A Mid-Scummer Night's Dream - D.S. al Fine

[morph the cat]

VC 5-5 Major

drealmerz7

(2): Lady Lambdadelta, hebichan

No Lynch

(2): serrapaladin, Cephrir

Not Voting

(4): Sakura Hana, TheWayItEnds, Regfan, drealmerz7

With 8 alive, it takes 6 to lynch.

Dream Timer (recalculated):

Day 5 Dream Choice

1. "Was That All Just a Dream?"
2. "Its so nice here in my little box where I'm safe"
3. "I Can't Make Up My Mind"

Vote for the dream of your choice by PMing the mod.

At the end of day 5, information about the dream that receives the most votes will be revealed.

You will be able to finalize your dream choice during the Moonrise phase.

[Cephrir]

Most of the dreams are one shot abilities. Those can't be bad. If it's not, vote it down.

[Cephrir]

Also, there's no one I'm townreading so strongly that having a suspect removed would be bad.

[hebichan]

Also, there's no one I'm townreading so strongly that having a suspect removed would be bad.

Really? Sakura and Serra both seem pretty obvious.

[Cephrir]

sakura can't die.

serra isn't the lock for me he apparently is for everyone else.

[hebichan]

What if the dream gives scum a strongman tonight?

[Cephrir]

There's no reason to believe that's possible

[serrapaladin]

The world where my results are TRUE and the world where my results are FALSE POSITIVES due to dream sensitivity interactions. In this post, I will discuss both worlds.

In the world where my results are true, the end result is very simple. Hebi and Regfan are conf. town. Sakura is basically town by ability. Leaving 4 options, Ceph/Serra/TWIE/Drealmerz.

Of those 4, Serra is the most town, based on

Cephrir's ability being more useful to scum than town

, Drealmerz being a scummy fuck and TWIE being a lurk fuck.

So Drealmerz/Cephrir/TWIE, probably.

Please explain why you think this is the case?

It rather looks to me that LLD saw she was running out of suspects so made up an interpretation of his ability in order to sell a scumread on him.

[hebichan]

There's no reason to believe that's possible

There's no reason to believe the dream will help us, or there isnt another scum "nightmare" to make is useless.

[TheWayItEnds]

D1 was regfan...
D2 was NMS...
D3 was Brian...
D4 was mhsmith...

I literally...
cant believe it myself...
every single time...
the person i target has died...
except for regfan...
i know the dream was global...
but i had already a target set anyway...
and didnt feel like switching it...

...

[TheWayItEnds]

hebi what do you think the chances of a wagon actually going through on dreal today?

[serrapaladin]

Nah we're not lynching anyone but lld today. In a town - lld world no lynch is definitely the move

[TheWayItEnds]

^ like this is the only hard no you can have and still have the wagon go through.

[hebichan]

hebi what do you think the chances of a wagon actually going through on dreal today?

Not high, but I want to try. I'm not just going to give up like everyone else.

[morph the cat]

VC 5-6 Major

drealmerz7

(2): Lady Lambdadelta, hebichan

No Lynch

(2): serrapaladin, Cephrir

Not Voting

(4): Sakura Hana, TheWayItEnds, Regfan, drealmerz7

With 8 alive, it takes 6 to lynch.

Dream Timer (recalculated):

Day 5 Dream Choice

1. "Was That All Just a Dream?"
2. "Its so nice here in my little box where I'm safe"
3. "I Can't Make Up My Mind"

Vote for the dream of your choice by PMing the mod.

At the end of day 5, information about the dream that receives the most votes will be revealed.

You will be able to finalize your dream choice during the Moonrise phase.

[Lady Lambdadelta]

V/LA This weekend, from Thursday to Monday will be at a wedding

[serrapaladin]

^ like this is the only hard no you can have and still have the wagon go through.

?

[TheWayItEnds]

With 8 alive, it takes 6 to lynch.

8 - Dreal = 7

7 - Serra = 6

6 - anyone else = 5

Let me know if you have any more basic math questions.

[TheWayItEnds]

hebi what do you think the chances of a wagon actually going through on dreal today?

Not high, but I want to try. I'm not just going to give up like everyone else.

i guess i dont see waiting and hoping we get a good dream as giving up.

[Regfan]

Most of the dreams are one shot abilities. Those can't be bad. If it's not, vote it down.

Also, there's no one I'm townreading so strongly that having a suspect removed would be bad.

It's not as simple as "see something bad vote it down", hasn't worked that way the entire game really. Think about the dream we received today, if we get anything remotely similar tomorrow we potentially lose from it. There's potential upside from no lynching here (Good dream, reducing numbers) but it's silly to state there's no downside involved and I think the risks involved make it not really worth it since at the end of the day if I'm losing I want it to be because I've misread someone, not because I've NL'ed and welp the game ended at night. Your stance is slightly more understandable with the "No one I'm confident is town" but I'm already at the stage where if a certain few people are scum I've already lost us the game and think there should be far more talk about peoples reads if we're lynching today then what's been put forth. Am growing increasingly frustrated by the fact that people (not yourself particularly but the room in general) have ignored them entirely.

Nah we're not lynching anyone but lld today. In a town - lld world no lynch is definitely the move

Run me through this a little more since the only argument I can see here is "If she's town she targets someone else if we NL and we get more information" but that's kind of meh in that if we're NL'ing she shouldn't be hiding at all since if she's town and we NL and she hides behind someone if it's mafia we outright lose, if it's town mafia shoot that person and two people die and we lose. So like, isn't the opposite the case? If we're playing in the LLD!Town world lynching elsewhere here is the move since it means she can hide tonight if we hit.

[morph the cat]

VC 5-7 Major

drealmerz7

(2): Lady Lambdadelta, hebichan

No Lynch

(2): serrapaladin, Cephrir

Not Voting

(4): Sakura Hana, TheWayItEnds, Regfan, drealmerz7

With 8 alive, it takes 6 to lynch.

Dream Timer (recalculated):

Day 5 Dream Choice

1. "Was That All Just a Dream?"
2. "Its so nice here in my little box where I'm safe"
3. "I Can't Make Up My Mind"

Vote for the dream of your choice by PMing the mod.

At the end of day 5, information about the dream that receives the most votes will be revealed.

You will be able to finalize your dream choice during the Moonrise phase.

[drealmerz7]

hey, thanks for the reminder, I am going to eat some propolis

[Cephrir]

Think about the dream we received today, if we get anything remotely similar tomorrow we potentially lose from it.

Hence, if it's something stupid like "affects the next day," vote against it.

[Sakura Hana]

I'm just gonna prod dodge for now....
Sorry still not in a good mood...

[hebichan]

If we NL, LLd cant hude, she cant hide regardless, if shes town and hides, good chance of loss right there.