill him until later because the scumteam was looking for power roles. It also doesn't make sense to use a namecop role on a suspicion of yours who hasn't claimed, and it didn't make sense for him to claim when he did. It would have made more sense if he used the name cop power to see if Tim really was Jamie Lannister (since that would confirm him as town and stop the lynch from going through), but he didn't because he was looking for threats and not looking for ways to help the town.

So far we've seen only goon scum - could it be that our mod put a bunch of roleblockers into this game just as a means to stop a kill, in that case i can see this setup possible.

:/
and a bunch of rolecops
and a bunch of limited town bulletproofs

While we're at it - Kortul claimed to read up on Minimum, and then gave him advice for who to use his powers on today.

Just saying.

skim thor skim

[Thor665]

What did I skim over?
Now I'm self conscious.

[Minimum]

#3877 is spot on. Thor, would you say your ability to look reasonably okay coming out of this type of "what's your case; suspicion on me is poor" blather is meaningfully dependent on your alignment?

No.

[blather]

So you agree with me that we shouldn't listen to you. Check.

[Thor665]

Wow, I hope you are scum to help back up this playstyle.

[Magua]

kortul's posts about 4nxi3ty suck.

VOTE: 4nxi3ty

Pandora thinking that Thor + Zdenek can be a team is just downright bizarre.

[Plums Yo Mamma]

=====[]?

[Pandora]

I don't think they can be a team. Thatsthepoint.jpg
I supose you wouldn't be happy to hear you're the most likely one to fill the gap though :D

[Thor665]

=====[]?

I'm taking this as admission that I didn't skim and you realized I was right.

[kortul]

Of all the people whom i asked for input, only Nacho gave an answer to what was asked. All the rest just ignored my points and questions. This is bad attitude for a town... But Nacho did show the points i was missing or not aware. I had no idea that Role cop in Theme games shows the names as well, that means that his powers are indeed slpit Torturer. And the point of checking Timeater is valid, he was one of the leading wagons for two days. Also, i realized, that if 4nx used some other power on Night 4, when he heard Shinori claiming watching some investigative power, that would mean that 4nx wasn't watched, and could fakeclaim using cop. All this means the claim can be fake regarding cop power, so the likelyhood of whole claim being fake increased considerably.

With claim out of the way, I am no longer against this wagon.

VOTE: 4nx

Thor, that was only one sentence, read it again. How can you misread it, if not skimming?

Zdenek, Regfan was strong town in my eyes, and i doubt more that 1 or 2 players suspected him, so that is as close to conf town for me as possible. And for the record, i think Mockingjaye (4nx) was more likely to be Aegon scum.

[Eddard Stark]

Day 6, Votecount 12

Zdenek (1) - 4nx3ty
Thor665 (1) - Minimum

4nx3ty (6) - Plums Yo Mamma, BBmolla, Zdenek, Tyene Sand, Magua, kortul

Not Voting (3):

AurorusVox, Pandora, Thor665

With 11 alive it takes 6 to lynch.

Deadline

: 13th November at 19:00pm Ireland time. (GMT+1)

Countdown to deadline

: (expired on 2012-11-13 15:00:47)

[Eddard Stark]

Aegon the Conquered!

Aegon the Conqueror was known through the Seven Kingdoms and beyond. Aegon VI, as he would be, would be just as famous. His Aunt dithered across the sea - she could sit in Mereen.BECAUSE THAT'S WHAT SHE DOES. DITHER. He would oust the usurpers from Westeros and his people would flock to him. Storm's End would be his, and then, eventually he would sit on the Iron Throne. It was his by right - but he'd take it by conquest. The Golden Company would see to that. The words of the dwarf were still in his mind. 'Trust no one, my prince' he had said. Still, what did a dwarf know? Aegon had plenty of people he could trust. Tomorrow would be his big day. He needed sleep. He had to lead a charge tomorrow. Because that struck him as a good idea and a great way to show what a BADASS he was and definitely wouldn't put him in danger or kill him.

And he slept well. A permanent sleep DUN DUN DUN. It would be said later he died in his sleep. But a mysterious red and white haired man was seen in the castle that morning. A cook, apparently. Valar Morghulis.

4nx3ty (Aegon Targaryen, Aegon of All trades and member of the

Aegon Faction

was Lynched Day 6.

Night will last 48 hours. (expired on 2012-11-13 10:02:18) to night deadline.

[Eddard Stark]

Ondrew Locke! What a great guy. He has cool lines and isn't afraid of anything. He knew though, knew that despite lynching the pretender the Gods had turned against them. Knew his time was short. He could feel the cold winds rising. His time was almost up. His old frail body couldn't handle this anymore, so he went to sleep.

He was found frozen the next morning. Out in the yard. He also had a stab wound in his chest. CSI Westeros were called but declared he died of natural causes.

Plums Yo Mamma (Ondrew Locke, Vanilla Townie and a member of the

Lannister

Allia

nce

) was killed Night 6.

And now a word from our sponsors.

Going on vacation (or holiday, if you're not AMERICAN) this summer? Choose Sand! Choose beautiful women! Choose questionable rebellion! Choose Quentyn getting burned by dragons! Choose Areo Hotah's boring POV's! Choose Darkstar! Choose Alleras the Sphynx! Choose Vengance. Justice. Fire and Blood. (That will fail). Choose hatred of the Lannisters. Choose this paragraph may be misleading as to who the next death will be. Choose a Princess! Choose to honour the Red Viper! Choose Sunspear! Choose to holiday in Dorne this summer and you won't regret it.

Westerosi Airlines

fly there twice daily from King's Landing. Special discounts are offered for members of House Reyne and any male descendants of the Blackfyre line!*



*At least two forms of identification needed. Participants must be over 12. This offer cannot be offered in conjunction with any other discounts.

Myrcella died! She was dead. R.I.P.

Tyene Sand (Myrcella Baratheon, Vanilla Townie and a member of the

Lannister

Allia

nce

) was killed Night 6.

[Eddard Stark]

Day 7, Votecount 0

Not Voting (8):

Minimum, kortul, Magua, Zdenek, AurorusVox, Pandora, BBmolla, Thor665

With 8 alive it takes 5 to lynch.

Deadline

: 27th November at 14:30pm Ireland time. (GMT+1)

Countdown to deadline

: (expired on 2012-11-27 10:30:47)

[kortul]

I don't understand why both factions are not trying to kill each other already. I'm afraid town is doomed without crosskills, but still it isn't a reason to give up. Will reread Zdenek over this week.

VOTE: Thor665

[Zdenek]

Well bbmolla is officially town because two bp on one team is Lolz and anx would have claimed bp earlier if it was a gambit.

Vote: Thor

[Minimum]

Vote: Thor

[Magua]

@Minimum, kortul:

Do you think Thor is Aegon or Stannis?

[Thor665]

Vote: Kortul

Too excited to have his stamp on the wagon.