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Post #152 (isolation #6) » Sat Aug 23, 2014 8:38 pm
Postby Quilford »
VOTE: xRECKONERx
No evidence of sustained thought about any one player. Points towards reads fakery.
Jumps on Jackel quickly saying "Did you only vote me because you disliked my suggestion on how to use the doors? How did that make me vote worthy?" as if there were any worthier reasons to vote anyone 22 posts in.
Just as abruptly decides that Jackel and Flames are town with no reasoning for either why they're town or for why the read is "iffy".
In the same post votes Akane with no reasoning.
Votes 34 with no reasoning, saying he's jumping onto the wagon because "At least there are actual reasons" without stating what those "actual" reasons are. (It's a bit awkward that he later tells 34 "holy fucking shit, it's a goddamn game, relax"; it's hard to relax when people are voting you and not explaining their reasoning for it.)
Unvotes 34 to vote Akane saying "Akane real scum actually" without explaining why Akane is scummy, let alone scummier than 34.
Attacks Jackel: "saying someone is scummy because of "gut" and "posts seem off" when it's your only evolving read is very bad". Not only does this indicate a lack of focus on Akane as scum (his vote is on Akane. Why is he not talking about Akane at all?), it's kinda hypocritical considering Reck hasn't given any reasons why any of the targets of his votes are scummy.
The overall pattern is of somebody jumping from player to player without sustained focus on any one player in particular, indicating that he doesn't have the capacity to produce any sort of deep analysis. (He even calls his townreads "iffy" and "weak".) I think that's because he already knows the alignments of those he's attacking. Moreover, his votes and suspicions move from one player to another very quickly, which is at odds with a more measured, searching approach to scumreads that I think is typically town.
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Post #161 (isolation #7) » Sun Aug 24, 2014 11:11 am
Postby Quilford »
In post 156, xRECKONERx wrote:hey quil can you explain why you think I wouldn't explain my reads since you have obviously played with me before and seen me explain my reads
'Can you explain why you think I wouldn't explain my reads' no idea
'Since you have obviously played with me before and seen me explain my reads' Not only do I not have any particular recollection of playing with you (apart from Team Mafia) (I suspect our last game together was >1 year ago), I don't think you've ever been town with me in a game, so. Considering you said 'quilford misreading me again', perhaps you could point me towards a game where I've misread you.
Yeah, the point is that you haven't told us what they are.
In post 155, xRECKONERx wrote:akane was poe based on who i had at least moderate goodvibes from and it was a very noncommittal vote until i found something shinier (like 34 for instance)
Akane was just PoE? A very noncommittal vote? Then why is Akane now 'real scum actually'? What changed?
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Post #165 (isolation #10) » Sun Aug 24, 2014 11:20 am
Postby Quilford »
Actually it depends on the playerlist. If he thinks he can coast a bit on the basis that he can ingratiate himself with people he's played with before, for example, he won't be aggressive.
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Post #215 (isolation #11) » Sun Aug 24, 2014 3:54 pm
Postby Quilford »
Parama, is it possible for you to lynch two people at once with your doublevote? I haven't read the past two pages yet but that thought just popped into my head.
In post 215, Quilford wrote:Parama, is it possible for you to lynch two people at once with your doublevote? I haven't read the past two pages yet but that thought just popped into my head.
I suppose it's possible but I don't really see how it'd benefit town; if both are mislynches then we've burned the two mislynches day 1, no?
Yeah, the point is that you haven't told us what they are.
II didn't have to, evveryone else did it
You are the first and only person to have switched from Akane to 34.
Also, the only other person to have voted 34 by the time you joined his wagon was Akane. Not only does this make 'everyone else' one person, it also means that one person was the person you previously had a scumread on. This is very odd.
In post 178, xRECKONERx wrote:so pulling apart every little thing in order to make me look bad for it seems ridiculous this early in the game
According to you, Page 8 is too early for a big case. But only two pages earlier you said 'it's a good thing we're not like way past the point where having "gut reads" and posts seeming "off" are acceptable justifications for reads, right'. So: if it's too early for a big case but too late for gut, how am I supposed to justify my reads?
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Post #522 (isolation #22) » Wed Aug 27, 2014 7:40 pm
Postby Quilford »
My position on Reck's claim is that I had a pretty strong scumread on him before the claim, but because the claim is more or less confirmable and we have two mislynches at the very least and therefore two sets of night actions, it doesn't make any sense to lynch him today. Or tomorrow, really. Maybe in LYLO if he hasn't confirmed anyone and is being scummy.
