EspeciallyTheLies wrote: In post 5199, SnowStorm wrote:
It's not like I'm taking a wild guess. I'm telling you it's much more likely that they did commute. Venmar can verify that. Now, you believe what you want to believe. You think it's more likely that Metal is telling the truth than that SftD commuted? I don't.
You haven't told me why you think they commuted. You're just saying "Oh well I think they did based on X in the hood".
That doesn't tell me shit. The info I have are a townread on ULF, his result, and your word.
1. Mac and Cheese suggested we predict SftD for N1 NK. They replied "we're not getting night killed for a number of reasons; nominate someone else if you want to achieve objectives".
2. When Cheese later explains why they suggested that. "I highly doubt we'll die any time soon. I wouldn't worry about predicting our death"
3. After the N1 flips: "We are a (limited utility in some way) commuter btw in case it wasn't super obvious via the fact we are night crawler and the multiple times i mentioned us not dying any time soon."
4. After AP's flip: "do we want to predict a night kill? once again, don't bother predicting me. i'm commuting tonight".
Those are the instances that lead me to think they commuted night 1. 1 and 2 are pretty straightforward. I don't see why they'd want to make us think they were commuting and not actually commute when they had the role. 3 is the claim. 4. The way it's written, it's telling us, don't bother predicting us because we'll just keep commuting. All their mentions of commuting hint that they wanted us to think they'd commute every night (except when they said they weren't commuting). I don't think they'd just set up a bluff and not back it up with the actual role. And I think it would be really dumb for a commuter to not commute on night 1, especially when they were generally perceived as town and a likely kill target, like the night 1 predictions tell us.
I can't find a single reason as to why they'd not commute on night 1.
