Mini 2206 - Deja Vu Reincarnations

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Post Post #41 (isolation #0) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 5:25 am

Post by petapan »

Image
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Post Post #42 (isolation #1) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 5:27 am

Post by petapan »

nacho being obvtown was my legitimate, pre-role PM read, and i don't know how well i could have explained it, but i definitely tanked my defense for strategic reasons
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Post Post #43 (isolation #2) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 5:46 am

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there was actually legitimate contention in the scum PT about whether i should be the sacrifice, which i thought was craziness
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Post Post #44 (isolation #3) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 7:06 am

Post by petapan »

Spoiler:
i definitely did not anticipate how much bloodlust there would be for n_m today, but i think ultimately the outcome for the day was likely 1-1 regardless, and NM being essentially a unanimous vote target means there is much less to read off than if i were to be in there and people had to react to me. i think the optics this way round are better
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Post Post #47 (isolation #4) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 7:40 am

Post by petapan »

In post 45, Tammy wrote:
Spoiler:
I was kinda thinking that you guys might save house vft last night and get rid of not mafia today. But I had vft and not mafia as my first two scum reads on page one due to how vft reacted to nachos original obvious joke then proposal and discussion. And their continued focus on it and nacho was super suspect. So I thought that you guys might save vft to avoid that obvious partnership when not mafia got taken down.
Spoiler:
vft is by faaaaaaar the deepest of anyone in spite of that and people seem not keen to re-evaluate, my play was in part designed to make them look better. i think in particular with nm, there was such a baffling level of resistance from multiple players that no one in particular is going to take the blame for it

also my hammer was obviously a scumclaim and half the town would have known it
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Post Post #49 (isolation #5) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 8:39 am

Post by petapan »

In post 48, Tammy wrote:
Spoiler:
So, uh does not_mafia only make actual posts when he's scum?
Spoiler:
seems to depend on how into the game he is, he did it as town in a normal and absolutely tilted flavor leaf out of the game, it was fucking hilarious
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Post Post #50 (isolation #6) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 8:45 am

Post by petapan »

Spoiler:
considering how on point most of the town was day 1 aside from their weird fixation on nacho i wonder if the d1 elim is going to be seen as the critical juncture that derailed everything
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Post Post #51 (isolation #7) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 8:56 am

Post by petapan »

the logic people were using to justify voting out nacho was so, so bad and i probably would have legitimately scumread some people for it - a particular player being hard to elim late game is utterly irrelevant, your goal should be to vote the player with the highest likelihood of flipping scum and that definitely wasn't him! the momentum swings in this setup are huge, don't think i comprehended that aspect of the setup until i got into the game
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Post Post #53 (isolation #8) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 4:14 pm

Post by petapan »

In post 1941, Kismet wrote:i mean peta came in angling to defend nacho, something that i think we can both agree is oblique to his wincon given they've both flipped.

When looked at in that light, he may have just wanted to pocket nacho thinking nacho would wiggle out of the elim inevitably, or really just decided nacho was town before receiving his scum pm and decided just to roll with it and see where it look him.
bork, bork, bork...it's reverse psychology. me resisting the wagon just galvanized people into wanting it even more
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Post Post #54 (isolation #9) » Mon Apr 26, 2021 4:33 pm

Post by petapan »

the latter explanation is basically the truth but i realized within minutes how little credibility i had and everything i did after that was based on the sense that what i said would be viewed with suspicion
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Post Post #56 (isolation #10) » Tue Apr 27, 2021 5:53 pm

Post by petapan »

Spoiler:
scum are trying to bus and town just seem content to hand them brooms
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Post Post #57 (isolation #11) » Wed Apr 28, 2021 7:01 am

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bulges logic for his self-defense here is not good
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Post Post #59 (isolation #12) » Wed Apr 28, 2021 9:08 am

Post by petapan »

tbf he was in a bit of disarray for the latter part of the day and didnt get to leave a clear legacy

but yes people would be better off paying attention to what he said. instead everyone seems to be kind of in their own world
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Post Post #61 (isolation #13) » Thu Apr 29, 2021 6:55 am

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i KNEW it was prism
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Post Post #63 (isolation #14) » Mon May 03, 2021 4:22 pm

