I just realized I've been calling myself a wizard again, and that means I'm probably getting shot, so setup spec time.
There is at most one more roleblocker/jk. Anti isn't stupid enough to force himself to resolve roleblocker loops.
Guaranteed doctor. This means that scum probably have some sort of extra kill, i.e. bomb, vengeful, suicide bomber. Also, confirmable role.
In post 722, X Luxord wrote:I'm a neighborzier each day I pick someone to invite to a game that we play in the neighborhood the winner will be loved the next day while the loser is hated.
Confirmable role. In addition to Rox's doublevote and the IC, this is 4/13. I would be astonished if anyone else's role was confirmable (not alignment, role). Additionally, tomorrow, whoever gets invited shouldn't claim until the day after. The big deal about confirmable roles is that their impact on balance is known. This means vig is unlikely, as they would not only be confirmable, but functionally conftown.
1/2 an investigative, more on that later. Possibly double protective, if so scum have at least a roleblocker to counter. At least one protective role (or Xemnas BP) to ensure the role isn't just a targeted nightkill. Probably something else to the role (me and anti have had conversations about how boring being an IC can be). Would be unsurprised by existence of doc/bodyguard or JK/limiteddoc (possibly odd/even night doc). Probably no weak protective.
In post 585, III Xaldin wrote:I am an aero tracker
Night 1 I can track 4 people Night 2 I can track 3 Night 3 I can track 2 and night 4 and on I can track 1
There are at most 3 town investigative roles, and even three requires something comparatively weak, like a one shot cop. More likely, there are two and both have a drawback, such as tracker giving ambiguous guilties.
In post 30, XIII Roxas wrote:I have good reason to ask for this, as it would be an incredible boon to our odds of winning if I become confirmed town.
I can fullclaim if players deem the details necessary.
Implied night action in addition to doublevote. My guess would be something along the lines of target someone each night and get a power based on who you target, which would mean the lack of doublevote today is directly tied to the lack of action last night. If so, you need to target Axel tonight and ignore this post. If not you need to ignore this post. Possibly investigative in nature, in which case you do you, and ignore this post.
Either way, this probably gets shot tonight if town and I'm completely fine with that. Protectives should be on Xemnas until tomorrow at the very least.
Xaldin MIGHT be scum, but I'm not interested in talking about that today for two reasons. 1. I fully believe his claim. If we get a guilty from him, he becomes conftown. If we get 0 guilties from him then we have a good chance of multiple innocents given flips later. There's also the chance he targets someone who fakeclaims an action like Luxord's that doesn't have a night visit as part of their action, catching scum. 2. If he's scum, he can't afford to fake the results. This being a role-madness game, he can't afford to make up results given that the odds are good one of us can call him on it. If he does make up results, he has to do so with his scumpartners, and that's dangerous for him as well in the event that literally anyone else has tracking actions, because that would mean catching two scum with one PR result. Further, he will have to tailor his targets to the townminded tracker targets as opposed to people scum would like to track.
Thus, even if he is scum, letting him live for a day and seeing what he says is not only not a bad idea, but useful for town.
BTW, this means that 6/13 have claimed or flipped, at least partially (as in Rox's case). Tomorrow, we need to massclaim.