In post 993, Backhand wrote: In post 991, CCC wrote:My thoughts on the current top wagons:
Not_Mafia is a policy lynch. He's been pretty near silent. Then he put on two votes, claimed a gut scumread on Cheet and gave no explanation of the Gamma vote, and said Nero was town. That's a pretty pathetically minimal contribution to the state of the game, especially since having caught up, I suspect that the reason behind the Gamma vote was self-preservation (which is NAI because all roles benefit from self-preservation).
Gamma actually looks like scum for a variety of reasons, which I have gone over before.
So, I suspect that Not_Mafia is scum's mislynch for today. It's an easy wagon to push, since it's a policy lynch for a genuinely super-quiet player. It's also a wagon that does not reflect badly on scum-on-the-wagon if the slot flips Town. Therefore, I think that the only reason Not_Mafia's wagon has progressed so far, is that there is scum on it; if Not_Mafia is lynched today and flips Town, then I would recommend taking a very close look at everyone on that wagon tomorrow.
Currently, my vote is staying on Gamma/kraska77.
Backhand, Cheetory6, DeathRowKitty, NotTheRealPaul, PenguinPower
The list of people on NM currently--CCC, if you believe Not_Mafia to be scum's mislynch, shouldn't your scumreads be within this five?
N_M would be a good mislynch for Mafia. However, one part of why I think most of the Mafia are on his wagon is that I believe it to be a distraction from the Gamma/Kraska77 wagon (if Gamma/Kraska77 is
not
Mafia, then there may well be scum on both wagons).
My current top theory is that Mafia consists of Kraska77, NotTheRealPaul, and - probably either PenguinPower or DeathRowKitty, but I'm less sure on the third slot. Now, I don't have
great
reads on any of them... but if I had to pick right now, then that's where I'd imagine our scumteam to be.