It's a terrible musical, and I can only assume that the good folks at the RNC and DNC have decided to punish Oklahoma by giving it a pitiful number of delegates. The Democrats have 42 at
15%
, and the Republicans have 43, also at
15%
. How good is democracy.
Spoiler: The Oklahoma Republican Primary; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 37,772 votes and 8.2% of the vote,
Negarir
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 2.1%.
In fourth place, with 44,758 votes and 9.7% of the vote,
TSL
. She fails to make the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 0.5%.
In third place, with 98,084 votes and 21.3% of the vote,
Defender
. He claims eleven delegates, and overperforms final polling by 3.7%.
The winner of the Oklahoma Republican primary...
With 144,651 votes, and 31.5% of the vote...
Kublai Khan
17 delegates won
+8.2% from polling
In second place, with 134,657 votes, and 29.3% of the vote, was
Abbott
. He earns fifteen delegates and overperforms polling by 2.0%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Khan
31.5%
144,651
17 dels
+8.2%
Abbott
29.3%
134,657
15 dels
+2.0%
Defender
21.3%
98,084
11 dels
+3.7%
TSL
9.7%
44,758
0 dels
-0.5%
Negarir
8.2%
37,772
0 dels
-2.1%
Total
459,922
43 dels
A literally massive come from behind win--will we see similar action in the Democratic corner? Let's find out.
Spoiler: The Oklahoma Democratic Primary; Monday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 36,179 votes and 10.8% of the vote,
Peanuts
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.9%.
In fourth place, with 36,448 votes and 10.9% of the vote,
Reckoner
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 1.9%.
In third place, with 49,605 votes and 14.8% of the vote...
...
Spire
. He (barely!) fails to make the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.8%.
The winner of the Oklahoma Democratic primary...
With 130,555 votes, and 38.9% of the vote...
Verka Serduchka
26 delegates won
+23.6% from polling
In second place, with 83,056 votes and 24.7% of the vote,
McGriddles
. He claims sixteen delegates, and overperforms final polling by 5%.
Quick note as well: in the real world, places like Wyoming (GOP) and Colorado (GOP) didn't actually bind based on Super Tuesday results. That's dumb, and we're not doing it.
For which candidate will Alabama be Sweet Home????? I don't know man, but the Republicans have 50 delegates up at a
20%
threshold, and the Democrats have 60 at, you guessed it,
15%
. Let's roll.
Spoiler: The Alabama Republican Primary; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 62,155 votes and 7.2% of the vote,
Defender
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 5.1%.
In fourth place, with 136,085 votes and 15.8% of the vote,
Negarir
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 1.1%.
In third place, with 188,697 votes and 21.9% of the vote,
Khan
. He claims fourteen delegates, and overperforms final polling by 2.1%.
The winner of the Alabama Republican primary...
With 278,617 votes, and 32.4% of the vote...
Tony Abbott
21 delegates won
-0.9% from polling
In second place, with 195,098 votes, and 22.7% of the vote, was
TSL
. She earns fifteen delegates and underperforms polling by 0.5%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Abbott
32.4%
278,617
21 dels
-0.9%
TSL
22.7%
195,098
15 dels
-0.5%
Khan
21.9%
188,697
14 dels
+2.1%
Negarir
15.8%
136,085
0 dels
1.1%
Defender
7.2%
62,155
0 dels
+5.1%
Total
860,652
50 dels
Literally like four people vote for Democrats in Alabama, and they're all here tonight. Roughly one of those four--that is to say, around 27.1% of voters--come in undecided: whose cuisine reigned supreme?
Spoiler: The Alabama Democratic Primary; Monday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 34,693 votes and 8.7% of the vote,
Spire
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 0.8%.
In fourth place, with 52,596 votes and 13.2% of the vote,
Serduchka
. She fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.6%.
In third place, with 61,688 votes and 15.5% of the vote...
...
McGriddles
. He (barely!) claims twelve delegates, and underperforms final polling by 0.1%.
The winner of the Alabama Democratic primary...
With 126,560 votes, and 31.8% of the vote...
Reckoner
24 delegates won
+17.3% from polling
In second place, with 122,620 votes and 30.8% of the vote,
Peanuts
. He claims twenty four delegates, and overperforms final polling by 12.4%.
For the Republicans, it's more complicated, and you should read this.
