Newbie 1815: Prisons [Endgame]

[NotTheRealPaul]

Im here. Why do we believe Jae over DP?

[skitter30]

Paul's in PDT like us; he's said things like 'I have to go to sleep now, it's 1am by me' when it's 1am for me.

I'm trying to do that. If there's a no-lynch, I'm getting killed here 100% of the time. One of DP or Jae *must* be lynched tomorrow, since scum is guaranteed to be in that pair. I think DP is more likely scum here, and would push for that. I still think Paul is scum. He's viable with DP.

DP partners: Paul, then tatters/osuka, then Aphix, with Aphix being exceedingly less likely.

I think DP not considering Paul as scum is indicative of possible partners.

@everyone, I trust BV, and he's probably my biggest townread atm. (lol after misreading you last game. Your game's too similar to that one). Trust him.

[skitter30]

@Paul: I've suspected Jae's null-ness was because they were trying to lie low because they were a PR. That's why I didn't push them on it so much at the beginning of the day. That's pretty much what I was thinking about them as soon as I read through the game and caught up. They stayed null for most of the day and I got sketchy on them, but it matches what I was thinking at the start of the day.

I never got PR vibes from DP.

[NotTheRealPaul]

I dont really have a reason for not voting other than I thought osuka might be the lynch too.

I forgot to read osuka cuz I got distracted tlaking to ppl after school (sawry)

im in PST btw

pedit: why i dps partner? he was in my lynchpool dis morning. Nvm not important atm. I can defend whatever tonmorrow

Why do we believe jae over dp? I mean its suicidal for scum to fakeclaim in this situation/with this setup. But like is dp supposed to be scum tryna get a lastminute freakout/mislynch thru?

pedit2: I have memory loss aparently. I forgot I asked.

VOTE: Doctorpepper

[osuka]

that was the hammer right

[NotTheRealPaul]

jae u better be telling truth.

ya it was hammer

right at spot partner would be to try to get some towncred out of it *smirk*

[osuka]

i mean if dp flips town jae is a quicklynch tomorrow, no questions asked

[skitter30]

Other assorted thoughts, kinda rambly/stream of consciousness-y.

Osuka I'm still townleaning on because of the way he reacted to MWAP; I just don't see scum knowing she would flip town react that way. I don't remember if I ever said it, but DP's reaction to MWAP kinda bothered me the same way Paul's did. DP may have been trying to pocket tatters; look at the DP/tatters interactions. Aphix is still likely town. He's never scum with Paul; I don't think scum Paul starts the day pushing scum!Aphix and keeps on circling back to that.

tatters I don't have a strong read on, and is the only place I realistically expected a PR cc from; Jae/tatters were the two people I was thinking could be PRs. There's a line in my catchup alluding to the fact that I might have more to say about tatters later; I got PR vibes from that post. DP doesn't really make much sense as a PR to me.

If we no-lynch here, I think tomorrow is 6-player MYLO? I haven't thought through the numbers yet, but I think if we mislynch there, we lose.

That's it for now, but I'll post things as I think them before deadline.

[skitter30]

Things happened lol.

Kinda weird that Paul was willing to hammer DP here. Could have very easily gotten away with a nolynch.

[skitter30]

@BV: I don't know if I have time to think through implications of 783 before the thread locks, but look at that.

[NotTheRealPaul]

^^^^^ if theyre both town then we lost lol

but then we just blame them for shit play

also skitters isnt dying tonight i think. bcuz jae

we cant mislynch tmmorrow unless dp and/or jae are really shitty players

why tf would i nolynch? its a guaranteed scum lynch today or tommorrow. if no lynch we lose a conftown and are in same situation

[NotTheRealPaul]

oops the areows were for 781

[osuka]

how are they both town paul

in what universe does a town cc a tracker claim, or fakeclaim tracker just to get cc'd and then lynched the day after the other guy flips green? that's absurd

[osuka]

also he meant you could've just pretended to not show up for another half hour, and it would've been a nl (and the blame wouldn't be completely on you)

[osuka]

she******

[skitter30]

They aren't both town. They can't both be telling the truth. I know I'm BP. One or the other exists. They both cannot.

Town!DP Jae stays alive. Scum!DP Jae is dead. No-lynch, I'm dead.

MYLO tomorrow was only if we had a nolynch today. Never mind, numbers are hard. No-lynch takes us to seven players tomorrow. You no-lynching applied to a scenario that doens't exist because I can't count. I think. I still want BV to look at your hammer.

@BV: Try to think if scum!Paul makes sense if we have a scumflip given the fact that he hammered here. (I'm thinking of like 80 different things and I'm trying to get them down before the thread locks, sorry if I'm not as coherent as usual).

Town!DP, powerlynch Jae tomorrow.

[skitter30]

@BV: Try to think if scum!Paul makes sense if we have a scumflip given the fact that he hammered here.

Given the fact that he hammered here when he could have very easily allowed a no-lynch to happen and force the DP/Jae thing another day.