My thoughts: we have eight doors.
If we think scum can't kill anyone they're not through the same door with, we should send 3 pairs of people through the doors each night.
This way, if one of the people in the pairs dies, we know the person they went through the door with is scum. Just in case scum who go through doors can kill people who don't go through doors, the people we pair up should be generally considered the most townie, so that scum are forced to kill the scummiest people.
It bears repeating, however, that this is the optimal strategy only if we think scum can't kill anyone they're not through the same door with.
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Post #525 (isolation #24) » Wed Aug 27, 2014 7:58 pm
Postby Quilford »
The Reck / Akane back-and-forth is absolutely terrible. The tunnelling from both sides is stupidly strong.
Akane suddenly going "Can we fucking lynch it already?" is out of character, and it is obviously a bad idea to push for a lynch on a confirmable role.
Meanwhile Reck's arguments around Akane's use of meta are just wrong. You don't have to reveal your identity for your meta case on someone else to be verifiable. I don't buy 'becoming more belligerent as the game goes on' to be something anyone who's meta'd Reck would know; it's not something I associate with Reck and it's not something that would be unique to Reck either. As the game goes on you approach LYLO and tensions rise therefore everyone's going to be more belligerent.
I wouldn't be surprised if they turned out to be scum together. (I think Reck's more town than before my case though.)
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Post #548 (isolation #29) » Thu Aug 28, 2014 10:01 am
Postby Quilford »
It's not possible to produce a particularly in depth case on yonce for really obvious reasons.
Giving him a pass based on his ostensibly ballsy VT claim despite the fact that really literally nothing else he or his predecessor has done can be called town isn't a good idea, I think. It is pretty ballsy though.
I would dispute that my case on Reck was 'almost reaching' at all. The pattern of voting I called Reck out before was the main reason I thought AngryPidgeon was scum (and he was) in Antihero Mafia, if I remember correctly. However I never really pushed AP too hard about it and the hydra I was in was nightkilled N1 without ever lynching AP so I decided to elucidate on it a bit more this time.
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Post #549 (isolation #30) » Thu Aug 28, 2014 10:04 am
Postby Quilford »
In post 323, xRECKONERx wrote:It's a big thing when Akane is using so-called meta on me (which might not actually be accurate) and won't reveal her identity to verify the meta.
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Post #645 (isolation #31) » Sat Aug 30, 2014 7:52 pm
Postby Quilford »
In post 623, Parama wrote:@Quil:
1. What basis do you have to believe Reck/Akane are scum together? (Re 525)
2. Why were you so passive on the yonce wagon? You claimed to not be able to make a case (548) when there was certainly enough to make some argument for his lynch.
1. Uh... I talked about the basis in #525 itself.
2. I did make a case. In #548 I said it wasn't possible to make a "particularly in depth case". My case was that in 22 pages there had been no scumhunting from either Flames or yonce. The sustained crappiness of that slot made me think it was scum. But it turns out that neither Flames nor yonce were willing to actually play the game?
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Post #648 (isolation #33) » Sat Aug 30, 2014 7:54 pm
Postby Quilford »
In post 640, Not_Mafia wrote:So something I noticed when checking our QT back, the one thing Quilford said was he doesn't know how to read anyone anymore, implying Reck is/was confirmed town already.
No, just that yonce flipped town and I was having doubts on whether Reck was actually scum at the time.
What do you mean by "something I noticed when checking our QT back"?
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Post #654 (isolation #35) » Sat Aug 30, 2014 8:08 pm
Postby Quilford »
In post 640, Not_Mafia wrote:I'm not sure if I'm ready to call it a slip per se but looking at it now I don't like how it was phrased
Speaking of things that are phrased oddly.
You said today that "it was yesterday morning before I remembered the QT even existed". Does that mean you read the PM with the QT link in it and then forgot about it entirely until the time when you remembered and made your first and only post in it?
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Post #655 (isolation #36) » Sat Aug 30, 2014 8:16 pm
Postby Quilford »
In post 542, xRECKONERx wrote:@QUILFORD: My point wasn't, "You can't know my meta without revealing your identity" because yes, you're right, that isn't a valid statement.
In post 323, xRECKONERx wrote:It's a big thing when Akane is using so-called meta on me (which might not actually be accurate) and won't reveal her identity to verify the meta.
