Real Folk Blues Rematch [GAME OVER]

[Ginngie]

DO YOU FACT CHECK

[Titus]

That should be S and R being pretty probably town in 1.06. Socrates and A50 voting them early on D1 with a scum counter in place. I don't see them rando bussing someone else.

[Titus]

DO YOU FACT CHECK

Dude, calm down, I just went straight to post in case there was a hammer.

[Ginngie]

I actually am calm

[DrCirno]

Is this how larges are these days

[Gorkington]

depends on playerlist.

aka: yes.
aka: im sorry.

[Titus]

Is this how larges are these days

They used to be peaceful. Tbh, they've made me consider retiring.

[DrCirno]

I just had a very short moment of thought that maybe ppl were arguing that it's a multiball because they know it's a multiball
I think I'm just exhausted.

[Titus]

I just had a very short moment of thought that maybe ppl were arguing that it's a multiball because they know it's a multiball
I think I'm just exhausted.

It's a paranoia thought that is valid to entertain but not overly pursue. We have to be careful to not get lylo lynched, but we'll take a look in a bit. The odds of us not seeing blue scum tonight in some kind of form is near abysmal.

[Titus]

Ok gs pool

random, mv, mhsmith0 (if I check the latter two, I'm looking for town)

DrC (thoughts?)

[DrCirno]

Go for it

[mhsmith0]

Basically gonna look at this presuming 1-3 more redscum (even if I think the five redscum flips exactly equalling last game's makes a large redscum team pretty damn unlikely); bluescum without flips are going to be ridiculously hard to find
1.06: Redscum are pushing various CW's to tywin, but nothing hard
1.09: Vedith unlikely redscum I think. Less sure of Gin/S&R. Ari slot lieterally doing nothing on Cerb wagon stirkes me as not especially likely redscum. Hard to really read the start of the wagon given that the first three are unflipped; if Wheme blue, then very unlikely that Math/MV are both with him. Givne no real blue pressure, it's not a terrible idea to move as a team a bit, but three at a time would really surprise me.
1.11: Math/Gin move onto Gamma isn't a great look there given sly CW if there's more redscum, but dubious they're redscum together
1.15: Given how easy it was to wagon sly, decent not red look for Math/random; "bussing" the OTHER scum (who wasn't going to flip), is a bit unlikely for buddies there, especially given seeming teamwide pile on sly
2.01: PV early day 2 wagon, redscum not really bothered
2.04: not really a CW to red, so i'd think that reds are a bit less likely to be on MR along with Tywin; no real thoughts on blue possibilities
2.08: weird pile onto jjh. weird bus of A50 by socrates. Slightly suggestive that PV might be an important red PR? if PV not red, probably meaningless tho
2.09: do two different redscum pile onto someone they don't realize is a traitor in response to the A50 vote? decent for vedith i think, though if PV redscum then nevermind
2.10: lack of red pile onto ram somewhat suggestive that they don't realize socrates is the traitor
2.12: random back on tywin, suggestive not redscum

more soon

[DrCirno]

20:6:6 is ridiculously unbalanced btw

[Titus]

@mhsmith0

VCA suggests that Ari, Wheme, or Gin is pool for last red scum.

[DrCirno]

I dunno about 25:6:1
I guess it's sorta close to 25%ish scum ratio

[DrCirno]

redscum had a goon which means the scumteam is bigger than minimal though.

[Titus]

DrC can you say your vig pool again? I lost it but I think we overlap.

[DrCirno]

{Wheme, Ginngie, Insomnia}

aka a miller and two randomly picked VT that is not MV.
Oh also +PV5

[Titus]

{Wheme, Ginngie, Insomnia}

aka a miller and two randomly picked VT that is not MV.
Oh also +PV5

Oh good. Then my pool is not overlapping.

[Titus]

lie detect math
Titus checks me with Gunsmith
Dave heals Titus
shoot gork (mercy kill)
Vax moves someone smart
Any night actions left do ya thing

Suggesting shooting Gork is fucking scummy btw.

I'm headed out now.

[Cerberus v666]

It overlaps woth my lie detect. Please remove insomniacs and replace rhem with someone else.

Or else suggest a new pool for me, noting I have limited targeting abilities.

[DrCirno]

lie detect math
Titus checks me with Gunsmith
Dave heals Titus
shoot gork (mercy kill)
Vax moves someone smart
Any night actions left do ya thing

Suggesting shooting Gork is fucking scummy btw.

I'm headed out now.

It's actually very ethical and I too considered it at one point.

[mhsmith0]

...
2.13: if there's bluescum, they weren't being wagoned, probably breaking up votes to some extent
2.21: Gin on PV, PV on Titus, Ari not voting, all not great looks. random popping back onto Tywin is interesting, worth looking how seriously he was pushing the idea
3.6: Gin no longer on PV, but was on redscum. See how she treated PV afterwards, if the transition away from pushing him was righteous or not
3.10: if blue scum, could be any distribution. more red scum could easily have piled on, especially wiht A50 skipping out on the wagon (if A50 was last non-traitor red, that would also make sense for him to not bus there when bussing HAD happened earlier)
4.2: ok look for MV wrt being red; at some point you need to stop bussing if your faction is getting its ass kicked
4.4: not sure what to make of A50 self-vote there. Does he do it if his faction was about to lose? But if there's just one left otherwise, why stop fighting? Maybe there's 3 and he's being mainly bussed? idk, worth digging into a bit more
4.6: no real credit for anyone late on the wagon
5.2: rise and fall of wheme wagon poor look for me if he's blue, except for the issue of hte seeming guilty on rb
5.3: pile on by vedith probably ok especially if there's no blue faction; once wagon got going, less "natural hop on" type credit for late joiners
5.6: MV wagon all town there
5.7: pile onto jjh; if wheme blue, MV gets some buddy points (a bit less so for gin, but nonzero)
5.8: ditto S&R
5.10: really weird that the late pileon was mainly town. probably worth looking into random's hammer, though it's likelier to come from blue ending day than desperate red that would prefer LESS attention
day 6: less useful w/o flips

[DrCirno]

It overlaps woth my lie detect. Please remove insomniacs and replace rhem with someone else.

Or else suggest a new pool for me, noting I have limited targeting abilities.

dw I'm shooting the miller
ppl just wanted 3 names.

[mhsmith0]

20:6:6 is ridiculously unbalanced btw

depends on PRs. But yeah, that much scum would probably mean that town has substantial power that we haven't seen yet, or there's a massive amount of credit given to the gusmith/masonizer role or the like.