[osuka]

also jk and tracker are mutually exclusive

[osuka]

even though he never explicitly claimed jk, that's the only role that fits bp but not tracker

[Alisae]

VOTE COUNT 2 . 31 DoctorPepper --- 5 ( JaeReed, Skitter30, BlackVoid, osuka, NotTheRealPaul ) Lynch aphix ---------- 1 ( Madtatters ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( aphix ) L- 3 JaeReed -------- 1 ( DoctorPepper ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 0 ( No One ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 31 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, BlackVoid ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

[Alisae]

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[Alisae]

Present later
I'm kinda still waking up tbh

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(expired on 2017-09-04 07:15:52)

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Spoiler: Day 2 VCs. SPOILERS ARE BELOW. OPEN AT YOUR OWN RISK

VOTE COUNT 2 . 14 Not Voting - 8 ( Everyone ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 14 Not FoS'ing - 8 ( Everyone ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 15 aphix ---------- 1 ( NotTheRealPaul ) L- 4 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 6 ( Ciara24, osuka, JaeReed, DoctorPepper , aphix, madtatters ) [/list] With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 15 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 16 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, aphix ) L- 3 aphix ---------- 1 ( NotTheRealPaul ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 5 ( Ciara24, osuka, JaeReed, DoctorPepper , madtatters ) [/list] With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 16 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 17 aphix ---------- 4 ( NotTheRealPaul, DoctorPepper , Ciara24, madtatters ) L- 1 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, aphix ) L- 3 Not Voting ----- 2 ( osuka, JaeReed ) [/list] With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 17 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 18 aphix ---------- 4 ( DoctorPepper , Ciara24, madtatters, osuka ) L- 1 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, aphix ) L- 3 Not Voting ----- 2 ( NotTheRealPaul, JaeReed ) [/list] With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 18 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 19 aphix ---------- 3 ( DoctorPepper , Ciara24, osuka ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, aphix ) L- 3 Not Voting ----- 3 ( NotTheRealPaul, JaeReed, madtatters ) [/list] With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 19 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 20 aphix ---------- 3 ( DoctorPepper , Ciara24, osuka ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( aphix ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 4 ( Skitter30, NotTheRealPaul, JaeReed, madtatters ) [/list] With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 20 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 21 aphix ---------- 3 ( DoctorPepper , Ciara24, osuka ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( aphix, Skitter30 ) L- 3 Not Voting ----- 3 ( NotTheRealPaul, JaeReed, madtatters ) [/list] With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 21 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 22 aphix ---------- 3 ( DoctorPepper , Ciara24, osuka ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( aphix, Skitter30 ) L- 3 Not Voting ----- 3 ( NotTheRealPaul, JaeReed, madtatters ) [/list] With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 22 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 23 JaeReed -------- 3 ( aphix, osuka, NotTheRealPaul ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, JaeReed ) L- 3 aphix ---------- 2 ( DoctorPepper , Ciara24 ) L- 2 Not Voting ----- 1 ( Madtatters ) [/list] With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 23 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 24 NotTheRealPaul - 3 ( Skitter30, JaeReed, aphix ) L- 2 JaeReed -------- 2 ( osuka, NotTheRealPaul ) L- 3 aphix ---------- 2 ( DoctorPepper , Ciara24 ) L- 3 Not Voting ----- 1 ( Madtatters ) [/list] With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 24 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 9 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-29 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 25 aphix ---------- 3 ( DoctorPepper , Ciara24, NotTheRealPaul ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, aphix ) L- 3 JaeReed -------- 1 ( osuka ) L- 4 Madtatters ----- 1 ( JaeReed ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 1 ( Madtatters ) [/list] With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 25 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, Ciara24 ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 26 aphix ---------- 3 ( DoctorPepper , BlackVoid, NotTheRealPaul ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, aphix ) L- 3 JaeReed -------- 1 ( osuka ) L- 4 Madtatters ----- 1 ( JaeReed ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 1 ( Madtatters ) [/list] With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 26 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, BlackVoid ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 27 aphix ---------- 3 ( DoctorPepper , NotTheRealPaul, Madtatters ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, aphix ) L- 3 JaeReed -------- 1 ( osuka ) L- 4 Madtatters ----- 1 ( JaeReed ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 1 ( BlackVoid ) [/list] With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 27 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, BlackVoid ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 28 aphix ---------- 3 ( DoctorPepper , NotTheRealPaul, Madtatters ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, aphix ) L- 3 JaeReed -------- 1 ( osuka ) L- 4 Madtatters ----- 1 ( JaeReed ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 1 ( BlackVoid ) [/list] With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 28 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, BlackVoid ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 29 aphix ---------- 3 ( DoctorPepper , NotTheRealPaul, Madtatters ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, aphix ) L- 3 JaeReed -------- 1 ( osuka ) L- 4 Madtatters ----- 1 ( JaeReed ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 1 ( BlackVoid ) [/list] With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 29 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, BlackVoid ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 30 aphix ---------- 3 ( DoctorPepper , NotTheRealPaul, Madtatters ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 2 ( Skitter30, aphix ) L- 3 JaeReed -------- 1 ( osuka ) L- 4 Madtatters ----- 1 ( JaeReed ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 1 ( BlackVoid ) [/list] With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 30 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, BlackVoid ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

VOTE COUNT 2 . 31 DoctorPepper [/b] --- 5 ( JaeReed, Skitter30, BlackVoid, osuka, NotTheRealPaul ) Lynch aphix ---------- 1 ( Madtatters ) L- 2 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( aphix ) L- 3 JaeReed -------- 1 ( DoctorPepper ) L- 4 Not Voting ----- 0 ( No One ) [/list] With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

FOS COUNT 2 . 31 NotTheRealPaul - 1 ( Skitter30 ) Not FoS'ing ---- 7 ( JaeReed, Madtatters, osuka, aphix, BlackVoid ) With 8 alive, it takes 5 to Lynch Deadline is in (expired on 2017-08-31 19:41:35)

[Alisae]

Okay almost having panicking after thinking I accidentally deleted all of my work but didn't, the Day 2 VCs are up! The Day 1 VCs have also been updated (click me to go to them)!