Micro 544: A Midnight Sun, Part 2 ~game over~

[Jin and Mugen]

You're actually falling back on my list a bit, but you're still on it, and I would not be sad to see you flip. Soren's pretty much my preferance, and I'm moderately frustrated that it's so freaking hard to find support for this, but that's partly my fault for not fighting this one more. Hopefully I'll have the time & motivation soon enough.

In short, his timing on his engagement & disengagement, coupled with what he's said is still the best lead I see here. I'm pretty much firm on this read.

Don't care about Pro, and might even fight a Pro-Lynch hard if I see a few more things to support the pattern I think I'm seeing here.

And while I'll look at associatives, my primary method is always looking at individuals. I just do better that way, so eh.

[Delenn]

Boo...

I asked you if you thought Soren was bussing? Wagon starters tend to be town but I do sense something different about the Soren Suzune dynamic.

What irks me is that why weren't we offered as a counter? I literally forgot about this game and yet no one tried to wagon us. It suggests that at least one of the wagons is already on town, it also makes me want to move our vote but Kling and I are debating where.

[Delenn]

Right now, I am leaning Mohis as scum.

[Jin and Mugen]

What about Mohis looks scum?

What's odd about the Soren/Suz dynamic?

[duppin]

Alright I caught up.

So many hydras. My initial thoughts are that Suzune, Delenn and Iron Giant look suspicious.
Anyway, I understand the Suzune train, seeing as several of her posts bothered me.
I don't really know what to think of Soren, I thought he looked pretty scummy early on but I have liked some of his later posts. I'm not too fond of the people on his train, so not really interested in his train at the moment.

Suzune, why did you choose to vote for EAP instead of Delenn?

Delenn I'd like you to explain your scum read on Mohis as well please.

[Soren]

The game has stagnated into a phase of people just giving out their reads. We need to a flip to progress the game.

[My Other Head Is Scum]

VOTE: Iron Giant
Jump on the fire wagon!

-Fire [The Town Head]

[Suzune]

Duppin, I could go either way. They are my two scum reads for the moment.

Fire, you would not find me on that train. Iron giant is my town read.

[My Other Head Is Scum]

Okay. me and Iron Giant who would you vote?

Me?

-Fire

[Iron Giant]

UNVOTE:
VOTE: Soren

I lied I wanna sheep jin.

But jin if you could remind me why this is a good choice that'd be awesome

-Elbirn

[Jin and Mugen]

The heads are many in this game..

~Mugen

[Delenn]

Firebringer is gut. He's the only player I read by gut. Vedith lacks engagement, which suggests scum but the game is slow.

As for Soren + Suzune, highly doubt they are buddies.

Duppin was really IIoA there. I know your scumgame.

VOTE: Duppin

Trying to coast on me.

[duppin]

Very interesting Titus.

Do you by any chance know my towngame then?

Duppin, I could go either way. They are my two scum reads for the moment.

I see.

[Soren]

What is duppin's scum game and which posts from him in this game indicates as such, Delenn?

[Soren]

UNVOTE:
VOTE: Soren

I lied I wanna sheep jin.

But jin if you could remind me why this is a good choice that'd be awesome

-Elbirn

I don't like this at all, because this shows that you didn't give much thought behind your vote. Why are you getting someone else to explain your vote?

[Iron Giant]

UNVOTE:
VOTE: Soren

I lied I wanna sheep jin.

But jin if you could remind me why this is a good choice that'd be awesome

-Elbirn

I don't like this at all, because this shows that you didn't give much thought behind your vote. Why are you getting someone else to explain your vote?

The reasoning here is that jin (vysepresident) is a sorcerer with a majick gut and last time I saw him miserable that no one would listen to him, he had scum fucking pegged. That scum was me in morning sun part 1.

I'm not getting him to explain *my* vote, I'm getting him to remind me of what his majick gut speaks to us.

-Elbirn

[Soren]

Inductive reasoning is flawed because observed instances do not allows us to make claims about unobserved instances.
Just because his gut has been true in the past, doesn't mean his gut will also be true in the future.
Do you not have your own scum read?