Post by petapan »

In post 2610, Kismet wrote:*nods*

i'm just not seeing VFT or Infinity (or you) as scum and nothing is changing my view on that

we're eliming comfortably in PoE with what i feel is a good wagon comp

if this is wrong again i will have an absolute breakdown on D3, but i mean, that's what i signed up for playing this setup
you hate to see it
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Post Post #64 (isolation #15) » Mon May 03, 2021 4:38 pm

Post by petapan »

thank u ydrasse for realizing when you need to do the dirty work to get town yeeted
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Post Post #65 (isolation #16) » Mon May 03, 2021 4:38 pm

Post by petapan »

also god lol the magnitude of bullshit hydras are allowed to pull
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Post Post #66 (isolation #17) » Mon May 03, 2021 4:46 pm

Post by petapan »

prism is hell on wheels this game though, he's gonna make it very hard seeing as he called out everyone but momrangal this phase


lmfao if she inexplicably ends up being the carry
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Post Post #67 (isolation #18) » Mon May 03, 2021 5:01 pm

Post by petapan »

it is pretty funny but fortunately(?) for notscience it's pretty boring in here
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Post Post #68 (isolation #19) » Mon May 03, 2021 5:18 pm

Post by petapan »

gonna be an interesting discussion in the scum pt
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Post Post #72 (isolation #20) » Tue May 04, 2021 12:22 pm

Post by petapan »

i'm going to be honest normally when someone gets eliminated it's the fault of the voters (like me misreading in smoke-filled) but i felt like this one was kind of on bulge

admittedly i did try to set him up a bit but i'm not sure that influenced anyone at all
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Post Post #73 (isolation #21) » Tue May 04, 2021 2:06 pm

Post by petapan »

think the team may be making a tactical error here
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Post Post #76 (isolation #22) » Tue May 04, 2021 4:47 pm

Post by petapan »

i think your effort on day 2 was ~fine, really, (at least in the sense that you looked more town to me with perfect knowledge) it was just that momentum was against you for not being around day 1 and people had seemingly already made up their minds about you and at that point people didn't care what you were saying. first impressions in a mafia game can often go a long way

town players in this game have been very resistant to re-evaluation!
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Post Post #78 (isolation #23) » Tue May 04, 2021 6:56 pm

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idk, like, the way he went about the nacho vote wasn't great and i probably would have seen that as scummy

but then i really would have lost my mind about that wagon as town
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Post Post #79 (isolation #24) » Wed May 05, 2021 1:56 pm

Post by petapan »

crisis averted, team is making the right call imo
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Post Post #82 (isolation #25) » Wed May 05, 2021 4:00 pm

Post by petapan »

In post 81, Cabd wrote:I'm gonna bet on 1 or 2.

Town had all the right cards and paranoia-spiraled themselves out of the money.
easily could have been a town sweep if not for ppl's inexplicable fixation on nacho
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Post Post #85 (isolation #26) » Thu May 06, 2021 5:31 am

Post by petapan »

oh god this is so funny
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Post Post #87 (isolation #27) » Thu May 06, 2021 6:15 am

Post by petapan »

In post 2713, Iverson wrote:Anyway I still feel like the Cakez interactions with both of the flipped scum are horrific so that's my vote for the day
bahahahahahaha

i wasn't even TRYING for that one
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Post Post #88 (isolation #28) » Thu May 06, 2021 6:16 am

Post by petapan »

oh he's basing it on misty how disappointing
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Post Post #90 (isolation #29) » Thu May 06, 2021 6:38 am

Post by petapan »

the problem is they ARE reevaluating but it's paranoia spiraling in all the wrong directions! (i am laughing my ass off)

if they consolidate on a correct read like DC there's potential for a turnabout but there's no margin for error anymore
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Post Post #91 (isolation #30) » Thu May 06, 2021 7:07 am

Post by petapan »

every post is so funny
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Post Post #94 (isolation #31) » Thu May 06, 2021 7:20 am

Post by petapan »

In post 93, Not_Mafia wrote:Sup
it is actively hilarious how hard u are to kill

like a cockroach
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Post Post #95 (isolation #32) » Thu May 06, 2021 7:20 am

