open 841: concgratulations to the winners and losers


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Post Post #850 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 6:58 am

Post by Andante »

we didn't have many duplicate numbers, that's kinda suspicious to me
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Post Post #851 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 6:58 am

Post by innocentvillager »

i plead the insufficient sample size card
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Post Post #852 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 6:59 am

Post by Andante »

I'd argue there's 2 scum in the 5/6/10
midwaybear: 5
Mare: 6
innocentvillager: 10
like, no one else picked these numbers? they're like middle... "safe" numbers
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Post Post #853 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 6:59 am

Post by Andante »

In post 851, innocentvillager wrote:i plead the insufficient sample size card
ok, if it's not you, look at the numbers around you
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Post Post #854 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 6:59 am

Post by Mare »

And given experience I’d argue the top number is scum, so impasse.
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Post Post #855 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:00 am

Post by Mare »

Also for what it’s worth I think the only meaningful duplication to look at is Pooky and Datisi because I can imagine a funny world where they pick that as scum together to guarantee middling positions.
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Post Post #856 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:01 am

Post by Something_Smart »

In post 851, innocentvillager wrote:i plead the insufficient sample size card
Yeah but we don't have to be super confident, we only have to be more confident than we could be by reads

And if you know me, you know that's a low bar.
It's always the same. When you fire that first shot, no matter how right you feel, you have no idea who's going to die. You don't know whose children are going to scream and burn. How many hearts will be broken. How many lives shattered. How much blood will spill, until everybody does what they're always going to have to do from the very beginning... SIT DOWN AND TALK!
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Post Post #857 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:01 am

Post by midwaybear »

how I picked my number was I placed 9 fingers down, clicked the keyboard, and picked the first digit
I admit that I wanted to pick high fwiw. Didn't want to pick a two digit
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Post Post #858 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:01 am

Post by Datisi »

except if a townie picked 1 too, then we'd be completely fucked. while choosing multitasking no less.

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Post Post #859 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:02 am

Post by innocentvillager »

In post 856, Something_Smart wrote:
In post 851, innocentvillager wrote:i plead the insufficient sample size card
Yeah but we don't have to be super confident, we only have to be more confident than we could be by reads

And if you know me, you know that's a low bar.
Mech > stats > reads ? :P

I think it’s hard to argue my scum equity goes up by more than like 3% with this data knowing nothing else
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Post Post #860 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:02 am

Post by PookyTheMagicalBear »

I am the real number 1

affirmed by god himself
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Post Post #861 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:03 am

Post by Andante »

stats are saying 1-6 are often picked by scum, one of the 1's is almost definitely maf, and that leaves 5 and 6 still there... I have very few notes on people who haven't talked recently, but 2 scum points for mare, no town. nothing on midway though so meh
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Post Post #862 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:03 am

Post by Mare »

In post 858, Datisi wrote:except if a townie picked 1 too, then we'd be completely fucked. while choosing multitasking no less.

pedit: @mare
Oh, would it resolve you at the bottom?
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Post Post #863 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:03 am

Post by PookyTheMagicalBear »

also shouldnt we just leave all the low number choices alone cuz scum have to shoot there to kill our PRs no?
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Post Post #864 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:03 am

Post by Mare »

In post 863, PookyTheMagicalBear wrote:also shouldnt we just leave all the low number choices alone cuz scum have to shoot there to kill our PRs no?
Yup.
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Post Post #865 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:03 am

Post by innocentvillager »

In post 852, Andante wrote:I'd argue there's 2 scum in the 5/6/10
midwaybear: 5
Mare: 6
innocentvillager: 10
like, no one else picked these numbers? they're like middle... "safe" numbers
What about 12 and 14 that were also picked once why are those not in your category
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Post Post #866 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:04 am

Post by Andante »

wasn't midway the one who SRed Datisi, then backed off when Datisi started asking about it? and that "confident scum read" became non existent?
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Post Post #867 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:04 am

Post by Mare »

Another observation is Andante immediately jumped on the numbers when used against her to swing at everyone else/deflect.
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Post Post #868 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:04 am

Post by Something_Smart »

In post 859, innocentvillager wrote:Mech > stats > reads ?
Something like that yeah... especially with this plist
It's always the same. When you fire that first shot, no matter how right you feel, you have no idea who's going to die. You don't know whose children are going to scream and burn. How many hearts will be broken. How many lives shattered. How much blood will spill, until everybody does what they're always going to have to do from the very beginning... SIT DOWN AND TALK!
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Post Post #869 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:04 am

Post by midwaybear »

In post 862, Mare wrote:Oh, would it resolve you at the bottom?
3 picking the same number means basically last place
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Post Post #870 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:04 am

Post by Andante »

In post 865, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 852, Andante wrote:I'd argue there's 2 scum in the 5/6/10
midwaybear: 5
Mare: 6
innocentvillager: 10
like, no one else picked these numbers? they're like middle... "safe" numbers
What about 12 and 14 that were also picked once why are those not in your category
meh, there's definitely at least 1 scum that went 10 or under
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Post Post #871 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:06 am

Post by innocentvillager »

In post 870, Andante wrote:
In post 865, innocentvillager wrote:
In post 852, Andante wrote:I'd argue there's 2 scum in the 5/6/10
midwaybear: 5
Mare: 6
innocentvillager: 10
like, no one else picked these numbers? they're like middle... "safe" numbers
What about 12 and 14 that were also picked once why are those not in your category
meh, there's definitely at least 1 scum that went 10 or under
you’re probably right because if you’re wrong then the scumteam is faker, sircakez, and catboi
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Post Post #872 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:06 am

Post by Andante »

see, here's the issue, I know what pr I picked, and I know it's not one of the better ones, so it's very likely scum has some good roles
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Post Post #873 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:07 am

Post by innocentvillager »

Wait you’re a PR?
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Post Post #874 (ISO) » Tue Dec 28, 2021 7:07 am

Post by PookyTheMagicalBear »

IV trolling hard today
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