Mini 1631 - Mafia with a Twist 3 (It's Over!)

[xRECKONERx]

I am now blaring Erasure in my office at work.

AAAAAAAAAAAAAAH

[Thesp]

Official Vote Count

mathcam

(5): xRECKONERx, Honey bee, Varsoon, Bookitty, Untrod Tripod

Bookitty

(3): orcinus_theoriginal, mathcam, Save The Dragons

Not Voting

(1): serrapaladin

With 9 alive, it takes 5 to lynch.

Deadline

: (expired on 2015-01-19 17:30:00)

---

mathcam, Mafia Goon

, has been lynched.

Night 3 begins. Night choices are due in 48 hours.

[Thesp]

orcinus_theoriginal, Townie

, has been killed.

---

Day 4 begins.

With 7 alive, it's 4 to lynch.

[Varsoon]

Well, that was superb.

[Honey bee]

VOTE: std Im feeling this.

Also still wanna hear from serra.

[xRECKONERx]

bookitty town

me town

UT town

everyone else is an option

Sorry I still have a raging erection from yesterday's lynch

[xRECKONERx]

VOTE: serrapaladin

I'm fine with this or Honey bee today tbqh

[xRECKONERx]

also did someone check out Thesp's lists overnight

[Save The Dragons]

VOTE: std Im feeling this.

Also still wanna hear from serra.

Are you given any thought to the puzzle aspect of this?

No? Is it because you're scum?

[Varsoon]

Shouldn't we slow-down and re-evaluate the claimed investigates versus the deaths we got?

[Varsoon]

With the Orc flip, we now know another person who investigated orc was insane, right?
Or am I recalling this incorrectly??

[xRECKONERx]

oh hm yeah I guess we could look at claimz

[Save The Dragons]

With orc's death we find:

SK is confirmed sane.

Varsoon is either sane or scum.

mathcam got mafia on orc but turned up scum.

The people that could still be insane are

STD-mafia on UT
orc -mafia on Boo
Book- not mafia on math
hb- mafia on NS
serra-mafia on NS
farside- ???? on ????

[xRECKONERx]

[xRECKONERx]

oops sry forgot colors/farside

[Varsoon]

So... Boo lynch?
Or NS lynch?

[serrapaladin]

@hb: I don't really remember much about your play except that the flame case was boring.

I still think boo is likely scum, except her and mathcam crossvoting at the end of yesterday is giving me pause.

Orci's flip doesn't actually give us anything, since mathcam was scum, and he was cleared.

Without assuming I'm town, hb and I are on 36% scum. Boo is on 55% scum. Then, UT/std are 27% each, and var/reck have a 9% chance of being scum.

Assuming that I'm town (or actually just assuming either hb OR I is town), boo has a 71% chance of being scum.

[xRECKONERx]

SO BASICALLY someone out of Mathdino/Honey bee/Bookitty/STD/orcinus is lying

okay well it's clearly nor orcinus, so...

IF BOOKITTY IS TOWN then orcinus is insane, and Bookitty is insane, which means 1 of Honey bee/Mathdino is scum (GEE GOLLY GOSH)
IF BOOKITTY IS SCUM then orcinus was sane, and Bookitty is just lying, which means Honey bee/Mathdino/one other person can all still be insane

so uh I think we deff lynch HB/Math?

[xRECKONERx]

i literally see no way in which the mathcam/book interactions are scum bussing, that's fucking INSANITY if it is

[Varsoon]

Wait, NS is deader than a doornail.
So, wait
Who do we lynch?

[Save The Dragons]

Actually from that list I know:

orc, farside, and myself aren't scum.

If orc is insane, then boo is insane, which means one of HB or Serra are scum with UT or both of them are scum.

If orc is sane, then boo is scum, which means hb, serra, myself and farside hold 3 insanes among us. If I'm not the insane, the scumteam is {boo, ut, mathcam}. Otherwise it's {boo, mathcam} and one of {reck, varsoon, hb, and serra}.

The alternative is true; finding out if boo is scum or insane tells us if orc is scum or insane, which can help lead us to HB and Serra and to a lesser extent UT if I'm sane.

Boo is either scum or can confirm 2 insanes, both of which seem helpful to me.

[xRECKONERx]

hmmm

if I'm firm on my UT/Book reads

then that would make orc/STD 2/3 insane people

[Varsoon]

Yeah, I think we could solve this, maybe.

[serrapaladin]

There's too much symmetry to actually solve it, since hb and I are exactly equal.

[Save The Dragons]

Reck: If orc is insane, bookitty is insane.

If you think myself, book, and orc are insane, then hb and serra both have to be scum.