Post by petapan »

Spoiler:
0 posts so far this day phase by scum
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Post Post #97 (isolation #33) » Thu May 06, 2021 7:32 am

Post by petapan »

mmm

i still think it was the right call to flip me first because you could actively limit interactions in a way i really couldn't
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Post Post #99 (isolation #34) » Thu May 06, 2021 7:48 am

Post by petapan »

In post 98, Not_Mafia wrote:
Spoiler:
I look forward to Cakez' slow descent into madness as he gets pushed as being my partner
Spoiler:
oh my god it's hysterical

we pushed him and it just made people think we were bussing
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Post Post #103 (isolation #35) » Sat May 08, 2021 9:12 am

Post by petapan »

a comment from someone in the scum PT was that your page 10 readlist was "terrifying"

wish i could have been ur knight in shining armor for real but it was not to be
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Post Post #105 (isolation #36) » Sat May 08, 2021 9:17 am

Post by petapan »

nah jk what am i talking about that hammer was sweet sweet payback
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Post Post #107 (isolation #37) » Sat May 08, 2021 9:27 am

Post by petapan »

In post 104, unwnd wrote:Happy scumday peta
thank u going to reminisce by looking back at me dunking on reapercharlie
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Post Post #108 (isolation #38) » Sat May 08, 2021 10:03 am

Post by petapan »

and this is what i was afraid of: prism actually reading the game
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Post Post #116 (isolation #39) » Sun May 09, 2021 2:11 pm

Post by petapan »

my expectation for this game:
Image

the reality:
Image
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Post Post #117 (isolation #40) » Sun May 09, 2021 2:15 pm

Post by petapan »

In post 114, fferyllt wrote:they came up with a signal for when they'd be around for a set period of time. it hasn't been dropped yet.
in hindsight it's probably good to arrange a time when you can be on although not everyone has a consistent schedule
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Post Post #118 (isolation #41) » Mon May 10, 2021 11:42 am

Post by petapan »

Spoiler:
In post 3079, Kismet wrote:if peta iso convinces me of anything it's just that VFT is town
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Post Post #119 (isolation #42) » Tue May 11, 2021 3:43 pm

Post by petapan »

things seem to re-settled back to about where i predicted they would go on night 2

Spoiler:
skitter said she didn't really want to go to 4 way and that's very understandable but man she is not getting any help here
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Post Post #122 (isolation #43) » Tue May 11, 2021 7:06 pm

Post by petapan »

post feels like it was written by a neural network trained on mafia posts
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Post Post #123 (isolation #44) » Wed May 12, 2021 3:48 pm

Post by petapan »

Spoiler:
skitter getting completely hung out to dry here is pissing me off now

it's so disrespectful
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Post Post #126 (isolation #45) » Thu May 13, 2021 4:47 pm

Post by petapan »

bork has clout he's basically an innocent child this game

note for bork when you are nightkilled: don't read the previous page
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Post Post #130 (isolation #46) » Thu May 13, 2021 6:31 pm

Post by petapan »

In post 129, Tammy wrote:Oh I thought the plan was for you to go down today or something.
Spoiler:
going in they wanted the sweep, but it looked to be not in the cards so skitter pivoted to bussing

she really wanted to keep DC in the game and win it at 6p - i insisted she probably wins any 4p but she wanted to avoid that if possible, which is understandable

going into night 1 i knew the bulge was a free kill and so long as he was flipped it was a likely scum win but finding the last elimination out of everyone was going to be
hard
because of the townreads

the timing of that bus probably seals the deal
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Post Post #131 (isolation #47) » Thu May 13, 2021 6:40 pm

Post by petapan »

Spoiler:
there actually had been discussion about potentially bussing on day 2 but i said let people see how the ground shifts, my vote on momrangal gave enough doubt on her that people didn't want to vote her and they sprung for bulge instead
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Post Post #135 (isolation #48) » Fri May 14, 2021 12:12 am

Post by petapan »

Spoiler:
iverson was being voted by cakez and kismet for close to 5 hours on sunday but all of you were afk
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Post Post #137 (isolation #49) » Sat May 15, 2021 5:27 pm