Only delegate totals will be reported here
, due to how the game has coded the Colorado
convention
, since this is one of like, literally no contests in the entire primary season that doesn't decide via primary or caucus but by goddamn
convention
. So, the 37 Republican delegates from Colorado will be the only numbers reported.
There will still be a winner. The game will treat one person as having won Colorado, because they had the most support. But there is a good chance, if it's close, that it won't show up at all, and it'll look like a tie, because there are less delegates than there are votes. Don't ask me why it's not just reporting votes, I don't know. On with the show.
Spoiler: The Colorado Republican Convention; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 15.2% support,
Negarir
. He claims six delegates, and underperforms polled support by 0.5%.
In fourth place, with 18.8% support,
Defender
. He claims seven delegates, and overperforms polled support by 11.1%.
In third place, with 20.6% support,
Khan
. He claims eight delegates, and overperforms polled support by 1.1%.
The winner of the Colorado Republican convention...
With 23.2% support...
"Lady" Dawn Tilden-St. Leonard
8 delegates won
+10.6% from final support
In second place, with 22.2% support,
Abbott
. He claims eight delegates, and overperforms polled support by 7.4%.
Candidate
Vote share
Delegates won
+/- final polling
TSL
23.2%
8 dels
+10.6%
Abbott
22.2%
8 dels
+7.4%
Khan
20.6%
8 dels
+1.1%
Defender
18.8%
7 dels
+11.1%
Negarir
15.2%
6 dels
-0.5%
Total
37 dels
A mess! Let's see if the Democrats had better luck being not-confusing shitfucks.
Spoiler: The Colorado Democratic Caucus; Monday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 7,502 votes and 6.1% of the vote,
Peanuts
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.1%.
In fourth place, with 13,651 votes and 11.1% of the vote,
McGriddles
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.0%.
In third place, with 25,100 votes and 20.3% of the vote...
...
Spire
. He claims nineteen delegates, and underperforms final polling by 0.1%.
The winner of the Colorado Democratic caucus...
With 47,093 votes, and 38.1% of the vote...
Reckoner
36 delegates won
+24.5% from polling
In second place, with 30,162 votes and 24.4% of the vote,
Serduchka
. He claims twenty three delegates, and underperforms final polling by 2.2%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Reckoner
38.1%
47,093
36 dels
+24.5%
Serduchka
24.4%
30,162
23 dels
-2.2%
Spire
20.3%
25,100
19 dels
-0.1%
McGriddles
11.1%
13,651
0 dels
-1.0%
Peanuts
6.1%
7,502
0 dels
-1.1%
Total
123,508
78 dels
Hey I know someone from Tennessee so we're going there next.
Anyway this person I know. She's an honest-to-god Southern Democrat and I love her. She voted for Bernie. She's lit.
Pretty stock standard stuff: the Republicans have 58 delegates at
20%
, and the Democrats have 75 delegates at the usual
15%
. It looks like I'm doing all the Democratic high-delegate ones first but trust me that's really low for Democrats and really high for Republicans, at this stage. Ohio only has like 66 Republican delegates. It's crackt. Anyway how good are elections.
Spoiler: The Tennessee Republican Primary; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 31,462 votes and 3.7% of the vote,
Negarir
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 2.5%.
In fourth place, with 93,897 votes and 11.0% of the vote,
Khan
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 0.8%.
In third place, with 124,194 votes and 14.5% of the vote,
TSL
. She fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 0.2%.
The winner of the Tennessee Republican primary...
With 310,288 votes, and 36.3% of the vote...
Defender
30 delegates won
+7.4% from polling
In second place, with 295,888 votes, and 34.6% of the vote, was
Abbott
. He earns twenty eight delegates and overperforms polling by 7.4%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Defender
36.3%
310,288
30 dels
+7.4%
Abbott
34.6%
295,88
28 dels
+7.4%
TSL
14.5%
124,194
0 dels
+0.2%
Khan
11.0%
93,897
0 dels
+0.8%
Negarir
3.7%
31,462
0 dels
-2.5%
Total
855,729
58 dels
The market truly is working. Anyway, back to the communists.
Spoiler: The Alabama Democratic Primary; Monday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 18,163 votes and 4.9% of the vote,
Peanuts
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 0.6%.
