Open 680.1 C9++ | Endgame


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Post Post #1750 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:41 am

Post by FireScreamer »

In post 1749, Almost50 wrote:
In post 1743, FireScreamer wrote:Do you think keeping an RB hidden is worth the same as a confirmed cop with a clear? Not even dead. Just not hidden.
He will be dead by the start of D2, GDI. Unless you KNOW there's a Doctor, and you also know the doctor values the RB role in general, so is willing to protect the RB.

By my reads I suspect there is a Mason pair (MM), and then there's a RB+1-x RB (BB), so the chance of a TTT is moderately real. That's TWO SHOTS on the RB, and the Doctor still can't save him.
So even in this scenario we downgrade the RB into an IC1shotRB and both scum have to shoot the same target N1, so lets call it worth a doc protection as well. How much more valuable does the RB need to be?

And this as WORST CASE. Forget the fact that Gamma is SCUM why don't ya.
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Post Post #1751 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:42 am

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If the roleblocker manages to get 2 confirms and paint a giant target on his back before the start of night 1 they did enough. Stop trying to provide cover for Gamma's fakeclaim.
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Post Post #1752 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:44 am

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In post 1738, Umlaut wrote:Titus says all of these things simultaneously:
  • the lack of an RB claim shows Gamma is probably guilty;
  • if the RB does claim, we should flip Gamma anyway to confirm the full RB as town; and
  • the RB should claim, to save Gamma.
We went through
this exact scenario
last roll, and it culminated in Titus telling me I should self-hammer to
prevent
the full RB from claiming if I was town. I don't know how she forgot that so quickly.
No. I am saying if a full rb claims, I am likely getting lynched.

Despite my heavy tr by play, there just isn't one.

I was trying to goad you into self-hammering because I knew you were scum last game. I was wrong though.
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Post Post #1753 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:46 am

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Umlaut can I possibly convince you to reconsider and vote gamma? I don't understand what the barriers to it are.
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Post Post #1754 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:48 am

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Your case on Titus is that she is building an alternative that can be confirmed at any point if she is scum and they are town. It doesn't make any sense when she had Dave as an option as well.
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Post Post #1755 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:49 am

Post by Almost50 »

In post 1744, FireScreamer wrote:
In post 1742, Almost50 wrote:I mean, if the RB won't claim to save Gamma they sure as hell won't claim after the fact! Duh!
So if the RB is at L-1 or in a massclaim they will lie?
Let me put it this way: >I< wouldn't claim if it's to save a 1-shot RB.

I was a vig and I tried my best not to claim in Timeshift, but was eventually forced to in order to save an even-night Role Cop (or was it odd-night? I don't remember! I think it was odd-night delayed.. anyway). A Role Cop was well worth saving and ESPECIALLY so when I was only 2-shots and had already fired my delayed shot so I intended to use my direct one on the same night and didn't care if I dies. I also knew that by saving Comm there it will redirect the lynch to Scum!James and I had already decided Nero was conf!Scum so nor bad to trade my out-of-shots self for 2 scums.

here it doesn't look like a good move for the RB to out just to save a 1-shot RB and possibly lynch Titus. That'd be trading a full RB for a "very possibly" Goon while buying Gamma one more night at best. (Nero was the Scum Encryptor and James was a 2-shot Ninja, btw).

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Post Post #1756 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:50 am

Post by FireScreamer »

In post 1755, Almost50 wrote:
In post 1744, FireScreamer wrote:
In post 1742, Almost50 wrote:I mean, if the RB won't claim to save Gamma they sure as hell won't claim after the fact! Duh!
So if the RB is at L-1 or in a massclaim they will lie?
Let me put it this way: >I< wouldn't claim if it's to save a 1-shot RB.
I don't believe you. I've just explained to you why its a fantastic use of a PR. You are trying to provide cover for your scumbuddy.
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Post Post #1757 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:52 am

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In post 1755, Almost50 wrote: That'd be trading a full RB for a "very possibly" Goon while buying Gamma one more night at best.
Holy shit that sounds like a FANTASTIC deal. I'd trade actual factual full cop for a goon in a heartbeat. Let alone PLUS a confirmation of another player.
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Post Post #1758 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:54 am

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You severely overvalue PRs, severely undervalue limiting scum night options or you are scum.
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Post Post #1759 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:56 am

Post by Almost50 »

Have it your way. The way you're arguing this only makes me 2nd guess you alignment though. Bad play =/= Scum. It's just.. bad play.

And I'm not claiming anything, btw. I'm neither confirming nor denying being one role or another. Tomorrow might be another day though.