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Post #678 (isolation #38) » Sun Aug 31, 2014 10:03 am
Postby Quilford »
Reck, the point is that you said 'My point wasn't, "You can't know my meta without revealing your identity"' despite saying precisely that in 323. Calm the shit down.
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Post #682 (isolation #39) » Sun Aug 31, 2014 10:08 am
Postby Quilford »
By the way I would rather be PoE lynched today instead of tomorrow, so that you're not all going "oh yeah, we're supposed to be lynching people based on whether they're scumhunting or not, because that's actually the core difference between town and scum" after the game is over
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Post #686 (isolation #40) » Sun Aug 31, 2014 10:12 am
Postby Quilford »
In post 681, Akane Kurashiki wrote:Hey Quilford, how about you comment on things that are happening in the here and now instead of dragging the same argument on and on forever?
(this could easily apply to reck too but he's not the one who's here right now)
Those things being?
Also, considering I think Reck could be scum, this is an important argument to have. So, no.
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Post #694 (isolation #41) » Sun Aug 31, 2014 10:16 am
Postby Quilford »
In post 553, Parama wrote:like yeah some of it's overanalyzing but it's not like he's done literally nothing all game. just nothing productive or helpful to the town.
Yeah Parama your "case" that supposedly proves me wrong was to summarise three of the slots posts, admit some of it might be overanalysing, and then finish with the same conclusion as I did.
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Post #700 (isolation #42) » Sun Aug 31, 2014 10:22 am
Postby Quilford »
Akane: the POE argument was actually a subtle comment on the stupidity of using POE instead of looking at a persons history of scumhunting.
For Parama and Akane who apparently see my argument with Reck as a broken record, fine. Do one thing for me: look back through Reck's posts and see if he actually seems to be convincingly searching for scum, as opposed to merely addressing posts made to him or stating reads without further elaboration.
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Post #717 (isolation #48) » Sun Aug 31, 2014 10:43 am
Postby Quilford »
Yes well the reason I haven't responded to that yet is because I've been caught up in a million other arguments. I haven't 'dodged' it at all. Hold on a minute.
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Post #718 (isolation #49) » Sun Aug 31, 2014 10:45 am
Postby Quilford »
Right. The reason I thought Reck/Akane was because their tunnelling on each other was absurdly strong and out of character or for suspicious reasons. I didn't state it explicitly because I thought it would be clear, but the conclusion was that it looked like distancing.
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Post #829 (isolation #52) » Tue Sep 02, 2014 10:14 pm
Postby Quilford »
Yeah, I claim slacker.
My problem is that I don't really know anything about Grib or N_M or Jackel or even Akane really atm but I haven't had time to reread. I'll try to do that soon.
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Post #853 (isolation #55) » Wed Sep 03, 2014 9:19 pm
Postby Quilford »
Firstly: Akane is probably town for her catchup posts.
The problem with catchup posts is that 1) they're written in a self-conscious stream of consciousness kind of way, 2) they often contain more summary than analysis, 3) nobody wants to read them. Because of this 4) they're a good tool for scum to look like they're scumhunting when they're actually not, so 5) they're frequently a waste of effort for townies.
But Akane's catchup posts look like they took such a Herculean effort that I think scum wouldn't even bother. Plus, they contain an okay level of analysis.
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Post #854 (isolation #56) » Wed Sep 03, 2014 9:36 pm
Postby Quilford »
Jackel is an okay lynch.
He's voted for Reck and Parama (and he unvoted me while he was still voting Reck, so he must have intended to be voting for me at some stage), all without any reasoning. He's promised it, at various stages, but he's never actually given any. Looks like he's just jumping from one person to the other, without any sort of continuity to his reads.
Would be willing to hammer. I am a bit thrown off by the fact that he's already claimed VT. I think scum would've seen that doing so didn't end particularly well for yonce's slot, and wouldn't have done the same, but... who knows.
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Post #855 (isolation #57) » Wed Sep 03, 2014 9:38 pm
Postby Quilford »
I mean, I could see him being town, which is why he's only an okay lynch. The yonce flip has kind of shaken my faith in scumhunting from first principles a bit. What are they teaching newbies these days, anyway? -__-
In post 654, Quilford wrote:You said today that "it was yesterday morning before I remembered the QT even existed". Does that mean you read the PM with the QT link in it and then forgot about it entirely until the time when you remembered and made your first and only post in it?
Pretty much, opened the PM just before going to sleep, clicked it to get the QT in the list of topics, forgot about the site.
Then why in the QT did you say "keep forgetting this exists", as if you had forgotten more than once?