In fourth place, with 19,607 votes and 5.3% of the vote,
Spire
. She fails to meet the delegate threshold, and performs at final polling.
In third place, with 42,196 votes and 11.3% of the vote...
...
McGriddles
. He fails to make delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 1.4%.
The winner of the Tennessee Democratic primary...
With 216,700 votes, and 58.2% of the vote...
Verka Serduchka
56 delegates won
+0.7% from polling
In second place, with 75,556 votes and 20.3% of the vote,
Reckoner
. He claims nineteen delegates, and overperforms final polling by 1.4%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Serduchka
58.2%
216,700
56 dels
+0.7%
Reckoner
20.3%
75,556
19 dels
+1.4%
McGriddles
11.3%
42,196
0 dels
+1.4%
Spire
5.3%
19,607
0 dels
+-
Peanuts
4.9%
18,163
0 dels
+0.6%
Total
372,222
75 dels
For once, the polls are reasonably accurate. Our next stop is Rubio-land, Minnesota.
Minnesota is a cool place although I know literally nothing about it.
A nice and easy permissible caucus (as permissible as caucuses can be), especially from the Republicans here. They've got 38 delegates to give away with a
10%
threshold. The Democrats have 93 delegates at the usual
15%
. This is the last Democratic primary today with only two digit delegate sums: everything else is big money.
Spoiler: The Minnesota Republican Caucus; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 11,968 votes and 10.5% of the vote,
Negarir
. He claims four delegates, and underperforms final polling by 2.0%.
In fourth place, with 18,382 votes and 16.1% of the vote,
Defender
. He claims six delegates, and overperforms final polling by 4.0%.
In third place, with 24,561 votes and 21.5% of the vote,
TSL
. She claims eight delegates, and overperforms final polling by 3.2%.
The winner of the Minnesota Republican caucus...
With 30,819 votes, and 27.0% of the vote...
Kublai Khan
10 delegates won
+5.9% from polling
In second place, with 28,515 votes, and 25.0% of the vote, was
Abbott
. He earns ten delegates and overperforms polling by 4.1%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Khan
27.0%
30,819
10 dels
+5.9%
Abbott
25.0%
28,515
10 dels
+4.1%
TSL
21.5%
24,561
8 dels
+3.2%
Defender
16.1%
18,382
6 dels
+4.0%
Negarir
10.5%
11,968
4 dels
-2.0%
Total
114,245
58 dels
A nice clutch victory there; let's see how the Democrats do.
Spoiler: The Minnesota Democratic Caucus; Monday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 6,123 votes and 3.0% of the vote,
Spire
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 0.2%.
In fourth place, with 15,455 votes and 7.6% of the vote,
McGriddles
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 1.4%.
In third place, with 32,717 votes and 16.0% of the vote...
...
Peanuts
. He claims sixteen delegates, and underperforms final polling by 0.9%.
The winner of the Minnesota Democratic primary...
With 113,535 votes, and 55.5% of the vote...
Verka Serduchka
58 delegates won
+5.5% from polling
In second place, with 36,780 votes and 18.0% of the vote,
Reckoner
. He claims nineteen delegates, and overperforms final polling by 0.8%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Serduchka
55.5%
113,535
58 dels
+5.5%
Reckoner
18.0%
36,780
19 dels
+0.8%
Peanuts
16.0%
32,717
16 dels
-0.9%
McGriddles
7.6%
15,455
0 dels
+1.4%
Spire
3.0%
6,123
0 dels
-0.2%
Total
204,610
93 dels
Massachusetts ayy lmao, but right after this delegate count.
The game in Virginia is as easy as it'll ever be for Republicans. 49 delegates and no threshold means you need just about
2%
to get on the board. Democrats, meanwhile, have more delegates (as per usual), but the same
15%
threshold. Still, 108 delegates are 108 delegates.
Spoiler: The Virginia Republican Primary; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 33,500 votes and 3.3% of the vote,
TSL
. She claims two delegates, and overperforms final polling by 0.2%.
In fourth place, with 71,890 votes and 7.0% of the vote,
Defender
. He claims three delegates, and underperforms final polling by 0.9%.
In third place, with 216,352 votes and 21.1% of the vote,
Khan
. He claims ten delegates, and overperforms final polling by 3.1%.
The winner of the Virginia Republican primary...