Post by petapan »

right call imo

hi bork grats on being freed
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Post Post #141 (isolation #50) » Sat May 15, 2021 5:34 pm

Post by petapan »

lmao
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Post Post #143 (isolation #51) » Sat May 15, 2021 5:41 pm

Post by petapan »

Spoiler:
but yeah all-time performance by skitter. absolute hero shit. game would easily have ended in a town sweep if not for her
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Post Post #147 (isolation #52) » Sat May 15, 2021 5:49 pm

Post by petapan »

goal from when I got in was to WIFOM everything and protect the teammate who was the deepest

though of course i almost went too hard defending nacho - when you unvoted i started sandbagging so the elim would still go through
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Post Post #150 (isolation #53) » Sat May 15, 2021 5:50 pm

Post by petapan »

skitter legit wasn't even bussing except for when she finally turned on momrangal to save DC

she was just brute forcing votes on town while getting townread for it
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Post Post #154 (isolation #54) » Sat May 15, 2021 5:59 pm

Post by petapan »

In post 148, fferyllt wrote:bork and I were talking about this setup and how much people who have played it love it/hate it.

In 2013 we made an effort to get it into the approved Open setup list, but llamafluff thought it was too scumsided. 7-5 ratio and no PRs does make it look like some kind of mountainous nightmare.

If they haven't played it, I don't think people appreciate just how much info town gets from the wagon movements and the sacrifices. I feel like if anything the setup is slightly townsided.
yeah, from when i got in i could see the path to victory was incredibly tight - so many of the players were just never going to get voted ever. i knew we had to get nacho day 1, we'd get bulge after that, but then the 3rd was going to be incredibly hard. it's also a setup where the momentum swings are huge - a day 1 scum elim puts enormous pressure on scum because they all have to be stuck there and left as potential chain elims
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Post Post #155 (isolation #55) » Sat May 15, 2021 6:02 pm

Post by petapan »

In post 151, borkjerfkin wrote:yeah true. mostly talking about you and mom who did it well.
the irony is i was having a conversation with prism before the game about the classic vote your partner hoping it doesn't go through move

and then he subbed in and i damn near shit myself

didn't end up factoring in but it was a scary moment
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Post Post #156 (isolation #56) » Sat May 15, 2021 6:06 pm

Post by petapan »

looks like a gg
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Post Post #157 (isolation #57) » Sat May 15, 2021 6:17 pm

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In post 3412, notscience wrote:Petas read on infinity is jacked
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Post Post #158 (isolation #58) » Sat May 15, 2021 6:36 pm

Post by petapan »

fun fact i actually typed up reasons for that readlist and then just decided not to post them because i didn't want discussion
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Post Post #159 (isolation #59) » Sat May 15, 2021 6:44 pm

Post by petapan »

oh no, i forgot, it was actually notes but they were not significantly completed so i just didn't attach reasoning. regardless i didn't want to talk about things or, god forbid, actually convince someone

Spoiler: just for kicks here's the notes
infinity
121 eh

kismet -

237
288
308
342
379 makes sense, i don't agree, but yeh
433
438 i believe his scumread of nacho, ultimately. there are reasons there. i disagree vehemently but i can see this asplausibly a way someone would think, the reasoning is easy to follow
518
536
706
716
966
988
990

i am such a sucker for 861
919/920 is also logically sound

disaster cartel - this is kind of a tough thing to explain but menalque tends to be a very heart on his sleeve type player and when things are going poorly for him he lets that get to him a lot, (i think i can reference black flag as an example now?). in general i'm feeling like he's the closest to seeing the game the way i do and i think in this environment that's hugely +town the whole thing where he wanted to policy n_m early was exactly what he did in his towngame and got no traction, again i thiink it comes from genuine conviction that it's the right play

467 comment on not townbinning skitter

i also from experience find ydrasse tends to be really floaty as scum and i would have expected her to flounder if menalque left her to her own devices for several das as scum but that's not really what happened here - 605 in particular i like. 607 okay. 683/684 fine 827 mentions scumread on nacho but expresses doubt. 932/934 seem like a genuine reachout
1014 is almost way more hesitance than i'd expect from scum in this setup which is kind of funny. the fact that they have ultimately decided against voting nacho i think moves them to the townside

i think in particular mena leaning into the emotions here and getting kind of toxic serves no purpose here if he's scum and things aere going fairly decently and is way more likely to come from town frustrated that they feel they're being frozen out