[LicketyQuickety]

Inductive reasoning is flawed because observed instances do not allows us to make claims about unobserved instances.
Just because his gut has been true in the past, doesn't mean his gut will also be true in the future.
Do you not have your own scum read?

I'm going to go ahead and adamantly disagree with this. While on a Meta sense, yes I would say you are right, but the thing is, our subconscious works miracles through Inductive reasoning and that's just how it is.

[Jin and Mugen]

Inductive reasoning is flawed because observed instances do not allows us to make claims about unobserved instances.
Just because his gut has been true in the past, doesn't mean his gut will also be true in the future.
Do you not have your own scum read?

I'm going to go ahead and adamantly disagree with this. While on a Meta sense, yes I would say you are right, but the thing is, our subconscious works miracles through Inductive reasoning and that's just how it is.

Picking up the essence of the way I get reads on people.

~Mugen

[Edgar Allan Pro]

Hey guys. I am not Varsoon. Fallout 4 is eating my life whole, but the minutemen will rise again.

I realize now how close to deadline I am. I am maybe willing to vote Delenn to avoid a no lynch. I will bitch at Varsoon and get him in here pronto.

That is certainly an interesting flip, IG. <w<

Why the sudden change of heart? Could it really be lack of posting?
I (not varsoon) hardly ever post on the weekends. Meanwhile, Varsoon is in like 6 games, hydra or otherwise.

I just don't see the line of reasoning. My posts went from 100% great to your scum vote.

I'll fight you IRL, Elbirn. I am 6'3'' and 300lbs of solid muscle and know 5 forms of martial arts. I am also handsome and bitches love me cuz they know that I can rock.

Was this the inquiry I "dodged"?

Anyway the change was because I said so that's why. I was cool witchu for your first post...then nothing from your slot happened forever, and everyone else turned into townreads and you turned into an odd man out. And then you did some blabla I don't like and I'm Elbirn and I play by gut and feels and my gut feels say to vote you idc lol

That was the one you dodged. Yes. I think your flip on me without explanation was/is a decent cause for concern that I don't think other people are picking up on because they are either scum or might be scum themselves.

I hope you are scum for your sake, man, cuz your gut feel is wholly incorrect in this instance.

Also, I don't think you have any chance of beating me in a fight anymore. My professed assurance before was mear bravado, but now that prediction has entered into the realm of supernal certainty. Through my training, I have opened the Shuu Zuh Chrah'thay and have experienced the Other End to commune with my Vrilself. I saw We and We were so beautiful.

[hi im Yakko]

UNVOTE:
VOTE: Soren

I lied I wanna sheep jin.

But jin if you could remind me why this is a good choice that'd be awesome

-Elbirn

@jin this post was intended as a query. Would you mind answering it? Please and thank you.

[Jin and Mugen]

UNVOTE:
VOTE: Soren

I lied I wanna sheep jin.

But jin if you could remind me why this is a good choice that'd be awesome

-Elbirn

@jin this post was intended as a query. Would you mind answering it? Please and thank you.

When I get back from work, sure. This is a bit more my read than LQ's now, so you'll probably have to wait on me.

[Edgar Allan Pro]

Ey, Varsoon peeking in.
My partner skype'd me up to let me know this game is hitting deadline AND that he'd rather not have a Suzune lynch.
We both liked Suzune's responses to our questions/push there earlier and Not-Varsoon is not feeling it.
I'd be willing to compromise if we absolutely had to lynch there for a lynch before deadline, but I'd prefer to lynch elsewhere.

Also 'VysePresident' makes me giggle, I just beat that game about a month ago.

[hi im Yakko]

Edgar who is on the table for you?

[Soren]

Inductive reasoning is flawed because observed instances do not allows us to make claims about unobserved instances.
Just because his gut has been true in the past, doesn't mean his gut will also be true in the future.
Do you not have your own scum read?

I'm going to go ahead and adamantly disagree with this. While on a Meta sense, yes I would say you are right, but the thing is, our subconscious works miracles through Inductive reasoning and that's just how it is.

Rationally it doesn't add up. It is human custom that makes you think so.