With 400,151 votes, and 39.0% of the vote...
Tony Abbott
19 delegates won
+4.0% from polling
In second place, with 303,559 votes, and 29.6% of the vote, was
Negarir
. He earns fifteen delegates and underperforms polling by 0.4%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Abbott
39.0%
400,151
19 dels
+4.0%
Negarir
29.6%
303,559
15 dels
-0.4%
Khan
21.1%
216,352
10 dels
+3.1%
Defender
7.0%
71,890
3 dels
-0.9%
TSL
3.3%
33,500
2 dels
+0.2%
Total
1,025,452
49 dels
It went blue in the real world, but here, Tim Kaine isn't a thing yet. I don't know where I'm going with this.
Spoiler: The Virginia Democratic Primary; Monday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 45,940 votes and 5.9% of the vote,
McGriddles
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 3.6%.
In fourth place, with 62,786 votes and 8.0% of the vote,
Peanuts
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and performs at final polling.
In third place, with 105,416 votes and 13.4% of the vote...
...
Reckoner
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 1.4%.
The winner of the Virginia Democratic primary...
With 393,076 votes, and 50.1% of the vote...
Verka Serduchka
74 delegates won
+9.0% from polling
In second place, with 177,823 votes and 22.7% of the vote,
Spire
. He claims thirty four delegates, and overperforms final polling by 2.7%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Serduchka
50.1%
393,076
74 dels
+9.0%
Spire
22.7%
177,823
34 dels
+2.7%
Reckoner
13.4%
105,416
0 dels
+1.4%
Peanuts
8.0%
62,876
0 dels
+-
McGriddles
5.9%
45,940
0 dels
+3.6%
Total
785,041
108 dels
The blessedly last result in Super Tuesday is the great state of Texas. 155 Republican delegates, 251 Democratic delegates, and two very very big results.
Spoiler: The Texas Republican Primary; Tuesday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 173,093 votes and 6.1% of the vote,
Khan
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 0.3%.
In fourth place, with 294,522 votes and 10.4% of the vote,
TSL
. She fails to make the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 0.9%.
In third place, with 332,795 votes and 11.7% of the vote,
Negarir
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 1.3%.
The winner of the Texas Republican primary...
With 1,650,639 votes, and 58.2% of the vote...
Tony Abbott
155 delegates won
+19.3% from polling
In second place, with 385,439 votes, and 13.6% of the vote, was
Defender
. He fails to make the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 0.9%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Abbott
58.2%
1,650,639
155 dels
+19.3%
Defender
13.6%
385,439
0 dels
+0.9%
Negarir
11.7%
332,795
0 dels
-1.3%
TSL
10.4%
294,522
0 dels
-0.9%
Khan
6.1%
173,093
0 dels
+0.3%
Total
2,836,488
155 dels
Straight on.
Spoiler: The Texas Democratic Primary; Monday, 1st March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 79,547 votes and 5.5% of the vote,
Spire
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 0.2%.
In fourth place, with 139,293 votes and 9.7% of the vote,
Peanuts
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and underperforms final polling by 0.2%.
In third place, with 211,269 votes and 14.7% of the vote...
...
Reckoner
. He fails to meet the delegate threshold, and overperforms final polling by 0.7%.
The winner of the Texas Democratic primary...
With 665,690 votes, and 46.4% of the vote...
Jerfy McGriddles
166 delegates won
+30.5% from polling
In second place, with 340,096 votes and 23.7% of the vote,
Serduchka
. She claims eighty five delegates, and underperforms final polling by 15.4%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
McGriddles
46.4%
665,690
166 dels
+30.5%
Serduchka
23.7%
340,096
85 dels
-15.4%
Reckoner
14.7%
211,269
0 dels
+0.7%
Peanuts
9.7%
139,293
0 dels
-0.2%
Spire
5.5%
79,547
0 dels
-0.2%
Total
1,435,895
251 dels
As an aside, Reckoner falling short of the threshold by about 4,000 votes directly handed McGriddles ~30 more delegates, and Serduchka ~5-10 more. He would've been owed 35+ delegates. Every vote counts.
That was fun! It's around 4am on the East Coast, and Alaska's just figured out what on earth it's done, so let's figure out what the sum total of our efforts was.
The results are at the end. A little bit of analysis first.