1194 is actually a point against VFT

1197/1311

infinity read is, idk, understandable, was how i felt on first glance but not later

1330 is very townie

momrangal - has barely any posts, clearly can't get into the game, most of her posts are talking about not_mafia which is probably tactical antispew, everyone seems to scumread her but no one wants to kill her

not_mafia - lmao not even gonna bother

notscience - 686 is actually horrid. to a significant extent he just seems to have picked nacho as a tunnel target and never let up but think his reasoning is absolutely terrible and people are simply townreading off attitude/confidence more than anything. it all sort of follows the idea of nacho is scum, the thing he is doing is scummy. It's all begging the question. saying shit like "well our reads are similar which means he must be bussing"

here's a summary of reasons i can find for scumreading nacho: posting too much (126) "has been weird" "not_mafia" (269)"haven't liked how he's approached cakez" (708) he's fearmongering (792)
"but I almost feel like nacho's playing up some like disappointment card to make Cakez buy into their TvT angle? I quoted one of his chastising posts above. I don't really feel like hes trying to sort Cakez so much as box him in."
I don’t get how you got from the first to the second, wouldn’t chastising someone for not being good at tone reading imply you think they are town, yet they are in your lowest scumpool?

686 is horrid, just presupposes nacho is scum andtherefore must be bussing

salsabil - want to say town just for effort/WIM, but a lot of her statements in her catchup have been waffly, i dunno, probably still town. i did see bork's mention of her performing adequately as scum in a newbie game, i'd want to check the meta but i don't have time right now

1110 is good and shows she's not just baselessly tunneling

sircakez - holy shit, this is actually hysterical. cakez was performatively distancing himself/staying away from the nacho wagon, until i replaced in, and suddenly he jumped on it. his hop on sucks so bad. this is scum who was afraid i aws going to take their mislim away. i think my biggest issue with cakez this game is how safe his reads are. when he's been town he's willing to give unpopular opinions but here he's largely just riding consensus, which i think given the state of things points to very bad things. the logic in 1514 is also terrible about scum nacho beeing hard to kill later, this is the exact opposite of the correct logic for this setup, you want to vote out the easiest to catch members of the scumteam so they can't flee, worrying about strong scum is irrelevant if they can't keep a vote off their partners but whn you get an elim driven onto a town player

running up disaster cartel for "no development of reads" on page 11 (258) just feels asinine

the unvote of nacho in 358

noting in particular he makes a scumread/callout of the mom slot but doesn't advance it, offers to wagon them with nacho in 909

venus fly trap -
very hard to explain. 74 is overly harsh on re-reading it for early game

101 the first time i was like "oh what tonie paranoia" but looking at it now the logic is just absurdly stupid and ass-backwards, no one busses for the sake of getting a nightkill

127/149 notsci has a halfway decent scum/i like notsci so far

almost a little too confident on townreading himearly? 196

284 is aagain terrible at the end

i eally dislike the townread on notscience in 303 because it's flinging around buzzwords without pointing to concrete examples

329 "icky interactions"

i really don't like 479

545 is over-justifying

the 565 read on ydrasse fluffposting is bizarre?

639 there's almost way too much emphasis on interactions from them, and i think that's more likely to come from scum who are more aware of connections

648 jut kind of evasive

709 scummy because he said bssing is not viable??

718 tone, really

726 just comes to tvs with cakez town but without anything actually said about cakez??

