In post 1265, acryon wrote:@GreenCrayons
What do you think of RoyalApe's reads? Especially near the end, there wasn't much from him, but specifically his reads in
327: "AFF, acryon and CKD in my goodish pile. chaos is in my scumish pile"
Ape himself didn't give much of a reason for his reads, so I take your question as simply asking me how do I feel about those players.
- AFF looked town throughout most of my read through. I didn't notice her drop off in activity until someone posted it. That alone isn't necessarily alignment indicative, even though CDB did his darndest to make it so, so that doesn't sway me one way or the other. I don't care for her extreme reaction to being put under pressure, but not enough to overcome her pretty solid town play earlier in the game. Lean town.
- acryon didn't really strike me one way or the other through my read. Could be due to the fact that -- as others pointed out, not something I picked up on my own -- he plays "devil's advocate" way too much and simply appears to question every position rather than ever taking a position. That alone is suspicious, but the jury's still out. Waiting to see if the next 1 to 3 days will give him insight that the previous however many real life days haven't. Null, lean scum.
- CKD proclaimed from the hilltops that chaos was scum and Beli was town. Even in the face of an ever-growing Beli-wagon. Ballsy move for a CKD-scum to make, but certainly not unthinkable. Regardless, that play inclines me to put him in the town pile. He appears competent and thinks his suspicious out in a pretty understandable manner, which means he's pretty transparent. Also, the basis of his suspicious aren't necessarily horrible (NK analysis), but I wish he would put more meat on the bones of that case. NK analysis alone does not make the basis of a lynch, and resting on simply that doesn't inspire confidence. Also, I just don't see Riddle's case against CKD. Town.
- chaos I read as an inexperienced, not particularly well engaged town during my read through. I reevaluated that position in light of Toby's
Post 951, which makes a case against the chaos slot on the basis of how chaos did (not) act towards Beli, and I would vote the slot based on that analysis. One thing that gives me pause is the fact that chaos entered the game following Beli's farside-vote with a farside-vote of his own, which would be a bit weird for a scum partner to do -- but then again, that could be chalked up to WIFOM or being new.
As for CDB, who replaced into the slot, I think his case on Amy was uninspiring. The fact that he walked away from that case, even though he failed to justify
why
he was backing away (I noted this back in
Post 1087) does not look good. It's a town thing to say "hey, I'm not sure about my case, I recognize that it's not perfect, etc." CDB, on the other hand, backed away from his AFF case in
Post 1046 even though he appeared to be still all about his AFF suspicions in
Post 1045, and his justification for the unvote was simply because he wanted to hear alternatives (which doesn't require an unvote). Feels too manufactured.
"This Court has never held that the Constitution forbids the execution of a convicted defendant who has had a full and fair trial but is later able to convince a habeas court that he is 'actually' innocent." In re Davis, 557 U.S. 952, 955 (2009) (Scalia, J., dissenting).