The thresholds mean that some people are wasting votes more than others. The worst hit by this was
Reckoner
, who won 16.5% of the Super Tuesday vote, but only 11.5% of the Super Tuesday delegates. Both
Serduchka
and
Abbott
had near-10% improvements from their vote share to delegate share. And that makes sense: the more votes you win, the more likely you'll push opponents below the threshold, which means more delegates for you.
But Super Tuesday did equalize the field, somewhat. With the exception of
Reckoner
(because of how massive his vote wastage was), every single non-leading candidate improved their overall delegate share in Super Tuesday. In a real campaign, you'd expect there to be clear majority-leaders, and while
Abbott's
has 53% of pledged delegates (making a contested convention possible but unlikely, it seems),
Serduchka's
only on 46%. Her overall vote share is 34.9%, which would suggest that she needs to start knocking candidates out or pushing ahead in vote share, else the Democrats will have some fun in Philly.
Be wary of candidates who aren't getting wins but still are collecting delegates as well.
Negarir
very nearly became the second biggest winner of the night, having 91 delegates to
Khan's
96 and
Abbott's
341, and all without winning a single state.
McGriddles
did get lucky with a clutch domination in Texas, but it turned into a one-win haul of over 200 delegates; and
Peanuts
also managed to stay well within the pack despite not winning a state, with 110 delegates earned.
There are obvious winners. Are there losers? At first glance, only small ones.
Spire
, for all his strengths as a candidate, is failing at the one thing that counts: delegates. A state win would've been something to hang his hat on--instead, he just has 72 delegates. Not bad. Not great.
The Republican side is more evenly matched.
Abbott
, obviously, is ahead of the pack, but the remaining four have something to show for it.
TSL
has a state;
Negarir
has a healthy number of delegates;
Defender
and
Khan
have both. If we're going to see a suspension in the wake of Super Tuesday, I probably wouldn't bet on it being a Republican.
But who knows. This is a dumb computer game. How good are elections. As we enter March,
Serduchka
leads the Democrats with 546 delegates, and needs 51.3% of remaining delegates to clinch before the convention.
Abbott
leads the Republicans with 421 delegates, and needs 48.6% of remaining delegates to clinch before the convention. Both players currently maintain a vote share below that, but the Republicans are about to hit the winner-take-all states. So here we go.
Candidate
Wyom.
Alaska
Vermont
Okla.
Ark.
Alabama
Colo.
Tenn.
Minn.
Mass.
Virginia
Georgia
Texas
States Won
ST Gains
Total Dels
Abbott
7
12
15
19
21
8
28
10
17
19
30
155
7
341
421
Khan
9
9
17
9
14
8
10
10
10
4
96
109
Negarir
7
9
7
12
6
4
2
15
29
91
102
Defender
2
7
11
7
30
6
4
3
17
1
87
97
TSL
4
15
8
8
9
2
1
14
60
Candidate
Vermont
Okla.
Ark.
Alabama
Colo.
Tenn.
Minn.
Mass.
Virginia
Georgia
Texas
States Won
ST Gains
Total Dels
Serduchka
20
26
7
23
56
58
56
74
41
85
7
446
546
McGriddles
16
12
26
39
166
1
259
285
Reckoner
17
24
36
19
19
3
115
144
Peanuts
24
16
33
37
110
128
Spire
6
13
19
34
72
84
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
Abbott
41.2%
4,068,758
421 dels
Khan
13.0%
1,280,291
109 dels
Negarir
16.3%
1,606,835
102 dels
Defender
15.5%
1,525,952
97 dels
TSL
11.6%
1,148,332
60 dels
Mothma
2.5%
242,511
5 dels
Dels left
1,678 dels
Total
9,872,679
2,472 dels
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
Serduchka
34.9%
2,374,343
546 dels
McGriddles
22.8%
1,552,156
285 dels
Reckoner
17.3%
1,178,158
144 dels
Peanuts
15.0%
1,020,335
128 dels
Spire
10.0%
679,530
84 dels
Dels left
3,578 dels
Total
6,804,522
4,765 dels
Last edited by Drench on Mon Feb 20, 2017 3:25 am, edited 1 time in total.
, for all his strengths as a candidate, is failing at the one thing that counts: delegates. A state win would've been something to hang his hat on--instead, he just has 72 delegates. Not bad. Not great.