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Post Post #1760 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:57 am

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Alright if you are the RB and you let gamma be lynched I'll know that it wasn't my bad play that wrecked the game but yours.
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Post Post #1761 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:58 am

Post by Almost50 »

In post 1757, FireScreamer wrote:
In post 1755, Almost50 wrote: That'd be trading a full RB for a "very possibly" Goon while buying Gamma one more night at best.
Holy shit that sounds like a FANTASTIC deal. I'd trade actual factual full cop for a goon in a heartbeat. Let alone PLUS a confirmation of another player.
That's your prerogative. Mine is different and I learned it the hard way. If I was a Full Cop I would NOT out a GUILTY on D2 if I suspected I could get another confirmed scum by D3. Instead I would out them BOTH on D3.

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Post Post #1762 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 5:59 am

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List for me an average case game for the RB that is better than a day 1 scum lynch and confirming 2 townies.
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Post Post #1763 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:00 am

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Not to mention that if you are town and scum want to go RB hunting they are going for you first now anyway after that level of softing it.
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Post Post #1764 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:04 am

Post by Almost50 »

In post 1762, FireScreamer wrote:List for me an average case game for the RB that is better than a day 1 scum lynch and confirming 2 townies.
One where they live to prevent a scum kill in LyLo and result in a Town win

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Post Post #1765 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:04 am

Post by Titus »

In post 1761, Almost50 wrote:
In post 1757, FireScreamer wrote:
In post 1755, Almost50 wrote: That'd be trading a full RB for a "very possibly" Goon while buying Gamma one more night at best.
Holy shit that sounds like a FANTASTIC deal. I'd trade actual factual full cop for a goon in a heartbeat. Let alone PLUS a confirmation of another player.
That's your prerogative. Mine is different and I learned it the hard way. If I was a Full Cop I would NOT out a GUILTY on D2 if I suspected I could get another confirmed scum by D3. Instead I would out them BOTH on D3.
I highly doubt this is honest after you seeing my play in Wake's game.
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You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin

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VLA Friday nights until Sunday morning.

All hail the Scum Empress!
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Post Post #1766 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:04 am

Post by FireScreamer »

In post 1764, Almost50 wrote:
In post 1762, FireScreamer wrote:List for me an average case game for the RB that is better than a day 1 scum lynch and confirming 2 townies.
One where they live to prevent a scum kill in LyLo and result in a Town win
This is average case for an RB right?
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Post Post #1767 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:06 am

Post by Almost50 »

In post 1764, Almost50 wrote:
In post 1762, FireScreamer wrote:List for me an average case game for the RB that is better than a day 1 scum lynch and confirming 2 townies.
One where they live to prevent a scum kill in LyLo and result in a Town win
Well, I softed nothing. I neither confirmed nor denied anything.

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Post Post #1768 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:07 am

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It's funny though that you believe I softed RB and still want to lynch Gamma!! I'm wondering how your brain works.

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Post Post #1769 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:07 am

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Lets say all your reads are right A50. Titus is scum and there is a mason pairing in the game and thats it.

So the RB claims. Titus is lynched. We now have a day 1 scum lynch and a 70 page day of assosiatves to pick from. The RB is killed in the night. Targeted by Mafia and SK.

Day 2 begins. There are now as many confirmed town as scum and a day of data to analyse with a red flip.

This scenario seems bad to you how?
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Post Post #1770 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:09 am

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In post 1768, Almost50 wrote:It's funny though that you believe I softed RB and still want to lynch Gamma!! I'm wondering how your brain works.
No I think you are trying to provide your scumbuddy gamma with as much cover as possible and that involves softing to scare townies while at the same time being adamant that you are not to avoid you attaching yourself at the hip to him.
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Post Post #1771 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:10 am

Post by FireScreamer »

In post 1759, Almost50 wrote: And I'm not claiming anything, btw. I'm neither confirming nor denying being one role or another.
Tomorrow might be another day though.
This is manipulative softing and i've already explained your motivation for it.
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Post Post #1772 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:11 am

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Clearly enough people believe the way I do on this issue A50. There have been plenty of RB or not RB claims. So why would scum titus build a counterwagon to themselves that could crumble at any point?
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Post Post #1773 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:12 am

Post by Titus »

In post 1771, FireScreamer wrote:
In post 1759, Almost50 wrote: And I'm not claiming anything, btw. I'm neither confirming nor denying being one role or another.
Tomorrow might be another day though.
This is manipulative softing and i've already explained your motivation for it.
Agreed.

Why couldn't you post like this at daystart?

I wonder where Gamma is.
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You're letting Titus win the game by herself.Good luck now I guess.You have no chance to win.~Tywin

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All hail the Scum Empress!
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Post Post #1774 (ISO) » Mon May 01, 2017 6:19 am

Post by FireScreamer »

In post 1773, Titus wrote:
In post 1771, FireScreamer wrote:
In post 1759, Almost50 wrote: And I'm not claiming anything, btw. I'm neither confirming nor denying being one role or another.
Tomorrow might be another day though.
This is manipulative softing and i've already explained your motivation for it.
Agreed.

Why couldn't you post like this at daystart?

I wonder where Gamma is.
You had da lurks at gamestart. People in glass houses.

His participation in this game has plummeted since the claim. L A Y I N G L O W.
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