In post 1324, BTD6_maker wrote: In post 1321, Realeo wrote:Just because someone say it's a bad idea, it doesn't mean it's a bad idea.
That person was you.
You yourself admitted that the hurt plan will only end up lynching someone many people scumread mildly but no one actually scumreads strongly, essentially a compromise. Indeed, you used it as a reaction test. This has no chance of working again and is overall anti-Town.
If compromise lynches were bad on Day 1, now in Day 3 with scum outnumbering Town they are even worse.
NKA may have useful information.
Are there scum on the kill list? This can be broken down into two questions:
1: Did Mafia put themselves on the kill list?
If so, when? If Hellfire is Mafia, they were on the kill list in both Day 1 and 2. It would seem that Mafia are more likely to put themselves on the list later on in the game as Mafia do not want to lose a member early on. Later on, they may be able to bank on the wolves not killing if they will lose for shooting Town. In Open 679, in which I was Mafia, I was on the Day 2 kill list and also the Day 3 kill list (I survived both times). Tere Mafia was trying to make me look unlikely to be Mafia while banking on the fact that I am unlikely to be killed. Of course, they could put Mafia on
Hellfire certainly seems an easier lynch in this game, which would seem to suggest that if Mafia put them on the list, they thought Hellfire was unlikely to die by Wolves (who presumably want to kill players they cannot easily lynch).
2: Are Wolves on the list?
This would obviously make them kill someone other than themselves. From a purely probabilistic perspective, Hellfire is more likely to be a wolf than Kmd, from lists alone. If the original list contained one wolf, and Mafia tried to change the list as little as possible, the wolf would likely be the only person alive from the original list in Day 3.
NKA suggests Hellfire as scum either way. It's not conclusive, but it certainly suggests Hellfire being scum.