I think the problem is more that I'm ahead in the states that are later on the list. I have average polling of ~20% but only ~10% of the current vote and 3/4 of the states that haven't voted yet are some shade of red.
yeah you're probably right
that + the fact that candidates are a lil more hesitant to drop out here than in real life means you've still got a pretty good shot imho
anyway super saturday? it's coming, to here, before midday, and then i'm going to sleep
i kinda want to be able to pump these out at a time when people are actually online so if anyone has any preferences for when the ides of march happens (florida R WTA, ohio R WTA, missouri etc etc) hmu
3 days until Super Saturday
4 days until March 6th's votes
251 days until the Presidential Election
Headlines
The papers are released each day in the morning, and describe what happened the previous day. The first day of the cycle is a Wednesday, and the last a Tuesday, but the first newspapers are Thursday's, and the last Wednesday's.
Wednesday's papers:
Well, folks, I don't think you need my expert analysis to tell you that
Abbott
and
Serduchka
had Very Good Nights. And that's what the papers are screaming about.
Khan
,
Reckoner
, and
McGriddles
are getting noticably good coverage as well. Away from results,
Spire
tries to smack
McGriddles
down via attack ad, and
Peanuts
is the latest guy on the role-of-government trail.
Defender
tackles Rachel Maddow (not literally), and
TSL
knows for a FACT that
Abbott
will let the terrorists win.
Thursday:
Another day, another person
TSL
thinks will let the terrorists win. This time, it's
Khan
.
Abbott
is unable to destroy Medicare in his latest ad (that is, someone's going to Save Medicare), and
Negarir
has some good vibes going with Greta Van Susteren, while Cheney himself campaigns in Michigan.
You would've thought that the Republicans would be absolutely ready to obliterate each other in the aftermath of Super Tuesday, and to their credit, their guns were aimed at the right place. Unfortunately, not nearly enough were fired, and none correctly.
TSL
, as usual, was woefully unprepared (classic), but even her attacks against
Abbott
fell flat, as did
Khan's
. All that, and a good performance from the man himself, positioned
Abbott
right in the middle of the pack. Noticeably, those debaters keeping to themselves did better than the attackers this time around, with
Defender
and
Negarir
taking the top two spots after successful boasts. But it was the latter's preparedness on the issues and charisma that lifted
out of the picture, it seems there's a new debate king, and
Negarir
is more than happy to let the headlines say it as he mingles in Michigan.
Reckoner
is receiving a little flack for negativity on the trail (calling his opponents neoliberal DINO centrist idiot shills for cutting government spending, I don't know), while
TSL's
attack ad on
Khan
worked, a little bit.
Saturday:
Defender
was a true LEADER on Colbert last night, and it was great.
Reckoner
tries to get in on this attack ad business, and it goes terribly.
Khan
receives the vaunted endorsement of everyone's favourite Louisiana governor,
Gov. Bobby Jindal
, while protesters do things at both
Negarir
and
Peanuts
events.
In Review
The news cycle strength is how good or bad your media was for the week, if you had any media at all, and only in cycles which are a week long. The ads just tell you who's producing what, and what's being targeted in each. Scandals are self-explanatory. The full picture has basically everything that happened, but unformatted, so you can cry while you read it.
Spoiler: Ads
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/Leadership.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Leadership.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/War on Terror.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/Leadership.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/Government Spending.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/Leadership.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/Leadership.
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/War on Terror.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/War on Terror.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Role of Government.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Health Care.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/War on Terror.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/War on Terror.
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/Leadership.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Defender
/War on Terror.
Negarir
> completed ad > United States >
Tilden-St. Leonard
/Role of Government.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/War on Terror.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Role of Government.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Immigration.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/Health Care.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/War on Terror.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/War on Terror.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/Leadership.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/War on Terror.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Peanuts
/War on Terror.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
McGriddles
/War on Terror.
McGriddles
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/War on Terror.
Tilden-St. Leonard
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/Leadership.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/War on Terror.
Defender
> completed ad > United States >
Negarir
/Role of Government.
Abbott
> completed ad > United States >
Abbott
/Role of Government.
Khan
> completed ad > United States >
Khan
/Government Spending.
Serduchka
> completed ad > United States >
Serduchka
/War on Terror.
Reckoner
> completed ad > United States >
Reckoner
/Government Spending.