814 i hate the way she's talking to nacho

822/826 arer kind of an unfair ringing-up and 835 is a very reasonable reply

1036

ugh 1059 is kind of towny

i don't think 1114 is fair at all

1148 is a good read but w/e

1154 reasoning for shoving it through about nacho being stuck on 3 votes is very much a fallacy

1156 comments about wanting to play with mena but then her approach to him is just awkward

1189/1190 is kind of awkward

1201 is soft-edged, fenesitty
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Post Post #161 (isolation #60) » Sat May 15, 2021 7:04 pm

Post by petapan »

imho the lilith posts about nacho and n_m were, uh, bad although i didn't read them that way before i replaced in
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Post Post #167 (isolation #61) » Sun May 16, 2021 11:18 am

Post by petapan »

it ain't a bus if it doesn't go through
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Post Post #168 (isolation #62) » Sun May 16, 2021 11:19 am

Post by petapan »

In post 3509, Infinity 324 wrote:I don't believe there's anything I can actually say that will convince skitt here, I could be wrong I guess
this got the darkest laugh out of me

(i'm sorry infinity)
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Post Post #179 (isolation #63) » Mon May 17, 2021 6:32 am

Post by petapan »

In post 178, borkjerfkin wrote:if they'd have killed you i feel like i'd _probably_ have reevaluated since I'd taken a very, very wrong turn in my solve, but hard to say.
that was the concern that led to them killing you
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Post Post #184 (isolation #64) » Mon May 17, 2021 6:40 am

Post by petapan »

my actual concern was that you'd be the most attuned to see through the shit i was trying to pull with regard to associations on day 1 although i guess you didn't even bother
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Post Post #191 (isolation #65) » Mon May 17, 2021 6:49 am

Post by petapan »

also your reads were actually decent and you werent locked into the perspective people who had been in the game from the beginning - people in this game were very stubborn with their reads
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Post Post #192 (isolation #66) » Mon May 17, 2021 6:50 am

Post by petapan »

In post 186, Prism wrote:I would not classify you as a specifically talented scumplayer but your mastery of the fundamentals are second to none
true im basically an old white dude playing pickup basketball, i make sure to box out on every play
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Post Post #203 (isolation #67) » Mon May 17, 2021 7:03 am

Post by petapan »

In post 199, Prism wrote:While I was ready for her to be wrong w/ the assumption VFT was town I also strongly feel that the scumreads on Infinity are criminal.
i think logically if you look at it from the perspective of why would scum bother hard defending momrangal when they were up 2-0 it's not hard to deduce that just wouldn't happen - having a lead gives much more flexibility for bussing
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Post Post #206 (isolation #68) » Mon May 17, 2021 7:39 am

Post by petapan »

In post 205, Prism wrote:Any respect for my towngame continues to be unwarranted.
same tbh
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Post Post #207 (isolation #69) » Mon May 17, 2021 4:33 pm

Post by petapan »

In post 3725, Morning Tweet wrote:where did it all go so wrong guys?? I know you both end up on Nacho :C

(in response to page 38) How do we have 2-3 consensus scumreads who are scum (Leafeon + Momrangal + kind of NM but not really) and none get elimed lol. No but aside from complaining that's probably an important question to answer im curious. In a regular game without mafia having large numbers they were so dead, so who did something about it
morning tweet surveying the wreckage wondering what happened

she seems terrifyingly close to the solve right now, if she catches vft that's a white knight nom from me
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Post Post #208 (isolation #70) » Mon May 17, 2021 4:39 pm

Post by petapan »

at this point it might just be a question of if she can convince one of notscience or cakez, although stubborn on vft they're predisposed against dc
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Post Post #211 (isolation #71) » Mon May 17, 2021 5:30 pm

Post by petapan »

shes getting to the part where i show up

post about me

my ego craves it
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Post Post #213 (isolation #72) » Mon May 17, 2021 6:08 pm

Post by petapan »

very
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Post Post #227 (isolation #73) » Tue May 18, 2021 11:28 am

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torn between wanting to win and the fact that morning tweet inarguably deserves to win and if she doesn't pull this off for whatever erason it'll be the greatest tragedy ever committed in a mafia game
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Post Post #232 (isolation #74) » Tue May 18, 2021 3:22 pm

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infinity being paranoid of tweet when she's defending her is both baffling and incredibly townie
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Post Post #236 (isolation #75) » Wed May 19, 2021 12:42 pm

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infinity...why would tweet interfere in a tvt cross to defend you, the player people wanted to vote

what are you doing
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Post Post #239 (isolation #76) » Wed May 19, 2021 4:21 pm

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i dont want to watch another undertale ending
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Post Post #240 (isolation #77) » Wed May 19, 2021 6:14 pm

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morning tweet is glowing with energy right now
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