Spire
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Leadership.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Role of Government.
Peanuts
> completed ad > United States >
Spire
/Role of Government.
Spoiler: Scandals
Spoiler: The rest
Abbott wins in Alabama!
Abbott wins in Alaska!
Abbott wins in Arkansas!
Tilden-St. Leonard wins in Colorado!
Abbott wins in Georgia!
Abbott wins in Massachusetts!
Khan wins in Minnesota!
Khan wins in Oklahoma!
Defender wins in Tennessee!
Abbott wins in Texas!
Khan wins in Vermont!
Abbott wins in Virginia!
Khan wins in Wyoming!
Reckoner wins in Alabama!
Reckoner wins in Arkansas!
Reckoner wins in Colorado!
Serduchka wins in Georgia!
Serduchka wins in Massachusetts!
Serduchka wins in Minnesota!
Serduchka wins in Oklahoma!
Serduchka wins in Tennessee!
McGriddles wins in Texas!
Serduchka wins in Vermont!
Serduchka wins in Virginia!
Republican Kansas Caucuses today!
Democratic Kansas Caucuses today!
Republican Kentucky Caucuses today!
Democratic Nebraska Caucuses today!
Democratic Louisiana Primary today!
Republican Louisiana Primary today!
Republican Maine Caucuses today!
Democratic Maine Caucuses in 1 day!
Republican Puerto Rico Primary in 1 day!
Republican Idaho Primary in 3 days!
Republican Michigan Primary in 3 days!
Democratic Michigan Primary in 3 days!
Democratic Democrats Abroad Caucuses in 3 days!
Democratic Mississippi Primary in 3 days!
Republican Mississippi Primary in 3 days!
Republican Hawaii Caucuses in 3 days!
Republican U.S. Virgin Islands Caucuses in 5 days!
Republican Washington, D.C. Primary in 7 days!
Democratic Northern Mariana Islands Caucuses in 7 days!
Republican Guam Caucuses in 7 days!
Democratic American Samoa Caucuses in 8 days!
Democratic North Carolina Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Florida Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Ohio Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Illinois Primary in 10 days!
Republican Ohio Primary in 10 days!
Republican Florida Primary in 10 days!
Republican Illinois Primary in 10 days!
Republican Missouri Primary in 10 days!
Republican North Carolina Primary in 10 days!
Democratic Missouri Primary in 10 days!
Republican Northern Mariana Islands Caucuses in 10 days!
Abbott's attack ad has backfired.
Reckoner's attack ad has backfired.
REP primaries debate in 5 days.
DEM primaries debate tomorrow.
DEM primaries debate in 4 days.
Khan endorsed by Gov. Bobby Jindal > Tax Rates!
Gov. Bobby Jindal is now a potential Surrogate for Khan!
MAPS
Ignore McMullin. Leaders of each state are colour-coded; white states means it's too close to call. The percentage list on the right-hand side is the popular vote; the lines and segments down the bottom are PROJECTED delegates. Once delegates start being earned, that will be added separately.
There are literally only five states voting today, and half of them are just doing it for one party. It's lame, is what I'm saying. But, nevertheless, CNN is calling it Super Saturday, so it's Super Saturday. 155 delegates await for whoever sweeps the Republican table, while 126 delegates are there for the taking on the Democratic side.
But it's still all proportional anyway lmao, so nobody's gonna win them all.
Kansas is a state in the middle of America. It has 40 delegates for the Republicans on a
10%
threshold. It also has 37 delegates for the Democrats, with the usual
15%
threshold. It is also a caucus, because Kansas hates the working class.
Good stuff, let's get going. Polls are suggesting that Super Saturday is locked in, but will there be any surprises? And is it going to make a difference in the delegate count?
Spoiler: The Kansas Republican Caucus; Saturday, 5th March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 8,341 votes and 10.6% of the vote,
TSL
. She claims four delegates, and overperforms final polling by 0.8%.
In fourth place, with 10,718 votes and 13.6% of the vote,
Abbott
. He claims five delegates, and underperforms final polling by 1.5%.
In third place, with 15,538 votes and 19.7% of the vote...
...is
Defender
. He claims 8 delegates, and overperforms final polling by 4.3%.
The winner of the Kansas Republican caucus...
With 28,765 votes, and 36.4% of the vote...
Negarir
15 delegates won
+4.7% from polling
In second place, with 15,616 votes, and 19.8% of the vote, was
Khan
. He claims eight delegates, and overperforms final polling by 4.9%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Negarir
36.4%
28,765
15 dels
+4.7%
Khan
19.8%
15,616
8 dels
+4.9%
Defender
19.7%
15,538
8 dels
+4.3%
Abbott
13.6%
10,718
5 dels
-1.5%
TSL
10.6%
8,341
4 dels
+0.8%
Total
78,978
40 dels
So proud of Democrats for existing in Kansas. Let's find out how many there are.
Spoiler: The Kansas Democratic Caucus; Saturday, 5th March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 6,333 votes and 16.1% of the vote,
Reckoner
. He claims six delegates, and overperforms final polling by 0.8%.
In fourth place, with 6,390 votes and 16.3% of the vote,
McGriddles
. He claims six delegates, and overperforms final polling by 2.8%.
In third place, with 6,398 votes and 16.3% of the vote...
...
Peanuts
. He claims six delegates, and overperforms final polling by 0.3%.
The winner of the Kansas Democratic caucus...
With 10,600 votes, and 27.0% of the vote...
Ian Spire
10 delegates won
-0.5% from polling
In second place, with 9,509 votes and 24.2% of the vote,
Serduchka
. She claims nine delegates, and overperforms final polling by 1.4%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Spire
27.0%
10,600
10 dels
-0.5%
Serduchka
24.2%
9,509
9 dels
+1.4%
Peanuts
16.3%
6,398
6 dels
+0.3%
McGriddles
16.3%
6,390
6 dels
+2.8%
Reckoner
16.1%
6,333
6 dels
+0.8%
Total
39,230
37 dels
So that was Kansas.
Last edited by Drench on Mon Feb 20, 2017 3:12 am, edited 1 time in total.
Both Maine and Kentucky get going today, but only for the Republicans. Maine is doing the Democrats literally tomorrow, for some reason. Both these caucuses are permissive, with Maine having a threshold of
10%
for 23 delegates, and Kentucky having the low low threshold of only
5%
to get a bite of the 46 delegates on offer. But, anything could happen: an average of 10% of voters are undecided walking in the door!
Spoiler: The Maine Republican Caucus; Saturday, 5th March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 2,375 votes and 12.8% of the vote,
TSL
. She claims three delegates, and overperforms final polling by 1.0%.
In fourth place, with 2,523 votes and 13.5% of the vote,
Defender
. He claims three delegates, and overperforms final polling by 3.9%.
In third place, with 4,418 votes and 23.7% of the vote...
...
Khan
. He claims five delegates, and overperforms final polling by 4.1%.
The winner of the Maine Republican caucus...
With 4,832 votes, and 25.9% of the vote...
Tony Abbott
6 delegates won
+6.4% from polling
In second place, with 4,479 votes, and 24.0% of the vote, was
Negarir
. He claims six delegates, and overperforms final polling by 1.0%.
Candidate
Vote share
# of votes
Delegates won
+/- final polling
Abbott
25.9%
4,832
6 dels
+6.4%
Negarir
24.0%
4,479
6 dels
+1.0%
Khan
23.7%
4,418
5 dels
+4.1%
Defender
13.5%
2,523
3 dels
+3.9%
TSL
12.8%
2,375
3 dels
+1.0%
Total
18,627
23 dels
And now, Kentucky, for the thrilling conclusion of the Republican Super Saturday.
Spoiler: The Kentucky Republican Caucus; Saturday, 5th March, 2016
The final results have been certified.
In fifth place, with 26,303 votes and 11.5% of the vote,
Defender
. He claims three delegates, and overperforms final polling by 2.7%.
In fourth place, with 26,493 votes and 11.5% of the vote,
Khan
. He claims three delegates, and underperforms final polling by 0.7%.
In third place, with 47,992 votes and 20.9% of the vote...
...
TSL
. She claims ten delegates, and overperforms final polling by 2.4%.
The winner of the Kentucky Republican caucus...
With 65,702 votes, and 28.6% of the vote...
Negarir
13 delegates won
-1.3% from polling
In second place, with 63,249 votes, and 27.5% of the vote, was
Abbott
. He claims six delegates, and overperforms final polling by 5.6%.